BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

190

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

56.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1386

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0137

actual -0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.050484	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049722	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046982	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048401	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052428	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055296	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.04444	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.04379	-0.06%	0.05086	+16.08%	0.1373	✗	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047712	-0.32%	0.050125	+4.72%	0.0510	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054372	-0.62%	0.047365	-13.43%	0.1390	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.06548	-1.14%	0.048835	-26.27%	0.2803	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.06722	-1.21%	0.05305	-22.04%	0.2239	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067739	-1.15%	0.056	-18.28%	0.1816	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.065353	-0.93%	0.0446	-32.39%	0.3857	✓	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066917	-0.85%	0.043815	-35.08%	0.4098	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066666	-0.69%	0.047865	-28.70%	0.3092	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061898	-0.44%	0.05471	-12.00%	0.0873	✓	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.062108	-0.49%	0.066235	+6.12%	0.0908	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061485	-0.62%	0.068045	+9.98%	0.1188	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062414	-0.68%	0.068525	+9.05%	0.1121	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.0647	-0.80%	0.065965	+1.13%	0.0492	✗	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065506	-0.99%	0.06749	+2.01%	0.0324	✗	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.066245	-0.98%	0.06713	+0.34%	0.0004	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066542	-0.96%	0.06217	-7.47%	0.0884	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070204	-1.07%	0.062415	-12.04%	0.1305	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070296	-1.18%	0.06187	-13.02%	0.1298	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068463	-1.09%	0.06284	-9.21%	0.0882	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.06626	-0.94%	0.065225	-2.49%	0.0185	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063165	-0.76%	0.06616	+3.94%	0.0513	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068536	-0.56%	0.0669	-2.94%	0.0072	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.067934	-0.36%	0.06719	-1.45%	0.0145	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065334	-1.23%	0.07096	+7.28%	0.0565	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.064704	-1.23%	0.071135	+8.59%	0.0695	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064342	-1.29%	0.069215	+6.19%	0.0488	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061577	-1.41%	0.06689	+7.09%	0.0258	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060591	-1.35%	0.06365	+3.63%	0.0098	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062244	-1.51%	0.068925	+9.06%	0.0491	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.061754	-1.42%	0.06818	+8.84%	0.0570	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.060979	-1.38%	0.066145	+6.98%	0.0584	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063099	-1.45%	0.06551	+2.31%	0.0161	✗	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.063343	-1.40%	0.06518	+1.46%	0.0080	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.060021	-0.94%	0.06246	+3.09%	0.0408	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.061411	-0.84%	0.06142	-0.82%	0.0110	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.06693	-1.09%	0.0632	-6.61%	0.0383	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.066818	-0.92%	0.062645	-7.11%	0.0584	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.066944	-0.68%	0.06183	-8.27%	0.0562	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.068209	-0.79%	0.06403	-6.87%	0.0458	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.068174	-0.70%	0.064245	-6.42%	0.0414	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.069441	-0.27%	0.06059	-12.98%	0.1030	✓	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.066761	-0.76%	0.06193	-7.94%	0.0818	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.06695	-0.76%	0.06767	+0.30%	0.0033	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.067905	-0.69%	0.06744	-1.37%	0.0098	✓	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.067277	-0.83%	0.067405	-0.64%	0.0162	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.069823	-1.10%	0.068755	-2.61%	0.0258	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.070563	-1.28%	0.068655	-3.95%	0.0396	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.072759	-0.68%	0.06963	-4.95%	0.0503	✓	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.071383	-1.15%	0.06727	-6.85%	0.0484	✓	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.068152	-1.24%	0.067465	-2.24%	0.0029	✓	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.071374	-1.25%	0.068375	-5.40%	0.0403	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.072333	-1.52%	0.06784	-7.64%	0.0637	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.073223	-1.63%	0.0706	-5.16%	0.0448	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.089054	-2.06%	0.07148	-21.39%	0.2170	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.082005	-2.58%	0.07326	-12.97%	0.1486	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.078335	-2.98%	0.072215	-10.56%	0.1430	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.076726	-2.85%	0.06901	-12.62%	0.2039	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.075479	