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2022-08-27 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1554
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.5%
in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.508755-0.05%0.375-26.33%0.2541✓1.242,6092022-09-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.03462-0.52%0.0337-3.16%0.0104✗0.9186k2022-09-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.102738-0.74%0.0897-13.33%0.1064✓0.713,4822022-09-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,478.83-0.83%1,336.61-10.37%0.0456✓1.35597.1M2022-09-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024484-0.83%0.02222-10.00%0.0443✓1.283,4352022-09-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4376-1.31%2.84+14.98%0.1738✗0.5189k2022-09-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.139919-1.40%0.1286-9.37%0.0427✓1.01166k2022-09-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.066477-1.51%0.06071-10.06%0.0414✓1.2028k2022-09-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.324726-1.53%0.48074+45.78%0.4333✗0.99391k2022-09-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.203337-1.63%0.1967-4.84%0.0087✓1.0261k2022-09-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.7902-1.64%4.8-1.44%0.0373✗0.851.6M2022-09-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.949921-1.67%0.8592-11.07%0.0502✓1.22999k2022-09-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.343044-1.76%0.3272-6.30%0.0037✓1.24191k2022-09-26
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.216627-2.02%0.2204-0.32%0.0547✗0.91504k2022-09-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.154307-2.10%0.17014+7.94%0.1834✗2.086362022-09-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.042674-2.12%0.0418-4.13%0.0197✓0.98175k2022-09-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.062428-2.30%0.0524-18.00%0.1382✓0.90111k2022-09-26
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1180.1852-2.34%76.28-7.10%0.0140✓1.556.7M2022-09-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6498-2.38%1.608-4.85%0.0132✓0.94704k2022-09-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.066558-2.39%0.06223-8.74%0.0336✓0.829142022-09-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.3699-2.47%7.943+21.62%0.2647✗1.0719.3M2022-09-26
QNTQuantEthereum94.3892.0468-2.47%120.63+27.81%0.3057✗0.863.4M2022-09-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0419.5296-2.55%17.57-12.33%0.0528✓1.2923.0M2022-09-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.035664-2.56%0.042+14.75%0.1982✗0.8411k2022-09-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6919,520.42-2.58%19,228.00-4.04%0.0261✗1.00474.0M2022-09-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0331-2.65%1.0612+0.00%0.0785✗1.25981k2022-09-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.115408-2.69%0.1264+6.58%0.1331✗1.0232k2022-09-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.102736-2.71%0.113735+7.71%0.1367✗0.857.4M2022-09-26
XMRMoneroMonero145.16141.18-2.74%145.75+0.41%0.0730✗1.001.2M2022-09-26
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.061204-2.75%0.059595-5.31%0.0022✓0.59151k2022-09-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.525663-2.93%0.45938-15.17%0.0819✓1.2843k2022-09-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.088133-2.94%0.1023+12.67%0.1881✗0.95414k2022-09-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.043367-3.00%0.040163-10.17%0.0416✓0.8530k2022-09-26
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.855457-3.10%0.767713-13.04%0.0749✓0.8184k2022-09-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0351.3513-3.17%53.45+0.79%0.0810✗0.9913.0M2022-09-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1096-3.18%1.073-6.37%0.0072✓0.992.1M2022-09-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.014696-3.19%0.01097-27.73%0.2648✓0.67165k2022-09-26
GTGateEthereum4.3764.2344-3.24%4.2373-3.17%0.0323✓0.77798k2022-09-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26111.5241-3.24%116.33+0.93%0.0888✗1.134.8M2022-09-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.1348.8367-3.26%9.117-0.19%0.0701✗0.941.6M2022-09-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0281.9617-3.27%1.702-16.07%0.0948✓1.1549k2022-09-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.6714-3.29%9.07-9.30%0.0154✓1.18439k2022-09-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006381-3.32%0.0049-25.76%0.2375✓0.651.1M2022-09-26
SOLSolanaSolana31.5430.4865-3.34%33.89+7.45%0.1535✗1.1668.8M2022-09-26
