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2022-06-07 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1310
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
19.4%
in alpha space · 63.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.34e-75.35e-7+0.21%5.27e-7-1.35%0.0156✓1.03961k2022-06-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000063240.000063311+0.11%0.00004747-24.94%0.1907✗3.202.5M2022-06-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.891,813.68+0.10%1,790.72-1.17%0.0206✓1.10363.3M2022-06-08
KSMKusamaHydration67.2567.301+0.08%66.16-1.62%0.0235✓1.341.4M2022-06-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7492.7511+0.08%2.814+2.36%0.0755✓1.74263k2022-06-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001080.000001081+0.07%0.00000106-1.85%0.0079✓0.906.7M2022-06-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06660.066641+0.06%0.0686+3.00%0.0673✓1.26396k2022-06-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.584357+0.06%0.555-4.97%0.0024✓1.785,3382022-06-08
QNTQuantEthereum64.4564.4859+0.06%64.34-0.17%0.0341✓1.202.2M2022-06-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.12320.123266+0.05%0.1199-2.68%0.0168✓1.47996k2022-06-08
NANOnanopayBase1.17381.1743+0.04%1.1534-1.73%0.0231✓1.35151k2022-06-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6841.6844+0.03%1.657-1.60%0.0353✓1.7079k2022-06-08
XVGVergenative0.00490.004901+0.02%0.00484-1.22%0.0374✓1.64747k2022-06-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13060.130617+0.01%0.1282-1.84%0.0218✓1.34951k2022-06-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3610.361041+0.01%0.349-3.32%0.0040✓1.251.0M2022-06-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8286.8287+0.01%6.502-4.77%0.0043✓1.7610.9M2022-06-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.857068+0.01%0.84-1.98%0.0346✓1.80622k2022-06-08
AAVEAaveEthereum99.1999.1959+0.01%96.35-2.86%0.0267✓1.848.9M2022-06-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3227.3223+0.00%7.178-1.97%0.0279✓1.582.7M2022-06-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1879.1872+0.00%8.753-4.72%0.0020✗1.5315.2M2022-06-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.4199-0.00%5.48+1.11%0.0360✗0.821.7M2022-06-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.128992-0.01%0.1277-1.01%0.0287✗1.2811k2022-06-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1402330.140221-0.01%0.139941-0.21%0.0342✗1.1911.2M2022-06-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6990.698831-0.02%0.668-4.43%0.0085✗1.771.1M2022-06-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash181.8181.7538-0.03%176.62-2.85%0.0097✗1.264.8M2022-06-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.011590.011587-0.03%0.01113-3.97%0.0052✓1.151.6M2022-06-08
SOLSolanaSolana39.2839.2689-0.03%38.79-1.25%0.0367✗1.61117.0M2022-06-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35260.352498-0.03%0.3492-0.96%0.0342✗1.446.5M2022-06-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.5343.533-0.03%3.68+4.13%0.0702✗0.971.5M2022-06-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.819716-0.03%0.8-2.44%0.0115✗1.1878k2022-06-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1871.1865-0.04%1.158-2.44%0.0191✗1.435.8M2022-06-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0149540.014948-0.04%0.015221+1.79%0.0551✗1.222.4M2022-06-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.6611.6554-0.04%11.68+0.17%0.0344✗1.06342k2022-06-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.4771.4764-0.04%1.456-1.42%0.0384✗1.72826k2022-06-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,602.197,598.97-0.04%7,431.85-2.24%0.0174✗1.313.9M2022-06-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.7073-0.04%1.666-2.46%0.0285✗1.75342k2022-06-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004288-0.05%0.0043+0.23%0.0402✗1.232.1M2022-06-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009050.009046-0.05%0.00872-3.65%0.0018✓1.15917k2022-06-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8450.844562-0.05%0.816-3.43%0.0012✗1.17423k2022-06-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6260.62567-0.05%0.618-1.28%0.0384✗1.67153k2022-06-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.0632-0.06%12.31+1.99%0.0589✗1.27541k2022-06-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.0627.0403-0.07%28.1+3.84%0.0692✗1.019.6M2022-06-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1343.1317-0.07%3.1124-0.69%0.0314✗1.244.4M2022-06-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008550.008544-0.08%0.00849-0.70%0.0201✗0.87228k2022-06-08
