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2022-09-09 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3629
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.6%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000359499-16.52%0.00030654-28.82%0.1124✓0.501.5M2022-10-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38710.7626-13.11%14.608+17.93%0.3511✗0.4816.0M2022-10-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1934.1735-12.80%26.97-31.18%0.0998✓1.4511.8M2022-10-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3795.5684-12.71%5.43-14.88%0.0551✓0.856.2M2022-10-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.061073-12.39%0.05915-15.15%0.0725✓1.111.5M2022-10-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.1138-11.99%3.692-21.01%0.0242✓0.89298k2022-10-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51526.6213-11.90%5.7888-22.97%0.1065✓0.309.9M2022-10-09
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.2443-11.81%0.844-40.18%0.2350✓1.632.8M2022-10-09
FLOWFlownative2.1111.8655-11.63%1.704-19.28%0.0331✓1.311.1M2022-10-09
METISMetisEthereum32.4228.7618-11.28%25.89-20.14%0.0561✓1.71185k2022-10-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-76.49e-7-11.26%5.37e-7-26.58%0.1231✓0.702.3M2022-10-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12614.3251-11.17%13.193-18.19%0.0257✓1.1515.6M2022-10-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.1809-11.04%5.1729-25.55%0.1576✓0.228.6M2022-10-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.059,322.12-10.70%8,080.63-22.59%0.0126✓1.384.5M2022-10-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0916.2427-10.21%15.1-16.53%0.0120✓0.65396k2022-10-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.3382-9.58%1.16-21.62%0.0568✓0.9181k2022-10-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.2221-9.48%1.2235-9.38%0.0897✓0.941.2M2022-10-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.0675-9.11%3.5064-21.65%0.0958✓0.567.3M2022-10-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.2085-8.98%6.59-16.79%0.0122✓1.08255k2022-10-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.113108-8.93%0.069-44.44%0.4302✓0.68195k2022-10-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.187794-8.53%0.2155+4.97%0.2177✗0.853.2M2022-10-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.720464-8.15%0.6442-17.87%0.0215✓1.42210k2022-10-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.38246-8.08%0.31729-23.75%0.0973✓0.95392k2022-10-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001276-8.06%0.0009941-28.37%0.1791✓0.752.5M2022-10-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.103541-8.05%0.0963-14.48%0.0259✓1.042.7M2022-10-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.008946-7.96%0.0063-35.19%0.2804✓0.753.5M2022-10-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.4236-7.86%1.285-16.83%0.0023✓1.1143k2022-10-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.059017-7.79%0.057-10.94%0.0779✓1.20608k2022-10-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.3831-7.63%2.03-21.32%0.0958✓0.69262k2022-10-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.395.9098-7.51%5.63-11.89%0.0050✓0.462.2M2022-10-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.519255-7.44%0.492-12.30%0.0474✓1.0757k2022-10-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.817186-7.24%0.7352-16.55%0.0113✓1.001.0M2022-10-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,481.65-7.24%1,282.56-19.70%0.0501✓1.003.4M2022-10-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.28687-7.19%0.224-27.53%0.1524✓1.0195k2022-10-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.1811-7.19%1.8-23.40%0.0837✓1.15232k2022-10-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.3702-7.17%18.05+16.60%0.3119✗0.891.7M2022-10-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.0097-7.11%3.019-6.82%0.0553✓0.55720k2022-10-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.636502-7.08%0.585-14.60%0.0066✓0.83129k2022-10-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.257-7.02%8.02-9.68%0.0152✓0.472.2M2022-10-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7113.7018-6.85%12.43-15.50%0.0018✓1.05925k2022-10-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.040.968873-6.84%0.854-17.88%0.0906✓0.382.9M2022-10-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.680283-6.81%0.6-17.81%0.0972✓0.3052k2022-10-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.2666-6.58%4.5126-1.19%0.2018✗1.55129k2022-10-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2233.9515-6.43%3.707-12.22%0.0192✓0.472.1M2022-10-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.5757-6.34%2.276-17.24%0.0455✓0.83630k2022-10-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.022031-6.29%0.02177-7.40%0.0633✓0.809.2M2022-10-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.5815-6.14%1.55-8.01%0.0507✓0.7551k2022-10-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.022769-6.07%0.026132+7.81%0.1437✗0.06465k2022-10-09