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.355369-3.36%0.38522+4.75%0.1203✗0.9651k2022-09-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005427-3.41%0.004988-11.22%0.0567✓0.672,5882022-09-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.036974-3.41%0.03398-11.23%0.0507✓0.822,8422022-09-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.834257-3.45%0.78146-9.56%0.0250✓0.9814k2022-09-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.097949-3.50%0.099-2.46%0.0465✗0.87212k2022-09-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.36244-3.61%0.3614-3.88%0.0435✗1.1289k2022-09-26
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0565.8347-3.65%5.924-2.18%0.0694✗1.3210.1M2022-09-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.061096-3.67%0.061133-3.61%0.0435✗1.041.7M2022-09-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.163061-3.69%0.1515-10.51%0.0168✓1.382,1742022-09-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,184.40-3.76%19,140.50-3.98%0.0367✓0.9511k2022-09-26
ADACardanoCardano0.450.433087-3.76%0.4471-0.64%0.0746✗1.0440.7M2022-09-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.277965-3.79%0.3688+27.66%0.3208✗0.927.4M2022-09-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.46e-7-3.84%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0354✓0.8117k2022-09-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.081233-3.87%0.0821-2.84%0.0495✗0.9414k2022-09-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.058059-3.88%0.0467-22.68%0.1706✓1.14252k2022-09-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.164353-3.89%0.14586-14.70%0.0749✓1.08434k2022-09-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.211498-3.91%0.1738-21.04%0.1412✓1.34133k2022-09-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.134841-3.96%0.1394-0.71%0.0732✗0.97624k2022-09-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.626162-3.96%0.625-4.14%0.0370✓0.94266k2022-09-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.054635-3.98%0.0528-7.21%0.0029✓0.9099k2022-09-26
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0944.2506-3.99%62.82+36.30%0.4016✗1.2412k2022-09-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.322743-4.01%0.29942-10.95%0.0346✓0.9852k2022-09-26
KSMKusamaHydration45.8443.9732-4.07%42.14-8.07%0.0020✓0.99572k2022-09-26
ZENHorizenBase15.214.5741-4.12%14.07-7.43%0.0106✓1.11125k2022-09-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0446.753-4.13%6.559-6.89%0.0131✓1.0213.7M2022-09-26
XVGVergenative0.002920.002799-4.13%0.00324+10.96%0.1888✗1.03520k2022-09-26
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.04352-4.14%0.036747-19.06%0.1477✓0.5230k2022-09-26
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.119425-4.15%0.1242-0.32%0.0776✗0.931.9M2022-09-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.043265-4.24%0.0407-9.92%0.0327✓0.6916k2022-09-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.338187-4.25%0.2916-17.44%0.1016✓1.13152k2022-09-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001392-4.27%0.001452-0.14%0.0718✗0.729,7092022-09-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8752-4.33%1.585-19.13%0.0972✓1.7294k2022-09-26
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.1679-4.35%1.212-0.74%0.0880✗1.24518k2022-09-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.436832-4.35%0.4441-2.76%0.0626✗1.12386k2022-09-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.393939-4.38%0.394-4.37%0.0409✓0.998,1172022-09-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.744258-4.39%0.70255-9.75%0.0199✓0.92512k2022-09-26
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4022-4.46%1.475+0.50%0.0962✗1.11336k2022-09-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.23148-4.50%0.2696+11.22%0.1919✗0.9681k2022-09-26
ZECZcashZcash61.3658.578-4.53%58.95-3.93%0.0527✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.002902-4.56%0.002048-32.65%0.3121✓0.891.1M2022-09-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.0007-4.59%1.0038-4.29%0.0383✓0.8551k2022-09-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.012573-4.59%0.011701-11.21%0.0453✓0.651.4M2022-09-26
DASHDashDash45.1343.0507-4.61%41.71-7.58%0.0087✓0.98486k2022-09-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001532-4.61%0.00153-4.73%0.0389✓0.98538k2022-09-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.117876-4.63%0.1132-8.41%0.0169✓0.573.9M2022-09-26
