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2022-07-16 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0797
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.7%
in alpha space · 9.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0643090.064681+0.58%0.076696+19.26%0.0141✓1.222.0M2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04290.042487-0.96%0.045+4.90%0.1166✓1.357,6872022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2672.2446-0.99%2.725+20.20%0.0240✓1.6984k2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,189.6820,965.52-1.06%24,097.82+13.72%0.0106✓1.00429.5M2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.0954.3416-1.36%60.69+10.17%0.0408✓1.1815.0M2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6670.657869-1.37%0.819+22.79%0.0968✗0.95405k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.080879-1.49%0.1007+22.66%0.0591✗1.246,9262022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase0.9223820.908345-1.52%1.0171+10.27%0.0183✓1.0264k2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5920.582838-1.55%0.99+67.23%0.3745✗1.21858k2022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49440.48656-1.59%0.5804+17.39%0.0307✗1.13311k2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,072.8020,716.81-1.69%23,840.30+13.13%0.0135✓0.9941k2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11140.109492-1.71%0.129+15.80%0.0379✗0.986,1432022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050008-1.75%0.067+31.63%0.1026✗1.48102k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.299.1271-1.75%10.526+13.30%0.0003✓1.112.2M2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,355.701,331.01-1.82%1,899.39+40.10%0.2003✗1.21326.5M2022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash63.2462.0868-1.82%73.84+16.76%0.0019✓1.331.6M2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0689110.067643-1.84%0.068965+0.08%0.0856✓0.82433k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078610.302153-1.85%0.371538+20.68%0.0440✗1.271.5M2022-08-15
DASHDashDash44.8343.9035-2.07%53.17+18.60%0.0485✗1.11619k2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137850.134989-2.08%0.1756+27.38%0.0545✗1.62168k2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010220.001-2.08%0.001637+60.25%0.3268✗1.291.8M2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1095560.107216-2.14%0.123528+12.75%0.0124✓1.017.3M2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.0761.0524-2.19%1.2755+18.54%0.0519✗1.0948k2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,261.846,123.61-2.21%11,093.56+77.16%0.4218✗1.344.2M2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase16.9116.5349-2.22%20.11+18.92%0.0131✓1.4281k2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.88672.8226-2.22%4.042+40.02%0.2178✗1.1025k2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase14.056713.74-2.25%15.8559+12.80%0.0118✓1.21242k2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.232.1792-2.28%2.73+22.42%0.0428✗1.4244k2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000040290.000039366-2.29%0.00004601+14.20%0.0004✓1.211.9M2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.778.5611-2.38%11.94+36.15%0.1796✗1.19272k2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11980.116914-2.41%0.1569+30.97%0.1642✗1.013.8M2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.00580.005659-2.43%0.006763+16.59%0.0600✗0.923,0112022-08-15
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.78e-7-2.46%9.90e-7+10.00%0.0110✓0.855.7M2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09610.093731-2.47%0.1145+19.15%0.0944✗0.82144k2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.2618-2.50%8.417+55.96%0.3245✗1.131.8M2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2910.283596-2.54%0.324+11.34%0.0002✓1.03599k2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.3950.384854-2.57%0.4859+23.01%0.0703✗1.27405k2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83161.7842-2.59%2.3338+27.42%0.1090✗1.2431k2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.45106.4866-2.71%137.34+25.48%0.1101✗1.124.0M2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.2534-2.71%5.3846-0.29%0.0006✓0.19335k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.24160.234931-2.76%0.2853+18.09%0.0529✗1.1060k2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40970.39814-2.82%0.4503+9.91%0.0790✓1.57191k2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1790.173743-2.94%0.2114+18.10%0.0081✓1.462,5392022-08-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.025624-2.94%0.0301+14.02%0.0988✗0.4859k2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94350.915466-2.97%1.4669+55.47%0.3118✗1.24933k2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum28.0127.1726-2.99%30.85+10.14%0.0047✓0.9510.6M2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.83e-7-3.02%0.000001+9.89%0.0037✓1.0025k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum4.12773.998-3.14%4.9822+20.70%0.1278✗0.72954k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.008762-3.19%0.00821-9.28%0.1833✓0.921.2M2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero139.03134.4946-3.26%163.5+17.60%0.0494✗1.131.3M2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.003869-3.28%0.00488+22.00%0.0586✗1.35131k2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0417930.040403-3.33%0.053067+26.98%0.1245✗1.1516k2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0127110.012282-3.37%0.016006+25.92%0.1588✗0.821.2M2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.006463-3.39%0.0085+27.06%0.1457✗1.00387k2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027720.026779-3.39%0.04885+76.23%0.4369✗1.2820k2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.14210.137275-3.40%0.1994+40.32%0.2124✗1.2588k2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.003720.003591-3.48%0.00403+8.33%0.0596✓1.36650k2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5130.495054-3.50%0.681+32.75%0.1402✗1.3984k2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7870.759266-3.52%0.947+20.33%0.1206✗0.781.2M2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