-2.51%	0.072275	-6.65%	0.1510	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.076188	-2.30%	0.07345	-5.82%	0.1543	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.078035	-2.17%	0.07444	-6.68%	0.1579	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.074099	-1.32%	0.09093	+21.09%	0.0823	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.074356	-1.35%	0.084175	+11.67%	0.0459	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.075445	-1.43%	0.080745	+5.49%	0.0089	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.075619	-1.36%	0.078975	+3.02%	0.0321	✗	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.076376	-1.25%	0.07742	+0.10%	0.0072	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.073432	-0.84%	0.077985	+5.31%	0.0827	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.076387	-1.07%	0.07977	+3.31%	0.0643	✗	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.077041	-1.09%	0.07509	-3.59%	0.0042	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.082942	-1.54%	0.075375	-10.52%	0.0855	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.079573	-1.16%	0.07654	-4.93%	0.0246	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.076152	-0.73%	0.07666	-0.07%	0.0125	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.075987	-0.64%	0.07734	+1.12%	0.0126	✗	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.075463	-0.54%	0.074055	-2.39%	0.0333	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.074889	-0.41%	0.077215	+2.69%	0.0087	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.078566	-0.60%	0.07789	-1.45%	0.0296	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.07896	-0.70%	0.08424	+5.94%	0.0695	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.079652	-0.68%	0.08051	+0.39%	0.0035	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.078751	-0.58%	0.07671	-3.16%	0.0282	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.07891	-0.51%	0.07648	-3.57%	0.0291	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.086074	-1.11%	0.07587	-12.83%	0.1104	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.083863	-0.85%	0.075195	-11.10%	0.0966	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.08377	-0.76%	0.07904	-6.37%	0.0480	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.075819	-0.15%	0.079515	+4.72%	0.0505	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.083616	-0.75%	0.080195	-4.81%	0.0228	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.084723	-0.80%	0.07921	-7.26%	0.0436	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.08526	-0.67%	0.079315	-7.60%	0.0613	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.089451	-0.89%	0.08704	-3.56%	0.0326	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.091224	-0.97%	0.08458	-8.18%	0.0696	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.091015	-0.77%	0.084415	-7.96%	0.0777	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.090723	-0.67%	0.07593	-16.87%	0.1969	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.088838	-0.71%	0.08425	-5.83%	0.0675	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.086707	-0.77%	0.08541	-2.25%	0.0341	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.093557	-1.23%	0.085835	-9.39%	0.1342	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.10026	-1.88%	0.09025	-11.68%	0.1197	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.096571	-1.76%	0.09212	-6.29%	0.0640	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.101801	-2.08%	0.09172	-11.77%	0.1008	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.108658	-2.48%	0.091335	-18.03%	0.1830	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.08566	-1.60%	0.08947	+2.77%	0.0096	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.083615	-1.68%	0.08738	+2.75%	0.0226	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.093028	-1.92%	0.094725	-0.13%	0.0400	✗	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.090621	-1.88%	0.102185	+10.64%	0.1179	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.090275	-1.90%	0.098305	+6.83%	0.0755	✗	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.093084	-1.98%	0.10396	+9.48%	0.0880	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.098916	-2.28%	0.11142	+10.07%	0.0941	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.126278	-3.26%	0.087055	-33.31%	0.4138	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.097477	-2.72%	0.08504	-15.13%	0.2086	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.079586	-2.04%	0.09485	+16.75%	0.1075	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.07884	-2.24%	0.09236	+14.52%	0.1001	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.073298	-2.11%	0.09202	+22.90%	0.1820	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.065717	-1.93%	0.09496	+41.71%	0.3317	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.069613	-2.08%	0.101225	+42.39%	0.3480	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.081464	-2.34%	0.13053	+56.47%	0.4852	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.096657	-2.85%	0.1002	+0.71%	0.0831	✗	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.091861	-2.53%	0.081245	-13.79%	0.0778	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.091201	-2.74%	0.08065	-13.99%	0.0778	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.086096	-2.66%	0.074875	-15.35%	0.0863	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.094037	-3.88%	0.06701	-31.51%	0.2931	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.09123	-4.30%	0.07109	-25.43%	0.2076	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.075595	-2.83%	0.08342	+7.23%	0.1529	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.073997	-2.81%	0.09949	+30.68%	0.3429	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.075715	-3.64%	0.094245	+19.94%	0.2548	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.070036	-2.12%	0.09377	+31.06%	0.3293	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.068035	-1.54%	0.08845	+28.00%	0.2655	