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2022-08-20 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1400
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.6%
in alpha space · 68.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.8949.9657-8.52%13.227+21.42%0.3054✗0.421.4M2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.50e-7-7.89%7.59e-7+7.47%0.1948✗0.76164k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.2958-6.96%5.259-7.61%0.0015✓0.162.1M2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.7039-6.87%4.23-16.25%0.1032✓0.062.1M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36064.1217-5.48%5.0801+16.50%0.2168✗0.142.1M2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.7468-4.39%4.134+5.49%0.1478✗0.92127k2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001446-4.02%0.00137-9.11%0.0129✓0.781.6M2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.087935-3.97%0.08547-6.66%0.0237✓0.09959k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.3619-3.56%3.7353+7.15%0.1336✗0.531.5M2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.3289-3.52%4.212-6.13%0.0083✓0.361.6M2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9027-3.30%4.59-9.47%0.0435✓0.421.1M2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.607-3.18%8.4-5.51%0.0009✓0.442.2M2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.2124-3.05%5.784-9.74%0.0646✓0.134.5M2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6640.3941-3.04%38.17-8.38%0.0068✓0.931.8M2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2020,489.93-3.03%19,933.00-5.66%0.0233✓0.957,5932022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.3253-2.90%1.3728+0.58%0.0876✗0.981.2M2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3425-2.80%2.14-11.20%0.0445✓0.86833k2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.00008569-2.70%0.0001339+52.04%0.4933✗0.88327k2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.036461-2.64%0.03599-3.90%0.0403✗1.0023k2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.594921-2.63%0.55-9.98%0.0185✓1.12103k2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017252-2.53%0.01518-14.24%0.0935✓0.64155k2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.6752-2.49%5.29-9.11%0.0510✓0.362.9M2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.021947-2.45%0.023238+3.28%0.0640✗0.13240k2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.0000126-2.40%0.00001216-5.81%0.0131✓0.91827k2022-08-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.7237-2.30%4.2655+11.91%0.1894✗1.00169k2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.261559-2.26%0.268+0.15%0.0769✗0.98145k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.233806-2.17%0.2201-7.91%0.0126✓1.36110k2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.8169-2.16%1.758-5.33%0.0182✓0.96156k2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.388-2.02%6.18-5.21%0.0122✓0.391.3M2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7511-2.01%1.7824-0.26%0.0772✗1.11667k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.437-1.97%12.5391-8.52%0.0182✓0.9544k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.03878-1.97%0.03828-3.24%0.0313✗0.832,6252022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4118.0474-1.97%17.54-4.73%0.0092✓0.701.8M2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038645-1.92%0.0348-11.68%0.0529✓0.9777k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.059097-1.83%0.0569-5.48%0.0136✓0.96112k2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.021168-1.82%0.020673-4.11%0.0203✗0.8213k2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.2181-1.77%6.22-1.74%0.0206✗0.381.9M2022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.360125-1.77%–pending––0.911922022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.01443-1.76%0.013178-10.28%0.0585✓0.601.9M2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001421-1.72%0.001454+0.55%0.0608✗0.719,7092022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006738-1.71%0.00674-1.68%0.0255✗0.4757k2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.180158-1.66%0.22+20.09%0.2438✗0.821.3M2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3672-1.64%1.41+1.44%0.0288✗-0.04105k2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.786911-1.51%0.6853-14.23%0.0619✓1.42398k2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.064879-1.49%0.062935-4.44%0.0013✓0.59179k2022-08-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.0017-1.48%0.001606-6.95%0.0107✓0.87806k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0452.268-1.46%52.374-1.26%0.0415✗0.74349k2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.29297-1.44%0.28228-5.03%0.0193✗1.0513k2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.848839-1.44%0.79-8.27%0.0080✓1.49224k2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.075938-1.43%0.0675-12.38%0.0542✓1.1929k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.549039-1.43%0.51-8.44%0.0131✓1.1390k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.456527-1.40%0.412-11.02%0.0487✓1.019,8012022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.300927-1.38%0.34004+11.44%0.1706✗0.90366k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.137231-1.34%0.1322-4.95%0.0282✗1.22250k2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0511-1.33%0.963-9.59%0.0579✓0.554.3M2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.560143-1.29%0.54155-4.57%0.0352✗1.2946k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.067991-1.29%0.06819-1.00%0.0465✗0.819772022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005792-1.27%0.005618-4.23%0.0064✓0.692,6422022-08-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.59e-7-1.23%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0552✗0.803.3M2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.25177-1.23%0.2424-4.90%0.0129✗0.9583k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07695.0166-1.19%5.1648+1.73%0.0367✗0.14171k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