XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · lstm_s5

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1093

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0575

actual -0.0280

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.290267	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.289377	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.286377	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.274506	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.274103	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.273643	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.285976	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.283397	-9.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.279811	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.29341	-9.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.274469	-9.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.293902	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.273471	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.27261	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.265639	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.287312	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.30835	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.312368	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.306792	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.299328	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.294236	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.302516	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.294029	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.289885	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.290228	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.295611	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.300994	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.303144	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.302227	-8.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.298062	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.318959	-8.23%	0.31645	-8.95%	0.0162	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.313345	-7.76%	0.31537	-7.17%	0.0378	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.321479	-8.07%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0529	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.331981	-9.53%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1083	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.274072	-7.26%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0758	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.236733	-7.05%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1727	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.235542	-7.13%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.2205	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.231651	-7.14%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.2090	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.254345	-6.78%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1518	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.262662	-7.42%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.1233	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.248357	-6.55%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.1384	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.236232	-5.81%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.2280	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.238287	-5.90%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1467	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.249165	-5.50%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.1246	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.238606	-4.42%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1485	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.228553	-2.82%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2564	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.237418	-1.44%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2704	✗	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.235329	-1.46%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2803	✗	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.228249	-0.89%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2825	✗	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.230027	+0.60%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2922	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.212964	-2.23%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2891	✗	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.210619	-1.75%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.3272	✗	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.212088	-0.36%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3302	✗	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.210072	-0.40%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.3118	✗	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.221608	+0.89%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2737	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.22197	+0.58%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2788	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.237735	+2.99%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2678	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.23303	+2.23%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2848	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.229205	+2.50%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2868	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.237505	+3.20%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2381	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.240532	+2.32%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2511	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.237282	+2.09%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2270	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.250139	+3.71%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2952	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.21655	-2.27%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.4092	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.204259	-4.87%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1916	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.18895	-5.58%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.1051	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.188098	-5.66%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.1042	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.183415	-5.84%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0906	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.186056	-6.01%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1303	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.18478	-5.99%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1947	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.184955	-5.99%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1292	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.182814	-5.90%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0836	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.183216	-5.81%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.1059	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.187031	-5.80%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.1061	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.190654	-5.74%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0458	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.195947	-5.81%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0500	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.190446	-5.46%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0181	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.189779	-5.46%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0261	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.186531	-5.16%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0391	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.187874	-5.14%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.0877	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.192414	-5.40%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1151	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.189542	-5.32%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1190	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.188012	-5.39%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1482	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.189806	-5.61%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1518	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.194244	-5.46%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1102	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.192911	-5.46%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1043	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.195523	-5.51%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1097	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.196042	-5.48%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1100	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.210628	-5.64%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1540	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.210837	-5.78%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1496	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.21504	-5.80%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1333	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.22149	-5.84%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1460	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.21526	-5.32%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.0850	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.217218	-4.99%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.0893	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.216628	-5.07%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.0804	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.212344	-4.92%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0593	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.21435	-4.86%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.0666	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.211894	-4.67%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0646	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.210165	-4.67%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0459	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.216401	-4.90%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.0646	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.219645	-5.28%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.0818	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.208048	-5.70%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.0899	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.213283	-5.99%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.0882	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.216478	-6.23%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.0890	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.220999	-6.27%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1014	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.220643	-6.27%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.0898	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.226248	-6.35%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.1648	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.23897	-5.98%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.1913	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.237218	-5.34%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.1983	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.240936	-5.03%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2046	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.228078	-4.62%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1215	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.233928	-4.65%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.1735	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.20442	-4.65%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0505	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.199479	-4.89%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0425	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.192297	-4.98%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0419	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.201764	-4.70%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0528	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.200335	-4.78%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0431	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.202819	-4.62%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0427	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.206226	-4.52%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0120	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.203324	-4.43%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0168	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.206236	-4.10%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0475	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.212649	-3.77%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0594	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.220137	-3.57%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0034	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.220722	-3.61%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0198	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.228928	-3.44%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0197	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.235816	-3.56%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.0749	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.222785	-3.58%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0213	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.236507	-3.51%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0528	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.236444	-3.42%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0393	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.233064	-3.42%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0011	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.230996	-3.57%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0154	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.229596	-3.63%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0036	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.225774	-3.53%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0015	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.226085	-3.55%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0174	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.220136	-3.16%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0232	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.229166	-3.63%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0015	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.235441	-4.17%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0397	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.23489	-4.32%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0786	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.234966	-3.89%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0108	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.233919	-3.84%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0380	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.263202	-5.33%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.0851	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.279916	