HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s5

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

69.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2653

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0151

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007138	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007144	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006954	+0.27%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006962	+0.73%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007475	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008358	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.00878	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008521	-1.11%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2505	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008924	-1.21%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.3182	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008748	-1.13%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2254	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008649	-0.87%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2283	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.00902	-1.14%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1162	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010807	-1.66%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1797	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009873	-1.33%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0591	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008484	-0.05%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0031	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.0107	-1.42%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0983	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011949	-1.72%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.2011	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011703	-1.62%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.1284	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013473	-2.14%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2764	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014401	-2.67%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1946	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012802	-2.25%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1647	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014474	-2.90%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.4028	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011562	-2.15%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0517	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012495	-2.51%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.1031	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010566	-1.96%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0265	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011421	-2.12%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1057	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013885	-2.95%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0507	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.01315	-2.98%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0205	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009756	-1.98%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4048	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008895	-1.21%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3185	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.00931	-1.64%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4285	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012146	-2.23%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0102	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010632	-2.19%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0524	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011515	-2.59%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0774	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015594	-3.88%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2809	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011621	-3.10%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4820	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012486	-3.89%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6618	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011168	-2.17%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5920	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009673	-0.13%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1515	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008107	+1.30%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0825	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.01011	+0.63%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0298	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012005	-0.46%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1309	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010516	+0.95%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1338	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.00968	+0.83%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3220	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012071	+0.37%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012808	+0.13%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2678	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015534	-0.91%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6181	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022348	-2.30%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7667	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018119	-1.38%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3757	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024037	-2.07%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7763	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018781	-1.86%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6837	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020559	-2.17%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5497	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024577	-2.71%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6597	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025958	-3.84%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5382	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021652	-2.32%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0347	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014185	-0.68%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2353	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016668	+0.04%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3748	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022481	-1.62%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1390	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.0195	-1.07%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.0892	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.01878	-0.72%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3018	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016056	-0.58%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5204	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013653	-0.48%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4695	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.01334	+0.08%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0745	✓	1.00