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000035172-4.63%0.00004071+10.39%0.1831✗0.901.7M2022-09-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.248908-4.71%0.1168-55.28%0.7563✓0.0191k2022-09-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7037-4.71%1.7071-4.52%0.0463✓1.0733k2022-09-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.916887-4.79%0.9069-5.83%0.0121✓0.563.6M2022-09-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.045113-4.83%0.0388-18.14%0.1107✓0.97843k2022-09-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.627103-4.84%0.56-15.02%0.0641✓1.195.0M2022-09-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.048388-4.94%0.0407-20.04%0.1322✓0.99252k2022-09-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.651154-4.98%0.6407-6.51%0.0429✓1.44257k2022-09-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.144716-5.04%0.1414-7.22%0.0216✓1.091,7802022-09-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.749696-5.05%0.7403-6.24%0.0317✓1.082.0M2022-09-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.6908-5.14%1.169-34.41%0.3260✓1.051.2M2022-09-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37449.666-5.17%51.331-1.99%0.0634✗0.74332k2022-09-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.483364-5.22%0.467-8.43%0.0127✓1.1488k2022-09-26
FTTFTXEthereum25.824.4507-5.23%24.21-6.16%0.0296✓0.967.4M2022-09-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.338098-5.27%0.2991-16.20%0.0769✓1.11175k2022-09-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.264793-5.30%0.3116+11.44%0.2021✗0.953.3M2022-09-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3035.9684-5.31%6.234-1.09%0.0820✗0.935.2M2022-09-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.125171-5.32%0.12443-5.88%0.0439✓1.21210k2022-09-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008236-5.33%0.00685-21.26%0.1527✓0.776.4M2022-09-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.185.847-5.39%6.72+8.74%0.1566✗0.421.9M2022-09-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.3417-5.41%4.37-4.79%0.0259✓0.471.3M2022-09-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.185101-5.42%0.1605-17.99%0.1014✓1.00149k2022-09-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.280691-5.46%0.26843-9.59%0.0002✓1.09620k2022-09-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.12692.9508-5.63%2.8439-9.05%0.0047✓1.0127k2022-09-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000011467-5.70%0.00001112-8.55%0.0079✓0.94895k2022-09-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003667-5.73%0.00352-9.51%0.0001✓1.00152k2022-09-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3287-5.76%1.43+1.42%0.0719✗-0.04115k2022-09-26
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.4741-5.95%5.514+15.91%0.2654✗1.379.3M2022-09-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04790.984658-6.04%0.9298-11.27%0.0042✓1.494.7M2022-09-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.111.9821-6.06%1.78-15.64%0.0569✓1.23281k2022-09-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.878188-6.18%0.919-1.82%0.0957✗1.221.4M2022-09-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.033759-6.20%0.03052-15.20%0.0595✓1.0031k2022-09-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.1589-6.23%14.86+24.87%0.3331✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
STXStacksnative0.36380.340954-6.28%0.327-10.12%0.0064✓1.17432k2022-09-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007088-6.37%0.00697-7.93%0.0296✓1.13477k2022-09-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.261956-6.44%0.25-10.71%0.0170✓0.72772k2022-09-26
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.13e-7-6.53%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0040✓0.802.4M2022-09-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.785127-6.53%0.87+3.57%0.1195✗0.414.2M2022-09-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.294.9443-6.53%5.18-2.08%0.0639✓0.422.6M2022-09-26
HIVEHivenative0.53350.497256-6.79%0.4933-7.54%0.0286✓0.891.6M2022-09-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006282-6.79%0.006497-3.61%0.0516✓0.4458k2022-09-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17310.4033-6.89%13.903+24.43%0.3363✗1.1210.4M2022-09-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08591.9388-7.05%1.7631-15.48%0.0447✓1.2213k2022-09-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.4922-7.08%3.028+12.90%0.2220✗0.66650k2022-09-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.095913-7.15%0.1025-0.77%0.1114✗1.093.7M2022-09-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.4795-7.17%2.376-11.04%0.0073✓0.86749k2022-09-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.019187-7.19%0.019438-5.97%0.0472✓0.8313k2022-09-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.3635-7.27%5.677-1.85%0.0729✓0.395.3M2022-09-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.6293-7.32%1.39-20.93%0.1199✓0.94143k2022-09-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.315054-7.35%0.36544+7.47%0.1871✗0.94321k2022-09-26