22790.219843-3.54%0.2573+12.90%0.0339✓1.49117k2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6642.5686-3.58%3.305+24.06%0.1074✗1.13772k2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana39.638.1798-3.59%43.72+10.40%0.0358✓1.3381.1M2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.1870.180249-3.61%0.2205+17.91%0.0233✓1.392,2022022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5542.4617-3.61%3.896+52.55%0.3403✗0.9288k2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51940.500271-3.68%0.5965+14.84%0.0201✓1.21491k2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38720.372612-3.77%0.4715+21.77%0.0641✗1.3382k2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25970.249709-3.85%0.4009+54.37%0.3256✗1.1536k2022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0910.087474-3.87%0.0835-8.24%0.2096✓1.27167k2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.45790.440099-3.89%0.5501+20.14%0.0599✗1.2745.0M2022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55382.4516-4.00%3.0966+21.25%0.1044✗1.001.1M2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.184.9721-4.01%6.3+21.62%0.0494✗1.461.2M2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.777403-4.02%0.82+1.23%0.0416✓0.74111k2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.866940.832012-4.03%1.0534+21.51%0.0640✗1.34399k2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1926.9007-4.05%8.787+22.18%0.0827✗1.249.6M2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.267429-4.08%0.3448+23.67%0.1007✗1.192.9M2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.051479-4.14%0.0788+46.74%0.3249✗0.78204k2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.294180.281945-4.16%0.36134+22.83%0.0741✗1.353,2792022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.4211.3611-4.21%1.711+20.41%0.0413✓1.46383k2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.1319-4.22%2.96-9.48%0.1163✓0.4778k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.79.2897-4.23%15.12+55.88%0.2995✗1.461.1M2022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.204811-4.29%0.226+5.61%0.1046✓1.58964k2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074380.071173-4.31%0.08413+13.11%0.0618✗0.821,9712022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1773.0397-4.32%3.69+16.15%0.0465✗1.15539k2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211220.020207-4.33%0.025193+19.27%0.0914✗1.001,2172022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.006623-4.44%0.006721-3.02%0.0594✓0.5870k2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05160.049306-4.45%0.0659+27.71%0.1148✗1.36837k2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10880.103944-4.46%0.1261+15.90%0.0519✗1.10362k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397740.379988-4.46%0.44286+11.34%0.0067✓1.24128k2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83420.796647-4.50%1.0012+20.02%0.0220✓1.61204k2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.45430.433795-4.51%0.6251+37.60%0.2028✗1.261.2M2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.008822-4.53%0.01073+16.13%0.0642✗1.024.9M2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018290.01744-4.65%0.01742-4.76%0.1003✓0.77381k2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34040.324338-4.72%0.3578+5.11%0.0541✓1.188.2M2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026760.025496-4.72%0.03112+16.29%0.0116✓1.461,5542022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5281.4557-4.73%1.893+23.89%0.0716✗1.49182k2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.754490.718734-4.74%1.2127+60.74%0.4114✗0.873642022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2531.1932-4.77%1.311+4.63%0.0569✓1.171.4M2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.3613.6643-4.84%18.18+26.60%0.1107✗1.361.3M2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum24.5923.3944-4.86%40.9+66.33%0.4300✗1.00128k2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.21940.20862-4.91%0.2752+25.43%0.1212✗1.21705k2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.5561.4788-4.96%2.01+29.18%0.1783✗1.00183k2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.248654-4.98%0.2613-0.15%0.0790✓1.0045k2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.815.5198-5.00%9.92+70.74%0.4105✗1.37263k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81330.77241-5.03%1.1419+40.40%0.2589✗1.034.1M2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011040.000010479-5.08%0.00001525+38.13%0.2153✗1.241.1M2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7383.5473-5.10%6.023+61.13%0.4595✗0.542.2M2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6870.651814-5.12%0.857+24.75%0.1110✗1.27120k2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum92.8388.0642-5.13%107.14+15.42%0.0202✓1.6810.8M2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060430.057322-5.14%0.0886+46.62%0.2577✗1.3824k2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11060.104795-5.25%0.1968+77.94%0.4879✗1.11558k2022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum102.7497.2852-5.31%113.47+10.44%0.0231✓1.022.6M2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.60071.5147-5.37%1.8279+14.19%0.0243✓1.27535k2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028590.002705-5.38%0.004238+48.23%0.3147✗1.041.2M2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative17.2616.3292-5.39%41.97+143.16%0.7902✗1.201.2M2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03680.034806-5.42%0.0425+15.49%0.0383✓1.2595k2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23850.225353-5.51%0.2726+14.30%0.0282✓1.26166k2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3756.9672-5.53%8.475+14.92%0.0169✓1.395.6M2022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6160.581859-5.54%0.72+16.88%0.0172✓1.52112k2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183850.17364-5.55%0.18875+2.67%0.2693✓2.748962022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7694.5039-5.56%6.215+30.32%0.0965✗1.7511.7M2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8371.7336-5.63%2.455+33.64%0.1808✗1.30729k2