8=======>

2022-06-13 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2762
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
22.2%
in alpha space · 42.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.00084041+1.50%0.0009324+12.61%0.2489✓1.381.8M2022-07-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.054763+1.09%0.061838+14.15%0.2520✓1.241.3M2022-07-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.162221+0.95%0.1823+13.44%0.2742✓1.50196k2022-07-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.302608+0.53%0.3891+29.27%0.4307✓1.71496k2022-07-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.674,973.40+0.44%5,907.64+19.31%0.3065✓1.283.6M2022-07-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.037399+0.43%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,212.33+0.37%1,114.26-7.75%0.0325✓1.11344.3M2022-07-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.372707+0.28%0.63818+71.70%0.7002✓1.5461k2022-07-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.600329+0.22%0.594-0.83%0.1026✓1.08365k2022-07-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4543.5272+0.18%49.5+13.92%0.2535✓1.1917.5M2022-07-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.600996+0.17%0.7812+30.20%0.3777✓1.1060k2022-07-13
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7459.8085+0.11%79.78+33.55%0.4673✓1.707.6M2022-07-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.8091+0.06%2.1+16.15%0.3142✓1.5797k2022-07-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.106992-0.01%0.0741-30.75%0.2275✓1.334,0262022-07-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.776406-0.20%0.606-22.11%0.1286✓1.131.0M2022-07-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.02440.024346-0.22%0.026+6.56%0.1166✗0.48145k2022-07-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.035692-0.30%0.0457+27.65%0.3974✗1.43383k2022-07-13
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7335.6151-0.32%48.39+35.43%0.4598✗1.4630k2022-07-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.219741-0.34%0.2391+8.44%0.2226✗1.3131k2022-07-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.251155-0.35%0.283091+12.32%0.2733✗1.462.3M2022-07-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.876239-0.43%0.4603-47.69%0.5270✓1.1168k2022-07-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.102-0.47%14.62+79.61%0.7008✗1.05283k2022-07-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.100767-0.53%0.127+25.37%0.3837✗1.4549k2022-07-13
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.6422-0.54%6.118+67.07%0.6582✗1.332.7M2022-07-13
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.038766-0.61%0.038841-0.42%0.1430✗1.3431k2022-07-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.00283-0.69%0.002746-3.65%0.0909✗1.152.1M2022-07-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5094-0.70%1.62+6.58%0.2006✗1.24270k2022-07-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.675239-0.70%0.8573+26.07%0.3913✗1.45198k2022-07-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.254134-0.73%0.282+10.16%0.2205✗1.11847k2022-07-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.131619-0.73%0.12248-7.63%0.1011✗1.65260k2022-07-13
STXStacksnative0.3470.344434-0.74%0.3774+8.76%0.2325✗1.34165k2022-07-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.14-0.78%1.75+52.31%0.5801✗1.44826k2022-07-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2451-0.79%1.417+12.91%0.3095✗1.71236k2022-07-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93125.9263-0.79%102.54-19.22%0.0809✓1.194.4M2022-07-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.0181-0.86%0.020208+10.68%0.2395✗1.239,7572022-07-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.050352-0.88%0.0428-15.75%0.0056✓1.491.6M2022-07-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.329043-0.89%0.376+13.25%0.2580✗1.1915k2022-07-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.2798-0.92%5.295-0.64%0.1439✗1.342.5M2022-07-13
ZENHorizenBase14.1213.9759-1.02%15.29+8.29%0.2423✗1.4565k2022-07-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.2674-1.11%8.12-2.87%0.1040✗1.16502k2022-07-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.00000793-1.12%0.00001053+31.30%0.4165✗1.26850k2022-07-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1321-1.13%1.798+57.03%0.6188✗1.4973k2022-07-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.7442-1.15%2.7241-1.88%0.1181✗1.1933k2022-07-13