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.07322	-2.27%	0.097835	+30.59%	0.2908	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.071792	-1.82%	0.09533	+30.37%	0.2945	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.06257	-0.46%	0.077795	+23.76%	0.1771	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.064196	-0.70%	0.076135	+17.76%	0.1179	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.06414	-0.93%	0.078575	+21.37%	0.1596	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.068907	-1.74%	0.07155	+2.02%	0.0054	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.0658	-0.90%	0.0691	+4.07%	0.0020	✓	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.061873	-0.43%	0.07492	+20.57%	0.1581	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062587	-0.70%	0.07312	+16.01%	0.1589	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.069228	-1.31%	0.06286	-10.39%	0.0605	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.064471	-0.78%	0.06465	-0.51%	0.0865	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.070047	-1.69%	0.06474	-9.14%	0.0496	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.070197	-1.62%	0.07013	-1.71%	0.1678	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.075399	-2.05%	0.0664	-13.74%	0.0859	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.075101	-1.64%	0.06214	-18.61%	0.0137	✓	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.060934	+0.07%	0.06303	+3.51%	0.1973	✓	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.062236	+0.03%	0.07015	+12.75%	0.2920	✓	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.062195	+0.03%	0.06498	+4.51%	0.1996	✓	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.068386	-0.54%	0.07125	+3.63%	0.1309	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.068197	-0.44%	0.07135	+4.16%	0.0959	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.071624	-0.59%	0.076975	+6.84%	0.1152	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.071	-0.14%	0.07635	+7.38%	0.1039	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.082833	-1.39%	0.06089	-27.51%	0.2613	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.076238	-0.54%	0.062215	-18.83%	0.1665	✓	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.070965	+0.28%	0.062175	-12.14%	0.1218	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.071753	+0.37%	0.068755	-3.83%	0.0460	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.070843	+0.57%	0.0685	-2.75%	0.0288	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.075751	-0.05%	0.07205	-4.93%	0.0346	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.074955	+0.06%	0.0711	-5.09%	0.0124	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.085927	-1.14%	0.084	-3.36%	0.0047	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.087935	-1.01%	0.07665	-13.71%	0.1223	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.108268	-2.04%	0.07077	-35.97%	0.4087	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.102796	-1.85%	0.07149	-31.74%	0.3361	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.096692	-1.60%	0.07044	-28.31%	0.2859	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.095284	-1.02%	0.07579	-21.27%	0.2131	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.089797	-0.31%	0.07491	-16.84%	0.1744	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.091543	-0.45%	0.08692	-5.48%	0.0583	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.087862	-0.21%	0.08883	+0.89%	0.0272	✗	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.090151	-0.41%	0.11052	+22.09%	0.2069	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.094008	-0.75%	0.10473	+10.57%	0.0932	✗	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.097859	-1.11%	0.09826	-0.71%	0.0268	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.113976	-2.07%	0.09627	-17.29%	0.1836	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.108003	-1.98%	0.09008	-18.24%	0.1960	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.110167	-1.96%	0.091955	-18.17%	0.2112	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.126961	-2.26%	0.088045	-32.22%	0.4156	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.135188	-2.37%	0.09052	-34.63%	0.4595	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.133468	-2.55%	0.09472	-30.84%	0.3746	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.13063	-2.38%	0.09896	-26.04%	0.2762	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.131494	-2.36%	0.11639	-13.58%	0.1352	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.120007	-2.18%	0.11018	-10.19%	0.0954	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.132756	-2.26%	0.11237	-17.27%	0.1412	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.112395	-2.04%	0.12989	+13.20%	0.1766	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.127105	-2.71%	0.13847	+5.99%	0.0860	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.110956	-2.64%	0.136965	+20.19%	0.1910	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.084551	-1.91%	0.13381	+55.23%	0.3954	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.08945	-1.94%	0.134675	+47.64%	0.3842	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.119759	-2.83%	0.122685	-0.46%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.153391	-7.68%	0.13582	-18.25%	0.1623	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.083561	-2.31%	0.11474	+34.14%	0.2730	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.07365	-1.99%	0.13065	+73.86%	0.5444	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.064602	-1.67%	0.11396	+73.46%	0.5487	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.058869	-1.07%	0.0862	+44.86%	0.3389	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.054314	-0.68%	0.09122	+66.81%	0.4829	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.053559	-0.55%	0.12325	+128.86%	0.7788	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.053376	-0.40%	0.16615	+210.04%	1.0897	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.061398	-0.88%	0.085535	+38.09%	0.2801	✗	1.00