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2022-07-29 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2305
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.1%
in alpha space · 84.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.068875-0.11%0.06175-10.44%0.1158✗1.151.7M2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.563.3808-0.19%61.17-3.67%0.2120✗1.261.5M2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045675-0.27%0.0357-22.05%0.0158✗1.347,1312022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.07918-0.40%0.0981+23.40%0.3763✗0.83148k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006176-0.54%0.005519-11.11%0.0613✗0.897,2112022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.1303-0.83%5.175+0.04%0.0493✗0.21210k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5023,467.41-1.33%19,554.03-17.79%0.0134✓1.00439.9M2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.054154-1.36%0.0493-10.20%0.1885✗1.44119k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.248147-1.37%0.2362-6.12%0.1618✗1.0863k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.116112-1.38%0.102736-12.74%0.0726✗1.006.8M2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.47e-7-1.39%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0998✗1.0025k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.0337-1.60%8.816-13.54%0.0832✗1.092.6M2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.085563-1.65%0.0792-8.97%0.1604✗1.216,3652022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7159.6861-1.69%53.38-12.07%0.1150✗1.1613.5M2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.555345-1.73%0.4349-23.04%0.0216✓1.14350k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1076-1.79%1.0384-7.92%0.1440✗1.0643k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.7022-1.79%0.916+28.11%0.5027✗1.21806k2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.146656-1.84%0.1396-6.56%0.1941✗1.2488k2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.068016-1.85%0.061392-11.41%0.0516✗0.79376k2022-08-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.02610.025596-1.93%0.025-4.21%0.0765✗0.5143k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.042392-1.94%0.03732-13.67%0.0601✗0.962,4262022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.422017-1.95%0.3529-18.01%0.0657✗1.25606k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1317.7741-1.96%14.8-18.37%0.0868✗1.38108k2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6149.513-2.17%44.14-12.78%0.1032✗1.11594k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008723-2.21%0.00642-28.03%0.1278✓0.911.6M2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929390.970955-2.21%0.862501-13.14%0.0711✗0.9758k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9665.8335-2.22%5.639-5.48%0.1781✗1.082.1M2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.28e-7-2.32%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0760✗0.845.9M2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.961076-2.33%1.201+22.05%0.4523✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.323447-2.33%0.291277-12.05%0.1488✗1.291.0M2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.0855-2.36%2.33-26.27%0.1831✓0.5082k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.295743-2.40%0.275-9.24%0.1310✗1.04766k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,220.00-2.55%19,646.40-17.55%0.0245✓0.9819k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3146-2.55%1.129-16.31%0.0959✗1.272.4M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.2786-2.59%4.3228-1.58%0.1519✗0.72986k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000043801-2.64%0.00004676+3.93%0.2938✗1.171.8M2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.060943-2.65%0.0582-7.03%0.2286✗1.40339k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.742506-2.69%0.631-17.30%0.0307✗0.99360k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.50788-2.74%0.4291-17.83%0.0764✗1.2543.2M2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.254227-2.78%0.261-0.19%0.0285✗0.0130k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.3273-2.82%0.2823-16.18%0.0746✗1.147.7M2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.767459-2.85%0.73-7.59%0.0685✗0.6179k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.131257-2.92%0.1202-11.09%0.1067✗0.993.5M2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0930.1606-2.99%25.35-18.46%0.0130✓0.9510.8M2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.6303-3.01%1.828-32.60%0.0200✓1.7692k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.395518-3.16%0.32806-19.68%0.0507✗1.21118k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.00911-3.19%0.00848-9.88%0.1186✗0.974.7M2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003543-3.19%0.00289-21.04%0.0526✗1.31539k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.855391-3.24%0.84-4.98%0.1200✗0.711.3M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.028866-3.30%0.03552+18.99%0.4514✗1.2514k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.12668-3.30%0.0996-23.97%0.0464✓0.995,4502022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8081-3.36%1.6-14.48%0.1267✗1.27626k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001046-3.39%0.001346+24.25%0.5036✗1.291.6M2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.456477-3.39%0.3261-30.98%0.0479✓1.47220k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9440.5132-3.40%30.45-27.40%0.0188✓1.3681.8M2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.213.7143-3.42%12.062-15.06%0.1029✗1.1870k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.408079-3.44%0.34-19.55%0.0795✗1.34104k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.207502-3.49%0.164-23.72%0.0604✗1.51786k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.935748-3.59%0.9334-3.83%0.1732✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037396-3.62%0.0345-11.08%0.1582✗1.2268k2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.053754-3.67%0.0455-18.46%0.0882✗1.30787k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,658.43-3.71%1,426.63-17.16%0.0960✗1.26387.0M2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.297399-3.75%0.2731-11.62%0.1471✗1.192.8M2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.7399-3.80%1.944-31.74%0.0643✓1.4243k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.643093-3.81%0.52437-21.57%0.0931✗1.5279k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.4368-3.95%4.106+61.84%0.7024✗0.92105k2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.280476-3.98%0.3044+4.21%0.3040✗1.1375k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.691.7852-3.99%78.57-17.81%0.1699✗1.6610.0M2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.112523-3.99%0.1013-13.57%0.1036✗1.07352k2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.7156-4.11%3.6555+29.07%0.4887✗0.98917k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.1873-4.12%1.7152-24.81%0.0004✓1.2424k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.085031-4.14%0.0619-30.21%0.0839✓1.19155k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0167-4.17%0.7744-27.01%0.0054✓1.421.4M2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.213624-4.20%0.1592-28.61%0.0214✓1.391,0652022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.194724-4.22%0.1381-32.07%0.0756✓1.371,5612022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.5525-4.24%6.251-20.74%0.0579✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.175712-4.24%0.15977-12.93%0.3593✗2.321,1272022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.124277-4.26%0.1184-8.78%0.2031✗1.2849k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.2712-4.27%0.9332-29.73%0.0662✓1.241.2M2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.154.9281-4.31%5.87+13.98%0.2946✗0.61587k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.926084-4.31%0.7842-18.97%0.1532✗1.63205k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.2454-4.36%12.382+178.94%1.1850✗0.591.2M2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011223-4.40%0.00001177+0.26%0.2898✗1.24951k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1867.825-4.41%6.861-16.19%0.1130✗1.259.4M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.006682-4.42%0.006708-4.05%0.1082✗0.5339k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.226703-4.43%0.2134-10.03%0.2292✗1.4892k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.300878-4.53%0.36389+15.47%0.4188✗1.17407k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.410274-4.54%0.31363-27.03%0.0044✓1.39592k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.00419-4.55%0.00393-10.48%0.1937✗1.32103k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.5976-4.56%1.192-28.79%0.0093✓1.45316k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.089217-4.58%0.08638-7.61%0.0195✓0.26910k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25152.8789-4.60%146.4-8.64%0.1714✗1.101.3M2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5211.9399-4.63%9.51-24.04%0.0105✓1.22241k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.164863-4.70%0.13172-23.86%0.0774✗1.54207k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.3084-4.70%5.809+28.49%0.4054✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.235903-4.72%0.2183-11.83%0.1457✗1.14643k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001436-4.74%0.001503-0.27%0.2433✗1.0116k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.462565-4.74%0.36304-25.24%0.0902✓0.7855k2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.083822-4.78%0.06897-21.65%0.0665✗1.3428k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.6211-4.78%3.998+5.13%0.2369✗0.70670k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.102843-4.86%0.0854-21.00%0.0701✗1.31491k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.722876-4.88%0.645-15.13%0.1285✗1.24205k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.923669-4.89%0.74832-22.94%0.0492✓1.33431k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.064067-4.94%0.0554-17.80%0.0424✓0.96183k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.052079-4.96%0.0419-23.54%0.0246✓1.24263k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.8178-5.06%2.607-12.16%0.1399✗1.11619k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.1597-5.08%8.09-16.17%0.0216✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.257-5.11%18.53-24.40%0.0851✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.01428-5.15%0.013002-13.64%0.0794✗0.881.2M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.765-5.16%1.733-6.88%0.1050✗0.63223k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.073641-5.17%0.06712-13.57%0.0515✓0.741,2712022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.6207-5.19%1.426-16.57%0.1177✗1.25492k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.6482-5.26%3.876+0.65%0.2330✗0.88754k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.29100.686-5.27%92.31-13.15%0.1120✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.2371-5.27%4.82-36.91%0.1332✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6313.853-5.31%11.33-22.56%0.0826✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.020727-5.31%0.020386-6.87%0.1753✗0.989,0542022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.047072-5.33%0.042995-13.53%0.1419✗1.1935k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.302914-5.34%0.29294-8.46%0.2235✗1.3111k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.570521-5.39%0.488-19.07%0.1179✗1.4084k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.231102-5.40%0.2024-17.15%0.1081✗1.23101k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.002989-5.41%0.002987