.54280.536457-1.17%0.5335-1.71%0.0424✗0.891.9M2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.066067-1.10%0.0608-8.98%0.0182✓1.211.3M2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5457-1.10%1.4676-6.10%0.0077✓1.11494k2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.366192-1.08%0.32976-10.92%0.0458✓1.10426k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.120994-1.07%0.1186-3.03%0.0348✗1.0239k2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.23610.127-1.06%11.173+9.15%0.1571✗1.1010.8M2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.048604-1.06%0.0454-7.58%0.0400✓0.5330k2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.061.0488-1.05%–pending––1.1112k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.71e-7-1.03%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0531✗0.8018k2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.7955-1.01%2.671-5.42%0.0010✓0.83749k2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.179206-0.99%0.171-5.52%0.0101✗1.06608k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039907-0.98%0.0366-9.18%0.0380✓0.9111k2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.102404-0.96%0.1016-1.74%0.0305✗0.72220k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum26.6926.4345-0.96%25.8-3.33%0.0267✗0.958.6M2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.8468-0.95%1.7879-4.11%0.0241✗1.0636k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.287296-0.93%0.28-3.45%0.0133✗0.73878k2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.061129-0.93%0.0604-2.11%0.0480✗1.12303k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.43554.3947-0.92%4.376-1.34%0.0368✗0.77836k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.166757-0.92%0.1524-9.45%0.0360✓1.011,7442022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.068807-0.90%0.063422-8.65%0.0267✓1.021.9M2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.007186-0.89%0.00757+4.41%0.1096✗1.07435k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.715746-0.87%0.659-8.73%0.0087✓1.384.8M2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009161-0.86%0.0087-5.84%0.0114✓0.756.2M2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.396411-0.86%0.36774-8.03%0.0245✓0.9470k2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.218872-0.83%0.2067-6.34%0.0031✓1.0172k2022-08-27
DASHDashDash45.7545.3862-0.80%45.13-1.36%0.0464✗0.97521k2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.7185-0.78%2.47-9.85%0.0693✓0.5093k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.353245-0.78%0.33622-5.56%0.0025✓0.9795k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.299338-0.78%0.296889-1.59%0.0501✗1.09884k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.3009-0.76%9.134-2.54%0.0326✗0.951.9M2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038699-0.75%0.00003688-5.41%0.0011✓0.881.8M2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum104.84104.0649-0.74%94.38-9.98%0.0528✓0.843.4M2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.108893-0.74%0.1015-7.47%0.0245✓0.86274k2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.259452-0.71%0.2612-0.04%0.0072✗0.0181k2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.00708-0.70%0.0066-7.43%0.0354✓0.651.3M2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2348.886-0.70%46.09-6.38%0.0067✓1.2316k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.153.7346-0.68%53.03-1.98%0.0401✗0.9913.1M2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.38960.387039-0.66%0.3638-6.62%0.0026✓1.11493k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.367503-0.65%0.3492-5.60%0.0163✗1.26223k2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.128.0697-0.62%7.33-9.73%0.0362✓1.12638k2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.863645-0.62%0.936+7.71%0.1450✗1.211.1M2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.514133-0.59%0.5753+11.23%0.1569✗0.83713k2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0573.0393-0.58%2.682-12.27%0.0910✓0.64803k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.166379-0.55%0.1693+1.20%0.0894✗1.341,3642022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726248-0.51%0.75+2.74%0.0531✗0.39105k2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.095113-0.51%0.0908-5.02%0.0035✓0.93430k2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.044858-0.50%0.044708-0.83%0.0419✗0.8534k2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.851-0.49%4.87-17.18%0.1378✓0.851.6M2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.00413-0.49%0.00389-6.27%0.0061✓1.00152k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.282826-0.48%0.2796-1.62%0.0395✗0.953.6M2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0659-0.46%1.0488-2.06%0.0303✗0.8756k2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.0263-0.45%0.02469-6.55%0.0047✗1.273,2032022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.045598-0.44%0.0436-4.80%0.0073✗0.97201k2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6812.6241-0.44%11.9-6.15%0.0005✓1.112.6M2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2147-0.43%1.146-6.07%0.0056✓0.982.2M2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.23209-0.43%0.2211-5.15%0.0001✓0.90550k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.369821-0.40%0.3569-3.88%0.0218✗1.07175k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1314.074-0.40%13.8-2.34%0.0458✗1.221.4M2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.673328-0.40%0.652-3.55%0.0171✗0.92333k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.892977-0.39%0.882839-1.53%0.0302✗0.7877k2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8332.704-0.38%33+0.52%0.0851✗1.4216.5M2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.156259-0.38%0.15762+0.48%0.1220✗2.126672022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.8531-0.37%1.69-9.14%0.0429✓0.92657k2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana35.2935.1637-0.36%31.54-10.63%0.0466✓1.1675.2M2