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2022-08-26 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0591
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4601-1.20%1.97-20.88%0.1847✓0.5193k2022-09-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.334246-1.61%0.3346-1.50%0.0921✗1.24191k2022-09-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.037134-1.84%0.03412-9.81%0.0246✓0.822,8422022-09-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.062195-2.10%0.061274-3.55%0.0614✗1.041.9M2022-09-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.036958-2.23%0.0409+8.20%0.1632✗0.8411k2022-09-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.503116-2.69%0.376-27.27%0.2010✓1.232,6092022-09-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.15737-2.80%0.1575-2.72%0.1021✗1.382,1742022-09-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.8872-2.82%1.589-18.18%0.0461✓1.72106k2022-09-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.098335-2.83%0.0892-11.86%0.0449✓0.723,6712022-09-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.149162-3.25%0.16721+8.45%0.2671✗2.086042022-09-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7219,556.81-3.38%18,808.61-7.08%0.0344✗1.00485.5M2022-09-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.537267-3.44%0.45533-18.17%0.0711✓1.2945k2022-09-25
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.9816-3.47%13.77-11.28%0.0025✓1.12130k2022-09-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.034549-3.50%0.0331-7.54%0.0257✓0.9386k2022-09-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7150.8493-3.53%52.55-0.30%0.1058✗0.9913.1M2022-09-25
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.355273-3.53%0.37615+2.14%0.1279✗0.9753k2022-09-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.204-3.59%1.1659-6.65%0.0367✗0.941.5M2022-09-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.150516-3.64%0.1352-13.44%0.0276✓1.091,8902022-09-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.061091-3.64%0.0564-11.04%0.0132✓0.91116k2022-09-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6213-3.66%1.593-5.35%0.0517✗0.95782k2022-09-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,452.51-3.68%1,294.63-14.15%0.0164✓1.34608.4M2022-09-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.063781-3.73%0.06309-4.77%0.0492✗0.829142022-09-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.099947-3.77%0.117358+13.00%0.2236✗0.867.8M2022-09-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.9582-3.77%1.695-16.71%0.0594✓1.1655k2022-09-25
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.059163-3.88%0.0597-3.01%0.0525✗0.59151k2022-09-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.322836-3.93%0.30082-10.48%0.0013✓0.9870k2022-09-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8019,772.56-3.96%18,700.00-9.17%0.0137✓0.9513k2022-09-25
SOLSolanaSolana31.7430.4751-3.99%32.33+1.86%0.1440✗1.1670.1M2022-09-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.082253-4.02%0.0811-5.37%0.0546✗0.9414k2022-09-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.233485-4.03%0.2691+10.60%0.2123✗0.9683k2022-09-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.134.921-4.07%4.7-8.38%0.0170✓0.861.6M2022-09-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.04776-4.10%0.0406-18.47%0.0890✓1.00251k2022-09-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.430657-4.11%0.4357-2.98%0.0940✗1.12400k2022-09-25
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.843898-4.11%0.784151-10.90%0.0140✓0.8184k2022-09-25
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.413872-4.13%0.4463+3.38%0.1519✗1.0440.7M2022-09-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.24e-7-4.15%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0047✓0.8217k2022-09-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.188947-4.23%0.16-18.91%0.0929✓1.00152k2022-09-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.5673-4.24%3.035+13.20%0.2160✗0.66653k2022-09-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.023546-4.28%0.02108-14.31%0.0166✓1.283,4352022-09-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1017-4.29%1.072-6.86%0.0452✗0.992.1M2022-09-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14944.9268-4.32%4.0999-20.38%0.1735✓0.14158k2022-09-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.316995-4.41%0.4743+43.03%0.4757✗0.99418k2022-09-25
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000035061-4.41%0.0000401+9.32%0.2000✗0.901.7M2022-09-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001496-4.45%0.001554-0.77%0.1100✗0.98558k2022-09-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008101-4.47%0.00683-19.46%0.1138✓0.776.4M2022-09-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.91474-4.50%0.8636-9.84%0.0317✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.13653-4.52%0.129-9.79%0.0177✓1.01190k2022-09-25
