CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s5

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0876

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0220

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002226	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002223	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002164	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002243	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002312	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002308	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002276	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002404	-1.85%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0709	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002441	-1.98%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0790	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002389	-1.91%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0878	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002431	-2.07%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0552	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002392	-2.09%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0081	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002444	-2.15%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0344	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002299	-1.89%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0025	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002381	-2.10%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0391	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002443	-2.24%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0335	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00254	-2.46%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0183	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002518	-2.42%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0025	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002505	-2.54%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0141	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002473	-2.54%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0218	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002496	-2.59%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0442	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002572	-2.87%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0543	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002642	-2.75%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0673	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002659	-2.67%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0347	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002719	-2.55%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0645	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002677	-2.41%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0424	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002647	-2.20%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0448	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.00262	-2.04%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0248	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002672	-2.16%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0040	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002721	-2.41%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0133	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002718	-2.43%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0230	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002604	-1.79%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0508	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002786	-2.25%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0329	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002648	-1.80%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0044	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002553	-1.17%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0036	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.00247	-0.83%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0562	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002556	-0.88%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0295	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002841	-1.70%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0463	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002852	-1.71%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0882	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.00297	-2.26%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0538	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002875	-1.97%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0759	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002915	-1.96%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1200	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002952	-2.18%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1633	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002843	-1.74%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0886	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002808	-1.61%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0315	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002767	-1.50%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0592	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.0028	-1.60%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0903	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002636	-0.95%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1149	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002633	-0.91%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1373	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002649	-1.11%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1260	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002716	-1.51%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0591	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002721	-1.69%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0454	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002591	-1.54%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0705	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002804	-2.64%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0096	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002885	-2.62%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0861	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002854	-2.19%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0746	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002686	-2.70%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0025	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002931	-3.51%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0576	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002776	-2.77%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0013	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002437	-1.71%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0766	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.00258	-2.16%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1068	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002764	-2.41%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0699	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.00258	-2.39%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1393	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002481	-2.37%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002695	-2.61%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0744	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.003022	-3.01%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2599	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002608	-2.91%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2633	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002713	-3.03%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2294	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002473	-2.76%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002308	-2.57%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002176	-2.40%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0666	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002147	-2.41%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2359	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.00201	-2.20%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4298	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001914	-2.04%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3707	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001892	-2.02%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4209	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001965	-2.31%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.2878	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001801	-2.04%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2871	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001801	-2.12%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2318	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001881	-2.34%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1647	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001847	-2.37%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.0998	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001852	-2.37%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0323	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001881	-2.51%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001814	-2.48%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0710	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001774	-3.41%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0431	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.