8=======>

2022-06-19 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 177 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0482
177 of 177 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.1%
in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (177 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.510.531481+4.21%0.53+3.92%0.0292✓1.1672k2022-06-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.776790.80786+4.00%0.83801+7.88%0.0177✓0.839712022-06-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08070.083459+3.42%0.082+1.61%0.0480✗1.336,0992022-06-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.420.43263+3.01%0.98+133.33%0.7944✓1.0263k2022-06-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.155891+2.90%0.1565+3.30%0.0280✓1.40917k2022-06-26
XMRMoneroMonero114.45117.715+2.85%125.18+9.38%0.0353✓1.141.8M2022-06-26
MOVRMoonriverBase11.350211.6718+2.83%11.7796+3.78%0.0206✓1.30194k2022-06-26
AAVEAaveEthereum53.9755.4834+2.80%65.42+21.22%0.1268✓1.667.6M2022-06-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.704517+2.70%0.654-4.66%0.1013✗1.18977k2022-06-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6450.661866+2.61%0.749+16.12%0.0920✓1.394.0M2022-06-26
FLOWFlownative1.3741.4092+2.56%1.632+18.78%0.1204✓1.15457k2022-06-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.28e-73.36e-7+2.54%4.30e-7+31.03%0.2239✓0.93800k2022-06-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.013.0857+2.52%3.14+4.32%0.0000✓0.761.4M2022-06-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,552.4421,055.96+2.45%21,027.92+2.31%0.0242✓1.00582.4M2022-06-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8550.875856+2.44%1.177+37.66%0.2727✓1.001.5M2022-06-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,126.901,154.22+2.42%1,197.13+6.23%0.0102✓1.15388.8M2022-06-26
OPTIMOptimism0.5080.520306+2.42%0.539+6.10%0.0124✓1.006.2M2022-06-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6540.669722+2.40%0.694+6.12%0.0028✓1.68303k2022-06-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05470.056006+2.39%0.0542-0.91%0.0509✗0.79326k2022-06-26
HIVEHivenative0.37320.382096+2.38%0.3977+6.56%0.0090✓1.361.2M2022-06-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05270.053954+2.38%0.056+6.26%0.0102✓1.18152k2022-06-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03540.036233+2.35%0.0484+36.72%0.2585✓1.36334k2022-06-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2421.2702+2.27%1.299+4.59%0.0117✓1.49223k2022-06-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3660.374317+2.27%0.688+87.98%0.5735✓1.543,1292022-06-26
COMPCompoundEthereum31.832.5122+2.24%50.87+59.97%0.4142✓1.4627k2022-06-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016650.01702+2.22%0.01707+2.52%0.0152✓0.79430k2022-06-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17210.175913+2.22%0.2024+17.61%0.1070✓1.45191k2022-06-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.052430.053582+2.20%0.07088+35.19%0.2569✓1.001,5802022-06-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5926.7352+2.17%6.7+1.64%0.0351✗1.3141.5M2022-06-26
ADACardanoCardano0.4840.494362+2.14%0.4899+1.22%0.0402✗1.3676.9M2022-06-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.1516.4956+2.14%19.71+22.04%0.1454✓1.4342.7M2022-06-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.261.2869+2.14%1.382+9.68%0.0385✓1.443.8M2022-06-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash120.39122.9472+2.12%112.89-6.23%0.1119✗1.164.5M2022-06-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.5884+2.12%3.742+6.49%0.0264✓0.684.9M2022-06-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.294.3804+2.11%4.59+6.99%0.0312✓0.681.4M2022-06-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.52020.531132+2.10%0.53626+3.09%0.0292✗1.703.5M2022-06-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,740.284,838.34+2.07%6,439.41+35.84%0.2565✓1.283.7M2022-06-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060780.006203+2.07%0.006067-0.18%0.0457✗1.022,7662022-06-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7691.8051+2.04%2.158+21.99%0.1426✓1.5792k2022-06-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.1330.135708+2.04%0.1416+6.47%0.0118✓1.34163k2022-06-26
XVGVergenative0.002790.002846+2.02%0.00319+14.34%0.0823✓1.39650k2022-06-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7022.7563+2.01%3.13+15.84%0.1138✓0.584.3M2022-06-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.31451.3409+2.01%1.396+6.20%0.0118✓1.241.2M2022-06-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2640850.26925+1.96%0.315285+19.39%0.1265✓1.372.4M2022-06-26
