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2022-08-01 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0510
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.95%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.8%
in alpha space · 20.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.721966-6.78%0.6064-21.70%0.2013✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.2768-5.69%8.73-0.52%0.0288✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0828-5.00%0.9875-13.36%0.1301✓1.65205k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035255-4.20%0.03513-4.54%0.0386✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.5679-4.17%5.71-1.72%0.0111✓0.61732k2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,158.49-3.90%11,448.81-1.40%0.0065✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.143616-3.87%0.1526+2.14%0.0352✓1.11698k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1624-3.74%3.4773+5.85%0.0744✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.833934-3.14%0.898+4.30%0.0343✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.6085-3.08%21.84+13.75%0.1403✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8565-3.01%3.2115+9.05%0.0993✗0.77978k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.806769-2.92%0.841+1.20%0.0073✓1.493,6872022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000101911-2.75%0.00009929-5.25%0.0708✓1.94592k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3503-2.72%2.498+3.39%0.0284✗1.41177k2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0036-2.71%1.0662+3.36%0.0337✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001067-2.67%0.001192+8.77%0.0816✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7838-2.66%3.02+5.59%0.0465✗1.52192k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.711589-2.66%0.767+4.92%0.0407✗1.4980k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.7324-2.66%19.4666+28.63%0.2516✗1.1868k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.7885-2.64%10.19+27.37%0.2373✗1.37263k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.526075-2.60%0.561+3.87%0.0318✗1.41234k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7849-2.59%3.0082+5.22%0.0411✗1.5612k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.07842-2.58%0.11272+40.02%0.3283✗1.50773k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.336778-2.52%0.36941+6.92%0.0622✗1.3112k2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5149-2.50%4.095+13.59%0.1130✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004662-2.47%0.00474-0.84%0.0137✓1.32112k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.5898-2.47%1.85+13.50%0.1200✗1.37114k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.798-2.46%6.031+22.61%0.2160✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.8314-2.46%16.74+18.05%0.1585✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.630552-2.39%0.697+7.89%0.0679✗1.4088k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.475538-2.38%0.48293-0.86%0.0026✓0.7863k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.4861-2.38%7.314+10.08%0.0803✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.205653-2.35%0.2677+27.11%0.2324✗1.361,6972022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9775-2.34%3.023+49.28%0.3951✗1.27415k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.835-2.33%45.63+35.72%0.2843✗1.94229k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.69508-2.32%0.69895-1.77%0.0293✓1.5188k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.059782-2.32%0.068+11.11%0.0988✗1.30799k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.276-2.31%1.4281+9.33%0.0780✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0551-2.31%1.084+0.37%0.0109✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001658-2.31%0.001764+3.95%0.0385✗1.0211k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.3794-2.28%2.626+7.84%0.0774✗0.92105k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.068907-2.26%0.0826+17.16%0.1565✗1.08567k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9572-2.22%5.02-0.99%0.0037✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009172-2.21%0.00911-2.88%0.0359✓1.26359k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.933973-2.20%0.944-1.15%0.0301✓1.77513k2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.8146-2.20%30.04+5.63%0.0449✗1.39641k2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.150738-2.18%0.1674+8.63%0.0821✗0.993.5M2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.6353-2.18%8.84-10.25%0.0982✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.29924-2.18%0.3126+2.19%0.0178✓1.12300k2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.957.6214-2.17%62.01+5.28%0.0414✗1.3932k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3383-2.16%2.74+14.64%0.1339✗1.07301k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.173764-2.16%0.1804+1.58%0.0086✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.00999-2.15%0.01044+2.25%0.0218✗0.974.7M2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.5007-2.12%18.67+4.42%0.0337✗1.351.3M2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7571-2.11%2.06+14.76%0.1443✗0.64189k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.04522-2.08%0.04665+1.02%0.0090✓0.962,3002022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7968-2.07%3.99+2.91%0.0293✗0.88754k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.1695-2.04%8.259-0.97%0.0178✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.8996-2.04%3.052+3.11%0.0255✗1.12619k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2218-2.04%2.385+5.15%0.0425✗1.2329k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67659.4402-2.04%62.317+2.70%0.0278✗0.85345k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