BANDBandEthereum1.381.2965-6.05%1.217-11.81%0.0468✓1.17385k2022-10-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.019978-6.03%0.01851-12.94%0.0073✓0.73234k2022-10-09
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.7453-5.98%5.265+4.32%0.2269✗1.316.4M2022-10-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.020503-5.91%0.019486-10.57%0.0223✓0.7813k2022-10-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.154409-5.91%0.1463-10.85%0.0340✓0.931,1642022-10-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1904-5.88%1.7824-23.41%0.1032✓1.0913k2022-10-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.14603-5.67%0.1452-6.20%0.0927✗1.04421k2022-10-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.35132-5.58%0.2904-21.96%0.0929✓1.0471k2022-10-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.168953-5.52%0.15261-14.66%0.0130✓0.94268k2022-10-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.125.7824-5.52%5.026-17.88%0.0962✓0.473.6M2022-10-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.261273-5.51%0.2675-3.25%0.0994✗0.8184k2022-10-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.810399-5.37%0.8318-2.87%0.1554✗1.3794k2022-10-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1397-5.35%0.8827-26.70%0.1185✓1.454.5M2022-10-09
HIVEHivenative0.57680.546116-5.32%0.516-10.54%0.0161✓0.77867k2022-10-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.8444-5.15%2.253-24.87%0.1000✓1.413.0M2022-10-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.7487-5.07%1.131-38.60%0.3512✓0.901.2M2022-10-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.41-5.05%1.564+5.32%0.2075✗1.1071k2022-10-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.2609-4.93%1.3862+4.52%0.1987✗1.101.1M2022-10-09
STXStacksnative0.38130.362507-4.93%0.3386-11.20%0.0363✓1.11348k2022-10-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.275812-4.90%0.23395-19.33%0.0714✓0.9914k2022-10-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.506602-4.85%0.4026-24.38%0.1643✓0.69467k2022-10-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.521451-4.84%0.452-17.52%0.0398✓1.0977k2022-10-09
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.5666-4.78%1.4242-13.44%0.0036✓1.05247k2022-10-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.068618-4.76%0.06824-5.29%0.0069✓0.13397k2022-10-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.337395-4.74%0.30141-14.90%0.0224✓0.9635k2022-10-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.3586-4.72%11.0215-15.03%0.0280✓0.9222k2022-10-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.003964-4.70%0.00353-15.14%0.0291✓0.92111k2022-10-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.7369-4.67%4.1088-17.31%0.1337✓0.09115k2022-10-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.049386-4.66%0.0386-25.48%0.1551✓0.97546k2022-10-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.202683-4.62%0.1578-25.74%0.1410✓1.16111k2022-10-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2816.4899-4.57%15.46-10.53%0.0108✓0.801.6M2022-10-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.132639-4.51%0.1466+5.54%0.1783✗0.8324k2022-10-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.131263-4.47%0.1262-8.15%0.0074✓0.503.0M2022-10-09
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000042553-4.46%0.00004076-8.49%0.0333✓0.812.5M2022-10-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.037328-4.46%0.03037-22.27%0.1122✓1.0072k2022-10-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0003-4.45%0.9431-9.91%0.0091✓0.532.8M2022-10-09
KSMKusamaHydration52.6550.3158-4.43%43.67-17.06%0.0517✓0.96395k2022-10-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.2247-4.38%6.633+1.89%0.1806✗1.246.9M2022-10-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.661194-4.31%0.59-14.62%0.0073✓1.133.8M2022-10-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.8534-4.27%1.7097-11.69%0.0178✓1.0523k2022-10-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.9243-4.26%1.613-19.75%0.0244✓1.6165k2022-10-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.135269-4.26%0.12637-10.56%0.0376✓1.12163k2022-10-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006045-4.21%0.006271-0.63%0.0770✗0.4336k2022-10-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007513-4.17%0.00655-16.45%0.0370✓1.06406k2022-10-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.1653-4.17%4.8-10.95%0.0316✓0.442.0M2022-10-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.2017-4.15%6.4-1.08%0.0745✗0.462.1M2022-10-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.300935-4.14%0.272878-13.08%0.0021✓1.02514k2022-10-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001557-4.12%0.001377-15.21%0.0606✓0.667,1022022-10-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012392-4.08%0.00001104-14.55%0.0298✓0.91898k2022-10-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.4427-4.08%6.478-16.51%0.0450✓1.0010.0M2022-10-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.049888-4.06%0.0423-18.65%0.0825✓0.88204k2022-10-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.1472-4.04%3.71-14.16%0.0835✓0.302.2M2022-10-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.265815-4.04%0.248-10.47%0.0009✓0.73563k2022-10-09