-5.47%0.1961✗1.00999k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.122195-5.42%0.2102+62.69%0.7585✗1.10617k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,276.44-5.46%8,473.37-22.05%0.0785✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.155229-5.52%0.1337-18.62%0.0963✗1.25411k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.020568-5.52%0.02214+1.70%0.2761✗1.03149k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.2338-5.53%5.16-6.86%0.1066✗0.62786k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86962.1898-5.59%51.793-21.37%0.0170✓0.85398k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4155-5.63%1.0043-33.05%0.0617✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.5721-5.65%5.739-36.83%0.1273✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.506775-5.65%0.5282-1.66%0.2683✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6955.3443-5.70%43.85-25.29%0.0388✓1.3928k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.394-5.71%2.9825-36.00%0.1731✓1.0932k2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.018-5.71%0.022963+20.29%0.3400✗0.49165k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.0321-5.73%0.0242-28.93%0.0260✓1.311,3182022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.4794-5.77%1.39-11.46%0.0144✓0.24268k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.302161-5.81%0.2638-17.77%0.0851✗1.13309k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.017832-5.85%0.01478-21.96%0.0401✓0.75258k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.04444-5.87%0.04418-6.42%0.1707✗0.9015k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.58424-5.90%0.4996-19.54%0.0714✗1.16624k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.010664-5.96%0.00825-27.25%0.0097✓1.26355k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.028174-5.96%0.02162-27.84%0.0351✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84142.7652-5.98%112.59-25.85%0.0045✓1.193.9M2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.5603-6.01%1.23-25.90%0.0320✓1.38114k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.5742-6.03%6.275-22.15%0.0575✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.162286-6.08%0.1182-31.60%0.0697✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.7877-6.14%1.95-34.34%0.0586✓1.53192k2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.375073-6.23%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.321-6.26%16.67-4.25%0.1927✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.0426-6.29%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.5124-6.33%1.6656+3.16%0.3759✗1.43609k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.3869-6.46%4.34-7.46%0.1290✗0.71759k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.11905-6.48%0.0992-22.07%0.0867✗1.372.5M2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.06469-6.52%0.0604-12.72%0.1405✗1.07308k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.829886-6.54%0.645-27.36%0.0859✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.720436-6.56%0.525-31.91%0.0230✓1.5080k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.4321-6.61%10.559-5.48%0.2798✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7234.2815-6.64%29.26-20.32%0.2204✗1.93194k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.5521-6.69%6.04+1.51%0.2143✗0.66554k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.2244-6.77%1.511-36.67%0.1093✓1.42169k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.7645-6.82%2.966-26.58%0.1015✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.738-6.86%1.692-9.32%0.2227✗1.27382k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.5943-6.91%4.096+6.09%0.2472✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.9102-6.95%1.36-33.76%0.0596✓1.43220k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2616.9895-6.96%13.16-27.93%0.0099✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.052221-6.96%0.044396-20.90%0.0437✓0.6120k2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.4426-7.02%7.2-20.70%0.1074✗1.36256k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.484675-7.03%0.32-38.62%0.2193✓1.00234k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.4354-7.05%2.08-20.61%0.0527✓1.07175k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4421.7815-7.08%37.2+58.70%0.8061✗1.38534k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8759.3086-7.14%45.4-28.92%0.0354✓1.18257k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.490969-7.19%0.412-22.12%0.0491✓1.1513k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5337.6062-7.21%30.93-23.69%0.0810✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000091676-7.40%0.0001251+26.36%0.6957✗1.96646k2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.073584-7.58%0.06229-21.77%0.1279✗1.50768k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04530.965773-7.61%0.84626-19.04%0.0836✗1.109,6842022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.1341-7.63%5.5537+63.68%0.7458✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.905474-7.79%0.6463-34.19%0.0070✓1.76516k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.458769-7.91%0.3673-26.27%0.0027✓1.1242k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.27e-7-8.48%7.78e-7+117.71%1.0510✗0.94193k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3016-8.95%0.9934-30.51%0.0235✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02552.7505-9.09%2.0034-33.78%0.0089✓1.5711k2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.0595-9.15%4.649-30.30%0.0656✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.755699-9.28%0.489-41.30%0.1449✓1.482,9182022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.672-9.47%5.4352+84.14%0.8615✗0.77941k2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.5919-13.62%1.054-42.81%0.0261✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.