MOVRMoonriverBase20.159420.1441-0.08%20.3659+1.02%0.0595✗1.60239k2022-06-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06870.068643-0.08%0.0692+0.73%0.0627✗1.801.8M2022-06-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60690.606385-0.08%0.6019-0.82%0.0371✗1.472.9M2022-06-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.476593-0.09%0.456-4.40%0.0129✗1.88683k2022-06-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2149.206-0.09%8.995-2.38%0.0234✗1.5313.8M2022-06-08
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2115.2064-0.09%5.077-2.57%0.0199✗1.492.6M2022-06-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070190.070128-0.09%0.06914-1.50%0.0245✗1.2737k2022-06-08
STXStacksnative0.54210.541597-0.09%0.5504+1.53%0.0522✗1.19180k2022-06-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5624.537-0.09%24.49-0.29%0.0493✗1.6954.6M2022-06-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.7058.6968-0.09%8.696-0.10%0.0458✗1.5132.1M2022-06-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02111.02-0.10%0.97809-4.21%0.0138✗1.84918k2022-06-08
XTZTezosTezos2.06792.0657-0.11%2.0863+0.89%0.0514✗1.37928k2022-06-08
COMPCompoundEthereum57.1257.0578-0.11%55.94-2.07%0.0274✗1.5636k2022-06-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.781.7781-0.11%1.82+2.25%0.0827✗1.96603k2022-06-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4650.464488-0.11%0.491+5.59%0.0954✗1.3216k2022-06-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5583-0.11%1.5-3.85%0.0149✗1.751.4M2022-06-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.31.2985-0.11%1.29-0.77%0.0282✗1.1574k2022-06-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2981.2964-0.12%1.26-2.93%0.0343✗2.07399k2022-06-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010730.000010717-0.12%0.00001058-1.40%0.0319✗1.47957k2022-06-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33580.335372-0.13%0.3209-4.44%0.0018✗1.5132k2022-06-08
ZENHorizenBase19.819.7737-0.13%19.35-2.27%0.0294✗1.6878k2022-06-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.20170.201426-0.14%0.1882-6.69%0.0211✓1.54199k2022-06-08
ZECZcashZcash93.4793.3424-0.14%96.29+3.02%0.0715✗1.334.3M2022-06-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.7763.6806-0.14%61.34-3.81%0.0023✗1.3118.4M2022-06-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.07810.077989-0.14%0.0749-4.10%0.0214✗2.04154k2022-06-08
ADACardanoCardano0.61360.612725-0.14%0.6405+4.38%0.0941✗1.6449.8M2022-06-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9521.9492-0.14%2.009+2.92%0.0883✗1.92291k2022-06-08
KCSKuCoinnative16.18916.1624-0.16%15.968-1.37%0.0203✗1.076.9M2022-06-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39890.398219-0.17%0.4164+4.39%0.0882✗1.4414.9M2022-06-08
UMAUMAEthereum3.0173.0118-0.17%2.966-1.69%0.0289✗1.461.3M2022-06-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8110.809563-0.18%0.834+2.84%0.0672✗1.231.9M2022-06-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.6919.655-0.18%19.46-1.17%0.0413✗1.693.0M2022-06-08
DASHDashDash58.3358.2237-0.18%58.04-0.50%0.0354✗1.27907k2022-06-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.12680.126564-0.19%0.1367+7.81%0.1307✗1.771.2M2022-06-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,106.9031,048.08-0.19%30,177.00-2.99%0.0019✗1.00656.1M2022-06-08
DIADIAEthereum0.467930.467044-0.19%0.46566-0.49%0.0171✗0.66215k2022-06-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023890.023845-0.19%0.02386-0.13%0.0193✗0.62608k2022-06-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14960.149315-0.19%0.1592+6.42%0.0947✗1.01286k2022-06-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17980.179456-0.19%0.185+2.89%0.0821✗1.702.9M2022-06-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.52910.528078-0.19%0.5183-2.04%0.0347✗1.76188k2022-06-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.00013.9917-0.21%3.9293-1.77%0.0232✗1.2945k2022-06-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.17970.179307-0.22%0.17-5.40%0.0056✓1.572,8762022-06-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.526.5053-0.23%6.7+2.76%0.0766✗1.55420k2022-06-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.064.0507-0.23%4.37+7.64%0.1041✗0.931.3M2022-06-08