ZECZcashZcash61.158.2989-4.58%56.19-8.04%0.0463✓1.132.0M2022-09-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005284-4.59%0.004975-10.17%0.0109✓0.672,6192022-09-25
XVGVergenative0.003030.002889-4.66%0.00325+7.26%0.1936✗1.03537k2022-09-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.6912-4.67%1.7094-3.64%0.0901✗1.0838k2022-09-25
QNTQuantEthereum98.2393.49-4.83%116.27+18.37%0.2807✗0.853.5M2022-09-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.3963-4.84%5.717+0.81%0.1212✗0.8710.1M2022-09-25
DASHDashDash44.342.1529-4.85%41.11-7.20%0.0469✓0.98504k2022-09-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.118538-4.87%0.1109-11.00%0.0244✓0.584.1M2022-09-25
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.1635-4.87%1.22-0.25%0.1382✗1.24534k2022-09-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.161703-4.88%0.14748-13.25%0.0126✓1.08464k2022-09-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.044893-4.89%0.0373-20.97%0.1135✓0.98843k2022-09-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.4113-4.93%5.84+2.60%0.1040✗0.385.3M2022-09-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.629297-4.94%0.601-9.21%0.0231✓0.94304k2022-09-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.736717-4.95%0.7301-5.81%0.0709✗1.092.1M2022-09-25
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9243.6426-4.96%61.45+33.82%0.4330✗1.2414k2022-09-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.760363-4.97%0.8499+6.22%0.2164✗1.43193k2022-09-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.124935-4.98%0.12204-7.18%0.0664✗1.22210k2022-09-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.054541-4.98%0.0543-5.40%0.0619✗0.90104k2022-09-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.248083-4.99%0.1178-54.88%0.7442✓0.0191k2022-09-25
KSMKusamaHydration44.5242.2868-5.02%40.47-9.10%0.0290✓0.99610k2022-09-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.274406-5.08%0.268444-7.14%0.0582✗1.09696k2022-09-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.33745-5.10%0.295-17.04%0.0530✓1.11175k2022-09-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.635781-5.11%0.552-17.61%0.0475✓1.285.2M2022-09-25
XMRMoneroMonero142.81135.4688-5.14%141.32-1.04%0.1160✗1.001.2M2022-09-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019657-5.16%0.019355-6.61%0.0454✓0.8313k2022-09-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.0479-5.19%1.74-19.44%0.0722✓1.24299k2022-09-25
OPTIMOptimism1.0190.966056-5.20%0.904-11.29%0.0614✗1.743.5M2022-09-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.908994-5.23%0.9007-6.10%0.0320✓0.563.6M2022-09-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.1626-5.25%7.869+20.99%0.3229✗1.0719.5M2022-09-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1243.906-5.29%3.981-3.47%0.0463✓0.371.9M2022-09-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.212583-5.31%0.1759-21.65%0.0918✓1.33133k2022-09-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1545.8267-5.32%5.659-8.04%0.0669✗1.3110.3M2022-09-25
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7278.2827-5.36%73.64-10.98%0.0525✓1.556.7M2022-09-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.26589-5.37%0.24186-13.93%0.0178✓1.0512k2022-09-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.6459-5.43%6.13+2.68%0.1137✗0.432.5M2022-09-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.132018-5.43%0.138-1.15%0.1163✗0.98638k2022-09-25
STXStacksnative0.36120.341528-5.45%0.3268-9.52%0.0416✓1.17450k2022-09-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.066325-5.45%0.06038-13.93%0.0064✓1.1929k2022-09-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.267649-5.46%0.3884+37.20%0.4403✗0.937.6M2022-09-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.040932-5.47%0.0412-4.85%0.0787✗0.98180k2022-09-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.2328.727-5.47%8.909-3.50%0.0905✗0.951.8M2022-09-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.4881-5.47%3.974+7.70%0.1734✗0.593.5M2022-09-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.259001-5.47%0.25-8.76%0.0183✓0.73826k2022-09-25
FTTFTXEthereum25.9724.5435-5.49%23.5-9.51%0.0268✓0.967.5M2022-09-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006209-5.49%0.00478-27.25%0.2140✓0.651.2M2022-09-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.819761-5.50%0.79361-8.52%0.0394✓0.9813k2022-09-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05080.992792-5.52%0.955083-9.11%0.0242✓0.8653k2022-09-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.095033-5.53%0.0879-12.62%0.0229✓0.75247k2022-09-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.610915-5.58%0.573-11.44%0.0015✓0.89253k2022-09-25
