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2022-07-08 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0140
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
31.5%
in alpha space · 21.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.732225-13.35%0.871+3.08%0.0375✓1.9114.0M2022-08-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110050.000096271-12.52%0.00009956-9.53%0.1047✓1.94785k2022-08-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.368-10.00%1.57+3.29%0.1166✗0.30614k2022-08-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.161.944-10.00%2.37+9.72%0.0931✓1.47117k2022-08-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0052.7058-9.96%4.147+38.00%0.3819✗0.632.8M2022-08-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.3214.7243-9.78%22.19+35.97%0.3371✗1.02457k2022-08-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520030.469221-9.77%0.42719-17.85%0.2062✓1.581.6M2022-08-07
OPTIMOptimism0.5650.513985-9.03%1.912+238.41%1.1925✗1.701.5M2022-08-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.744740.679129-8.81%0.68843-7.56%0.1046✓1.66108k2022-08-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.4514.1089-8.68%32.48+110.23%0.7150✗1.67463k2022-08-07
DIADIAEthereum0.401380.366796-8.62%0.47524+18.40%0.2082✗0.7155k2022-08-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83330.761749-8.59%0.9885+18.62%0.1440✗1.63148k2022-08-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.23590.215871-8.49%0.308+30.56%0.2841✗1.00544k2022-08-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.646296-8.46%0.811+14.87%0.1205✗1.493,2002022-08-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4313.1488-8.23%6.829+99.04%0.7323✗0.592.3M2022-08-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7543.4602-7.83%4.685+24.80%0.2565✗0.651.9M2022-08-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.199870.184338-7.77%0.19598-1.95%0.0101✓1.008572022-08-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9990.921752-7.73%0.931-6.81%0.1194✓1.81664k2022-08-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214980.019935-7.27%0.023491+9.27%0.0903✗1.048342022-08-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.275458-6.62%0.225-23.73%0.3131✓1.551.1M2022-08-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.57732.4105-6.47%3.0557+18.56%0.1200✗1.644,8022022-08-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.097930.091601-6.46%0.08532-12.88%0.1423✓1.00340k2022-08-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.431350.403641-6.42%0.4338+0.57%0.0171✓1.25155k2022-08-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02390.022416-6.21%0.03436+43.77%0.3065✗1.6919.6M2022-08-07
API3Api3Ethereum2.0111.8862-6.20%2.089+3.88%0.0059✓1.351.1M2022-08-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07650.0718-6.14%0.0735-3.92%0.0542✓1.0994k2022-08-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.306690.289075-5.74%0.35815+16.78%0.1163✗1.372,7752022-08-07
METISMetisEthereum22.4821.1961-5.71%44.22+96.71%0.6640✗1.0093k2022-08-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94560.895935-5.25%1.0439+10.40%0.0640✗1.25252k2022-08-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.83554.008-4.97%61.878+8.87%0.0762✗0.84559k2022-08-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.17930.170467-4.93%0.2551+42.28%0.3059✗1.363,2022022-08-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51070.485912-4.85%0.5887+15.27%0.1138✗1.1081k2022-08-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.7311-4.84%3.12+8.71%0.0618✗1.0082k2022-08-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.895410.852241-4.82%1.1124+24.23%0.2052✗0.862472022-08-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.77540.738711-4.73%1.1663+50.41%0.3819✗1.054.5M2022-08-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.249616-4.58%0.2614-0.08%0.0252✓1.0062k2022-08-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18780.17933-4.51%0.2146+14.27%0.1082✗1.002,7942022-08-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022180.021196-4.44%0.04057+82.91%0.5726✗1.0896k2022-08-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.773.6041-4.40%5.65+49.87%0.4050✗0.63833k2022-08-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4372.3315-4.33%2.458+0.86%0.0129✓0.92148k2022-08-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164790.015782-4.23%0.019873+20.60%0.1907✗0.56339k2022-08-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.5321.4676-4.21%2.183+42.49%0.3258✗1.00178k2022-08-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.592.4817-4.18%3.06+18.15%0.0969✗1.58265k2022-08-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7915.5492-4.18%8.784+51.68%0.3628✗1.355.2M2022-08-07