BTTCBTTC7.90e-78.05e-7+1.95%8.60e-7+8.86%0.0459✓0.865.3M2022-06-26
DODODODOEthereum0.11990.122235+1.95%0.1254+4.59%0.0063✓1.394.4M2022-06-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.04680.047709+1.94%0.06676+42.65%0.3050✓1.3570k2022-06-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.597.7374+1.94%9.09+19.76%0.1343✓1.17429k2022-06-26
GTGateEthereum3.96044.0371+1.94%4.2955+8.46%0.0452✓0.741.7M2022-06-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00270.002752+1.94%0.002812+4.15%0.0032✓1.082.1M2022-06-26
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1254.2047+1.93%4.695+13.82%0.0689✓1.8115.8M2022-06-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.868770.885558+1.93%0.96524+11.10%0.0584✓1.226,0082022-06-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9993.0569+1.93%3.114+3.83%0.0025✓0.704.9M2022-06-26
STXStacksnative0.35450.361244+1.90%0.4026+13.57%0.0785✓1.31203k2022-06-26
KCSKuCoinnative10.62510.8265+1.90%10.716+0.86%0.0360✗1.125.0M2022-06-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07820.079667+1.88%0.0788+0.77%0.0437✗1.43281k2022-06-26
XEMNEMnative0.039850.040596+1.87%0.041004+2.90%0.0187✗1.2626k2022-06-26
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.203792+1.85%0.221+10.44%0.0526✓1.24669k2022-06-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019570.01993+1.84%0.02096+7.10%0.0270✓1.02129k2022-06-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.6147+1.82%3.72+4.79%0.0146✓0.621.9M2022-06-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6260.637321+1.81%0.676+7.99%0.0282✓1.34506k2022-06-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,529.0020,893.17+1.77%21,050.20+2.54%0.0150✓0.9836k2022-06-26
ZECZcashZcash67.4168.5992+1.76%63.78-5.38%0.1035✗1.343.1M2022-06-26
QTUMQtumQtum2.72952.7773+1.75%2.9427+7.81%0.0312✓1.1639k2022-06-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2092.2472+1.73%2.592+17.34%0.1099✓1.4488k2022-06-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0027660.002813+1.68%0.002979+7.70%0.0327✓1.084,6932022-06-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2970.301983+1.68%0.419+41.08%0.2930✓1.51275k2022-06-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.485.5718+1.68%5.751+4.95%0.0004✓1.3711.1M2022-06-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1146080.116523+1.67%0.120282+4.95%0.0076✓1.0611.6M2022-06-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4532.4937+1.66%2.6123+6.49%0.0225✓1.052.8M2022-06-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.09340.094945+1.65%0.0984+5.35%0.0080✓1.21691k2022-06-26
TRXTRONTron0.0612750.06228+1.64%0.064921+5.95%0.0211✓0.891.0M2022-06-26
NANOnanopayBase0.782290.794931+1.62%0.850925+8.77%0.0436✓1.07120k2022-06-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5790.588181+1.59%0.692+19.52%0.1396✓1.00349k2022-06-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.882.9256+1.58%2.939+2.05%0.0141✓0.821.5M2022-06-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5217.639+1.57%7.832+4.14%0.0045✓1.2913.9M2022-06-26
RADRadworksEthereum1.511.5332+1.54%1.64+8.61%0.0412✓1.15270k2022-06-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027740.028161+1.52%0.02988+7.71%0.0284✓1.3519k2022-06-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.4952+1.50%11.05+6.87%0.0144✓1.62322k2022-06-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2670.270939+1.48%0.301+12.73%0.0820✓1.01823k2022-06-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.04688+1.47%0.04859+5.17%0.0135✓0.9814k2022-06-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.6076+1.46%2.7+5.06%0.0095✓1.11624k2022-06-26
QNTQuantEthereum53.7354.515+1.46%61.52+14.50%0.0989✓0.961.9M2022-06-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0123250.012504+1.45%0.0121-1.83%0.0523✗0.852.0M2022-06-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006660.006757+1.45%0.00695+4.35%0.0051✓1.01482k2022-06-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.051.0651+1.43%1.14+8.57%0.0322✓1.56985k2022-06-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31420.318697+1.43%0.3319+5.63%0.0133✓1.1913.5M2022-06-26
ZENHorizenBase13.8814.0782+1.43%14.59+5.12%0.0035✓1.4155k2022-06-26
LSKLiskEthereum0.9937991.0078+1.41%1.0606+6.72%0.0246✓1.1653k2022-06-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02810.028488+1.38%0.0398+41.64%0.3053✓1.27206k2022-06-26