DASHDashDash49.0147.0347-4.03%42.99-12.28%0.0001✓0.95338k2022-10-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.129851-4.03%0.1292-4.51%0.0914✗1.021.4M2022-10-09
XVGVergenative0.003280.003148-4.02%0.00335+2.13%0.1525✗0.96483k2022-10-09
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.74e-7-4.00%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0424✓0.751.8M2022-10-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.280654-3.95%0.2723-6.81%0.0564✗0.922.7M2022-10-09
FTTFTXEthereum27.2126.1352-3.95%24.14-11.28%0.0083✓0.936.8M2022-10-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.037439-3.90%0.03485-10.55%0.0012✓0.772,4552022-10-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.177895-3.89%0.1601-13.51%0.0164✓1.291,5202022-10-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.434038-3.82%0.3586-20.54%0.0814✓1.1675k2022-10-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.09031-3.82%0.0817-12.99%0.0146✓0.9113k2022-10-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51253.3934-3.82%49.815-10.26%0.0015✓0.75287k2022-10-09
SOLSolanaSolana34.6933.3732-3.80%32.93-5.07%0.0863✗1.0660.5M2022-10-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.8308-3.79%5.854-17.55%0.0746✓0.854.4M2022-10-09
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.382546-3.77%0.3903-1.82%0.1070✗0.9231k2022-10-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.1876-3.76%1.084-12.16%0.0052✓0.911.1M2022-10-09
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.2457-3.76%13.53-19.85%0.0802✓1.0987k2022-10-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.312514-3.72%0.3389+4.41%0.1633✗0.875.8M2022-10-09
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.483736-3.68%0.423-15.77%0.0497✓0.9037.9M2022-10-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.92674-3.67%0.882-8.32%0.0669✗1.231.5M2022-10-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,657.14-3.61%1,323.41-23.02%0.1028✓1.30617.0M2022-10-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.206857-3.56%0.1989-7.27%0.0775✗1.24139k2022-10-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.058098-3.49%0.0491-18.44%0.0830✓0.9180k2022-10-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017747-3.47%0.015117-17.77%0.0662✓1.004152022-10-09
ZECZcashZcash66.0163.7686-3.40%54.8-16.98%0.0440✓1.141.2M2022-10-09
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6949.938-3.39%59.1+14.34%0.2822✗1.219,1802022-10-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1559.1216-3.32%53.93-11.81%0.0013✓0.9613.1M2022-10-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.1313-3.31%0.1177-13.33%0.1082✓0.0187k2022-10-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.48291-3.28%0.4318-13.52%0.0085✓1.10384k2022-10-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002809-3.10%0.00221-23.77%0.1566✓0.881.2M2022-10-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.783496-3.04%0.69192-14.37%0.0467✓0.82537k2022-10-09
XMRMoneroMonero161.29156.3917-3.04%145.74-9.64%0.0240✓1.001.3M2022-10-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.061991-3.02%0.062134-2.79%0.0981✗1.021.3M2022-10-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1264-2.99%1.728-21.17%0.1032✓1.1134k2022-10-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.322203-2.95%0.2876-13.37%0.0149✓1.0587k2022-10-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.2142-2.92%2.8703-13.31%0.0215✓0.9719k2022-10-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.095776-2.77%0.1144+16.14%0.2629✗0.90359k2022-10-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.404028-2.76%0.3236-22.12%0.1210✓1.07215k2022-10-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3905-2.76%1.58+10.49%0.1075✗-0.21128k2022-10-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.542564-2.74%0.45944-17.64%0.0492✓1.2441k2022-10-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8020,786.46-2.74%19,442.20-9.03%0.0219✓0.9413k2022-10-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9129.275-2.73%117.18-11.83%0.0067✓1.114.4M2022-10-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.432179-2.66%0.413-6.98%0.0