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2022-08-06 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1928
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-10.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.6%
in alpha space · 84.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.067467-1.71%0.062695-8.66%0.1016✗1.181.6M2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.075741-2.14%0.1303+68.35%0.6509✗0.73159k2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.8333-2.36%5.0514+2.05%0.0699✗0.17228k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash67.6565.9371-2.53%63.41-6.27%0.1491✗1.271.7M2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.049192-2.59%0.0367-27.33%0.1011✓1.2910k2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006153-2.71%0.00602-4.80%0.1060✗0.864,5222022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,326.84-2.76%19,794.58-13.79%0.0280✗1.00427.9M2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.069510.067434-2.99%0.062937-9.46%0.0364✗0.71327k2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.41e-7-3.02%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0510✗0.7225k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9022,516.00-3.04%19,866.30-14.45%0.0199✓0.9812k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0056-3.04%1.97-36.45%0.3481✓0.50116k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6151-3.07%1.916-28.98%0.0502✓1.76118k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.1644-3.21%9.414-10.35%0.0870✗1.102.0M2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8458.8808-3.22%60.36-0.79%0.1980✗1.1713.5M2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.5543-3.25%0.4722-17.58%0.0102✓1.15318k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.117831-3.34%0.10507-13.81%0.0323✓0.997.0M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0575-3.38%1.1375+3.93%0.2432✗1.151.0M2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.437467-3.39%0.3741-17.38%0.0632✗1.48242k2022-09-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.024318-3.50%0.0255+1.19%0.1297✗0.5545k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.125194-3.55%0.1025-21.03%0.0522✓1.004,7012022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase19.2718.5668-3.65%16.1-16.45%0.0599✗1.36118k2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,628.94-3.66%1,618.01-4.31%0.1842✗1.29407.7M2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.044781-3.72%0.03742-19.54%0.0408✓0.932,3002022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.492162-3.76%0.4987-2.48%0.1922✗1.2140.5M2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.251457-3.77%0.1628-37.70%0.4329✓0.0131k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.720723-3.78%1.044+39.39%0.5518✗1.22963k2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.3738-3.93%1.17-18.18%0.0273✓1.272.5M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000042979-3.94%0.00004372-2.28%0.1903✗1.171.9M2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.260123-3.94%0.2373-12.37%0.0725✗1.1165k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.007994-4.15%0.00599-28.18%0.1530✓0.911.6M2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.947161-4.18%0.8257-16.47%0.1120✗1.68296k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.1097-4.21%26.62-12.41%0.0521✗0.959.4M2022-09-05
DASHDashDash52.5750.3472-4.23%47.59-9.47%0.1082✗1.11574k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.162081-4.26%0.13844-18.22%0.0723✗1.55212k2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.41232-4.29%0.34064-20.92%0.0135✓1.20124k2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.057524-4.29%0.0508-15.47%0.0826✗1.39179k2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.3447-4.30%4.075+66.33%0.6852✗0.8992k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.33817-4.33%0.298688-15.50%0.0640✗1.271.0M2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.772453-4.40%0.662-18.07%0.0011✓1.03390k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.057725-4.43%0.0558-7.62%0.1752✗1.41350k2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.1407-4.44%1.0444-12.51%0.0683✗1.0543k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.323698-4.51%0.271-20.06%0.0250✓1.031.1M2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.318-4.56%4.93-25.53%0.0432✓1.381.4M2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana40.0738.2365-4.58%32.18-19.69%0.0306✓1.3780.8M2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase1.04630.997566-4.66%0.898557-14.12%0.0352✓0.9458k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.415021-4.66%0.355-18.45%0.0389✓1.31134k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.049376-4.69%0.043718-15.61%0.0557✗1.2037k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1121-4.69%0.9784-16.15%0.0007✓0.864.1M2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.24e-7-4.73%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0874✗0.846.1M2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.77754.5505-4.75%4.0071-16.13%0.0159✓0.75908k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.6276-4.80%2.117-23.30%0.0028✓1.4447k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.7709-4.80%4.31+8.81%0.2361✗0.691.5M2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002103-4.82%0.001564-29.23%0.1479✓1.001.1M2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.8319-4.84%4.9518+66.40%0.7036✗0.981.2M2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0894.1877-4.94%91.3-7.85%0.2155✗1.6610.0M2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.042206-4.94%0.0367-17.34%0.0435✓1.2376k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.4086-4.95%7.382-5.29%0.1835✗1.2616.9M2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.223662-4.95%0.209-11.18%0.1503✗1.4789k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.150477-5.00%0.1447-8.65%0.1036✗0.963.6M2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.00370.003512-5.08%0.00309