-5.56%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1092	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.278046	-5.52%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.1800	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.299755	-5.74%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.1946	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.3093	-5.69%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2102	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.312806	-5.81%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2066	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.288758	-5.22%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1278	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.293342	-5.31%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1390	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.301245	-5.45%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1427	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.313195	-5.59%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.1770	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.315913	-5.37%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1656	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.316578	-5.56%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1689	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.325135	-5.81%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.1892	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.315084	-5.82%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1597	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.328854	-5.95%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1589	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.320758	-5.94%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.0925	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.31394	-5.99%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1283	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.321684	-5.93%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1132	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.320875	-5.67%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1232	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.337055	-5.69%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.1892	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.344771	-5.53%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.1982	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.358003	-5.27%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2003	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.353788	-5.63%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2161	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.363934	-5.46%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2330	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.377212	-5.07%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2591	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.381106	-4.85%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2224	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.366996	-5.12%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.1897	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.37339	-5.35%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2179	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.357229	-4.85%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1462	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.366667	-4.28%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.1695	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.358973	-4.27%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0376	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.346719	-4.19%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0424	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.345864	-4.67%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0148	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.34869	-4.81%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0039	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.347805	-5.00%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0039	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.344583	-5.67%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0060	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.349636	-5.77%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1084	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.362548	-5.81%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1230	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.358615	-5.23%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.0815	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.354451	-4.38%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0321	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.351735	-4.80%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0474	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.354374	-4.83%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0498	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.358826	-4.17%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0192	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.355958	-4.40%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0287	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.347473	-5.23%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0082	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.347067	-5.28%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0373	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.334285	-5.60%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0385	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.346347	-5.14%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0278	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.361028	-4.96%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.0634	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.35568	-5.57%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0319	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.342437	-5.12%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0113	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.329167	-4.92%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0539	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.337363	-4.97%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0464	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.322505	-5.67%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0538	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.334676	-5.41%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0650	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.338195	-5.72%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0561	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.33238	-5.93%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0408	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.330742	-6.01%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0615	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.339549	-5.99%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0010	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.321449	-5.91%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0159	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.32413	-5.99%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0056	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.326943	-6.27%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0634	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.327598	-6.33%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0524	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.321648	-6.09%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0268	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.330004	-6.20%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0307	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.33069	-6.16%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0094	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.32546	-6.15%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0073	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.32019	-5.77%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0406	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.326016	-5.80%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0025	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.329486	-5.78%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0499	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.346478	-6.36%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0546	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.362779	-6.72%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.0548	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.371041	-7.26%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.0932	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.364559	-7.37%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.0756	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.35066	-7.38%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.0715	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.358568	-7.70%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.0727	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.372	-7.77%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.0943	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.360525	-7.42%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.0651	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.365234	-7.16%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0376	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.37034	-6.67%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0006	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.374398	-6.56%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0361	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.361497	-6.57%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.0613	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.353067	-6.62%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0381	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.349149	-6.47%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0183	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.344736	-6.35%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0094	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.342224	-6.24%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0083	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.340502	-6.25%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.339326	-6.60%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.334697	-6.80%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0110	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.33685	-6.87%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0097	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.344426	-7.14%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0121	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.356219	-7.33%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0317	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.362006	-7.32%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0490	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.34945	-7.11%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0021	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.349762	-6.93%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0168	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.346454	-6.64%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0213	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.358674	-6.72%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0301	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.35799	-6.60%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.0537	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.365108	-6.86%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0354	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.368672	-6.90%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0276	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.344419	-5.92%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0005	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.347377	-5.85%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.356528	-5.94%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0726	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.365242	-6.02%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0320	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.368808	-6.01%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0283	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.361337	-5.59%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0438	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.363787	-5.46%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0432	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.373316	-5.49%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.377389	-5.48%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0073	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.376801	-5.33%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0210	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.398679	-5.79%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0659	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.384558	-5.37%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0509	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.379296	-5.21%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.0778	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.374236	-5.05%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0595	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.381949	-5.09%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0619	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.389375	-5.19%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0662	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.391486	-5.05%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0704	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.400806	-4.97%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.0862	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.40882	-4.89%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.381659	-3.01%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1263	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.440682	-5.77%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.0973	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.445347	-5.87%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0799	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.449384	-6.14%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0565	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.438759	-4.99%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0326	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.442673	-5.05%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0212	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.472966	-6.45%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0160	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.475507	-6.51%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0317	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.500427	-6.64%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0535	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.531422	-6.88%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0064	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.525082	-7.13%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0060	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.519784	-7.54%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0283	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.539913	