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2022-07-14 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0363
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.0%
in alpha space · 19.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7810.691421-11.47%0.912+16.77%0.0435✓1.867.9M2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009210.000082455-10.47%0.00009674+5.04%0.1711✓1.92682k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.5488.3966-9.37%126.57+29.76%0.1832✗1.022.6M2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.407030.369129-9.31%0.53395+31.18%0.2382✗0.7654k2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.587421-9.21%0.792+22.41%0.0394✓1.503,6872022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.1615.5799-9.21%40.15+133.97%0.6583✗1.67427k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205260.01866-9.09%0.025853+25.95%0.1524✗1.019372022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8912.6401-8.68%4.099+41.78%0.3318✗0.632.1M2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450.413004-8.22%0.41477-7.83%0.2573✓1.511.0M2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.250.230574-7.77%0.3084+23.36%0.1181✗1.00503k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0136.472-7.71%8.987+28.15%0.0879✗1.395.6M2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.8846-7.43%2.328+14.34%0.0471✓1.50112k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum22.3320.6939-7.33%47.76+113.88%0.6636✗1.00126k2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.173795-6.86%0.2265+21.38%0.0245✓1.392,2342022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1681.0879-6.86%1.4348+22.84%0.0274✓1.444.3M2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095360.088947-6.73%0.08755-8.19%0.1885✓1.00379k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26142.1101-6.69%3.2141+42.13%0.1412✗1.624,8022022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38910.364021-6.45%0.5216+34.05%0.1870✗1.00180k2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.20448.8498-6.43%63.346+21.34%0.1148✗0.84414k2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism0.4910.460018-6.31%1.542+214.05%0.9154✗1.701.2M2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023640.022233-5.95%0.03126+32.23%0.0563✓1.6517.7M2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4583.2535-5.91%6.38+84.50%0.5807✗0.542.1M2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4022-5.89%1.55+4.03%0.0570✓0.25512k2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78890.742587-5.87%1.0121+28.29%0.0320✓1.61180k2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.5913.7703-5.62%21.34+46.26%0.2679✗0.991.7M2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9420.889926-5.53%0.974+3.40%0.2211✓1.80528k2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9521-5.38%3.03-2.88%0.0511✓0.4582k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173790.016451-5.34%0.020481+17.85%0.1289✗0.52199k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074240.070342-5.25%0.08281+11.54%0.0199✓0.831,9362022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.142.9802-5.09%4.96+57.96%0.3861✗0.71572k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.248336-5.07%0.261-0.23%0.1230✓1.0045k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17490.166224-4.96%0.2195+25.50%0.0232✓1.482,7942022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.650460.61988-4.70%0.72052+10.77%0.1319✓1.63130k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.14780.140984-4.61%0.1759+19.01%0.0051✓1.312.8M2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.3942-4.38%2.107+44.51%0.2402✗1.00178k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.485-4.26%5.4+48.35%0.3296✗0.63672k2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2162.1248-4.11%4.135+86.60%0.5091✗0.9198k2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93090.894744-3.88%1.419+52.43%0.2458✗1.25794k2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7092.6038-3.88%3.972+46.62%0.1200✗1.753.5M2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80490.77378-3.87%1.1627+44.45%0.2305✗1.024.5M2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6983.5585-3.77%4.814+30.18%0.1946✗0.621.6M2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353411.8928-3.73%17.0389+37.93%0.1532✗1.19265k2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9752.9254-3.72%65.44+19.05%0.0262✓1.3828k2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.066466-3.67%0.0716+3.77%0.0990✓1.00145k2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum91.2287.8894-3.65%110.5+21.14%0.0625✓1.6910.4M2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1252.0495-3.55%3.4228+61.07%0.3750✗0.80922k2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387560.373934-3.52%0.46097+18.94%0.0065✓1.25130k2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.993.8509-3.49%6.12+53.38%0.3546✗0.63555k2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288030.27819-3.42%0.37115+28.86%0.0543✗1.353,2762022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.1832-3.40%3.24+43.36%0.1262✗1.56216k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7414.2411-3.38%43.58+195.66%0.9151✗1.181.3M2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9613.4924-3.35%19.24+37.82%0.1198✗1.361.3M2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174850.169104-3.29%0.20197+15.51%0.3001✓2.778962022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3448-3.25%1.54+10.79%0.1296✓1.54768k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019740.0191-3.24%0.02741+38.86%0.1781✗1.0699k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46250.447576-3.23%0.5584+20.74%0.0309✓1.1053k2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.146689-3.18%0.1908+25.94%0.0316✓1.34349k2022-08-13