ZECZcashZcash65.4864.7087-1.18%54.92-16.13%0.0191✓1.383.6M2022-07-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7022,205.76-1.18%20,219.90-10.02%0.0100✓0.9929k2022-07-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.253933-1.27%0.28736+11.73%0.2797✗1.4811k2022-07-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047374-1.30%0.0426-11.25%0.0551✗1.5323k2022-07-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.128789-1.31%0.1644+25.98%0.3692✗1.192,3482022-07-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.196526-1.34%0.2356+18.27%0.3071✗1.2087k2022-07-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.8581-1.41%1.7394-7.71%0.0761✗1.3558k2022-07-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007521-1.42%0.005549-27.28%0.1942✓1.052,4432022-07-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.025933-1.58%0.02673+1.44%0.1751✗1.3817k2022-07-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.131383-1.59%0.0903-32.36%0.2727✓0.97258k2022-07-13
XVGVergenative0.003030.002982-1.59%0.0034+12.21%0.2837✗1.45628k2022-07-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.0845.3477-1.59%49.06+6.47%0.2067✗1.221.0M2022-07-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.796483-1.63%0.94752+17.02%0.3078✗1.285,7412022-07-13
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.535665-1.71%0.475-12.84%0.0151✓1.006.8M2022-07-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.055139-1.71%0.0719+28.16%0.3986✗1.27153k2022-07-13
DASHDashDash42.5941.8598-1.71%42.39-0.47%0.1322✗1.14837k2022-07-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.185757-1.72%0.209+10.58%0.2961✗1.701.1M2022-07-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.442954-1.73%0.44497-1.28%0.2130✗1.983.5M2022-07-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.097332-1.78%0.1028+3.73%0.1713✗1.117,2892022-07-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.830575-1.81%0.863212+2.05%0.1646✗1.20120k2022-07-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.0047-1.82%2.139+4.75%0.2200✗1.48126k2022-07-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.704766-1.84%1.0482+45.99%0.5437✗1.405.1M2022-07-13
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.951933-1.86%1.24+27.84%0.4310✗1.591.1M2022-07-13
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.372986-1.87%0.39062+2.77%0.1164✗0.67271k2022-07-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9722,037.72-1.88%20,220.23-9.98%0.0190✓1.00582.4M2022-07-13
SOLSolanaSolana28.5828.0319-1.92%34.94+22.25%0.3659✗1.39104.0M2022-07-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.089585-1.99%0.1027+12.36%0.2611✗1.18733k2022-07-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.1119-2.00%14.41+0.07%0.1568✗1.292.6M2022-07-13
HIVEHivenative0.35840.351116-2.03%0.4221+17.77%0.3360✗1.451.1M2022-07-13
UMAUMAEthereum1.9971.9562-2.04%2.535+26.94%0.3988✗1.331.1M2022-07-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.383887-2.07%0.647+65.05%0.6915✗1.614,2732022-07-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000059177-2.07%0.00009497+57.16%0.7296✗2.441.8M2022-07-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.50e-7-2.09%3.58e-7+0.16%0.1148✗0.881.1M2022-07-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0915.7517-2.10%18.81+16.90%0.3325✗1.4849.3M2022-07-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0266-2.11%2.799-9.48%0.0138✓0.881.8M2022-07-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.3265-2.12%6.493+19.31%0.3482✗1.4310.6M2022-07-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.00324-2.12%–pending––1.194,6932022-07-13
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.179595-2.13%0.2049+11.66%0.2694✗1.31585k2022-07-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003513-2.15%0.0039+8.64%0.2675✗1.55213k2022-07-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.190753-2.18%0.2274+16.62%0.3236✗1.41432k2022-07-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.042332-2.21%0.04367+0.88%0.1493✗1.1214k2022-07-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.00618-2.21%0.00629-0.47%0.1309✗1.08607k2022-07-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.647302-2.22%0.655-1.06%0.1591✗1.40578k2022-07-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.918141-2.23%1.014+7.98%0.2292✗1.2448k2022-07-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.104377-2.23%0.105275-1.39%0.1226✗1.0810.3M2022-07-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9175.7843-2.24%6.172+4.31%0.2031✗1.3237.2M2022-07-13