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.299278-0.34%0.2889-3.80%0.0143✗0.938.2M2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.130555-0.34%0.1246-4.89%0.0061✗0.992.1M2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.022365-0.34%0.02261+0.76%0.0574✗0.87444k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.019.9764-0.34%10-0.10%0.0655✗1.18318k2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.449825-0.33%0.45-0.29%0.0565✗1.0542.0M2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero149.22148.7503-0.31%145.16-2.72%0.0286✗0.991.2M2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2321,081.11-0.27%20,036.69-5.22%0.0028✗1.00469.5M2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.5208-0.27%1.404-7.93%0.0153✓1.21156k2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003280.003272-0.24%0.00292-10.98%0.0579✓1.04520k2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.473221-0.21%0.4567-3.69%0.0237✗1.11386k2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.106225-0.16%0.1035-2.73%0.0123✗0.713,9702022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3566-0.14%2.11-10.59%0.0448✓1.23259k2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.3423-0.11%3.1269-6.55%0.0142✓0.9848k2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.06583-0.11%0.0639-3.03%0.0199✗0.93126k2022-08-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.202101-0.10%0.1957-3.26%0.0214✗1.00146k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.050275-0.05%0.0474-5.77%0.0067✓0.97827k2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78114.7431-0.03%115.26+0.42%0.0637✗1.105.0M2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.568824-0.03%0.509-10.54%0.0452✓1.232,9182022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1697-0.03%1.0612-9.30%0.0318✓1.221.1M2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003393-0.01%0.003041-10.37%0.0648✓0.831.0M2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7982.7891-0.00%82.11-0.82%0.0730✗1.526.4M2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.10904+0.02%0.105594-3.14%0.0143✓0.877.4M2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.084926+0.03%0.0845-0.47%0.0470✓0.979,9252022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.045176+0.04%0.04518+0.04%0.0379✓0.7116k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.3087+0.06%6.303-0.03%0.0491✓0.935.3M2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.3158+0.08%2.0859-9.86%0.0392✗1.2213k2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.832715+0.11%0.77842-6.42%0.0178✗0.93560k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.709489+0.21%0.663-6.36%0.0204✗0.88271k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash62.9263.0648+0.23%61.36-2.48%0.0329✓1.132.0M2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.1575+0.25%2.028-5.76%0.0000✓1.1660k2022-08-27
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.1344+0.30%1.025-9.37%0.0095✗1.723.7M2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.384973+0.31%0.3532-7.97%0.0173✗1.28190k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.6986+0.33%45.84-5.56%0.0086✗0.97560k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3447+0.35%1.29-3.73%0.0104✓0.97182k2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.052491+0.37%0.0509-2.68%0.0231✓1.00253k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.9022+0.39%15.2-4.04%0.0139✓1.10125k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0445+0.44%0.9661-7.11%0.0133✗1.211.1M2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.945666+0.45%0.86406-8.22%0.0383✗0.9712k2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum32.4532.6052+0.48%30.05-7.40%0.0179✓1.86383k2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.322.4181+0.53%20.04-10.13%0.0424✗1.3024.7M2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.847787+0.57%0.84-0.36%0.0147✓0.454.4M2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0365.0672+0.62%4.757-5.54%0.0090✓1.3510.9M2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.10358+0.66%0.1033+0.39%0.0545✓1.073.8M2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0047.051+0.67%6.056-13.54%0.0838✗1.2810.7M2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.147989+0.67%0.1419-3.47%0.0123✓1.01149k2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.6068+0.67%1.63+2.13%0.0787✓1.20126k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.123468+0.71%0.1236+0.82%0.0315✓0.574.1M2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.867868+0.72%0.7896-8.37%0.0366✗1.082.2M2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.068804+0.75%0.06428-5.87%0.0081✗1.122.4M2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.150452+0.77%0.1404-5.96%0.0159✗0.99616k2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative2.1242.1406+0.78%1.823-14.17%0.0905✗1.311.2M2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.9569+0.80%6.531-5.38%0.0060✓1.0719.5M2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.413983+0.87%0.376-8.38%0.0371✗1.1074k2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.1146+0.89%1.96-6.49%0.0156✓1.71122k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.618,620.31+0.95%8,782.65+2.85%0.0916✓1.367.3M2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2287.302+1.02%7.044-2.55%0.0186✓1.0214.0M2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,592.06+1.03%1,491.22-5.37%0.0056✓1.33534.1M2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.313887+1.09%0.3144+1.26%0.0626✓1.14110k2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99951.0106+1.11%1.0479+4.84%0.1141✓1.455.0M2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.021775+1.18%0.02303+7.02%0.1044✓0.9013.9M2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2496.3232+1.19%5.829-6.72%0.0359✗0.8510.1M2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.3148+1.22%1.221-6.00%0.0076✓1.24518k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.8066+2.21%2.891+5.28%0.1130✓1.565.1M2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.