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2022-09-10 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3811
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.5%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000402917-7.33%0.00030987-28.73%0.2256✓0.501.8M2022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.16381-5.75%0.1447-16.74%0.0629✓0.8324k2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2337.335-4.83%34.42-12.26%0.0251✓1.4411.7M2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4187-4.78%1.33-10.74%0.0012✓0.8981k2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.0613-4.68%5.909-7.08%0.0364✓0.846.2M2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.0975-4.29%6.1857-16.58%0.1210✓0.229.9M2022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.445641-4.17%0.40106-13.76%0.0369✓0.93392k2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.3815-4.10%4.009-12.26%0.0227✓0.90289k2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.112.0237-4.09%1.839-12.84%0.0011✓1.281.1M2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3315-4.00%1.133-18.31%0.0446✓1.582.8M2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum32.5531.2515-3.99%25.23-22.49%0.0882✓1.71178k2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,026.29-3.97%9,343.58-10.51%0.0321✓1.394.2M2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.063296-3.92%0.06229-5.45%0.0646✗1.091.4M2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.2625-3.88%16.36-8.91%0.0086✓0.61384k2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.7118-3.82%5.798-16.91%0.1352✓0.158.6M2022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.3995-3.72%16.412+2.61%0.1477✗1.1418.7M2022-09-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.7726-3.61%11.72-4.04%0.0278✓0.4416.0M2022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.279-3.47%1.2443-6.09%0.0394✗0.911.1M2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001333-3.45%0.001205-12.75%0.0522✓0.672.3M2022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009059-3.43%0.00859-8.42%0.0001✓0.723.3M2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.517-3.38%6.96-10.54%0.0012✓1.03237k2022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.525-3.26%2.19-16.09%0.0940✓0.66262k2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.5626-3.24%1.403-13.13%0.0276✓1.0943k2022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.549699-3.22%0.516-9.15%0.0156✓1.0763k2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.113661-3.10%0.1088-7.25%0.0322✗1.032.5M2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.0905-3.08%14.56-6.49%0.0285✓0.871.7M2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.123506-3.06%0.1045-17.97%0.1162✓0.69195k2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.2687-3.05%1.99-14.96%0.0469✓1.14229k2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.064968-3.03%0.0594-11.34%0.0008✓1.21608k2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.846926-2.86%0.8104-7.05%0.0288✓0.99988k2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.727937-2.83%0.6797-9.26%0.0317✗1.36210k2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.1805-2.80%3.155-3.58%0.0285✗0.50653k2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.174671-2.74%0.1593-11.30%0.0237✓0.93268k2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.50271-2.58%0.464-10.08%0.0072✓0.997,7812022-09-17
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,627.45-2.57%1,396.39-16.41%0.0794✓1.003.4M2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9958-2.53%1.9045-6.99%0.0172✓0.871.2M2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.274667-2.53%0.304+7.88%0.1595✗0.7984k2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.879411-2.50%0.8495-5.82%0.0658✗1.3694k2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.4591-2.49%3.732-18.39%0.1404✓0.517.3M2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0281.0026-2.47%0.947-7.88%0.0246✓0.442.8M2022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022481-2.47%0.02103-8.76%0.0057✓0.839.2M2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.357671-2.41%0.3309-9.71%0.0024✓1.0271k2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.68e-7-2.39%6.21e-7-9.31%0.0123✓0.832.3M2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0651.8015-2.37%54.2+2.15%0.1336✗1.209,0502022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.058391-2.36%0.0563-5.85%0.0281✗0.8881k2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.196854-2.35%0.2252+11.71%0.1958✗0.833.2M2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.383904-2.34%0.3548-9.74%0.0005✓1.067402022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.34-2.33%1.293-5.76%0.0448✗1.09385k2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2737-2.31%1.9947-14.29%0.0503✓1.0913k2022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3046-2.29%1.1798-11.63%0.0190✓1.111.1M2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.8156-2.27%8.49-5.88%0.0050✓0.442.2M2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.3516-2.24%4.9164+10.45%0.2340✗1.52129k2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.3909-2.24%13.21-10.26%0.0101✓1.02925k2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.27772-2.21%0.266-6.34%0.0097✓0.72563k2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.671019-2.18%0.621-9.48%0.0197✓0.78116k2022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.097339-2.17%0.0897-9.85%0.0186✓0.8613k2022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7472-2.13%2.603-7.27%0.0052✓0.80630k2022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2183-2.12%1.0832-12.97%0.0088✓1.484.4M2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.57790.565808-2.09%0.5649-2.25%0.0528✗0.74826k2022-09-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013003-2.09%0.00001197-9.86%0.0166✓0.90951k2022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.023687-2.08%0.025798+6.64%0.0886✗0.04454k2022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.730.714799-2.08%0.7-4.11%0.0070✓0.3850k2022-09-17
