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2022-09-12 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2474
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.5%
in alpha space · 90.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.00025991-13.36%0.00028659-4.47%0.1399✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.356763-12.84%0.2554-37.60%0.2069✓0.8189k2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3410.7812-12.63%13.627+10.43%0.2930✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66046.7949-11.30%4.8842-36.24%0.2909✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.68e-7-10.84%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1441✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4534.4335-10.45%23.79-38.13%0.1232✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.2755-10.41%4.2544-39.27%0.3730✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.058126-10.22%0.05596-13.56%0.1575✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5565.8891-10.17%5.147-21.49%0.0170✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.0926-9.54%3.802-15.96%0.0738✓0.94273k2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2316.6193-8.84%14.98-17.83%0.0203✓0.53396k2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9327.3554-8.60%24.34-18.68%0.1439✗1.66159k2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.1729-8.55%3.0801-32.50%0.2076✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1021.9255-8.40%1.558-25.88%0.0102✓1.42967k2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.2974-7.99%1.1-21.99%0.0010✓1.0668k2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.3078-7.87%11.739-24.41%0.0027✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.185693-7.80%0.1899-5.71%0.1765✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.426.8454-7.74%5.66-23.72%0.0185✓1.10224k2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.4466-7.45%1.454-6.97%0.1969✗1.2343k2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.119161-7.34%0.0876-31.88%0.1116✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.408898-7.13%0.30131-31.56%0.1516✓0.98379k2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.1792-6.93%0.747-41.04%0.1912✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,076.66-6.92%7,877.53-19.22%0.0802✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.201657-6.81%0.128-40.85%0.3373✓0.7526k2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3037-6.72%1.0849-22.37%0.0143✓1.08922k2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.061054-6.65%0.0544-16.82%0.0751✗1.22563k2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.0353-6.46%2.859-11.90%0.0016✓0.37676k2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.107205-6.29%0.067-41.43%0.3763✓0.60188k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.1568-6.10%4.714-14.17%0.1291✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.0085-6.08%0.0055-39.23%0.2876✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.697152-6.03%0.628-15.35%0.1367✗1.54210k2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001244-5.99%0.0009175-30.67%0.1750✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0595-5.96%1.67-23.74%0.0101✓1.27227k2022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.019788-5.86%0.01798-14.46%0.0010✓0.61191k2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.3922-5.82%11.54-18.85%0.0368✓1.19925k2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.4295-5.82%6.78-24.25%0.1255✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.81404-5.76%0.6656-22.95%0.0174✓1.17946k2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3209-5.66%1.91-22.36%0.0996✓0.61261k2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6007-5.64%2.24-18.72%0.0192✓0.83523k2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.0205-5.63%4.67-26.80%0.1718✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,524.65-5.61%1,254.87-22.31%0.0382✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.2753-5.59%17.14+13.36%0.3396✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.689451-5.55%0.54-26.03%0.2067✓0.2444k2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0301-5.52%1.672-22.19%0.0175✓1.1313k2022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.6705-5.49%14.49-12.61%0.0440✓0.781.5M2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.633802-5.40%0.556-17.01%0.0358✓1.07111k2022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.955699-5.38%0.873-13.56%0.0266✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.021614-5.20%0.02101-7.85%0.1385✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5393-5.10%1.463-9.80%0.0641✗0.7329k2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.022811-5.09%0.024833+3.32%0.0989✗0.09465k2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.540076-5.08%0.457-19.68%0.0122✓1.1466k2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.282849-4.96%0.2122-28.70%0.1183✓1.0874k2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003396-4.87%0.00312-12.61%0.0701✗0.99483k2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.2879-4.74%1.105-18.27%0.0467✓1.28323k2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.020981-4.71%0.018543-15.78%0.0265✓0.6212k2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.0421-4.62%3.141-25.88%0.1706✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.853537-4.61%0.8317-7.05%0.2194✗1.5789k2022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.169149-4.60%0.14279-19.47%0.0002✓1.08271k2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.15666-4.59%0.1486-9.50%0.1526✗1.319132022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.070638-4.54%0.06929-6.36%0.0018✓0.13378k2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8101-4.51%2.065-29.83%0.0653✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.183036-4.47%0.1135-40.76%0.4561✓0.1483k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.6484-4.41%3.8083-21.69%0.0344✓1.49122k2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