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648714.3134-2.29%11.9814-18.21%0.0355✓1.35222k2022-07-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.2598-2.30%2.2724-1.76%0.1255✗1.143.0M2022-07-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.124254-2.32%0.1355+6.53%0.2363✗1.42169k2022-07-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.2577-2.32%3.661+9.78%0.1970✗0.766.4M2022-07-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04261.0179-2.37%0.72057-30.89%0.2617✓0.809702022-07-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.028401-2.40%0.036+23.71%0.3797✗1.36247k2022-07-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.785-2.45%5.07+30.67%0.4701✗1.691.5M2022-07-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.4141-2.56%5.49+21.19%0.3695✗1.44411k2022-07-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.6648.3727-2.59%84.78+70.72%0.6644✗0.982.0M2022-07-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.044433-2.60%0.05517+20.93%0.3602✗1.3760k2022-07-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.058331-2.62%0.0488-18.53%0.0109✓1.59141k2022-07-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.3931-2.64%4.58+31.42%0.5011✗1.9117.0M2022-07-13
XECeCashnative0.000038270.000037239-2.69%0.00003864+0.97%0.1782✗1.343.0M2022-07-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.6752-2.72%2.789+1.42%0.1585✗1.11686k2022-07-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.277124-2.74%0.38474+35.03%0.4603✗1.26105k2022-07-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.829385-2.77%1.169+37.05%0.4483✗1.001.5M2022-07-13
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.061929-2.78%0.066231+3.97%0.1671✗0.95715k2022-07-13
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.3801-2.78%8.937-23.65%0.1256✓1.105.3M2022-07-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2049-2.80%1.2847+3.64%0.1960✗1.251.7M2022-07-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.36593-2.81%0.3692-1.94%0.1697✗1.53160k2022-07-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.434372-2.82%0.484+8.28%0.2625✗1.47116k2022-07-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.478939-2.85%0.4944+0.28%0.1791✗1.40886k2022-07-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.250812-2.87%0.29183+13.02%0.2919✗1.34453k2022-07-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.8565-2.90%2.515+31.54%0.4923✗1.803.0M2022-07-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.45012-2.91%0.4382-5.48%0.1215✗1.4152.0M2022-07-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.132034-2.92%0.1331-2.13%0.1608✗1.453.8M2022-07-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.415-2.98%3.11-11.65%0.0125✓0.771.7M2022-07-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.103399-3.00%0.0938-12.01%0.0561✗1.465.4M2022-07-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.063388-3.08%0.0503-23.09%0.1487✓0.79299k2022-07-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.037.7808-3.10%8.87+10.46%0.3071✗1.682.7M2022-07-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.294222-3.18%0.3097+1.91%0.1796✗1.2214.4M2022-07-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.080637-3.20%0.0863+3.60%0.2215✗1.46402k2022-07-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67745.1679-3.23%51.858+11.10%0.2319✗0.891.2M2022-07-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.0484-3.27%13.37-0.89%0.1766✗1.452.3M2022-07-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2476-3.28%1.38+6.98%0.2731✗1.64574k2022-07-13
BTTCBTTC8.10e-77.83e-7-3.33%8.40e-7+3.70%0.1642✗0.895.5M2022-07-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.2785-3.33%8.218+26.53%0.4077✗1.3215.2M2022-07-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.570679-3.44%0.885+49.75%0.6294✗1.811.8M2022-07-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.828333-3.46%0.603-29.72%0.1251✓1.83319k2022-07-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.675134-3.55%0.8829+26.13%0.4386✗1.622.7M2022-07-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.0497-3.58%3.94-6.19%0.0486✗0.721.7M2022-07-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.050009-3.64%0.0614+18.30%0.3536✗1.41405k2022-07-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.174.0172-3.66%3.55-14.87%0.0680✓0.531.9M2022-07-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0326.7741-3.67%6.464-8.08%0.0897✗1.3013.5M2022-07-13