UNIUniswapEthereum4.1844.2417+1.38%5.592+33.65%0.2452✓1.363.6M2022-06-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.7656.8582+1.38%8.054+19.05%0.1306✓1.3213.7M2022-06-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.254950.258443+1.37%0.27698+8.64%0.0401✓1.28466k2022-06-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana44.0546+1.36%3.98-0.50%0.0340✗0.671.3M2022-06-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.4742.5075+1.35%2.688+8.65%0.0415✓1.221.0M2022-06-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.090406+1.35%0.1001+12.22%0.0686✓1.451.1M2022-06-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.04770.048344+1.35%0.05088+6.67%0.0164✓1.521.5M2022-06-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09320.094425+1.31%0.1013+8.69%0.0441✓1.14642k2022-06-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2561.2725+1.31%1.386+10.35%0.0510✓1.5173k2022-06-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06150.062307+1.31%0.0641+4.23%0.0061✓1.51431k2022-06-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81011.8337+1.30%1.899+4.91%0.0053✓1.3061k2022-06-26
XTZTezosTezos1.38781.4059+1.30%1.4426+3.95%0.0038✓1.29914k2022-06-26
SCSiacoinnative0.00370.003748+1.30%0.00398+7.57%0.0265✓1.47240k2022-06-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007470.000756653+1.29%0.001064+42.44%0.3099✓1.352.2M2022-06-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.827386+1.27%0.981+20.07%0.1262✓1.9329.5M2022-06-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11090.11229+1.25%0.1171+5.59%0.0105✓1.3749k2022-06-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27320.276615+1.25%0.2841+3.99%0.0018✓1.255.0M2022-06-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.058.1505+1.25%8.8+9.32%0.0546✓0.96244k2022-06-26
KSMKusamaHydration50.8751.5004+1.24%52.49+3.18%0.0081✓1.19940k2022-06-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10140.102654+1.24%0.1046+3.16%0.0047✓1.035,8092022-06-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.291050.294642+1.23%0.32091+10.26%0.0532✓1.419,0962022-06-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00000820.000008301+1.23%0.00001095+33.54%0.2494✓1.21802k2022-06-26
DIADIAEthereum0.382090.386739+1.22%0.39154+2.47%0.0039✓0.71240k2022-06-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4390.444328+1.21%0.548+24.83%0.1778✓1.39108k2022-06-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3660.370411+1.21%0.4006+9.45%0.0453✓1.44132k2022-06-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.296.3648+1.19%6.55+4.13%0.0173✓0.501.8M2022-06-26
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3994+1.18%1.438+3.98%0.0071✓1.50407k2022-06-26
DASHDashDash44.2444.7575+1.17%49.25+11.32%0.0704✓1.11810k2022-06-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17935.2394+1.16%5.9+13.92%0.1133✓0.24226k2022-06-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05630.056933+1.12%0.0606+7.64%0.0279✓1.51141k2022-06-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023850.024117+1.12%0.02717+13.92%0.0963✓1.003,2752022-06-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008940.009039+1.11%0.0091+1.79%0.0165✗1.021.4M2022-06-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75521.7746+1.10%1.8404+4.85%0.0163✓0.882.5M2022-06-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3340.337639+1.09%0.355+6.29%0.0227✓1.2016k2022-06-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0603160.06097+1.08%0.07289+20.85%0.1494✓1.271.3M2022-06-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.211119+1.06%0.2188+4.74%0.0047✓1.35446k2022-06-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11670.117917+1.04%0.1395+19.54%0.1453✓1.003.6M2022-06-26
XECeCashnative0.000037590.000037973+1.02%0.00004039+7.45%0.0325✓1.282.7M2022-06-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.485.5357+1.02%5.821+6.22%0.0210✓1.282.5M2022-06-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.7813.9173+1.00%16.17+17.34%0.1179✓1.401.8M2022-06-26
PROPropyEthereum0.890.898822+0.99%0.86-3.37%0.0614✗0.75183k2022-06-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006110.000061692+0.97%0.00006574+7.59%0.0155✓2.101.6M2022-06-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.826380.83436+0.97%0.92999+12.54%0.0778✓1.34695k2022-06-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064560.006518+0.96%0.00693+7.34%0.0440✓0.76145k2022-06-26
