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2022-09-14 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2300
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.7%
in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7895-1.13%2.25+24.31%0.2534✗0.4656k2022-10-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.372-1.48%0.3071-18.67%0.1405✓0.96202k2022-10-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035547-2.10%0.03213-11.51%0.0631✓0.712,2982022-10-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.038261-2.15%0.0348-11.00%0.0560✓0.739,5132022-10-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.127403-2.37%0.1129-13.49%0.0931✓0.5283k2022-10-14
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.060136-2.45%0.064+3.82%0.0851✗0.43129k2022-10-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7719,724.20-2.49%19,178.00-5.19%0.0252✓1.00480.9M2022-10-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.092768-2.66%0.1617+69.67%0.5962✗0.762,9132022-10-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.7645-2.73%1.454-19.85%0.1078✓1.6160k2022-10-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0019,702.81-2.75%19,147.40-5.49%0.0198✓0.9113k2022-10-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.059414-2.80%0.058661-4.03%0.0367✗0.931.1M2022-10-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.500102-2.80%0.40748-20.80%0.1250✓1.5039k2022-10-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.068908-2.81%0.05883-17.02%0.1068✓0.9625k2022-10-14
ZENHorizenBase15.114.6699-2.85%12.32-18.41%0.1126✓1.1675k2022-10-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.191826-2.87%0.17-13.92%0.0700✓0.95130k2022-10-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.158725-3.04%0.1465-10.51%0.0212✓1.111,5602022-10-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.203326-3.13%0.1539-26.68%0.2489✓0.5666k2022-10-14
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9281.2581-3.17%72.83-13.21%0.0325✓1.446.2M2022-10-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.258.2757-3.20%51.32-14.75%0.0770✓0.9414.4M2022-10-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.51e-7-3.32%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0245✓0.7015k2022-10-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.823066-3.34%0.8303-2.49%0.0815✗1.3789k2022-10-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.42819-3.34%0.302-31.83%0.2861✓1.184,5592022-10-14
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.041285-3.34%0.037936-11.19%0.0365✓0.9028k2022-10-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.25996-3.36%0.21178-21.27%0.1600✓0.8415k2022-10-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.841186-3.39%0.741825-14.80%0.0815✓0.8347k2022-10-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.143637-3.40%0.1493+0.40%0.0983✗1.128922022-10-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.101533-3.49%0.112512+6.94%0.1482✗0.866.5M2022-10-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.01996-3.54%0.017637-14.77%0.0891✓0.6512k2022-10-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.7023-3.62%4.4399-8.99%0.0518✓0.11135k2022-10-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.035271-3.63%0.0315-13.93%0.0597✓1.0093k2022-10-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.31093-3.68%0.34725+7.57%0.1516✗0.77326k2022-10-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.041396-3.73%0.0338-21.40%0.1414✓1.15546k2022-10-14
QNTQuantEthereum99.0595.3438-3.74%165.76+67.35%0.5998✗0.883.5M2022-10-14
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.462803-3.78%0.3667-23.76%0.1822✓0.9536.8M2022-10-14
XMRMoneroMonero149.8144.1131-3.80%140.46-6.23%0.0267✓0.981.5M2022-10-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.7881-3.81%3.062-22.24%0.1864✓0.492.1M2022-10-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,576.54-3.82%1,296.36-20.91%0.1268✓1.29569.9M2022-10-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.58846-3.85%0.56-8.50%0.0040✓1.01178k2022-10-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.058304-3.95%0.0667+9.88%0.1912✗1.0677k2022-10-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.39-4.03%14.99-17.27%0.1093✓0.741.4M2022-10-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.046735-4.03%0.0366-24.85%0.1887✓1.05177k2022-10-14