-16.49%0.0641✗1.30551k2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.51152.3595-5.08%157.52-1.86%0.2002✗1.121.1M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.7646-5.08%2.972-25.06%0.1102✓0.85976k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.204548-5.08%0.1872-13.13%0.1215✗1.421,2762022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.081994-5.10%0.07583-12.23%0.0378✓0.271.1M2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.48450.459689-5.12%0.3681-24.02%0.0384✓1.24808k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.096144-5.18%0.0818-19.33%0.0172✓1.205,6912022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.188067-5.19%0.158-20.35%0.1661✗2.291,1202022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006123-5.20%0.00635-1.69%0.1097✗0.4944k2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.4138-5.20%13.008+179.38%1.1631✗0.551.3M2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.447635-5.26%0.38052-19.46%0.0501✓0.7670k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.082308-5.28%0.0559-35.67%0.2143✓1.16126k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.114778-5.30%0.104-14.19%0.0620✗1.08370k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.390135-5.33%0.35378-14.15%0.1062✗1.38507k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.153929-5.33%0.1448-10.95%0.1237✗1.25102k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.214-5.37%1.8663-20.23%0.0092✓1.2137k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.0685-5.37%0.8473-24.96%0.0282✓1.371.5M2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.0051-5.37%1.69-20.25%0.0179✓1.27619k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.0049-5.37%10.8-7.14%0.1606✗1.21290k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.654445-5.39%0.55546-19.70%0.0603✗1.5178k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum120.14113.6474-5.40%93.14-22.47%0.0544✓0.974.5M2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.330211-5.44%0.3046-12.77%0.0902✗1.158.2M2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009512-5.44%0.00891-11.43%0.0657✗0.885.2M2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.4368-5.45%6.64+15.48%0.2875✗0.59878k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.081371-5.48%0.07261-15.66%0.0869✗1.3529k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.789184-5.49%0.663-20.60%0.0060✓1.21241k2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4454-5.53%1.45-5.23%0.0466✓0.29242k2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.021887-5.68%0.020653-10.99%0.0844✗0.9612k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.061018-5.69%0.0496-23.34%0.0154✓1.29803k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.2448-5.70%0.9577-27.45%0.0778✓1.241.1M2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34133.2358-5.73%125.75-11.03%0.1215✗1.214.7M2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42457.8781-5.77%53.71-12.56%0.0499✓0.84321k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6425.0936-5.80%19.44-27.03%0.0211✓1.5827.5M2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9315.9451-5.82%14.53-14.18%0.1161✗1.412.6M2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.014962-5.84%0.013125-17.41%0.0031✓0.902.1M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.24897-5.87%0.1562-40.95%0.2724✓1.311,5612022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.8555-5.88%2.722-10.28%0.1194✗1.13572k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.12753.8846-5.88%3.3484-18.88%0.0119✓1.0853k2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.356-5.90%9.21+3.72%0.1682✗0.481.8M2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.294435-5.93%0.2337-25.34%0.0683✓1.10300k2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.163933-5.95%0.1398-19.79%0.0271✓1.26529k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.209721-5.95%0.173-22.42%0.0308✓1.50716k2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04720.984667-5.97%0.7895-24.61%0.0265✓1.31532k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.242382-5.98%0.222-13.89%0.0865✗1.17768k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.338644-6.00%0.28593-20.63%0.0222✓1.2913k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.320604-6.01%0.2822-17.27%0.0455✓1.173.6M2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.142-6.01%1.752-23.12%0.0336✓1.13219k2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001049-6.02%0.00133+19.14%0.4219✗1.241.3M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.0094-6.04%7.368-13.56%0.0996✗1.2311.0M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001606-6.06%0.001468-14.10%0.0633✗1.039,0932022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011214-6.16%0.00001261+5.52%0.3016✗1.24934k2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.051826-6.16%0.0442-19.97%0.0289✓0.8816k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.2381-6.18%6.361+13.94%0.2712✗0.522.6M2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.817106-6.19%0.676-22.39%0.0693✗1.744.4M2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.072973-6.19%0.06802-12.56%0.0378✓0.739072022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004388-6.25%0.00402-14.10%0.1069✗1.31112k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.2309-6.25%6.576-25.10%0.0180✓1.399.9M2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.030582-6.33%0.03562+9.10%0.3356✗1.2314k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.051212-6.38%0.0446-18.46%0.0520✓1.28269k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.296008-6.40%0.35+10.67%0.3326✗1.11366k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4133-6.41%1.2398-17.89%0.0785✗1.411.2M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.129623-6.41%0.1229-11.26%0.1338✗1.2661k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.029358-6.41%0.02511-19.96%0.0355✓1.291,3502022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.066432-6.43%0.0571-19.58%0.0135✓0.93158k2022