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2022-08-07 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2515
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.3%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.031937-21.28%0.02171-46.49%0.1716✓1.02159k2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.417169-11.11%0.296-36.93%0.1053✓1.1380k2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum44.2239.7619-10.08%28.84-34.78%0.0718✓1.87293k2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.6242.3646-9.88%1.772-32.47%0.0223✓1.27505k2022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.7607-9.66%2.136-30.10%0.0536✓1.4813k2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.7008-9.29%2.791-31.59%0.0724✓1.695.2M2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.278-8.87%1.0359-26.13%0.1081✗1.526.4M2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.09778-8.85%0.05773-46.18%0.2165✓1.481.2M2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5410,432.14-8.80%8,612.34-24.71%0.1036✗1.415.2M2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297316.7074-8.69%12.1746-33.46%0.0849✓1.1053k2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.09953-8.69%0.1124+3.12%0.2824✗0.77163k2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.693307-8.66%0.475-37.42%0.0754✓1.44135k2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.031397-8.62%0.01917-44.21%0.2179✓1.3113.9M2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1920.31-8.47%16.78-24.38%0.0324✓0.762.6M2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2086.5978-8.47%4.301-40.33%0.0931✓1.6011.9M2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.2529-8.44%5.919-13.33%0.0361✓0.432.7M2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.072752-8.37%0.0605-23.80%0.0534✓1.131.3M2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.2744-8.29%2.26-8.87%0.2195✗1.08507k2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.8084-8.22%2.1-31.37%0.0091✓1.43234k2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.49070.451476-7.99%0.3401-30.69%0.0290✓1.21808k2022-09-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4829.8983-7.95%15.93-50.95%0.3212✓1.471.1M2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.0866-7.94%5.829-33.64%0.0383✓1.389.9M2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.0966-7.91%5.599-36.32%0.1617✓0.994.0M2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8815.5598-7.82%14.19-15.94%0.1943✗1.372.6M2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.1851-7.80%1.457-38.52%0.1325✓1.30160k2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4917.0492-7.79%13.11-29.10%0.0103✓1.301.4M2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.078727-7.73%0.07402-13.24%0.0051✓0.271.1M2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.8453-7.65%1.395-30.18%0.0089✓1.38234k2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.2101-7.59%6.6193+90.56%0.8786✗0.741.7M2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.630377-7.57%0.482-29.33%0.0143✓1.3590k2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.331236-7.51%0.26857-25.01%0.0523✓1.2513k2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21832.977-7.50%7.2344+124.79%1.0216✗0.641.2M2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.805783-7.49%0.614-29.51%0.0852✗1.704.3M2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.2751-7.44%8.6-3.80%0.1112✗0.351.8M2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.7154-7.39%2.889-27.99%0.0743✓0.85976k2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.7718-7.33%1.095-42.73%0.0724✓1.953.1M2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04390.967748-7.29%1.0186-2.42%0.2797✗1.09933k2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7134.9655-7.28%34.44-8.67%0.2849✗1.4313.0M2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum126.46117.2888-7.25%90.03-28.81%0.0714✓0.924.5M2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.0247-7.25%1.727-20.89%0.0756✗1.12225k2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.059691-7.17%0.0453-29.55%0.0149✓1.24799k2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.236898-7.14%0.1524-40.26%0.1757✓1.271,5612022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.119241-7.06%0.0977-23.85%0.0859✗1.362.9M2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.865289-7.06%0.6322-32.09%0.0241✓1.61462k2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.524604-6.92%0.3016-46.49%0.2774✓1.32232k2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008441-6.83%0.00747-17.55%0.1329✗1.22421k2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.800074-6.75%0.624-27.27%0.0026✓1.17246k2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.2926-6.73%3.885+58.06%0.7138✗0.8992k2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4016-6.56%1.1464-23.57%0.0897✗1.391.2M2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.165766-6.53%0.13097-26.15%0.0844✗1.53207k2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.021979-6.44%0.019706-16.11%0.0902✗0.9512k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001116-6.42%0.001265+6.09%0.3733✗1.181.3M2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.445047-6.35%0.36615-22.95%0.0544✓0.6770k2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.170442-6.30%0.1191-34.52%0.1076✓1.203.3M2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.843-6.26%2.544-16.12%0.1038✗1.02585k2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.8044-6.25%3.962-2.37%0.1621✗0.581.6M2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87858.0122-6.25%49.549-19.92%0.0086✓0.79306k2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.098175-6.23%0.0785-25.02%0.0147✓1.145,6912022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.556272-6.15%0.4434-25.19%0.0161✓1.16303k2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000093441-6.15%0.00037885+280.52%1.7752✗1.79466k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration65.4261.4133