ZECZcashZcash61.9659.4529-4.05%49.94-19.40%0.1175✓1.071.1M2022-10-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.055823-4.08%0.0541-7.04%0.0096✓0.7782k2022-10-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.011684-4.10%0.01404+15.24%0.2300✗0.87851k2022-10-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1092.9812-4.11%2.739-11.90%0.0678✓0.32676k2022-10-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9454-4.12%1.522-24.99%0.1850✓1.1327k2022-10-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36650.1784-4.18%49.267-5.92%0.0270✓0.85221k2022-10-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001491-4.20%0.001483-4.69%0.0346✓0.75340k2022-10-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.4738-4.20%4.51-3.43%0.0515✗0.82808k2022-10-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.3688.9734-4.21%9.765+4.24%0.1297✗0.851.2M2022-10-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.1951-4.22%3.43-21.69%0.1740✓0.511.4M2022-10-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.130548-4.23%0.12084-11.36%0.0170✓1.13146k2022-10-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7313-4.29%1.5603-13.74%0.0461✓1.0928k2022-10-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011227-4.30%0.009888-15.71%0.0737✓1.007452022-10-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.011836-4.32%0.00989-20.05%0.1473✓0.61233k2022-10-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.311836-4.38%0.29045-10.93%0.0166✓1.0233k2022-10-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.711652-4.39%0.62338-16.25%0.0760✓1.06584k2022-10-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.5909-4.39%1.533-7.87%0.0092✓0.87578k2022-10-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.363232-4.42%0.38981+2.57%0.1214✗0.9529k2022-10-14
GTGateEthereum4.30854.1167-4.45%4.3878+1.84%0.1006✗0.69696k2022-10-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.858537-4.46%0.7535-16.15%0.0669✓1.19874k2022-10-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.29569-4.49%0.2572-16.93%0.0905✓0.9289k2022-10-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.524.3529-4.50%23.45-8.04%0.0158✓1.016.8M2022-10-14
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.3139-4.52%3.003-33.53%0.3089✓1.001.4M2022-10-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.875558-4.52%0.866-5.56%0.0461✓1.071.5M2022-10-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.466226-4.52%0.4145-15.11%0.0642✓1.00366k2022-10-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.063715-4.53%0.05449-18.35%0.1060✓0.958692022-10-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.0371-4.55%6.54-22.33%0.1779✓0.532.4M2022-10-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.022179-4.57%0.02065-11.14%0.0145✓1.072,9142022-10-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.087225-4.57%0.0798-12.69%0.0446✓0.8310k2022-10-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.09632.954-4.60%2.6157-15.52%0.0682✓1.0019k2022-10-14
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000044014-4.65%0.00003692-20.02%0.1316✓0.833.5M2022-10-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.052715-4.68%0.0532-3.80%0.0465✓0.70234k2022-10-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.5917-4.68%2.07-23.87%0.1445✓1.512.9M2022-10-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.6533-4.70%2.9723-22.47%0.1734✓0.626.3M2022-10-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.4858-4.74%9.9729-17.29%0.0916✓0.9321k2022-10-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.968864-4.74%0.909812-10.55%0.0203✓0.8039k2022-10-14
STXStacksnative0.35220.335381-4.78%0.2998-14.88%0.0558✓1.06298k2022-10-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.119191-4.80%0.1172-6.39%0.0383✓1.032.6M2022-10-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.179782-4.83%0.1475-21.92%0.1435✓1.0286k2022-10-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.410187-4.83%0.386-10.44%0.0033✓1.087,9852022-10-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.597548-4.85%0.523-16.72%0.0773✓1.053.2M2022-10-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.0045-4.86%4.86-22.99%0.1612✓0.944.3M2022-10-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.279508-4.89%0.244239-16.89%0.0803✓1.02430k2022-10-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1825.8776-4.92%6.285+1.67%0.1382✗1.346.9M2022-10-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.771723-4.93%0.74011-8.83%0.0012✓0.7613k2022-10-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.208607-4.96%0.2237+1.91%0.1177✗0.90504k2022-10-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.254688-4.97%0.229-14.55%0.0662✓0.75512k2022-10-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.109-4.97%0.961-17.65%0.0954✓0.901.1M2022-10-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.00533-4.99%0.00482-14.08%0.0674✓0.62911k2022-10-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016286-5.02%0.013974-18.50%0.0998✓1.001,0682022-10-14