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.04136-5.58%0.039806-9.13%0.0246✓0.8632k2022-09-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14749.1979-5.66%48.082-7.80%0.0318✓0.75340k2022-09-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.008-5.66%1.0388-2.78%0.1217✗1.25981k2022-09-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.539.9312-5.69%9.24-12.25%0.0148✓1.19466k2022-09-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.871999-5.73%0.919-0.65%0.1419✗1.221.4M2022-09-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.73339-5.75%0.69888-10.18%0.0192✓0.92523k2022-09-25
PROPropyEthereum0.730.687694-5.80%0.65-10.96%0.0306✓0.35105k2022-09-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.041962-5.87%0.04104-7.94%0.0288✓0.7016k2022-09-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2711.5391-5.96%13.81+12.55%0.2624✗1.131.9M2022-09-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.014914-5.96%0.0107-32.53%0.2830✓0.67171k2022-09-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.096732-5.99%0.0987-4.08%0.0840✗0.87238k2022-09-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.5369-6.04%2.367-12.33%0.0064✓0.86749k2022-09-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.533-6.06%1.21-25.86%0.1480✓1.2196k2022-09-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.3839-6.07%10.7033-11.69%0.0092✓0.9639k2022-09-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3014-6.10%1.35-2.60%0.1231✗1.18130k2022-09-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2111-6.12%1.13-12.40%0.0013✓0.96182k2022-09-25
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.207759-6.12%0.2183-1.36%0.1163✗0.91528k2022-09-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.00367-6.14%0.00353-9.72%0.0341✓1.00158k2022-09-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.083237-6.16%0.1073+20.97%0.3239✗0.95430k2022-09-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.7976-6.17%8.41+1.20%0.1087✗0.452.3M2022-09-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.12052.9279-6.17%2.7901-10.59%0.0260✓1.0128k2022-09-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.1573-6.17%15.04-12.66%0.0195✓0.711.2M2022-09-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.234.9059-6.20%5.36+2.49%0.1182✗0.402.8M2022-09-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.261875-6.21%0.2739-1.90%0.1150✗0.963.4M2022-09-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.661399-6.22%0.618-12.38%0.0376✓1.44258k2022-09-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.056169-6.23%0.0464-22.54%0.1073✓1.14258k2022-09-25
GTGateEthereum4.37994.1068-6.24%4.2146-3.77%0.0823✗0.77827k2022-09-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.0308-6.25%1.7195-20.62%0.0765✓1.2313k2022-09-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001393-6.25%0.001431-3.70%0.0797✗0.729,9742022-09-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.4886-6.26%6.206-10.34%0.0309✓1.0314.0M2022-09-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.447237-6.30%0.4159-12.86%0.0122✓0.82625k2022-09-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.1867-6.34%4.61+3.13%0.1304✗0.461.3M2022-09-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.034547-6.35%0.02945-20.17%0.0861✓1.0031k2022-09-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.363247-6.36%0.3536-8.84%0.0556✓1.1289k2022-09-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.476325-6.42%0.458-10.02%0.0448✓1.1488k2022-09-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.04256-6.46%0.037449-17.69%0.0899✓0.5233k2022-09-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.5466-6.48%2.321-14.76%0.0236✓1.594.0M2022-09-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6819.3324-6.52%17.32-16.25%0.0153✓1.2923.6M2022-09-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.112821-6.53%0.1275+5.63%0.1975✗1.0233k2022-09-25
METISMetisEthereum31.129.0429-6.61%23.75-23.63%0.0630✓1.88348k2022-09-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.002913-6.62%0.002104-32.56%0.2600✓0.891.1M2022-09-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16108.4489-6.64%113.48-2.31%0.1286✗1.134.9M2022-09-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006219-6.70%0.006393-4.08%0.0597✓0.4457k2022-09-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.021632-6.75%0.025743+10.97%0.1827✗0.12250k2022-09-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.309814-6.77%0.2916-12.25%0.0243✓1.16112k2022-09-25