.370782-4.41%0.3107-19.90%0.0093✓1.07314k2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.338786-4.39%0.28328-20.06%0.0101✓1.0833k2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.335988-4.39%0.2656-24.42%0.0518✓1.1772k2022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.0945-4.24%0.8202-28.24%0.0467✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004023-4.22%0.00336-20.00%0.0326✓0.94103k2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8328-4.16%1.0233-46.49%0.4504✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.519953-4.07%0.428-21.03%0.0036✓1.2277k2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.007997-4.00%0.00592-28.93%0.1166✓1.18428k2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.5905-3.99%1.3516-18.41%0.0032✓1.06241k2022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.038414-3.97%0.03373-15.68%0.0209✓0.702,2982022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000044147-3.97%0.00003798-17.38%0.0126✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4635.9822-3.94%31.16-16.82%0.0476✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.148668-3.90%0.1346-12.99%0.0590✗1.01336k2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.4745-3.88%1.389-9.45%0.1165✗1.1371k2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.3668-3.84%23.36-17.92%0.0007✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.493464-3.79%0.3722-27.43%0.1480✓0.86396k2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.558262-3.78%0.5112-11.89%0.0085✓0.62836k2022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.64667-3.77%0.549-18.30%0.0144✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.049372-3.76%0.0392-23.59%0.0485✓1.16178k2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001591-3.66%0.001361-17.57%0.0496✓0.685,8832022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.136912-3.66%0.12114-14.76%0.0671✗1.21151k2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006006-3.65%0.00603-3.27%0.0619✗0.3730k2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.12981-3.63%0.1193-11.43%0.0853✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.224-3.58%1.1675-8.03%0.1315✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.197973-3.57%0.1515-26.21%0.0920✓1.12108k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.047457-3.54%0.0357-27.44%0.1006✓1.18546k2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2150.3806-3.50%40.13-23.14%0.0665✓1.03363k2022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9174-3.45%3.153-38.09%0.2879✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.8944-3.45%1.5946-18.73%0.0035✓1.1223k2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.743-3.45%4.066-31.64%0.2447✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.281716-3.42%0.2577-11.66%0.0698✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60952.7666-3.37%48.073-11.97%0.0454✗0.88264k2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.8755-3.36%4.1434-17.87%0.1527✓0.06119k2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.284514-3.33%0.21464-27.07%0.1404✓0.9015k2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7352.9122-3.32%55.48+1.37%0.2465✗1.278,6412022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.4413-3.27%6.054-9.09%0.1579✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.127646-3.22%0.1178-10.69%0.1041✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.036099-3.22%0.02798-24.99%0.0888✓1.0635k2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.972228-3.21%0.9569-4.74%0.0734✗0.572.6M2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4815.9643-3.13%12.49-24.21%0.0493✓1.2579k2022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012483-3.09%0.00001016-21.12%0.0474✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.387447-3.08%0.3906-2.29%0.1667✗1.0131k2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2396-3.08%1.022-20.09%0.0469✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.178248-3.07%0.147-20.07%0.0126✓1.151,7442022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.2764-3.07%10.3905-17.96%0.0071✓1.0221k2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1745.7271-3.06%41.74-11.51%0.0763✗1.07312k2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.479721-3.05%0.4253-14.05%0.0607✗1.16384k2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.486232-3.03%0.3813-23.95%0.0857✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.313975-3.00%0.3135-3.15%0.1523✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.310808-3.00%0.252468-21.21%0.0536✓0.99471k2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.4361-2.97%6.173-19.45%0.0033✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.5115-2.96%5.67-15.50%0.0612✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.430494-2.95%0.3394-23.49%0.0534✓1.1875k2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1725-2.95%4.06-23.83%0.1413✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4159.6637-2.84%52.23-14.95%0.0303✗1.0414.0M2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003019-2.80%0.002075-33.19%0.2320✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.08897-2.76%0.0807-11.80%0.0565✗0.9814k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.325441-2.74%0.28-16.32%0.0126✓1.0482k2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.200674-2.73%0.1782-13.62%0.0516✗1.09135k2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.772928-2.68%0.64761-18.46%0.0001✓1.13624k2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.099953-2.67%0.1026-0.10%0.1849✗1.01336k2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8834-2.67%1.505-22.22%0.0438✗1.7160k2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.94425-2.65%0.833-14.12%0.0606✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.05841-2.65%0.0499-16.83%0.0248✓0.8590k2022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77159.4839-2.62%144.74-11.62%0.0543✗0.971.4M2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