FISStafiEthereum0.37350.361724-3.15%0.3736+0.03%0.1404✓1.004752022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.043631-3.09%0.05467+21.43%0.0666✗0.925,7282022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.26.0093-3.08%8.81+42.10%0.2984✗0.49657k2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0508990.049479-2.79%0.056988+11.96%0.0340✗0.6214k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.792540.770597-2.77%1.243+56.84%0.3264✗0.883222022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8326.6511-2.65%8.197+19.98%0.0210✓1.335.5M2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.970160.944787-2.62%1.2311+26.90%0.0682✗1.143,5002022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.188.9441-2.57%15.39+67.65%0.2906✗1.461.1M2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026010.02536-2.50%0.03326+27.87%0.0173✓1.471,9122022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.609-2.48%2.66+61.21%0.3106✗1.11117k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.5762.5129-2.45%3.746+45.42%0.2049✗1.13895k2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6832.6174-2.45%4.065+51.51%0.2462✗1.12534k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.488832-2.43%0.702+40.12%0.1212✗1.3985k2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056930.055567-2.39%0.09127+60.32%0.2576✗1.3824k2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6854.5745-2.36%6.66+42.16%0.0724✗1.7613.1M2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09610.093843-2.35%0.1441+49.95%0.1962✗1.352.5M2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,010.905,871.99-2.31%11,424.48+90.06%0.4341✗1.344.4M2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.3-2.28%31.33+21.01%0.0520✗0.9411.0M2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.595685-2.19%0.733+20.36%0.0569✓1.53118k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78561.7471-2.16%3.4312+92.16%0.5261✗0.86845k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006612-2.15%0.006824+0.99%0.0673✓0.5784k2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.289410.283193-2.15%0.3817+31.89%0.0820✗1.25421k2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095450.000934041-2.14%0.001473+54.30%0.2339✗1.281.9M2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2051.1804-2.04%1.326+10.04%0.0867✓1.181.5M2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration51.5150.4631-2.03%61.18+18.77%0.0104✓1.17235k2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40470.396492-2.03%0.462+14.16%0.1193✓1.58197k2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.035472-2.01%0.0442+22.10%0.0026✓1.2699k2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8171.7805-2.01%2.408+32.53%0.0763✗1.31864k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91640.899446-1.85%1.138+24.18%0.0167✓1.461.5M2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9818.8177-1.82%11.906+32.57%0.0662✗1.3612.7M2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017555-1.82%0.01788+0.00%0.1150✓0.77381k2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.725.6162-1.81%10.46+82.87%0.3855✗1.37256k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7446-1.80%4.086+46.19%0.2674✗0.76488k2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001060.000010411-1.79%0.00001262+19.06%0.0224✓1.241.2M2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08620.084733-1.70%0.0916+6.26%0.1407✓1.27171k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003815-1.67%0.00504+29.90%0.0446✗1.35141k2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08880.087324-1.66%0.1176+32.43%0.1575✗0.81145k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.56011.5348-1.62%1.9104+22.45%0.0019✓1.28582k2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4080.401491-1.60%0.558+36.76%0.1368✗1.119,6592022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.003490.003435-1.57%0.00389+11.46%0.1101✓1.36664k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.207751-1.54%0.235+11.37%0.1484✓1.571.0M2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6680.657793-1.53%0.917+37.28%0.1131✗1.27127k2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25690.253008-1.51%0.4375+70.30%0.3487✗1.1533k2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05190.051119-1.51%0.0823+58.57%0.3414✗0.78204k2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77041.7438-1.51%2.4159+36.46%0.1113✗1.2436k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.44140.434768-1.50%0.5598+26.82%0.0333✗1.2746.2M2022-08-13
DASHDashDash43.6242.9767-1.47%57.07+30.83%0.0914✗1.11628k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1140.112326-1.47%0.1717+50.61%0.2502✗1.013.9M2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006317-1.46%0.00886+38.22%0.1669✗0.99392k2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3545.2763-1.45%8.374+56.41%0.2653✗1.141.9M2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009343-1.45%0.01031+8.76%0.0802✓1.035.1M2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase15.4115.1963-1.39%20.82+35.11%0.0705✗1.4177k2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4102-1.38%1.85+29.37%0.0179✗1.47155k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.1236.6184-1.35%46.63+25.62%0.0125✓1.3384.4M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049560.048903-1.33%0.09698+95.68%0.4308✗1.47778k2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative1.5621.5413-1.32%2.923+87.13%0.4298✗1.22287k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129640.127955-1.30%0.18116+39.74%0.0680✗1.62155k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.38020.375638-1.20%0.5095+34.01%0.0860✗1.27405k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4670.461507-1.18%0.6153+31.76%0.0933✗1.13311k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3541.3382-1.16%1.823+34.64%0.0572✗1.46387k2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027490.002717-1.16%0.004633+68.53%0.3540✗1.041.2M2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04960.049035-1.14%0.0672+35.48%0.0596✗1.48106k2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04430.043798-1.13%0.0714+61.17%0.2563✗1.35837k2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.835040.825807-1.11%1.0614+27.10%0.0197✗1.34411k2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase0.885170.875557-1.09%1.0828+22.32%0.0362✗1.0274k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2261.2133-1.04%1.485+21.13%0.0245✓1.312.5M2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50710.501874-1.03%0.6271+23.66%0.0135✗1.21536k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26880.26609-1.01%0.3595+33.74%0.0947✗1.193.0M2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.2350.232648-1.00%0.2886+22.81%0.0255✗1.1060k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.820.812208-0.95%0.82+0.00%0.1191✓0.74114k2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2322.2121-0.89%2.902+30.02%0.0220✓1.7084k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.33592.3156-0.87%2.999+28.39%0.0865✗1.001.1M2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.792131-0.86%0.991+24.03%0.0875✗0.791.3M2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669340.06643-0.75%0.069903+4.44%0.0904✓0.82453k2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.02531.0178-0.73%1.2916+25.97%0.0501✗1.0952k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.091259-0.70%0.1229+33.73%0.0627✗1.36547k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,493.5020,352.01-0.69%24,547.20+19.78%0.0170✗0.9945k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038728-0.67%0.0000474+21.57%0.0071✓1.211.9M2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum5.195.1563-0.65%6.65+28.13%0.0013✓1.471.3M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6150.611153-0.63%0.872+41.79%0.1925✗0.94391k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.42440.421909-0.59%0.6334+49.25%0.1886✗1.261.2M2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32970.327801-0.58%0.3686+11.80%0.0874✓1.198.5M2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39995.3689-0.57%4.8922-9.40%0.1252✓0.19335k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22860.227288-0.57%0.2745+20.08%0.0288✓1.26172k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.008944-0.51%0.00828-7.90%0.2363✓0.921.2M2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3251.0904-0.45%63.86+24.43%0.0205✗1.1715.5M2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18910.188279-0.43%0.2699+42.73%0.1078✗1.46127k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10670.106259-0.41%0.1296+21.46%0.0084✗1.10388k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120520.012007-0.38%0.01624+34.75%0.1608✗0.821.3M2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07690.07663-0.35%0.1028+33.68%0.0804✗1.246,9262022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.276.2554-0.23%9.149+45.92%0.1630✗1.2619.7M2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623920.062298-0.15%0.072906+16.85%0.0528✓1.222.0M2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06610.066023-0.12%0.0784+18.61%0.0745✓1.43299k2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283783-0.08%0.333+17.25%0.0187✓1.03575k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2907120.290696-0.01%0.387693+33.36%0.0697✗1.261.7M2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1782.1795+0.07%2.867+31.63%0.0281✓1.4252k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38370.384129+0.11%0.4939+28.72%0.0200✓1.3494k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero133.62133.8337+0.16%168.13+25.83%0.0327✓1.131.3M2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.7332.7381+0.19%4.2917+57.03%0.2597✓1.1027k2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4421.4447+0.19%1.994+38.28%0.0646✓1.49182k2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7226.7365+0.22%9.31+38.50%0.1108✓1.239.7M2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32011.3232+0.24%1.7029+29.00%0.0072✓1.42651k2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7419.8195+0.40%29.19+47.87%0.1200✓1.5525.2M2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.1372+0.41%10.697+17.55%0.0347✗1.112.5M2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1050.10557+0.54%0.1616+53.90%0.2349✓1.10549k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046765+0.57%0.0554+19.14%0.0452✗1.24257k2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0399020.040132+0.58%0.054466+36.50%0.1066✓1.1515k2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10770.108488+0.73%0.1341+24.51%0.0432✓0.986,6852022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.00914.0389+0.74%5.1095+27.45%0.1115✓0.721.1M2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.434.4663+0.82%6.06+36.79%0.1911✓0.66609k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,577.0220,746.88+0.83%24,456.49+18.85%0.0082✗1.00453.1M2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1071370.108195+0.99%0.126836+18.39%0.0152✗1.017.8M2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash57.5958.1612+0.99%76.21+32.33%0.0414✓1.331.6M2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.69e-7+0.99%0.00000102+18.60%0.0146✓0.855.8M2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.74e-7+1.04%3.22e-7-13.15%0.3396✗1.09441k2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027090.027408+1.17%0.04514+66.63%0.2777✓1.2819k2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04230.042797+1.17%0.0501+18.44%0.0770✗1.368,3162022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.99104.5939+1.56%144.43+40.24%0.1295✓1.124.5M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.338.463+1.60%12.18+46.22%0.1590✓1.19288k2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12560.127631+1.62%0.1512+20.38%0.0616✗1.3435k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.20250.205786+1.62%0.2759+36.25%0.0856✓1.20705k2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6110.62283+1.94%1.038+69.89%0.3010✓1.21867k2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13680.140347+2.59%0.1743+27.41%0.0001✓1.2593k2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056870.005838+2.65%0.006994+22.98%0.0217✓0.923,1492022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,192.701,227.79+2.94%1,984.75+66.41%0.2742✓1.19326.5M2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.