XVGVergenative0.003370.003198-5.11%0.00305-9.50%0.0002✓0.88483k2022-10-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1266-5.24%1.4654+23.26%0.3193✗1.061.2M2022-10-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.1271-5.24%15.67-18.09%0.0745✓1.3317.5M2022-10-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.270021-5.26%0.2031-28.74%0.2308✓1.0172k2022-10-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.321523-5.27%0.2801-17.47%0.0848✓1.0079k2022-10-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.318769-5.30%0.2521-25.10%0.1767✓1.0972k2022-10-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0475-5.30%3.92-26.45%0.2283✓0.462.4M2022-10-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005658-5.31%0.0079+32.21%0.3660✗0.611,9622022-10-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.25726-5.38%0.2484-8.64%0.0168✓0.972.7M2022-10-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.040765-5.42%0.03705-14.04%0.0541✓0.7814k2022-10-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.458997-5.42%0.3733-23.08%0.1640✓0.80396k2022-10-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6913.8929-5.43%19.69+34.04%0.3949✗0.871.9M2022-10-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.053-5.43%6.89-7.62%0.0340✓1.0818.0M2022-10-14
DASHDashDash45.5843.1044-5.43%40.19-11.83%0.0144✓1.04299k2022-10-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3332-5.44%1.7+20.57%0.2329✗-0.19113k2022-10-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.480152-5.48%0.42-17.32%0.0712✓1.1870k2022-10-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.4452-5.55%8.44-15.60%0.0437✓1.29288k2022-10-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.3099-5.56%1.532+10.45%0.2185✗1.1643k2022-10-14
SOLSolanaSolana34.1232.2212-5.57%29.99-12.10%0.0090✓1.1852.2M2022-10-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.132093-5.58%0.1151-17.73%0.0847✓1.00119k2022-10-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.596632-5.60%0.528-16.46%0.0690✓1.00114k2022-10-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99113.2563-5.61%107.52-10.39%0.0071✓1.114.3M2022-10-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.5404-5.62%4.45-24.19%0.1921✓0.512.1M2022-10-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.038172-5.64%0.035376-12.55%0.0453✓0.5824k2022-10-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9101-5.64%1.5821-21.85%0.1298✓1.1013k2022-10-14
KSMKusamaHydration47.5844.8883-5.66%39.92-16.10%0.0665✓0.95363k2022-10-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001443-5.71%0.001262-17.52%0.0924✓0.785,8832022-10-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,458.58-5.72%1,258.83-18.63%0.0940✓1.003.3M2022-10-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003666-5.77%0.00322-17.22%0.0805✓0.9289k2022-10-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.089423-5.87%0.0968+1.89%0.1320✗0.99319k2022-10-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1564-5.88%1.0714-12.80%0.0207✓1.04844k2022-10-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.019389-5.88%0.01992-3.30%0.0765✗0.939.2M2022-10-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.101238-5.91%0.0958-10.97%0.0111✓0.83188k2022-10-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.043738-5.94%0.0313-32.69%0.2902✓0.83142k2022-10-14
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.1431-6.00%0.719-40.87%0.3801✓1.572.7M2022-10-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.284997-6.00%0.3174+4.68%0.1574✗0.935.9M2022-10-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.064616-6.03%0.06559-4.61%0.0256✓0.20351k2022-10-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0059-6.04%0.814-23.97%0.1332✓1.474.5M2022-10-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007561-6.07%0.00585-27.33%0.1962✓1.13463k2022-10-14
METISMetisEthereum27.5825.8977-6.10%24.63-10.70%0.0317✓1.54155k2022-10-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.870959-6.15%0.827-10.88%0.0269✓0.472.5M2022-10-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.4843-6.20%10.81-18.78%0.0859✓1.09874k2022-10-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.024346-6.20%0.024857-4.24%0.0184✓-0.04485k2022-10-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.106725-6.22%0.0686-39.72%0.4170✓0.47182k2022-10-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.11698-6.34%0.1189-4.80%0.0749✗1.101.4M2022-10-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.005921-6.39%0.0058-8.30%0.0034✓0.3229k2022-10-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000011411-6.39%0.00001019-16.41%0.0621✓0.96951k2022-10-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.1886-6.41%4.1388-25.34%0.2209✓0.109.6M2022-10-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2086.7458-6.41%6.044-16.15%0.0543✓1.049.9M2022-10-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002688-6.42%0.002103-26.78%0.1967✓0.911.2M2022-10-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.769404-6.56%0.6293-23.57%0.1430✓1.09920k2022-10-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.032154-6.58%0.02697-21.64%0.1194✓1.0629k2022-10-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.3582-6.64%3.784-34.07%0.3208✓0.513.1M2022-10-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.3683-6.67%1.404-4.23%0.0851✗1.1168k2022-10-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.4272-6.67%12.749+14.12%0.2198✗0.3515.8M2022-10-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.9032-6.71%1.59-22.06%0.1117✓1.28226k2022-10-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.056056-6.73%0.0525-12.65%0.0004✓1.22608k2022-10-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.138209-6.74%0.1319-11.00%0.0033✓0.94322k2022-10-14