FTTFTXEthereum25.0625.299+0.95%27.18+8.46%0.0503✓0.9310.1M2022-06-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.2554.7608+0.94%56.58+4.29%0.0054✓1.1917.5M2022-06-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12190.123041+0.94%0.1231+0.98%0.0214✗0.96246k2022-06-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.544.5797+0.87%5.28+16.30%0.1133✓1.27400k2022-06-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.051337+0.86%0.0554+8.84%0.0443✓1.391.7M2022-06-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147820.014902+0.81%0.015374+4.00%0.0167✓0.64469k2022-06-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7780.784287+0.81%0.82+5.40%0.0093✓1.543.3M2022-06-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10280.10362+0.80%0.108+5.06%0.0103✓1.364.6M2022-06-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04680.047168+0.79%0.0486+3.85%0.0030✓1.4414k2022-06-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212440.021404+0.75%0.021475+1.09%0.0220✗1.119,2332022-06-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.810.816054+0.75%0.807-0.37%0.0305✗0.851.9M2022-06-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.3521+0.74%4.8+11.11%0.0618✓1.581.4M2022-06-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24260.244388+0.74%0.2491+2.68%0.0092✗1.2431k2022-06-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.22110.222722+0.73%0.2411+9.05%0.0527✓1.1693k2022-06-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.540.543859+0.71%0.524-2.96%0.0659✗1.25751k2022-06-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.13532.1505+0.71%2.2188+3.91%0.0117✓0.862.6M2022-06-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4762.4926+0.67%2.655+7.23%0.0413✓0.95111k2022-06-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.3981.407+0.64%1.635+16.95%0.1202✓1.31932k2022-06-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.0922.1053+0.64%2.668+27.53%0.1952✓1.822.4M2022-06-26
SOLSolanaSolana34.1534.3674+0.64%39.39+15.34%0.1065✓1.31101.4M2022-06-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.3515.433+0.54%16.66+8.53%0.0471✓1.292.1M2022-06-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.683538+0.52%0.73+7.35%0.0333✓1.42195k2022-06-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.4173+0.51%1.49+5.67%0.0155✓1.51574k2022-06-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.337080.338732+0.49%0.392+16.29%0.1168✓1.28110k2022-06-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.372.3814+0.48%2.82+18.99%0.1324✓1.60301k2022-06-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.009932+0.43%0.00981-0.81%0.0338✗0.949.7M2022-06-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0507010.050889+0.37%0.0553+9.07%0.0681✓0.6664k2022-06-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.7490.751774+0.37%0.94+25.50%0.1826✓1.791.5M2022-06-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.918.9281+0.20%9.29+4.26%0.0055✓1.502.2M2022-06-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.145080.145347+0.18%0.161+10.97%0.0794✓1.001,0532022-06-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2760.3566+0.14%60.879+1.01%0.0110✗0.861.3M2022-06-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040750.040796+0.11%0.04296+5.42%0.0271✓1.072,6002022-06-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31762.3197+0.09%2.8887+24.64%0.1802✓1.7115k2022-06-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.493.4888-0.04%3.87+10.89%0.0808✗1.00327k2022-06-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75680.755744-0.14%0.8195+8.28%0.0551✗1.132.8M2022-06-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.528790.528025-0.14%0.83731+58.34%0.4277✗1.4664k2022-06-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.15450.154132-0.24%0.14257-7.72%0.1157✓1.65246k2022-06-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2610.259644-0.52%0.275+5.36%0.0210✗1.591.2M2022-06-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17140.170211-0.69%0.21+22.52%0.1872✗1.002,3532022-06-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49440.489941-0.90%0.5094+3.03%0.0161✗1.00117k2022-06-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.17040.168722-0.98%0.2294+34.62%0.2776✗1.293,4882022-06-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027080.026574-1.87%0.02368-12.56%0.1564✓1.7940.8M2022-06-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.881.8127-3.58%1.58-15.96%0.1472✓0.43185k2022-06-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.