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2022-08-04 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3273
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.8%
in alpha space · 15.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,522.39-0.45%23,944.86+5.84%0.0045✓1.00427.9M2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,599.89-0.51%1,881.04+16.97%0.0895✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.6053-0.55%42.8+10.25%0.0256✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5806-0.59%2.875+10.75%0.0086✗1.75109k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.496333-0.67%0.5306+6.18%0.0015✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,331.57-0.73%24,153.10+7.37%0.0228✗0.9813k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.9574-0.77%10.512+4.75%0.0085✓1.102.0M2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.8713-0.79%79.26+23.11%0.1450✗1.251.6M2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.42e-7-0.83%0.00000102+7.37%0.0227✗1.0025k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.066792-0.83%0.070882+5.24%0.0071✓1.171.7M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.540839-0.84%0.5937+8.86%0.0288✗1.14333k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.435103-0.84%0.4591+4.63%0.0302✓1.48278k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.07243-0.92%0.1304+78.39%0.5466✗0.73159k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002167-1.01%0.002212+1.05%0.0362✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068285-1.01%0.070371+2.02%0.0093✓0.69345k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.0431-1.02%61.89+3.76%0.0184✓1.1513.6M2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.112761-1.02%0.125283+9.97%0.0491✗0.996.9M2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006083-1.03%0.006618+7.67%0.0362✗0.857,1222022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9461-1.08%4.7078-5.84%0.0593✓0.17219k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.1322-1.08%21.63+24.88%0.1546✗1.38116k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0546-1.15%2.93-5.18%0.0697✓0.49109k2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.4969-1.17%4.9372+8.51%0.0510✗0.75920k2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.729094-1.21%0.911+23.44%0.1539✗1.21968k2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.084375-1.21%0.08746+2.40%0.0205✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.7837-1.22%30.52+4.74%0.0047✓0.9510.0M2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.257405-1.23%0.3041+16.69%0.1035✗1.1165k2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008116-1.26%0.00834+1.46%0.0241✓0.901.6M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2692-1.29%8.96+21.67%0.1381✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.125247-1.30%0.134+5.59%0.0110✓1.004,7012022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25157.1522-1.32%160.49+0.78%0.0418✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.771691-1.32%0.924+18.16%0.1118✗1.20225k2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.0611-1.32%28.54+22.12%0.1235✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3829-1.33%3.611+49.52%0.3651✗0.89110k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.157871-1.33%0.17809+11.31%0.0335✗1.53212k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.223238-1.35%0.2297+1.50%0.0547✓1.4787k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047545-1.36%0.0488+1.24%0.0478✓1.307,5232022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049523-1.37%0.053086+5.73%0.0015✓1.2035k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74102.3118-1.38%124.47+19.98%0.1399✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042348-1.38%0.00004644+8.15%0.0266✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.467053-1.40%0.5032+6.23%0.0043✓1.24808k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.060734-1.41%0.078+26.62%0.1691✗1.43350k2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0193-1.41%1.4845+43.58%0.3108✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3494.9778-1.41%107.55+11.64%0.0304✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.339-1.41%6.61+2.80%0.0370✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.448.6751-1.47%55.61+12.57%0.0710✗1.10574k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.335154-1.49%0.376118+10.55%0.0433✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.46e-7-1.49%0.00000101+5.21%0.0182✗0.846.4M2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.409971-1.50%0.458+10.04%0.0362✗1.31127k2022-08-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024525-1.51%0.0263+5.62%0.0384✗0.5540k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041454-1.53%0.0439+4.28%0.0122✓1.2376k2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.308426-1.58%0.38689+23.46%0.1629✗1.12396k2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.196288-1.61%0.2226+11.58%0.0465✗1.401,2762022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.449704-1.61%0.47814+4.61%0.0180✗0.7668k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.153582-1.61%0.1701+8.97%0.0324✗1.23107k2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01921.0026-1.63%1.0027-1.62%0.0972✓1.71241k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7845-1.63%2.089+15.16%0.1217✗0.63206k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1314-1.63%1.2591+9.48%0.0474✗1.0543k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3758-1.66%1.456+4.07%0.0157✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.327426-1.67%0.321-3.60%0.0787✓1.041.1M2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043123-1.68%0.04793+9.28%0.0524✗0.942,0262