485✗1.007,7812022-10-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.408-2.64%9.36-12.44%0.0092✓1.22281k2022-10-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.012905-2.59%0.011043-16.64%0.0967✓0.63929k2022-10-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.010889-2.59%0.01046-6.42%0.0541✗1.005862022-10-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.111442-2.59%0.0973-14.95%0.0588✓0.82169k2022-10-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.5443-2.58%7.634-1.42%0.1051✗0.9918.0M2022-10-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.7976-2.57%1.732-6.12%0.0456✗0.88627k2022-10-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.8911-2.57%5.02+0.00%0.1020✗0.81943k2022-10-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.26e-7-2.54%7.80e-7-17.89%0.0998✓0.7615k2022-10-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.642348-2.53%0.607-7.89%0.0302✗0.92178k2022-10-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5020,828.65-2.51%19,443.47-8.99%0.0254✓1.00480.9M2022-10-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0541-2.44%1.0032-7.15%0.0258✗0.8038k2022-10-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.045066-2.43%0.04054-12.23%0.0392✓0.7114k2022-10-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.4981-2.43%4.34-5.86%0.0144✓0.531.3M2022-10-09
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.904689-2.41%0.782722-15.57%0.0692✓0.8052k2022-10-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.062141-2.29%0.0611-3.93%0.0589✗0.8082k2022-10-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.041602-2.27%0.037252-12.49%0.0638✓0.5025k2022-10-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.224017-2.26%0.1679-26.75%0.2162✓0.7767k2022-10-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.827753-2.22%0.81537-3.68%0.0704✗0.9114k2022-10-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.9595-2.16%16.91-17.11%0.0522✓1.2118.8M2022-10-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006081-2.15%0.005787-6.89%0.0154✓0.692,0942022-10-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.02548-2.00%0.02333-10.27%0.0290✗1.242,9582022-10-09
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1489.3363-1.98%75.5-17.16%0.0341✓1.426.0M2022-10-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005725-1.96%0.00499-14.55%0.0789✓0.62951k2022-10-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.112181-1.94%0.1288+12.58%0.2167✗0.836.5M2022-10-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.4304-1.88%9.025-6.10%0.0424✗0.921.2M2022-10-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.066244-1.61%0.06045-10.22%0.0085✓0.886022022-10-09
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.062384-1.58%0.062443-1.48%0.0567✗0.59123k2022-10-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.328607-1.55%0.36474+9.27%0.1762✗0.76332k2022-10-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.167902-1.47%0.16431-3.58%0.1818✗2.164042022-10-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001528-1.47%0.001516-2.26%0.0641✗0.77374k2022-10-09
QNTQuantEthereum103.35101.9498-1.35%156.03+50.97%0.4997✗0.793.4M2022-10-09
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.045609-1.33%0.041301-10.65%0.0238✓0.8029k2022-10-09
GTGateEthereum4.31374.2567-1.32%4.3572+1.01%0.0957✗0.77724k2022-10-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.967789-1.20%0.836-14.65%0.0371✓1.16899k2022-10-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.037171-1.14%0.037-1.60%0.0636✗0.727,8252022-10-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038663-1.12%0.034-13.04%0.0469✓0.8777k2022-10-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.219302-1.08%0.1993-10.10%0.0061✓0.9557k2022-10-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.148498-0.94%0.1309-12.68%0.0340✓0.98128k2022-10-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012265-0.77%0.0124+0.32%0.0718✗0.65228k2022-10-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.047208-0.61%0.0405-14.74%0.0685✓0.90138k2022-10-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8391-0.59%2.43+31.35%0.3190✗0.4363k2022-10-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.379815-0.57%0.3281-14.11%0.0465✓1.066802022-10-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.228625-0.47%0.229-0.30%0.0857✗0.89537k2022-10-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.073856-0.29%0.06092-17.75%0.0876✓1.1125k2022-10-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.053068-0.06%0.0621+16.95%0.2521✗1.01234k2022-10-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.103792+0.38%0.0846-18.18%0.1384✗0.702,7842022-10-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.502071+1.02%0.372-25.15%0.1875✗1.194,5592022-10-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.