FLOWFlownative1.8231.689-7.35%1.662-8.83%0.0387✓1.331.2M2022-09-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.677-7.40%2.327-19.51%0.0750✓1.583.8M2022-09-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.731444-7.41%0.8476+7.29%0.2065✗1.43161k2022-09-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.613822-7.42%0.591-10.86%0.0014✓0.89248k2022-09-26
PROPropyEthereum0.750.694344-7.42%0.62-17.33%0.0992✓0.3486k2022-09-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.2984-7.52%1.342-4.42%0.0815✗1.18130k2022-09-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.021291-7.55%0.02306+0.13%0.1150✗0.8613.0M2022-09-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.5064-7.58%1.347-17.36%0.0622✓1.2093k2022-09-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.290374-7.64%0.2826-10.11%0.0206✓1.16112k2022-09-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.1913-7.65%1.16-10.08%0.0128✓0.96170k2022-09-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.233.9003-7.79%3.87-8.51%0.0022✓0.142.3M2022-09-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16484.758-7.88%4.0724-21.15%0.1499✓0.14138k2022-09-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.363-8.00%5.694-2.32%0.0955✗0.8610.1M2022-09-26
METISMetisEthereum30.0527.6457-8.00%24.4-18.80%0.0472✓1.89327k2022-09-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.812.6906-8.04%12.5-9.42%0.0357✓1.231.1M2022-09-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.021357-8.09%0.025324+8.98%0.1754✗0.12258k2022-09-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2123.8711-8.09%3.902-7.36%0.0233✓0.372.0M2022-09-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.020772-8.13%0.01857-17.87%0.0809✓0.76444k2022-09-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.336.7334-8.14%6.46-11.87%0.0044✓1.11592k2022-09-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.504413-8.29%0.468-14.91%0.0299✓1.0984k2022-09-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.058918-8.34%0.06182-3.83%0.0940✗1.122.4M2022-09-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.47.6882-8.47%8.5+1.19%0.1192✗0.462.1M2022-09-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539111.4751-8.49%10.8942-13.12%0.0124✓0.9635k2022-09-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0250.937281-8.56%0.923-9.95%0.0564✓1.743.4M2022-09-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.225.6795-8.69%5.99-3.70%0.0708✓0.432.5M2022-09-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.200755-8.75%0.258+17.27%0.2845✗0.823.1M2022-09-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26553.8901-8.80%5.3321+25.01%0.3565✗1.00158k2022-09-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.244108-8.91%0.1587-40.78%0.3921✓0.94100k2022-09-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.256674-9.07%0.24056-14.78%0.0216✓1.0512k2022-09-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.657,966.23-9.30%8,333.34-5.12%0.1014✗1.376.8M2022-09-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.141.9408-9.31%1.99-7.01%0.0576✓0.79407k2022-09-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.2381-9.81%1.2-12.59%0.0071✓0.931.6M2022-09-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.091556-9.89%0.0831-18.21%0.0656✓0.76247k2022-09-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.3645-9.93%3.8697+3.60%0.1642✗0.593.7M2022-09-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5415.7908-9.97%14.93-14.88%0.0269✓0.71965k2022-09-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.054712-10.01%0.0562-7.57%0.0773✓1.23984k2022-09-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1734.3297-10.06%15.47-59.47%0.7619✓0.851.7M2022-09-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.076659-10.31%0.07321-14.34%0.0433✓0.07613k2022-09-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001227-10.41%0.001052-23.20%0.1213✓0.802.1M2022-09-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-76.76e-7-10.87%5.80e-7-23.56%0.1196✓0.82198k2022-09-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2594.6756-11.09%5.8779+11.77%0.2377✗0.215.2M2022-09-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08014.5075-11.27%7.0111+38.01%0.4522✗0.254.6M2022-09-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22711.6947-11.58%17.596+33.03%0.4284✗0.486.1M2022-09-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative3329.1157-11.77%28.46-13.76%0.0365✓1.4415.4M2022-09-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1343.6348-12.08%3.71-10.26%0.0607✓0.98245k2022-09-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.502661-12.63%0.4284-25.53%0.1262✓0.82625k2022-09-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000116742-12.81%0.0003091+130.84%1.0085✗0.85340k2022-09-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.