XYMSymbolnative0.05210.049954-4.12%0.055055+5.67%0.0509✗0.6517k2022-08-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.099.6855-4.01%16.88+67.29%0.4523✗1.451.1M2022-08-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046860.045017-3.93%0.05378+14.77%0.1104✗0.956,4892022-08-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.15192.0674-3.93%3.2183+49.56%0.3833✗0.831.3M2022-08-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.23.0748-3.91%5.07+58.44%0.4506✗0.69780k2022-08-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01010.971696-3.80%1.4024+38.84%0.2679✗1.394.5M2022-08-07
QNTQuantEthereum73.1570.4547-3.68%126.46+72.88%0.5151✗0.982.3M2022-08-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.514934-3.57%0.682+27.72%0.1817✗1.3999k2022-08-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028820.027799-3.54%0.03172+10.06%0.0606✗1.002,0362022-08-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.5615.0309-3.40%37.71+142.35%0.8357✗1.181.8M2022-08-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.149763-3.38%0.1758+13.42%0.0650✗1.34355k2022-08-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.882.7858-3.27%4.012+39.31%0.2856✗1.11567k2022-08-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9514.7907-3.24%7.208+45.59%0.2820✗1.7716.6M2022-08-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071240.068971-3.19%0.07969+11.86%0.0875✗0.802,5182022-08-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.6352.5512-3.18%3.033+15.10%0.0886✗1.181.0M2022-08-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.8314.3587-3.18%18.49+24.68%0.1558✗1.361.5M2022-08-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5032.424-3.15%4.08+63.00%0.3949✗1.763.4M2022-08-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020680.02003-3.14%0.01788-13.54%0.1677✓0.76414k2022-08-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010890.010553-3.10%0.01046-3.95%0.0846✓1.065.6M2022-08-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,296.146,101.92-3.08%11,438.54+81.68%0.5343✗1.324.5M2022-08-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41740.404532-3.08%0.466+11.64%0.0254✓1.63208k2022-08-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.992190.962291-3.01%1.1657+17.48%0.1086✗1.171,6262022-08-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9556.7474-2.98%8.249+18.61%0.1052✗1.345.5M2022-08-07
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6494-2.98%2.48+45.88%0.3258✗1.15121k2022-08-07
FTTFTXEthereum27.3626.5464-2.97%30.67+12.10%0.0774✗0.9412.2M2022-08-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.093.9692-2.95%5.77+41.08%0.3281✗0.64727k2022-08-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96670.938302-2.94%1.1387+17.79%0.0880✗1.482.1M2022-08-07
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.133094-2.85%0.1819+32.77%0.2213✗1.282.8M2022-08-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.175.9947-2.84%8.94+44.89%0.3644✗0.49878k2022-08-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.80931.758-2.83%3.4736+91.99%0.6215✗0.83986k2022-08-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011190.000010887-2.71%0.00001202+7.42%0.0091✓1.261.2M2022-08-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.293330.285406-2.70%0.31695+8.05%0.0137✓1.28465k2022-08-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75.5486-2.66%4.899-14.05%0.1394✓0.21291k2022-08-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.221.1876-2.65%1.319+8.11%0.0220✓1.161.8M2022-08-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.03816-2.65%0.0441+12.50%0.0542✗1.27134k2022-08-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.440312.1148-2.62%18.2973+47.08%0.3264✗1.21316k2022-08-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.66813-2.60%0.759+10.64%0.0142✓1.59222k2022-08-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096340.000938703-2.56%0.001193+23.81%0.1462✗1.312.6M2022-08-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9798.757-2.47%11.374+26.67%0.1654✗1.3515.0M2022-08-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09570.093355-2.45%0.0893-6.69%0.1381✓1.31179k2022-08-07
FLOWFlownative1.6341.5966-2.29%2.624+60.59%0.4116✗1.19297k2022-08-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09930.097074-2.24%0.1283+29.20%0.1831✗1.342.8M2022-08-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062630.061257-2.19%0.08386+33.90%0.2155✗1.3828k2022-08-07