.745-2.61%5.07-26.80%0.1291✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.1738-2.60%3.305-22.87%0.1759✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7121,836.68-2.53%19,155.92-14.49%0.0256✗1.00480.9M2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.268204-2.47%0.234-14.91%0.0157✓0.77563k2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.065137-2.34%0.0689+3.30%0.2203✗1.0579k2022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.79e-7-2.33%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0169✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.398554-2.32%0.3171-22.28%0.0583✓1.09202k2022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8021,807.26-2.30%19,167.20-14.13%0.0147✓0.9213k2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012852-2.29%0.010459-20.49%0.0751✓0.84882k2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.06251-2.26%0.05987-6.39%0.1150✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.894162-2.19%0.760819-16.78%0.0269✓0.8649k2022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3987-2.19%1.52+6.29%0.0617✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2235-2.12%2.7159-17.53%0.0088✓1.0419k2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.041771-2.11%0.035794-16.12%0.0708✓0.5323k2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8772-2.06%4.7-5.62%0.0985✗0.87839k2022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.221174-2.01%0.1479-34.47%0.2835✓0.7667k2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.551931-1.97%0.42113-25.20%0.0611✓1.3439k2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.9595-1.92%15.95-25.36%0.0576✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1295-1.91%1.571-27.64%0.1047✓1.2732k2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.819-1.82%8.85-19.69%0.0097✓1.34288k2022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9261.801-1.78%51.73-17.78%0.0046✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,687.31-1.71%1,294.33-24.60%0.0527✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.840292-1.64%0.75156-12.02%0.0119✓0.7913k2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7739-1.62%1.584-12.15%0.0460✗1.02627k2022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.637535-1.62%0.57-12.04%0.0481✗1.02178k2022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011811-1.61%0.009569-20.28%0.0539✓1.006492022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006112-1.57%0.0049-21.10%0.1218✓0.63911k2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87126.8582-1.56%111.75-13.28%0.0573✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046769-1.48%0.03857-18.75%0.0911✓0.6514k2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9989.6893-1.43%71.52-21.40%0.0131✓1.536.0M2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.112495-1.41%0.0931-18.40%0.0516✓0.88188k2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.474347-1.38%0.377-21.62%0.0664✓1.047,9852022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.076-1.38%0.929799-14.78%0.0254✓0.7736k2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.6514-1.37%7.147-7.88%0.1093✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.112352-1.32%0.116277+2.12%0.1734✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063038-1.32%0.061673-3.46%0.0511✗0.47123k2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006273-1.30%0.005602-11.86%0.0131✓0.641,9622022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.5908-1.28%9.053-6.81%0.0774✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.312524-1.17%0.33712+6.61%0.1841✗0.69326k2022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.170567-1.15%0.1565-9.31%0.0332✗0.765152022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4978-1.15%3.72-18.24%0.0946✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8196-1.11%2.23+21.20%0.2769✗0.4758k2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001608-1.08%0.001688+3.81%0.1714✗0.79374k2022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.00e-7-1.08%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0268✓0.7415k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3377-1.05%4.405+0.48%0.1312✗0.74688k2022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65105.5689-1.01%153.65+44.07%0.5216✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.949907-0.96%0.7783-18.85%0.0011✓1.27899k2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.01283-0.85%0.01098-15.15%0.0532✓0.65233k2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024688-0.77%0.02169-12.82%0.0398✗1.082,9582022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039429-0.68%0.0326-17.88%0.0309✓1.0289k2022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.233504-0.47%0.1864-20.55%0.0848✓0.9057k2022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.151191-0.40%0.1213-20.09%0.0640✓1.00119k2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.046568-0.31%0.039427-15.59%0.0267✓0.8928k2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.234792-0.30%0.2291-2.72%0.1120✗0.87527k2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.018444-0.24%0.014341-22.43%0.0950✓1.009912022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.049181-0.24%0.0378-23.33%0.1301✓0.85145k2022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039923+0.06%0.0353-11.53%0.0160✓0.899,1922022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.483465+0.10%0.328-32.09%0.1984✗1.214,2692022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.069631+0.70%0.05545-19.81%0.0818✗0.938202022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.072518+0.73%0.06138-14.74%0.0101✗1.0025k2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.052037+0.85%0.052+0.78%0.1495✓0.96234k2022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.103338+2.01%0.0774-23.59%0.1699✗0.762,7302022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.376985+3.94%0.3109-14.28%0.0274✓1.061,1592022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.