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.2420.0312-5.69%27.9+31.36%0.1316✗1.5525.2M2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92780.874865-5.71%1.0393+12.02%0.0142✓1.451.4M2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative1.6011.5092-5.74%2.71+69.27%0.4289✗1.22287k2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3061.231-5.74%1.47+12.56%0.0052✓1.342.5M2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04890.046078-5.77%0.0544+11.25%0.0057✓1.25264k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.069011-5.85%0.0707-3.55%0.1603✓1.43299k2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.6910.650276-5.89%0.71526+3.51%0.1146✓1.63117k2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10130.095312-5.91%0.1342+32.48%0.1686✗1.352.5M2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052050.048969-5.92%0.09505+82.61%0.4738✗1.47773k2022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.3829-5.92%1.72+17.01%0.0296✓1.47150k2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.088358-5.97%0.08417-10.43%0.1772✓1.00408k2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046270.043506-5.97%0.05379+16.25%0.0940✗0.925,7282022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020580.019351-5.97%0.02686+30.52%0.1910✗1.06112k2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.816.3991-6.03%8.78+28.93%0.2522✗0.50657k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.394.1222-6.10%6.38+45.33%0.3549✗0.64555k2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2378.6658-6.18%11.408+23.50%0.1010✗1.3512.5M2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.427640.400814-6.27%0.47474+11.01%0.0710✗0.7654k2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum55.151.6387-6.28%62.03+12.58%0.0059✓1.3831k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.09472-6.31%0.1148+13.55%0.0168✓1.36526k2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40631.3175-6.32%1.6772+19.26%0.0587✓1.42684k2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism0.520.487003-6.35%1.569+201.73%0.9498✗1.711.1M2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.122687-6.35%0.1474+12.52%0.0116✓1.3434k2022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7813.8413-6.35%20.58+39.24%0.2703✗0.981.7M2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.93.6517-6.37%5.44+39.49%0.3172✗0.63672k2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.340990.318907-6.48%0.35764+4.88%0.0491✓1.27411k2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8042.6219-6.49%3.694+31.74%0.1180✗1.753.7M2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40180.375245-6.61%0.4992+24.24%0.1568✗1.00224k2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.06733-6.62%0.0692-4.02%0.1015✓1.00224k2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9573.6892-6.77%5.456+37.88%0.3103✗0.631.6M2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7515.615-6.78%40+138.81%0.7280✗1.65421k2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.2838-6.78%3.32+35.51%0.1736✗1.56205k2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.131.985-6.81%2.119-0.52%0.1269✓1.49112k2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5966.1456-6.83%8.649+31.12%0.1798✗1.2618.8M2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.02570.955548-6.84%1.184+15.43%0.0677✓1.144,5462022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.147922-6.85%0.1799+13.29%0.0237✓1.34349k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.3501-6.89%1.44-0.69%0.1328✓1.53843k2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.6554-7.00%2.46+38.20%0.2522✗1.12125k2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.28190.261987-7.06%0.2975+5.53%0.0574✓1.43439k2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.29950.4297-7.13%61.418+13.11%0.0891✗0.84398k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.3952.3384-7.18%57.71+2.34%0.0544✓1.18235k2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.834.48-7.25%6.12+26.71%0.2256✗0.67609k2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16480.15253-7.45%0.168+1.94%0.0731✓1.322.8M2022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.30e-7-7.52%7.43e-7+108.39%0.6735✗1.08350k2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1166.5693-7.68%7.794+9.53%0.0002✓1.335.2M2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.465360.428449-7.93%0.41114-11.65%0.2353✓1.51862k2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0523250.04811-8.06%0.055866+6.77%0.0695✓0.6214k2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173720.015956-8.15%0.020413+17.51%0.1794✗0.52177k2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.4508-8.18%1.47-6.96%0.0208✓0.26447k2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.2283-8.29%4.97+41.19%0.3384✗0.72572k2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4063.1237-8.29%4.131+21.29%0.1799✗0.77488k2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42132.2205-8.29%3.3016+36.36%0.1882✗1.625,4022022-08-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6780.619939-8.56%0.519-23.45%0.3315✓1.2011k2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105690.000096184-8.99%0.00009691-8.31%0.2461✓1.97682k2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17361.0655-9.21%1.3341+13.68%0.0397✓1.444.2M2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6370.577881-9.28%0.718+12.72%0.0250✓1.493,6872022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7890.713057-9.63%0.87+10.27%0.0380✓1.847.4M2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023840.021477-9.91%0.02883+20.93%0.0838✓1.6415.8M2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47970.431241-10.10%0.5236+9.15%0.0524✓1.1052k2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11241.8963-10.23%3.6239+71.55%0.5334✗0.89845k2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1122.791-10.31%3.991+28.25%0.2766✗0.632.1M2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29552.0486-10.76%3.4246+49.19%0.4104✗0.80922k2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9320.830057-10.94%1.053+12.98%0.0072✓1.79528k2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.