XMRMoneroMonero132.56127.6693-3.69%124.11-6.37%0.0906✗1.131.7M2022-07-13
FLOWFlownative1.5861.5273-3.70%1.511-4.73%0.0944✗1.00608k2022-07-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.6571-3.72%1.7477+1.55%0.1545✗0.963.2M2022-07-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.1107-3.73%5.28-0.54%0.0630✗0.29235k2022-07-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012314-3.87%0.011938-6.81%0.0655✗0.922.0M2022-07-13
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.3457-3.94%1.5191+8.45%0.2605✗1.33914k2022-07-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.08895-3.94%0.0868-6.26%0.1363✗1.531.2M2022-07-13
FTTFTXEthereum24.5123.5278-4.01%25+2.00%0.1567✗0.919.1M2022-07-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08211.9986-4.01%2.1876+5.07%0.2865✗1.8715k2022-07-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.018073-4.02%0.01912+1.54%0.1738✗1.12151k2022-07-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.514-4.06%6.14-9.57%0.0072✓0.492.0M2022-07-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.2641-4.09%1.285-2.50%0.1808✗1.56342k2022-07-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.246833-4.11%0.2657+3.22%0.2072✗1.276.2M2022-07-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.046952-4.12%0.04954+1.16%0.2240✗1.621.9M2022-07-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.54148-4.15%0.8034+42.22%0.5198✗1.192.8M2022-07-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.018839-4.22%0.01775-9.76%0.0127✓0.69646k2022-07-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.008666-4.25%0.00888-1.88%0.1355✗1.061.5M2022-07-13
GTGateEthereum4.24454.0639-4.25%3.9594-6.72%0.0440✗0.672.1M2022-07-13
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.046386-4.55%0.050805+4.54%0.1676✗0.7357k2022-07-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009267-4.56%0.00939-3.30%0.1311✗1.1213.3M2022-07-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.090086-4.67%0.1019+7.83%0.2527✗1.23795k2022-07-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.012351-4.70%0.017797+37.31%0.4194✗0.52375k2022-07-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.15338-4.79%0.1458-9.50%0.1013✗1.45805k2022-07-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.017411-4.80%0.02366+29.36%0.5072✗1.9137.4M2022-07-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.786657-5.05%0.81417-1.73%0.1806✗1.39789k2022-07-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.061404-5.09%0.06699+3.54%0.1922✗1.001,7292022-07-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.2898-5.15%2.185-9.49%0.0581✗1.0063k2022-07-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.006952-5.15%0.006749-7.93%0.0545✗0.80153k2022-07-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.0808-5.37%16.45+40.48%0.5738✗1.70284k2022-07-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.071-5.43%2.2+0.46%0.2459✗1.76294k2022-07-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.732857-5.56%0.781+0.64%0.1697✗1.011.7M2022-07-13
PROPropyEthereum0.90.849492-5.61%0.82-8.89%0.0454✓0.77186k2022-07-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.2778-5.77%4.44-2.20%0.1137✗0.731.6M2022-07-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.13968-6.25%0.1121-24.77%0.1183✓0.973.2M2022-07-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06891.9382-6.32%2.0881+0.93%0.1762✗0.973.1M2022-07-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2863.0725-6.50%3.371+2.59%0.1512✗0.564.5M2022-07-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.3535-7.17%1.197-17.90%0.0339✓1.495.1M2022-07-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.864778-8.10%0.765-18.70%0.0909✗2.0312.5M2022-07-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2252.9562-8.33%2.862-11.26%0.0460✓0.753.9M2022-07-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.4551-9.62%1.55-3.73%0.1334✗0.67166k2022-07-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.