022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.4449-1.72%5.8+4.69%0.0296✗0.59873k2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.136767-1.75%0.1646+18.25%0.1314✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6797-1.77%2.849+4.44%0.0199✓1.4349k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.296572-1.80%0.3078+1.92%0.0261✓1.11300k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.78453-1.81%0.864+8.14%0.0386✗1.02377k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.114654-1.84%0.1263+8.13%0.0357✗1.08370k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7594-1.84%4.044+5.59%0.0336✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34131.8515-1.85%142.98+6.43%0.0130✓1.204.6M2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.1662-1.86%11.749+13.42%0.0678✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01510.996156-1.87%1.0862+7.00%0.0331✗0.9460k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003699-1.89%0.00393+4.24%0.0129✓1.30551k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001068-1.91%0.001521+39.72%0.2834✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.04816-1.91%0.05344+8.84%0.0538✗0.8915k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.084486-1.93%0.08708+1.08%0.0472✓1.3629k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.8819-1.95%4.2149+6.46%0.0207✗1.0945k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.8241-1.95%8.186+2.58%0.0240✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.396404-1.96%0.4605+13.89%0.0823✗1.19107k2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9037-1.97%4.091+2.74%0.0017✓0.86922k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2715-1.97%1.324+2.08%0.0300✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020712-1.98%0.02718+28.63%0.2142✗1.02159k2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.322413-2.00%0.4285+30.24%0.2205✗1.1377k2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.6423-2.00%8.964+1.64%0.0425✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.255797-2.03%0.2613+0.08%0.0206✗0.0129k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5218-2.04%4.683+1.45%0.0031✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9209-2.05%3.021+1.31%0.0298✓1.12591k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015274-2.06%0.015949+2.27%0.0074✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.329166-2.06%0.3613+7.50%0.0289✗1.138.2M2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.97171-2.09%1.0527+6.07%0.0064✓1.30532k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.246916-2.10%0.2695+6.86%0.0216✗1.16768k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.061679-2.10%0.0749+18.89%0.1214✗1.28802k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2046-2.10%2.326+3.29%0.0252✓1.39172k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4724-2.10%5.28-5.55%0.0705✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.323604-2.12%0.3493+5.66%0.0103✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.9199-2.13%9.201+13.70%0.0807✗1.2211.0M2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1433-2.13%2.3938+9.31%0.0424✗1.2032k2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.355087-2.13%0.36776+1.36%0.0389✓1.3013k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.083577-2.13%0.0916+7.26%0.0265✗1.15126k2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.058032-2.14%0.0621+4.72%0.0114✓1.39172k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.8334-2.14%11.8+6.59%0.0174✓1.20263k2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.160681-2.14%0.1949+18.70%0.1226✗1.24518k2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.107249-2.15%0.1215+10.86%0.0536✗1.25505k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5617-2.15%8.57-2.06%0.0267✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.184743-2.19%0.1952+3.35%0.0762✓2.311,1512022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26958.9411-2.20%61.928+2.75%0.0021✓0.83321k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.723605-2.22%0.85+14.86%0.1270✗0.6079k2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8528-2.22%2.9337+0.56%0.0277✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.651145-2.22%0.7242+8.75%0.0206✓1.5188k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5449-2.22%1.52-3.80%0.0332✓0.30242k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1022-2.23%1.1274+0.01%0.0551✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.169027-2.24%0.1775+2.66%0.0204✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.212621-2.24%0.2554+17.43%0.1091✗1.311,5612022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.3055-2.26%17.0874+16.75%0.1126✗1.1558k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0266-2.27%1.2255+16.66%0.1177✗1.0513k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.568079-2.27%0.6302+8.41%0.0366✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075176-2.28%0.08332+8.31%0.0613✗0.739772022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.065178-2.28%0.0718+7.65%0.0434✗0.94183k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.021935-2.28%0.024997+11.36%0.0760✗0.9611k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009566-2.29%0.01006+2.76%0.0004✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.888085-2.30%0.967+6.38%0.0150✓1.76496k2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.095251-2.31%0.0988+1.33%0.0317✓1.207,1482022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.409771-2.33%0.40616-3.19%0.0871✓1.38583k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052448-2.33%0.0549+2.23%0.0269✓1.28284k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001618-2.36%0.001703+2.78%0.0073✓1.039,0