-7.68%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0395	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.544126	-7.65%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0670	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.535237	-7.69%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0314	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.548927	-7.63%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0476	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.510756	-7.52%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0045	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.564865	-7.46%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0654	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.541653	-7.27%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0040	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.55791	-7.31%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0242	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.572814	-7.45%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0491	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.541202	-7.03%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0564	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.537612	-6.99%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0545	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.547073	-7.62%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0501	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.510958	-7.90%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0406	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.522549	-8.16%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0151	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.534171	-8.17%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.532096	-8.24%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0114	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.537675	-8.40%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0389	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.520579	-8.24%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.1222	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.548913	-8.33%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1488	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.514725	-8.02%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.2047	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.499725	-8.11%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1752	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.489115	-8.08%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1488	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.485971	-8.03%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.1389	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.466934	-7.78%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1428	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.455808	-7.88%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1507	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.474273	-8.35%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.1230	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.452616	-7.86%	0.536	+9.12%	0.1418	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.461056	-7.75%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1970	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.450179	-7.14%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.2221	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.440027	-7.44%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2546	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.41637	-6.22%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.3151	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.416965	-6.00%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.3218	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.417698	-5.95%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.3015	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.417038	-5.84%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3438	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.413252	-5.82%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2943	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.423978	-6.12%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.3096	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.417181	-5.91%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2653	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.406118	-5.71%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2680	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.415935	-5.71%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2769	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.432898	-6.08%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1974	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.433078	-6.24%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1530	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.445538	-6.77%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1920	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.46468	-7.36%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1653	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.458739	-6.80%	0.569	+15.60%	0.2077	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.471675	-6.82%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.2374	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.463584	-6.10%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2434	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.469085	-5.90%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2455	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.464866	-5.65%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1910	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.449447	-5.06%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2444	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.455781	-5.09%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1453	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.45459	-4.86%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1509	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.47191	-4.80%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1395	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.479166	-4.70%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1433	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.464159	-4.43%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.1209	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.449008	-4.45%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0798	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.463076	-4.27%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1393	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.471398	-4.32%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0942	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.482233	-4.46%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0788	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.487025	-4.60%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0452	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.486236	-4.64%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0234	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.484432	-4.70%	0.444	-12.65%	0.0848	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.480609	-4.69%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0702	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.46641	-4.56%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0584	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.464394	-4.50%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1080	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.475137	-4.60%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1354	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.483253	-4.84%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.0955	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.505342	-5.46%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0772	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.513623	-5.85%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0566	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.498361	-5.88%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0272	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.515962	-6.42%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0131	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.531824	-7.15%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0031	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.515399	-7.29%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0236	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.523455	-7.74%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.1069	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.537329	-7.93%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0918	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.546473	-7.87%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0857	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.578174	-7.77%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0527	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.581017	-7.41%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0314	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.602227	-7.46%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0108	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.637687	-8.47%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.0961	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.550408	-8.07%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0455	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.502005	-6.20%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1824	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.488747	-5.77%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1639	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.503635	-5.44%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.2114	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.547314	-5.64%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1859	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.546149	-5.56%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2399	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.548383	-5.49%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1844	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.535605	-5.24%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1994	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.557137	-5.54%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.2057	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.560475	-5.25%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2563	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.56991	-5.06%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2715	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.581311	-5.39%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.3131	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.57236	-5.52%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2680	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.571142	-5.35%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2559	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.564067	-5.08%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2905	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.554071	-4.92%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2872	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.557054	-4.97%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2850	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.567778	-5.10%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2647	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.56535	-5.28%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2280	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.555683	-5.27%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.2066	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.547681	-5.20%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.2112	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.563695	-5.48%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2237	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.573916	-5.67%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2333	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.591407	-5.96%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1698	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.616997	-6.23%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1531	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.593914	-5.90%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1787	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.547806	-5.58%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.2051	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.532911	-5.46%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2883	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.635755	-6.21%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2696	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.644512	-6.04%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3290	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.637451	-6.18%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1940	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.675625	-5.80%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0250	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.672594	-5.88%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0189	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.653973	-5.71%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0089	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.677124	-5.86%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0121	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.669892	-5.97%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0173	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.660003	-6.13%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0140	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.628212	-6.05%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0306	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.629257	-6.04%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0077	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.630584	-6.41%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0736	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.625553	-6.70%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1028	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.632731	-6.99%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.0971	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.61234	-6.85%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0480	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.645114	-7.60%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0348	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.645328	-7.75%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0555	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.643809	-7.90%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0270	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.688565	-8.24%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0679	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.696959	-8.40%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.0831	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.692527	-8.38%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0535	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.726248	-8.28%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.0805	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.