GTGateEthereum5.47365.4609-0.23%5.5231+0.90%0.0298✗0.613.7M2022-06-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.039008-0.24%0.0381-2.56%0.0263✗1.64257k2022-06-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023410.023354-0.24%0.02062-11.92%0.0496✓2.4740.1M2022-06-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15470.15433-0.24%0.149-3.68%0.0180✗1.756.4M2022-06-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15470.154328-0.24%0.1503-2.84%0.0271✗1.763,2022022-06-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31430.313529-0.25%0.306-2.64%0.0166✗1.35286k2022-06-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.38391.3805-0.25%1.3742-0.70%0.0326✗1.2254k2022-06-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.49457.3512-0.25%56.869-1.09%0.0236✗1.061.2M2022-06-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.3076-0.26%1.291-1.53%0.0175✗1.001.2M2022-06-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028430.028353-0.27%0.02761-2.88%0.0052✗1.05170k2022-06-08
XEMNEMnative0.0521310.05199-0.27%0.0501-3.90%0.0107✗1.5754k2022-06-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012380.001235-0.27%0.0012-3.07%0.0231✗1.701.8M2022-06-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.82.7922-0.28%3.11+11.07%0.1719✗2.11294k2022-06-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.375990.374912-0.29%0.36868-1.94%0.0282✗1.48546k2022-06-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392790.39166-0.29%0.39491+0.54%0.0516✗1.43125k2022-06-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.722.7122-0.29%2.636-3.09%0.0328✗2.023.1M2022-06-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.584970.583238-0.30%0.57244-2.14%0.0308✗1.6368k2022-06-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0149670.014923-0.30%0.015019+0.35%0.0307✗0.80268k2022-06-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.2672.2603-0.30%2.296+1.28%0.0473✗1.043.5M2022-06-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.197310.196717-0.30%0.1917-2.84%0.0306✗1.86298k2022-06-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.51542.5078-0.30%2.5435+1.12%0.0467✗1.073.3M2022-06-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.29520.294307-0.30%0.2871-2.74%0.0155✗1.33107k2022-06-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16380.163299-0.31%0.1588-3.05%0.0208✗1.6176k2022-06-08
XMRMoneroMonero187.45186.8726-0.31%186.67-0.42%0.0338✗1.152.3M2022-06-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.457.4269-0.31%7.61+2.15%0.0439✗0.641.7M2022-06-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0284410.028352-0.31%0.027978-1.63%0.0227✗1.1912k2022-06-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,177.9031,080.03-0.31%30,360.20-2.62%0.0062✗0.9865k2022-06-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09050.090211-0.32%0.0897-0.88%0.0162✗0.72323k2022-06-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.364.346-0.32%4.67+7.11%0.0954✗0.771.5M2022-06-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.815.7911-0.33%4.92-15.32%0.1043✓1.931.6M2022-06-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31875.3013-0.33%5.3523+0.63%0.0193✗0.32279k2022-06-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10720.106848-0.33%0.1025-4.38%0.0156✗1.88455k2022-06-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.7342-0.33%4.94+4.00%0.0696✗0.89893k2022-06-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.409510.408143-0.33%0.40101-2.08%0.0303✗1.5818k2022-06-08
HIVEHivenative0.59830.59621-0.35%0.5614-6.17%0.0169✓1.431.6M2022-06-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00470.004683-0.35%0.00455-3.19%0.0109✗1.316,8092022-06-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.5321.4529-0.36%21.32-0.98%0.0350✗1.363.1M2022-06-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.156335-0.36%0.1456-7.20%0.0188✓1.733.6M2022-06-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30170.300598-0.37%0.2886-4.34%0.0035✓1.46432k2022-06-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0870.086656-0.40%0.0842-3.22%0.0130✗1.38162k2022-06-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.63272.6222-0.40%2.6512+0.70%0.0536✗1.4068k2022-06-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4084220.406789-0.40%0.397631-2.64%0.0233✗1.522.4M2022-06-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9690.964995-0.41%0.956-1.34%0.0486✗1.913.0M2022-06-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012230.012177-0.43%0.01184-3.19%0.0182✗1.5216.2M2022-06-08