682022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7152-2.38%4.8-0.62%0.0219✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.157-2.38%1.127-4.92%0.0757✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4348-2.40%1.54+4.76%0.0092✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4658-2.41%1.6643+10.81%0.0476✗1.40594k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5654.6483-2.41%63.11+12.70%0.0650✗1.3935k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.117296-2.42%0.1425+18.55%0.1169✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006536-2.44%0.006698-0.03%0.0048✓0.5140k2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.581884-2.45%0.6487+8.75%0.0439✗1.14690k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.131365-2.48%0.1474+9.43%0.0431✗1.2761k2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.0268-2.51%6.256+21.33%0.1889✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.4609-2.52%15.6-1.64%0.0708✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.052897-2.52%0.057169+5.35%0.0448✗0.5825k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008773-2.52%0.00871-3.22%0.0798✓1.28387k2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1668-2.53%2.184-1.75%0.0641✓1.27626k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017133-2.54%0.01787+1.65%0.0045✓0.82193k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.6804-2.56%4.038+6.91%0.0061✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.291-2.59%18.45+3.94%0.0093✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.823994-2.60%0.889+5.08%0.0228✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004422-2.60%0.00517+13.88%0.0822✗1.31112k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.8799-2.62%8.347+3.15%0.0017✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011537-2.64%0.00001233+4.05%0.0043✓1.25951k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.140866-2.65%0.1497+3.46%0.0006✓1.08907k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.071337-2.68%0.0819+11.73%0.0753✗1.111.1M2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.542848-2.72%0.551-1.25%0.0500✓1.1414k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.02955-2.73%0.03187+4.90%0.0017✓1.301,4012022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.292-2.76%1.3595+2.33%0.0338✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.211885-2.80%0.228+4.59%0.0125✓1.51782k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.0134-2.81%21.14-2.22%0.0419✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.666693-2.81%0.691+0.73%0.0435✓1.4088k2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9113-2.83%2.005+1.93%0.0322✓1.41266k2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.706319-2.84%0.74+1.79%0.0369✓1.47121k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.7342-2.86%4.034+4.94%0.0441✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.179-2.88%0.993-18.20%0.2086✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.1834-2.88%36.12+29.05%0.2072✗1.36946k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.033962-2.88%0.03161-9.61%0.1536✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.2748-2.89%3.3972+0.74%0.0138✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0805-2.92%1.1706+5.18%0.0174✓1.1111k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031367-2.92%0.05195+60.79%0.4346✗1.2314k2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1259.3234-2.94%60.91-0.34%0.0402✓1.17379k2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6499-2.94%1.91+12.35%0.0715✗1.32122k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.7708-2.96%1.9022+4.24%0.0004✓1.27530k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.6459-2.99%5.91+1.55%0.0073✓0.68746k2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.002977-3.00%0.004951+61.32%0.4525✗0.991.0M2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.019908-3.00%0.019255-6.19%0.0572✓0.42167k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7022-3.01%1.767+0.68%0.0438✓1.43341k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.240973-3.03%0.2705+8.85%0.0463✗1.22101k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.833.7215-3.10%42.06+20.86%0.1413✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000096129-3.14%0.00009727-1.99%0.1040✓2.04516k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3984-3.29%2.58+4.03%0.0119✓1.08507k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0375-3.31%3.2004+1.87%0.0089✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,293.68-3.32%11,294.44+6.08%0.0119✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.8809-3.47%10.3+11.96%0.0696✗1.39334k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.556083-3.73%0.5389-6.70%0.1094✓1.38234k2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.0637-3.82%3.1366-1.53%0.0652✓1.5612k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.143-3.95%6.929-6.83%0.1287✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.754928-3.95%0.769-2.16%0.0641✓1.463,1392022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.122.9896-4.18%3.13+0.32%0.0402✓1.52211k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.077456-4.26%0.09833+21.55%0.1543✗1.49871k2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.40e-7-4.41%3.27e-7-8.29%0.0975✓0.99164k2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0143.7442-4.92%44.8-2.63%0.0795✓1.82266k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8181-5.21%1.558-18.77%0.2663✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.536393-5.51%0.5522-2.73%0.0342✓1.1146k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.4444-5.98%2.971+14.27%0.1235✗1.26448k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.