.317272-2.02%0.5111+57.84%0.4504✗1.1576k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46101.3843-2.01%128.79+24.48%0.2159✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7718-2.01%4.125+7.17%0.0758✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2362.9465-2.00%64.6+0.58%0.0013✓1.18354k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.06606-1.99%0.0737+9.35%0.0874✗0.96229k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023157-1.97%0.023579-0.18%0.0044✓0.989,6292022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.140977-1.96%0.1447+0.63%0.0035✓1.2859k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019611-1.93%0.018974-5.12%0.0449✓0.51165k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.121216-1.93%0.1491+20.63%0.1753✗1.382.8M2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4044-1.92%5.62-13.94%0.1449✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.063577-1.89%0.062-4.32%0.0582✓1.44154k2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.2078-1.88%8.791+5.09%0.0364✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8547-1.87%2.058+8.89%0.0712✗1.42234k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011747-1.87%0.00001229+2.67%0.0168✓1.23986k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.162363-1.84%0.17585+6.31%0.0443✗1.54212k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.216939-1.84%0.23+4.07%0.0236✗1.51821k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.329829-1.84%0.3474+3.39%0.0247✗1.183.1M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2232-1.83%1.2304-1.25%0.0186✓1.0643k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.082689-1.78%0.08557+1.64%0.0033✓1.3429k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3947-1.78%1.56+9.86%0.0789✗1.441.1M2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.9915-1.78%6.04-0.98%0.0072✓0.66623k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.203325-1.78%0.2282+10.24%0.0833✗1.401,1792022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8646-1.76%4.04+2.69%0.0278✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8951-1.76%2.9-1.59%0.0311✓1.4349k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6879-1.75%1.875+9.14%0.0718✗1.45327k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.987-1.73%2.141+5.89%0.0453✗1.28637k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.356488-1.73%0.363104+0.09%0.0115✓1.301.0M2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.412201-1.71%0.42996+2.52%0.0143✓1.21118k2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002387-1.71%0.00224-7.78%0.0868✓1.001.8M2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0605-1.70%1.2133+12.46%0.1021✗1.411.4M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.258621-1.70%0.2624-0.27%0.0138✓1.23101k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.405904-1.67%0.42203+2.24%0.0069✓1.39583k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.2381-1.66%31.49+2.41%0.0187✗0.9510.2M2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7896-1.66%1.894+4.07%0.0276✗1.26492k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.169211-1.62%0.1759+2.27%0.0100✓1.25491k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.261412-1.61%0.2624-1.24%0.0222✓1.13768k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4053-1.61%6.92+6.30%0.0451✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2767-1.60%3.05-8.41%0.0830✓0.4994k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2946-1.59%4.707+7.86%0.0783✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.114361-1.58%0.1199+3.18%0.0174✗1.30472k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.093611-1.57%0.1038+9.15%0.0756✗1.216,7862022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.548822-1.54%0.6088+9.22%0.0775✗1.14341k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077773-1.53%0.08965+13.51%0.1253✗0.731,1722022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.511092-1.52%0.553+6.55%0.0525✗1.1513k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.304467-1.51%0.33107+7.10%0.0569✗1.17398k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040683-1.49%0.0454+9.93%0.0814✗1.2371k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7552-1.49%2.9975+7.18%0.0618✗0.981.0M2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.272897-1.48%0.2733-1.34%0.0233✓1.0867k2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.8913-1.48%19.15+5.45%0.0364✗1.37116k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.227355-1.45%0.2285-0.95%0.0291✓1.4897k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87135.9327-1.41%143.54+4.11%0.0270✗1.194.3M2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021258-1.40%0.029+34.51%0.2868✗1.03159k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044513-1.39%0.00004589+1.66%0.0038✓1.161.9M2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.084608-1.39%0.0896+4.43%0.0302✗1.18137k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.0942-1.39%11.72+4.18%0.0269✗1.21243k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.78202-1.38%0.894+12.74%0.1055✗1.23218k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.1005-1.37%42.2+1.27%0.0049✓1.3681.1M2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.926118-1.35%1.1662+24.22%0.2099✗0.903.2M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4758.6712-1.34%62.61+5.28%0.0384✗1.1613.6M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.761723-1.33%0.835+8.16%0.0691✗0.99377k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.261-1.33%11.817+13.64%0.1096✗1.3714.4M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.45519-1.32%0.5085+10.23%0.0821✗1.25778k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5895.3078-1.32%102.58+6.21%0.0353✗1.6610.2M2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