HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s5
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4025
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0720
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006474 | -4.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006625 | -4.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006605 | -4.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007132 | -4.61% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008017 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008412 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008166 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008534 | -5.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.00839 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008278 | -5.12% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008661 | -5.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010292 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009433 | -5.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008067 | -4.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010187 | -6.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011335 | -6.77% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011124 | -6.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.012735 | -7.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013534 | -8.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012078 | -7.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.013579 | -8.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.010943 | -7.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.011762 | -8.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010052 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.010841 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.012916 | -9.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.012268 | -9.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009335 | -6.21% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008494 | -5.66% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008942 | -5.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.011559 | -6.96% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.3700 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010088 | -7.19% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4537 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.010867 | -8.07% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.4796 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.014056 | -13.36% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6814 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010876 | -9.30% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4613 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011597 | -10.73% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4872 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010476 | -8.23% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4647 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009117 | -5.87% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1760 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007731 | -3.40% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1659 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009551 | -4.94% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2998 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011293 | -6.36% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5086 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.00995 | -4.48% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.00925 | -3.64% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011407 | -5.15% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012112 | -5.32% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1611 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014705 | -6.20% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2530 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.020947 | -8.42% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6373 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017029 | -7.31% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.2949 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022485 | -8.39% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4604 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017637 | -7.85% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019328 | -8.03% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3516 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.02322 | -8.08% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7373 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024656 | -8.66% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7284 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.020306 | -8.40% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6981 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.013465 | -5.73% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2249 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.015696 | -5.79% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021091 | -7.70% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018317 | -7.07% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6819 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.017685 | -6.51% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015231 | -5.69% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.5791 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013059 | -4.81% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.012819 | -3.82% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2005 | ✓ | 1.00 |