-6.12%45.56-30.36%0.0595✓1.14419k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8559.9536-6.10%45.35-28.97%0.0086✓1.3738k2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.7735-6.06%1.433-24.10%0.0388✓1.20530k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.322308-6.06%0.2593-24.42%0.0201✓1.133.6M2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2497.7529-6.01%6.22-24.60%0.0312✓1.206.8M2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.201717-6.00%0.1824-15.00%0.1958✗1.411,1742022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.0967-5.96%0.938-19.57%0.0136✓0.814.1M2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.4269-5.95%6.09+5.55%0.2227✗0.51964k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.149429-5.90%0.1271-19.96%0.0139✓0.843.6M2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.930389-5.88%0.8135-17.70%0.2287✗1.73296k2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.1955-5.88%1.6996-27.14%0.0114✓1.1738k2022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.518723-5.86%0.399-27.59%0.0285✓1.1114k2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.815-5.80%4.417+47.80%0.6272✗0.841.2M2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37410.7248-5.71%11.775+3.53%0.3674✗1.3113.7M2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.6728.9465-5.62%25.64-16.40%0.0786✗0.959.1M2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0001-5.61%0.73689-30.45%0.0436✓1.25532k2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001633-5.57%0.001469-15.04%0.0944✗0.958,9342022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.626943-5.57%0.5082-23.45%0.0159✓1.08726k2022-09-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0506-5.56%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.453973-5.54%0.3263-32.11%0.0583✓1.30155k2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.1085-5.54%14.54-24.15%0.0530✓1.30118k2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7097-5.49%1.182-34.66%0.0760✓1.40371k2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.4847-5.44%6.8-32.20%0.0510✓1.34385k2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.767196-5.40%0.439-45.87%0.2652✓1.402,7022022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.299842-5.40%0.33208+4.77%0.3120✗1.00366k2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.65136-5.38%0.5036-26.85%0.0512✓1.4769k2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.069552-5.37%0.0558-24.08%0.0234✓0.94158k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.0099-5.35%0.00852-18.55%0.0432✓0.925.1M2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.143225-5.34%0.185+22.27%0.4685✗1.011.1M2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.166425-5.33%0.1307-25.65%0.0021✓1.16529k2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1473.9293-5.25%4.174+0.65%0.1598✗0.471.9M2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015117-5.24%0.012145-23.87%0.0444✓0.832.1M2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.0792-5.23%0.7744-31.99%0.0459✓1.361.7M2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7163-5.18%1.23-32.04%0.0693✓1.26132k2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.41144-5.15%0.31421-27.57%0.0308✓1.14124k2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.213439-5.14%0.15955-29.09%0.0064✓1.42703k2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.3684-4.98%5.2-7.96%0.0788✗0.532.1M2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.322156-4.97%0.25-26.25%0.0410✓1.011.1M2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.257661-4.96%0.2232-17.67%0.0812✗1.0765k2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.32e-7-4.92%8.70e-7-11.22%0.0823✗0.7225k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.8216-4.90%4.37-13.81%0.0296✓0.611.3M2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.560224-4.84%0.3885-34.01%0.1299✓1.1346k2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.59910.570215-4.82%0.5213-12.99%0.1457✗1.122.1M2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.293178-4.81%0.2418-21.49%0.0371✓1.10300k2022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004484-4.81%0.00379-19.53%0.0955✗1.26102k2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.4625-4.75%11.915+154.32%1.0723✗0.431.2M2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.6238.7037-4.72%30.87-24.00%0.0566✗1.3579.4M2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.043649-4.72%0.03561-22.27%0.0098✓0.922,3482022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.05246-4.71%0.040185-27.01%0.1424✓0.5926k2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.079923-4.70%0.06801-18.90%0.1125✗1.3129k2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002178-4.66%0.001603-29.85%0.0969✓1.001.2M2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.840.80111-4.63%0.71-15.48%0.0006✓0.5878k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.769988-4.59%0.608-24.66%0.0432✓0.92380k2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.057837-4.56%0.0473-21.95%0.0790✗1.34179k2022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.503686-4.55%0.4626-12.34%0.1571✗1.1539.5M2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.09193.9064-4.54%2.9851-27.05%0.0423✓1.0853k2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.113825-4.51%0.0892-25.17%0.0079✓1.20529k2022-09-06