FLOWFlownative1.8511.7256-6.77%1.644-11.18%0.0491✓1.331.2M2022-09-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.3586-6.77%5.911+2.84%0.1667✗0.935.2M2022-09-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,367.49-6.84%8,084.45-9.99%0.0653✓1.367.3M2022-09-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74410.9397-6.85%18.429+56.92%0.5567✗0.484.8M2022-09-25
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.118525-6.89%0.1222-4.01%0.1015✗0.971.9M2022-09-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000011568-6.93%0.00001103-11.26%0.0216✓0.94948k2022-09-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.0037-6.95%5.704+32.57%0.4273✗1.00169k2022-09-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.012403-6.95%0.011757-11.80%0.0066✓0.641.4M2022-09-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.020327-7.01%0.02274+4.03%0.1743✗0.8513.4M2022-09-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.193488-7.07%0.1962-5.76%0.0887✗1.0266k2022-09-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.400479-7.08%0.397-7.89%0.0638✓0.998,3142022-09-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.2631-7.12%1.43+5.15%0.1213✗-0.04124k2022-09-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.095103-7.13%0.1012-1.17%0.1426✗1.103.9M2022-09-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.312.3476-7.16%12.39-6.84%0.0938✗1.231.2M2022-09-25
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.376-7.20%1.4603-1.52%0.1405✗1.10355k2022-09-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2253.92-7.22%3.81-9.82%0.0436✓0.98269k2022-09-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001275-7.28%0.001035-24.67%0.1490✓0.802.0M2022-09-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.06e-7-7.36%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0129✓0.802.4M2022-09-25
HIVEHivenative0.53430.494852-7.38%0.4965-7.07%0.0682✓0.881.6M2022-09-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007084-7.40%0.0069-9.80%0.0563✓1.13503k2022-09-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.7082-7.44%6.5495+28.76%0.3454✗0.215.1M2022-09-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.326.77-7.51%6.34-13.39%0.0160✓1.11638k2022-09-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3934.5141-7.69%15.23-59.27%0.7546✓0.871.8M2022-09-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.021531-7.75%0.01924-17.57%0.0555✓0.78444k2022-09-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.503624-7.76%0.465-14.84%0.0005✓1.0996k2022-09-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.243928-7.78%0.1614-38.98%0.3441✓0.94106k2022-09-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.5887-7.82%1.163-32.52%0.2357✓1.041.2M2022-09-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.564-7.88%6.91+14.40%0.2476✗0.422.1M2022-09-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.058216-7.90%0.06083-3.77%0.1262✗1.122.4M2022-09-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.191101-7.99%0.2555+23.01%0.3504✗0.822.8M2022-09-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.6312-8.00%1.389-21.66%0.0914✓0.94145k2022-09-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.3904-8.03%5.722+19.86%0.3652✗1.379.8M2022-09-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.852122-8.18%0.862-7.11%0.0417✓0.414.2M2022-09-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1493.8087-8.20%4.058-2.19%0.0735✓0.142.4M2022-09-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.364711-8.43%0.2949-25.96%0.1309✓1.11152k2022-09-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9131.0265-8.50%28.38-16.31%0.0165✓1.4416.0M2022-09-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000112509-8.57%0.00019608+59.34%0.6189✗0.86340k2022-09-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.310706-8.62%0.38138+12.17%0.2743✗0.95321k2022-09-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.057132-8.74%0.055-12.14%0.0517✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.07779-8.76%0.07522-11.78%0.0288✓0.07637k2022-09-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05290.959144-8.90%0.8882-15.64%0.0328✓1.494.9M2022-09-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55410.4959-9.16%13.976+20.96%0.3687✗1.1210.4M2022-09-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.0395-9.36%2.03-9.78%0.0534✓0.79451k2022-09-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.3083-10.02%7.7616+62.10%0.6071✗0.254.2M2022-09-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-76.67e-7-11.88%4.79e-7-36.69%0.2707✓0.82192k2022-09-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.