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018551-2.08%0.01789-5.57%0.0374✗1.006792022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.140751-2.07%0.13742-4.38%0.0583✗1.12157k2022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.8972-2.06%5.727-4.88%0.0017✓0.423.3M2022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.038971-2.03%0.03601-9.48%0.0232✓0.762,2982022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.15922-2.02%0.1487-8.49%0.0009✓0.921,0012022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021143-2.00%0.020559-4.71%0.0274✗0.7512k2022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.307715-2.00%0.2713-13.60%0.0508✓1.0292k2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001569-2.00%0.001493-6.75%0.0014✓0.666,5532022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.150245-1.99%0.1591+3.78%0.1310✗1.00361k2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.1998-1.99%11.819-12.24%0.0453✓0.8822k2022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.347122-1.96%0.32877-7.15%0.0155✓0.9534k2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.3351-1.93%5.91-8.51%0.0376✓0.432.2M2022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.9551-1.92%5.627+11.38%0.2189✗1.246.2M2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6346-1.91%1.5518-6.88%0.0244✗1.04241k2022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.9021-1.90%1.8165-6.31%0.0312✗1.0523k2022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6297-1.89%1.489-10.36%0.0352✓0.7544k2022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.7442-1.88%9.64-11.96%0.0187✓1.22298k2022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.136492-1.88%0.1254-9.85%0.0492✓0.482.9M2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.13e-7-1.87%8.40e-7-9.68%0.0264✓0.771.7M2022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.9677-1.86%2.735-9.56%0.0236✗1.433.0M2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.541776-1.85%0.515-6.70%0.0292✗1.0877k2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.38460.377641-1.81%0.3564-7.33%0.0224✗1.09335k2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,742.84-1.79%1,468.97-17.23%0.0749✓1.30591.2M2022-09-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.857-1.79%4.9846+0.79%0.0329✗0.09115k2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.070684-1.79%0.06385-11.28%0.0919✓0.13389k2022-09-17
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7274-1.78%4.38-9.00%0.0026✓1.001.2M2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.307141-1.77%0.291502-6.77%0.0208✗0.99514k2022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050098-1.77%0.042-17.65%0.1069✓0.94546k2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4874-1.76%1.46-3.57%0.0626✗1.1071k2022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020698-1.72%0.02052-2.56%0.0455✗0.73223k2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004059-1.72%0.00378-8.47%0.0050✓0.90103k2022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2228-1.70%3.989-7.15%0.0249✓0.442.1M2022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.063638-1.69%0.062199-3.91%0.0509✗1.001.3M2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000043808-1.69%0.00004289-3.75%0.0367✗0.792.5M2022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3262.2549-1.68%57.82-8.69%0.0038✓0.9513.5M2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.5629-1.66%6.014-9.89%0.0041✓1.246.9M2022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.316994-1.65%0.3108-3.57%0.0437✗0.865.9M2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.5752-1.63%14.92-11.45%0.0257✓1.0885k2022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64130.4845-1.63%122.08-7.96%0.0154✓1.114.4M2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.03758-1.62%0.03442-9.90%0.0154✓0.9859k2022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.206591-1.62%0.191-9.05%0.0065✓1.15108k2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.6509-1.62%7.059-9.23%0.0080✓0.9810.0M2022-09-17
DASHDashDash48.7747.9972-1.58%44.59-8.57%0.0036✓0.95328k2022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.290255-1.58%0.2704-8.31%0.0034✓0.922.7M2022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.516659-1.57%0.4808-8.40%0.0231✓0.66444k2022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.051383-1.57%0.0492-5.75%0.0199✗0.86204k2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.3225-1.57%3.0761-8.87%0.0062✓0.9619k2022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.285816-1.56%0.27068-6.77%0.0167✗0.9614k2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0482.0163-1.55%1.805-11.87%0.0090✓1.6260k2022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration52.3251.5093-1.55%44.64-14.68%0.0749✓0.93363k2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.183247-1.53%0.1664-10.59%0.0023✓1.341,5202022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.334909-1.53%0.3183-6.41%0.0265✗1.0582k2022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0184-1.51%0.9979-3.50%0.0170✗0.512.7M2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,406.60-1.50%19,985.60-8.04%0.0007✓0.9413k2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.276-1.50%24.62-11.09%0.0311✓0.976.8M2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1297.0236-1.48%6.285-11.84%0.0490✓0.844.3M2022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006137-1.47%0.006354+2.02%0.0673✗0.4433k2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.112824-1.46%0.1051-8.21%0.0139✓0.77169k2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.2041-1.46%1.179-3.52%0.0485✗0.941.1M2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2904-1.46%3.983-8.52%0.0505✓0.322.2M2022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.4986-1.44%0.4774-5.63%0.0372✗1.09384k2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.5653-1.44%33.69-3.93%0.0508✗1.0458.3M2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.7926-1.43%8.09+2.33%0.1084✗0.9618.0M2022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.1921-1.43%2.022-9.08%0.0002✓1.1033k2022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006211-1.43%0.005888-6.54%0.0027✓0.692,0442022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7641-1.39%1.609-10.06%0.0294✓0.85627k2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.548677-1.39%0.50943-8.44%0.0159✗1.2239k2022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007751-1.39%0.00773-1.65%0.0734✗1.03389k2022-09-17