STXStacksnative0.40640.39751-2.19%0.4907+20.74%0.1199✗1.27339k2022-08-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89131.8506-2.15%2.3326+23.34%0.1422✗1.2550k2022-08-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069940.006846-2.11%0.006331-9.48%0.1214✓0.61105k2022-08-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.89610.877957-2.02%1.0596+18.24%0.0916✗1.35557k2022-08-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05330.052258-1.96%0.0794+48.97%0.3626✗0.78213k2022-08-07
XTZTezosTezos1.52791.4983-1.94%1.888+23.57%0.1406✗1.27603k2022-08-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.4907-1.93%1.81+19.08%0.0889✗1.47338k2022-08-07
ADACardanoCardano0.46570.456918-1.89%0.5277+13.31%0.0521✗1.2951.5M2022-08-07
HIVEHivenative0.48780.478697-1.87%0.5991+22.82%0.1331✗1.281.1M2022-08-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.118299-1.83%0.1588+31.78%0.2235✗0.994.0M2022-08-07
SOLSolanaSolana38.137.4291-1.76%40.62+6.61%0.0123✓1.3290.8M2022-08-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3131.2899-1.76%1.425+8.53%0.0018✓1.373.1M2022-08-07
BANDBandEthereum1.4191.3944-1.73%1.809+27.48%0.1566✗1.45453k2022-08-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.247529-1.62%0.2711+7.75%0.0093✓1.1565k2022-08-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.655.5592-1.61%10.03+77.52%0.4957✗1.32300k2022-08-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050870.050066-1.58%0.10727+110.87%0.6561✗1.49902k2022-08-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.735.6408-1.56%8.792+53.44%0.3606✗1.172.3M2022-08-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4130.406592-1.55%0.551+33.41%0.2251✗1.1111k2022-08-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006860.006755-1.54%0.00906+32.07%0.2220✗1.00412k2022-08-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09330.091878-1.52%0.109+16.83%0.1140✗0.80176k2022-08-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6920.681471-1.52%0.858+23.99%0.1364✗1.32175k2022-08-07
XVGVergenative0.003370.003319-1.50%0.00374+10.98%0.0213✗1.37709k2022-08-07
DASHDashDash45.6545.0001-1.42%53.35+16.87%0.0920✗1.10698k2022-08-07
FISStafiEthereum0.29550.29132-1.41%0.3904+32.12%0.2214✗1.005582022-08-07
KSMKusamaHydration51.5550.831-1.39%65.42+26.91%0.1680✗1.18413k2022-08-07
ZENHorizenBase16.616.3766-1.35%19.17+15.48%0.0563✗1.4272k2022-08-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28020.276514-1.32%0.3431+22.45%0.1301✗1.203.0M2022-08-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26010.256764-1.28%0.4693+80.43%0.5194✗1.1730k2022-08-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.838336-1.26%1.111+30.86%0.2232✗0.821.7M2022-08-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.10821.0957-1.13%1.2162+9.75%0.0256✗1.1065k2022-08-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41932.3925-1.11%2.9884+23.52%0.1473✗1.051.4M2022-08-07
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.1044-1.08%6.84+32.56%0.1862✗1.491.4M2022-08-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8782.8491-1.00%4.058+41.00%0.2983✗0.78649k2022-08-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04910.048611-1.00%0.0544+10.79%0.0246✗1.23260k2022-08-07
COMPCompoundEthereum47.246.7372-0.98%63.85+35.28%0.2109✗1.4227k2022-08-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19810.196203-0.96%0.2392+20.75%0.0921✗1.49151k2022-08-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.05390.053387-0.95%0.0606+12.43%0.0200✗1.50131k2022-08-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,763.7021,566.46-0.91%23,110.70+6.19%0.0014✓0.9951k2022-08-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6870.680957-0.88%0.807+17.47%0.1040✗0.92412k2022-08-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2522.2324-0.87%2.792+23.98%0.1041✗1.6897k2022-08-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.09290.092094-0.87%0.1192+28.31%0.1604✗1.37724k2022-08-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04730.046913-0.82%0.0643+35.94%0.2184✗1.36950k2022-08-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0688720.068312-0.81%0.06896+0.13%0.0772✓1.212.2M2022-08-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.161.1508-0.80%1.5+29.31%0.1571✗1.51755k2022-08-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027320.002711-0.78%0.003423+25.29%0.1591✗1.041.4M2022-08-07
AAVEAaveEthereum71.7271.1767-0.76%101.31+41.26%0.2359✗1.648.2M2022-08-07
TRXTRONTron0.0689970.068517-0.70%0.069658+0.96%0.0434✓0.84531k2022-08-07
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.003972-0.69%0.00471+17.75%0.0725✗1.37167k2022-08-07
PROPropyEthereum0.830.824516-0.66%0.84+1.20%0.0325✓0.72143k2022-08-07