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.20e-7-6.76%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0116✓0.691.7M2022-10-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.378582-6.80%0.3242-20.19%0.0945✓1.1466k2022-10-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.4343-6.87%2.169-17.02%0.0709✓0.83464k2022-10-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.4297-6.92%1.501-2.28%0.0856✗0.6929k2022-10-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.0007-6.96%3.774-12.23%0.0093✓0.92223k2022-10-14
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0955.8791-7.01%54.51-9.29%0.0328✓1.088,4972022-10-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.196919-7.07%0.1796-15.24%0.0433✓0.9257k2022-10-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.9452-7.09%0.9771-3.95%0.0571✓0.452.8M2022-10-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.007888-7.20%0.00513-39.65%0.3828✓0.893.3M2022-10-14
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.297689-7.23%0.292-9.01%0.0316✓0.957782022-10-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2336-7.25%1.04-21.80%0.1187✓0.9856k2022-10-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.151624-7.25%0.13698-16.21%0.0472✓1.02262k2022-10-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001136-7.28%0.0008958-26.87%0.1962✓0.772.1M2022-10-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.625673-7.32%0.5741-14.96%0.0058✓1.50194k2022-10-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.1778-7.33%1.93-17.87%0.0890✓0.60200k2022-10-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.475264-7.36%0.431-15.98%0.0382✓1.1266k2022-10-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.382455-7.39%0.3101-24.91%0.1573✓0.98379k2022-10-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.5126-7.43%5.068-14.90%0.0326✓0.975.9M2022-10-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.7926-7.50%0.9248-52.28%0.6260✓0.671.5M2022-10-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.1627-7.50%1.054-16.15%0.0347✓1.19303k2022-10-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.189121-7.52%0.1348-34.08%0.2975✓0.7730k2022-10-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97412.919-7.55%11.643-16.68%0.0389✓1.2220.3M2022-10-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.25.7281-7.61%5.59-9.84%0.0014✓0.432.1M2022-10-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.1411-7.66%3.7821-15.67%0.0206✓1.31118k2022-10-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.7043-7.69%3.032-24.45%0.1820✓0.342.0M2022-10-14
FLOWFlownative1.8681.7193-7.96%1.48-20.77%0.0781✓1.35967k2022-10-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.018775-8.05%0.01711-16.21%0.0631✓0.56173k2022-10-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.5084-8.07%5.78-18.36%0.0631✓1.04210k2022-10-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,450.80-8.08%7,558.88-17.78%0.0407✓1.334.0M2022-10-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.176278-8.38%0.1801-6.39%0.0694✓0.903.1M2022-10-14
PROPropyEthereum0.720.658629-8.52%0.54-25.00%0.1871✓0.2242k2022-10-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9815.5229-8.58%14.25-16.08%0.0564✓0.55384k2022-10-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3735.976-8.62%23.13-41.25%0.3613✓1.5110.6M2022-10-14
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.4708-8.67%1.3651-15.23%0.0208✓1.01236k2022-10-14
HIVEHivenative0.55510.504948-9.03%0.4831-12.97%0.0141✓0.57836k2022-10-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000272401-9.32%0.00027202-9.45%0.0006✓0.012.4M2022-10-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.4354-9.41%4.5087-24.85%0.1735✓0.2512.5M2022-10-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.102006-9.57%0.0853-24.38%0.1109✓1.272.4M2022-10-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.5855-10.12%4.517-11.47%0.0503✓1.236.4M2022-10-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-75.85e-7-11.01%4.84e-7-26.38%0.1474✓0.792.1M2022-10-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.053799-11.06%0.05442-10.03%0.0746✓1.181.1M2022-10-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.