CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s5

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1200

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0580

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.00217	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002172	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002114	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002187	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002249	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002246	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002218	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002333	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002372	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002319	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.00236	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.00232	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002368	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002226	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002302	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002366	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002455	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002437	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002416	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002383	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002405	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002464	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002526	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002536	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002599	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002558	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.00253	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002503	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002551	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002608	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002611	-6.28%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1232	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002471	-6.81%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1024	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002656	-6.82%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.1964	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002519	-6.59%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1081	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002404	-6.96%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0506	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002326	-6.61%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0211	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.00241	-6.56%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0779	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002706	-6.36%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.1109	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002715	-6.41%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.1084	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002832	-6.78%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1653	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002745	-6.39%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1212	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002785	-6.32%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1521	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002829	-6.26%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1372	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002728	-5.72%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1620	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002699	-5.44%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1170	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002665	-5.11%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0803	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002697	-5.21%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0537	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002541	-4.52%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0065	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002545	-4.21%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0008	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002549	-4.86%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0350	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002615	-5.14%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0508	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002625	-5.19%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0110	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002497	-5.09%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0619	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002695	-6.42%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0022	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002783	-6.05%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0171	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002775	-4.88%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0247	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002624	-4.95%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0166	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002849	-6.19%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.0809	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002689	-5.83%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0028	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002364	-4.65%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1453	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002498	-5.30%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0847	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.00268	-5.36%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0143	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002498	-5.52%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1505	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.0024	-5.55%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0381	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002606	-5.82%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.1747	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002933	-5.89%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.3295	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002523	-6.10%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.1628	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002624	-6.22%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.1190	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.00239	-6.04%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002233	-5.73%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1105	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002108	-5.44%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.1333	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002081	-5.40%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.1705	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001951	-5.06%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2335	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001861	-4.76%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.2512	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001841	-4.65%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2408	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.00191	-5.03%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.1719	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001749	-4.86%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.2695	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.00175	-4.92%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2098	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001825	-5.26%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1375	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001791	-5.32%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2054	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001798	-5.22%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2296	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001826	-5.36%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.1915	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001765	-5.09%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.1869	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001733	-5.61%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3183	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.