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010824-1.37%0.012891+17.47%0.2485✗1.006082022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.226758-1.37%0.1876-18.40%0.1331✓0.7767k2022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,355.76-1.37%20,113.37-7.10%0.0138✗1.00473.4M2022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash65.3364.4385-1.36%58.71-10.13%0.0066✓1.171.2M2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.3366-1.36%5.4-0.18%0.0423✗0.412.0M2022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.064907-1.36%0.0666+1.22%0.0850✗0.8081k2022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.505453-1.36%0.486-5.15%0.0245✗0.8637.9M2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.131789-1.36%0.1276-4.49%0.0459✗1.061.4M2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0409-1.35%4.54-11.15%0.0448✓0.81943k2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.398239-1.34%0.38033-5.78%0.0230✗0.9431k2022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.437465-1.34%0.4523+2.01%0.1170✗1.1381k2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23654.5032-1.33%52.371-5.19%0.0137✗0.73284k2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.569-1.32%4.45-3.89%0.0105✓0.501.3M2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.671119-1.31%0.617-9.26%0.0007✓1.133.7M2022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.21797-1.28%0.21-4.89%0.0308✗0.9257k2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.536-1.27%6.35-4.08%0.0026✓0.432.1M2022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.415254-1.22%0.357-15.08%0.0752✓1.03209k2022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.209052-1.20%0.201-5.01%0.0465✗1.16139k2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0568-1.20%1.0116-5.43%0.0152✗0.8034k2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.966328-1.19%0.932-4.70%0.0529✗1.211.5M2022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.042032-1.18%0.040142-5.63%0.0083✓0.5123k2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.00153-1.18%0.001621+4.72%0.1144✗0.77343k2022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.097734-1.18%0.096-2.93%0.0477✗0.89336k2022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003220.003182-1.18%0.00337+4.66%0.1267✗0.94481k2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.037463-1.15%0.038+0.26%0.0689✗0.747,8252022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002879-1.09%0.002846-2.23%0.0508✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.928116-1.09%0.865587-7.75%0.0121✓0.7849k2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.6712-1.07%9.254-5.34%0.0235✗0.921.2M2022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.805198-1.04%0.7528-7.48%0.0060✓0.83584k2022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.01e-7-1.04%8.50e-7-6.59%0.0025✓0.7515k2022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.650313-1.02%0.629-4.26%0.0342✗0.92178k2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum105.47104.3982-1.02%109.47+3.79%0.1031✗0.763.4M2022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068423-0.99%0.0662-4.21%0.0355✗0.936022022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005873-0.97%0.00543-8.43%0.0322✓0.63911k2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero157.51155.9903-0.96%147.56-6.32%0.0188✗1.011.3M2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039034-0.93%0.0359-8.88%0.0214✓0.8584k2022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.3244.2844-0.92%4.2761-1.11%0.0533✗0.75702k2022-09-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.045722-0.91%0.04315-6.48%0.0056✓0.7114k2022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.32935-0.89%0.31645-4.77%0.0129✗0.72327k2022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.01295-0.89%0.012503-4.31%0.0098✗0.61929k2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.113695-0.88%0.11336-1.17%0.0583✗0.836.5M2022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.064023-0.87%0.062299-3.54%0.0180✗0.62129k2022-09-17
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7491.9415-0.86%81.44-12.18%0.0165✓1.425.6M2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.045364-0.81%0.042628-6.80%0.0040✓0.7928k2022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047519-0.80%0.0461-3.76%0.0349✗0.88132k2022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.147968-0.76%0.1415-5.10%0.0255✗0.95117k2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.3056-0.71%18.48-9.63%0.0079✓1.1718.5M2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4202-0.69%1.45+1.40%0.0171✗-0.05124k2022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075461-0.68%0.06678-12.11%0.0403✓1.1125k2022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.170134-0.68%0.16418-4.15%0.0904✗1.712952022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.02531-0.63%0.02341-8.09%0.0255✗1.412,9582022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012987-0.56%0.01249-4.36%0.0139✗0.72228k2022-09-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.10306-0.52%0.0988-4.63%0.0098✗0.712,6892022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050552-0.49%0.0511+0.59%0.0837✗0.99234k2022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.846086-0.48%0.8328-2.04%0.0498✗0.8913k2022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.982903-0.47%0.9111-7.74%0.0076✗1.13899k2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.22833-0.42%0.2267-1.13%0.0552✗0.85503k2022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8827-0.39%2.69+42.33%0.3941✗0.5161k2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.514441-0.30%0.443-14.15%0.0649✓1.154,5592022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.4268-0.25%17.07-2.29%0.0294✗0.681.6M2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.13201+1.00%0.1166-10.79%0.1236✗0.0183k2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.