DASHDashDash53.3550.9557-4.49%42.68-20.00%0.0490✗1.08552k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.22853-4.46%0.2009-16.01%0.1879✗1.5189k2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011485-4.45%0.00001199-0.25%0.2804✗1.13926k2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003740.003575-4.42%0.00295-21.12%0.0741✗1.27534k2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3196.8713-4.38%83.58-17.50%0.1943✗1.639.9M2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.049318-4.33%0.041181-20.12%0.0476✗1.0937k2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1154-4.31%0.80255-31.15%0.1023✓1.0812k2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.33957-4.20%0.272462-23.14%0.0331✓1.211.0M2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0646-4.18%0.94-15.39%0.0015✓0.602.1M2022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.505-4.14%1.47-6.37%0.0262✓0.24207k2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000043449-4.13%0.00004054-10.55%0.1563✗1.081.8M2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.6771-4.12%1.774-36.46%0.0391✓1.78126k2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.076444-4.07%0.06355-20.25%0.0314✓0.738502022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.926.7637-4.07%18.21-34.73%0.0589✓1.5529.2M2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003284-4.06%0.002767-19.16%0.0292✓0.961.0M2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.3055-4.06%6.874-20.60%0.0569✗1.1711.0M2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.34146-4.06%0.2855-19.78%0.0452✗1.078.2M2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.6853-4.03%1.947-30.41%0.0316✓1.3848k2022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.01908-3.99%0.025115+26.38%0.3374✗0.30173k2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.031722-3.93%0.03333+0.94%0.2960✗1.1814k2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0142-3.86%0.84826-19.59%0.0074✓0.8951k2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.121557-3.83%0.1014-19.78%0.0288✓1.00398k2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,226.42-3.83%18,917.90-18.14%0.0445✗0.9812k2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.410849-3.83%0.31667-25.87%0.0080✓1.28507k2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.05173-3.81%0.04195-22.00%0.0281✓0.8616k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1258.7961-3.80%54.12-11.45%0.1497✗1.1113.5M2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.2991-3.76%9.48-19.25%0.0779✗1.21263k2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.448553-3.74%0.431-7.51%0.2803✗1.53207k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.086001-3.69%0.0592-33.71%0.1393✓1.12124k2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0124-3.67%1.597-23.55%0.0046✓1.12606k2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017231-3.63%0.01183-33.84%0.2135✓0.78175k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.049346-3.62%0.0358-30.08%0.0589✓1.2510k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3737-3.60%1.103-22.60%0.0363✓1.222.5M2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008074-3.54%0.00551-34.17%0.2231✓0.761.6M2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5197-3.50%1.6782+6.57%0.3921✗1.40619k2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.011-3.49%1.96-37.18%0.3239✓0.50116k2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98136.1332-3.44%112.17-20.44%0.0536✗1.184.7M2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3922,397.27-3.37%18,790.91-18.93%0.0342✓1.00414.2M2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero164.87159.3262-3.36%144.79-12.18%0.1235✗1.041.1M2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.132783-3.36%0.116-15.57%0.1170✗1.2061k2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.8419-3.28%6.26+3.64%0.1923✗0.59887k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.622-3.19%4.52-33.92%0.1164✓1.271.4M2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.042704-3.17%0.0348-21.09%0.0372✗1.1577k2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.39e-7-3.16%8.70e-7-10.31%0.0976✗0.836.0M2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.1785-3.10%0.977259-19.65%0.0277✓1.0243k2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.0847-3.06%6.659-20.16%0.0608✗1.2116.7M2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.066863-3.04%0.058897-14.59%0.1105✗1.131.6M2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash70.2668.1384-3.02%57.93-17.55%0.0948✗1.231.8M2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.2795-2.99%0.8793-33.34%0.1149✓1.241.1M2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.251789-2.97%0.2072-20.15%0.0335✗1.09766k2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006147-2.90%0.006199-2.08%0.1151✗0.5148k2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.251977-2.90%0.1963-24.35%0.0071✓1.1698k2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006288-2.89%0.005724-11.60%0.0707✗0.784,5222022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.76024.6245-2.85%3.9648-16.71%0.0062✓0.76887k2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.0677-2.81%0.060766-12.77%0.0209✓0.61279k2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.030909-2.56%0.02333-26.45%0.0103✓1.291,3502022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.120728-2.54%0.099872-19.38%0.0148✓0.977.0M2022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.34e-7-2.52%7.89e-7+130.63%1.0467✗0.88150k2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.191138-2.47%0.15332-21.77%0.2595✗2.291,0642022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.053098-2.39%0.0433-20.40%0.0486✗1.20256k2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,661.42-2.29%1,559.28-8.30%0.2130✗1.32407.7M2022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.381479-2.28%0.3-23.16%0.0434✓0.941492022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.3609-2.27%9.033-14.80%0.0905✗1.091.9M2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.734317-2.22%0.907+20.77%0.4761✗1.26963k2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.059161-2.21%0.052-14.05%0.1679✗1.42339k2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.127497-1.47%0.0961-25.73%0.0626✓1.054,5002022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.257597-1.46%0.1539-41.12%0.5124✓0.0131k2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.8292-1.43%5.1426+4.97%0.1003✗0.18234k2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.160211-0.98%0.1322-18.29%0.0521✗1.16102k2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.