-09-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0369-6.45%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.106699-6.49%0.0939-17.70%0.0594✓1.26505k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.2108-6.56%1.573-33.52%0.1282✓1.43169k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.60921-6.56%0.5193-20.35%0.0120✓1.16755k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.018901-6.61%0.025549+26.24%0.3606✗0.40173k2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.58410.545429-6.62%0.5388-7.76%0.1624✗1.182.1M2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.4556-6.63%1.6684+7.02%0.3423✗1.39619k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.0996-6.65%1.056-10.36%0.0536✓0.632.1M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6320.1843-6.68%17.32-19.93%0.0305✓0.832.6M2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2857.7304-6.69%6.734-18.72%0.0446✓1.236.9M2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum41.2338.4437-6.76%30.53-25.95%0.0463✓1.87293k2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.2682-6.76%5.7+0.88%0.1689✗0.611.5M2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0560.6359-6.79%48.36-25.66%0.0170✓1.4138k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.511725-6.79%–pending––1.1516k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7031-6.83%1.307-28.50%0.0518✓1.43371k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.6857-6.84%4.72-6.16%0.1114✗0.701.3M2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9310,917.13-6.88%9,493.61-19.02%0.0756✗1.454.9M2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.021435-6.89%0.02235-2.91%0.1919✗1.01159k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.168028-6.91%0.1279-29.14%0.0890✓1.243.3M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505917.2269-6.91%12.9054-30.26%0.1215✓1.1353k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008227-7.04%0.00785-11.30%0.1415✗1.27392k2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.135808-7.11%0.2073+41.79%0.5828✗1.081.0M2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9416.6618-7.12%14.28-20.40%0.0440✓1.341.3M2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.118687-7.13%0.104-18.62%0.0762✗1.402.9M2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.6994-7.14%1.37-25.14%0.0186✓1.33129k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.050712-7.17%0.041483-24.07%0.1168✓0.5725k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.69.8378-7.19%7.53-28.96%0.0583✓1.41358k2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.629172-7.20%0.533-21.39%0.0415✓1.4090k2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.1994-7.20%7.2089+109.09%0.9422✗0.871.6M2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003007-7.22%0.002935-9.44%0.1246✗1.001.0M2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4458.7606-7.25%6.141-34.98%0.2010✓1.043.3M2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.6329.8579-7.28%12.633+18.82%0.4495✗1.3613.0M2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration66.4161.56-7.30%51.33-22.71%0.0089✓1.16419k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative2.572.382-7.31%1.919-25.33%0.0280✓1.27466k2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2743.9557-7.45%3.005-29.69%0.0157✓1.755.2M2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.8444-7.46%1.465-26.49%0.0228✓1.40253k2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7329.3578-7.48%18.31-42.29%0.2661✓1.39949k2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.399553-7.57%0.3145-27.25%0.0637✓1.1880k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.7352-7.59%1.546-17.67%0.0745✓1.28530k2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.06869-7.67%0.0625-15.99%0.0688✓1.101.1M2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.7302-7.69%4.501+11.38%0.2731✗0.571.9M2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.7955-7.74%2.34-22.77%0.0477✓1.52234k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.0686-7.78%0.85582-26.15%0.0590✓1.1012k2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.920.848392-7.78%0.72-21.74%0.0786✓0.5878k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.032493-7.82%0.02134-39.46%0.2051✓1.4513.9M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.238369-7.82%0.2097-18.91%0.0531✓1.2299k2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.521977-7.92%0.307-45.85%0.3349✓1.32234k2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.523793-8.01%0.4308-24.34%0.0289✓1.1246k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.115.6186-8.04%6.72+9.98%0.2785✗0.67754k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.70687-8.08%0.522-32.12%0.0849✓1.47135k2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.834.7283-8.13%39.67+4.95%0.3439✗1.4213.0M2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.016236-8.32%0.01272-28.18%0.1216✓0.83176k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.733956-8.48%0.487-39.28%0.1933✓1.462,7912022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.2507-8.92%1.1527-16.06%0.1455✗1.536.4M2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.2858-8.93%2.31-7.97%0.1694✗1.07507k2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.7313-9.05%2.3084-23.13%0.0632✓1.5613k2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.06e-7-9.06%8.55e-7+153.78%1.1699✗0.97153k2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.7284-9.08%1.199-36.93%0.0760✓1.953.1M2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000090875-9.14%0.00040493+304.85%1.8051✗2.10480k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.077829-9.34%0.06402-25.43%0.0250✓1.481.1M2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2646.5661-9.61%4.75-34.61%0.0694✓1.7111.9M2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.834106-9.63%0.6925-24.97%0.0803✓1.80469k2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21032.8969-9.76%7.3781+129.83%1.0474✗0.761.2M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.