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.005625-0.43%0.00554-1.95%0.0373✗1.73259k2022-06-08
TRXTRONTron0.0819950.081632-0.44%0.080519-1.80%0.0134✗0.90907k2022-06-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06950.069187-0.45%0.06599-5.05%0.0185✗2.172.4M2022-06-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.950.945664-0.46%0.9-5.26%0.0034✓1.74232k2022-06-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.30311.2971-0.46%1.2699-2.54%0.0158✗1.226,7502022-06-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.423.4041-0.46%3.57+4.39%0.0812✗1.11663k2022-06-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.06201-0.47%0.0591-5.14%0.0061✗1.7940k2022-06-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.080340.079952-0.48%0.079297-1.30%0.0302✗1.271.5M2022-06-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0285.9957-0.54%5.7-5.44%0.0169✗2.2223.4M2022-06-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89631.8861-0.54%1.8734-1.21%0.0353✗1.392.5M2022-06-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.9311.8652-0.54%11.38-4.61%0.0187✗1.993.8M2022-06-08
XECeCashnative0.000055710.000055398-0.56%0.00005352-3.93%0.0103✗1.483.4M2022-06-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.010190.010131-0.58%0.00992-2.65%0.0128✗1.112,4432022-06-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.837120.832198-0.59%0.79127-5.48%0.0170✗2.223.0M2022-06-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.053866-0.62%0.0523-3.51%0.0149✗1.46498k2022-06-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.06180.061416-0.62%0.06191+0.18%0.0431✗1.1615k2022-06-08
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2232-0.63%1.208-1.87%0.0205✗1.091.2M2022-06-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053670.05333-0.63%0.05271-1.79%0.0210✗1.084,6802022-06-08
FLOWFlownative2.4332.4174-0.64%2.387-1.89%0.0177✗1.00671k2022-06-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92.8814-0.64%3.101+6.93%0.1387✗2.1515k2022-06-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9292.9091-0.68%2.881-1.64%0.0459✗1.83109k2022-06-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9580.951335-0.70%0.968+1.04%0.0873✗2.302.2M2022-06-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.1093.0872-0.70%3.273+5.28%0.0927✗1.1372k2022-06-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23530.233642-0.70%0.2358+0.21%0.0570✗1.57664k2022-06-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2934-0.72%2.26-2.16%0.0244✗1.29275k2022-06-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0579760.057546-0.74%0.056825-1.99%0.0122✗0.8292k2022-06-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8092.788-0.75%4.1+45.96%0.4145✗0.952.0M2022-06-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039150.038831-0.81%0.03811-2.66%0.0272✗1.5120k2022-06-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2680.26577-0.83%0.27+0.75%0.0760✗1.991.4M2022-06-08
PROPropyEthereum1.041.031-0.87%1.01-2.88%0.0032✓0.78187k2022-06-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6774.635-0.90%4.741+1.37%0.0433✗0.686.4M2022-06-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26140.258288-1.19%0.2544-2.68%0.0307✗1.51585k2022-06-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0823.0388-1.40%3.792+23.04%0.2438✗0.742.6M2022-06-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2414.0255-1.51%12.43-12.71%0.0592✓2.03252k2022-06-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.50771.481-1.77%1.4694-2.54%0.0145✓0.744,7612022-06-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7731.7412-1.80%1.69-4.68%0.0191✗1.615.0M2022-06-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.32.2153-3.68%1.88-18.26%0.1364✓0.91152k2022-06-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.8051.7363-3.81%1.246-30.97%0.2663✓2.163.2M2022-06-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.