.611477-1.31%0.6657+7.44%0.0584✗1.16642k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7549.1003-1.31%56.22+13.01%0.1099✗1.11574k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.05078-1.29%0.052476+2.00%0.0055✓1.1938k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0032-1.29%1.0855+6.81%0.0484✗1.32525k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031627-1.29%0.0332+3.62%0.0200✗1.2414k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.464941-1.29%0.4659-1.08%0.0318✓1.47273k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006565-1.28%0.0063-5.26%0.0536✓0.5438k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.067844-1.28%0.070056+1.94%0.0057✓1.151.7M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.330731-1.27%0.339+1.19%0.0010✓1.03959k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056512-1.26%0.05725+0.03%0.0008✓0.6022k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.338112-1.25%0.3629+5.99%0.0445✗1.147.7M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003703-1.25%0.00377+0.53%0.0123✓1.31559k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.047701-1.24%0.0517+7.04%0.0496✗1.347,6872022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003216-1.22%0.003433+5.44%0.0418✗1.021.0M2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.506563-1.22%0.5372+4.76%0.0300✗1.2541.9M2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8622,991.53-1.21%23,815.65+2.33%0.0122✓1.00414.2M2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5411-1.21%1.55-0.64%0.0008✓0.22268k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.490593-1.21%0.5796+16.71%0.1410✗1.1247k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1847-1.20%1.1648-2.87%0.0423✓1.1010k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.091253-1.20%0.08629-6.57%0.0615✓0.241.1M2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4063-1.17%1.438+1.05%0.0070✓1.272.5M2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.49e-7-1.11%0.000001+4.17%0.0290✗1.0025k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119368-1.10%0.1267+4.97%0.0350✗1.07352k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5575-1.09%1.6087+2.16%0.0007✓1.44589k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.258952-1.09%0.2614-0.15%0.0092✓0.0128k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014855-1.08%0.016131+7.42%0.0621✗0.881.6M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.0926-1.07%9.276+13.40%0.1079✗1.2410.0M2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.4939-1.06%8.607+13.64%0.1094✗1.2616.9M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017714-1.04%0.01763-1.51%0.0228✓0.78229k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0081-1.02%1.0843+6.46%0.0508✗0.9660k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051175-1.00%0.05269+1.93%0.0084✓0.9015k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69159.1039-0.99%167.1+3.99%0.0235✗1.111.3M2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,946.02-0.98%23,846.60+2.91%0.0159✗0.9814k2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,614.88-0.98%1,777.36+8.99%0.0670✗1.26387.0M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.3734-0.97%4.9055+11.07%0.0980✗0.73916k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069292-0.97%0.070047+0.11%0.0071✓0.78373k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1072-0.94%4.1656+0.47%0.0111✓1.0939k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.61e-7-0.91%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0104✗0.836.4M2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.773096-0.89%0.79+1.28%0.0077✓0.6179k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008349-0.84%0.00837-0.59%0.0185✓0.911.6M2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163322-0.84%0.163-1.03%0.0306✓1.2494k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052763-0.82%0.0543+2.07%0.0001✓1.25269k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5445-0.80%2.889+12.63%0.0866✗1.7595k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3126-0.79%1.351+2.12%0.0003✓1.241.2M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.4047-0.79%27.92+18.36%0.1397✗1.6027.5M2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.420678-0.76%0.4704+10.97%0.0812✗1.33127k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1514-0.74%4.8-7.51%0.0755✓0.21210k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.191108-0.72%0.19653+2.09%0.0253✓2.311,2222022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.124596-0.72%0.1317+4.94%0.0327✗0.994,9522022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.8915-0.72%10.767+8.07%0.0599✗1.082.1M2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.059797-0.67%0.0607+0.83%0.0173✓1.40339k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029825-0.62%0.03333+11.06%0.0811✗1.311,2932022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.117581-0.61%0.130156+10.02%0.0787✗0.996.8M2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.27e-7-0.57%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0061✗0.96178k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.5034-0.57%1.899+25.60%0.1879✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.063738-0.56%0.1545+141.03%0.8667✗0.81155k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.5206-0.56%77.53+23.32%0.1864✗1.251.5M2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.723296-0.51%0.774+6.46%0.0398✗1.21806k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.8835-0.39%38.06+8.68%0.0547✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006296-0.39%0.006716+6.25%0.0438✗0.909,1592022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0747-0.30%1.1739+8.90%0.0646✗1.0313k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.