XECeCashnative0.000041360.000041088-0.66%0.00004532+9.57%0.0092✗1.252.5M2022-08-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130520.012973-0.61%0.015952+22.22%0.1474✗0.831.4M2022-08-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1080.107377-0.58%0.1264+17.04%0.0844✗1.10388k2022-08-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51750.514576-0.57%0.6639+28.29%0.1671✗1.23642k2022-08-07
QTUMQtumQtum2.94372.9272-0.56%4.0919+39.01%0.2556✗1.1132k2022-08-07
STEEMSteemnative0.22490.223645-0.56%0.2595+15.38%0.0641✗1.19682k2022-08-07
XEMNEMnative0.04160.041381-0.53%0.051551+23.92%0.1361✗1.1714k2022-08-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3626-0.52%2.798+17.81%0.0686✗1.4167k2022-08-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3151.0422-0.52%61.12+19.12%0.0963✗1.1818.8M2022-08-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40140.399618-0.44%0.4806+19.73%0.0864✗1.3895k2022-08-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8953130.891683-0.41%1.0549+17.82%0.0935✗1.05100k2022-08-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13350.133031-0.35%0.1374+2.92%0.0651✓1.3732k2022-08-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.009140.00911-0.33%0.00837-8.42%0.1528✓0.951.2M2022-08-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23150.230792-0.31%0.2595+12.10%0.0251✗1.29220k2022-08-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31440.313547-0.27%0.3559+13.20%0.0420✗1.199.4M2022-08-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0810.080816-0.23%0.1047+29.26%0.1692✗1.267,2862022-08-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.066206-0.14%0.0605-8.75%0.1940✓1.46325k2022-08-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128540.128367-0.13%0.17735+37.97%0.2073✗1.63186k2022-08-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283745-0.09%0.339+19.37%0.1046✗1.03663k2022-08-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3536.3505-0.04%8.34+31.28%0.1810✗1.2823.0M2022-08-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.719.699-0.00%27.9+41.62%0.2398✗1.5229.4M2022-08-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.10080.100882+0.08%0.1513+50.10%0.3247✓1.13551k2022-08-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0417.05+0.13%8.657+22.95%0.1164✓1.2512.5M2022-08-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37791.38+0.16%1.5748+14.29%0.0371✓1.33727k2022-08-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04480.044871+0.16%0.0512+14.29%0.0332✓1.3810k2022-08-07
XMRMoneroMonero125.24125.5827+0.27%164.87+31.64%0.1904✓1.151.3M2022-08-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3170810.317952+0.27%0.354473+11.79%0.0184✓1.272.3M2022-08-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4011.4063+0.38%1.998+42.61%0.2455✓1.48170k2022-08-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,582.2021,709.93+0.59%23,177.39+7.39%0.0059✓1.00493.8M2022-08-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.96e-73.99e-7+0.77%3.42e-7-13.64%0.2331✗1.10583k2022-08-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.110494+0.82%0.1294+18.07%0.0863✓1.006,6852022-08-07
ZECZcashZcash59.4359.9264+0.84%70.26+18.22%0.0636✓1.341.8M2022-08-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.1449.221+0.84%10.602+15.94%0.0603✓1.113.1M2022-08-07
XLMStellarStellar0.11320.114159+0.85%0.123873+9.43%0.0094✓1.019.3M2022-08-07
BTTCBTTC9.00e-79.08e-7+0.91%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0050✓0.855.7M2022-08-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.069.1437+0.92%11.74+29.58%0.1666✓1.17331k2022-08-07
GTGateEthereum3.92993.9715+1.06%4.7602+21.13%0.1297✓0.721.2M2022-08-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029010.029348+1.17%0.03302+13.82%0.0247✓1.3123k2022-08-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.5985+1.29%6.04+33.04%0.2259✓0.66862k2022-08-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49790.504676+1.36%0.5927+19.04%0.0803✓1.13232k2022-08-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash108.45109.9387+1.37%140.98+30.00%0.1676✓1.145.7M2022-08-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6420.654659+1.97%0.751+16.98%0.0509✓1.21893k2022-08-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.14630.149421+2.13%0.1618+10.59%0.0121✓1.29105k2022-08-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059340.006073+2.35%0.006475+9.12%0.0066✓0.993,2372022-08-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,213.191,247.29+2.81%1,700.42+40.16%0.2266✓1.17342.2M2022-08-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.