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2022-05-25 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2770
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.7%
in alpha space · 84.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0828550.083036+0.22%0.078018-5.84%0.0493✗1.134.8M2022-05-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.2127.2471+0.14%23.4-14.00%0.1353✗1.4751.6M2022-05-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8622.8649+0.10%2.604-9.01%0.0779✗1.53298k2022-05-26
XEMNEMnative0.05190.051953+0.10%0.0483-6.94%0.0572✗1.3743k2022-05-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21040.210607+0.10%0.2065-1.85%0.0114✗0.73357k2022-05-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,462.798,469.93+0.08%7,746.41-8.47%0.0753✗1.223.4M2022-05-26
ZENHorizenBase20.2920.3064+0.08%19.6-3.40%0.0176✗1.55156k2022-05-26
QTUMQtumQtum4.07074.074+0.08%3.7936-6.81%0.0580✗1.1694k2022-05-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001371+0.08%0.00125-8.76%0.0747✗1.542.8M2022-05-26
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2861.287+0.08%1.224-4.82%0.0387✗1.002.3M2022-05-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.671.6713+0.08%1.523-8.80%0.0749✗1.571.7M2022-05-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08270.082762+0.07%0.0668-19.23%0.1953✗1.652.3M2022-05-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91034.9139+0.07%4.9167+0.13%0.0035✓0.26299k2022-05-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9670.96755+0.06%0.913-5.58%0.0454✗1.10658k2022-05-26
APEApeCoinEthereum7.337.3338+0.05%6.371-13.08%0.1139✗2.3365.3M2022-05-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.62451.6251+0.03%1.4724-9.36%0.0914✗0.639,5522022-05-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.757.7525+0.03%7.3-5.81%0.0428✗1.517.5M2022-05-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.17380.173856+0.03%0.1629-6.27%0.0491✗1.39359k2022-05-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.850257+0.03%0.86+1.18%0.0237✓1.0795k2022-05-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.389530.389632+0.03%0.37219-4.45%0.0309✗1.29204k2022-05-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3911.3914+0.03%1.272-8.55%0.0734✗1.428.8M2022-05-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64870.648858+0.02%0.5767-11.10%0.1013✗1.444.8M2022-05-26
FTTFTXEthereum2929.0046+0.02%27.54-5.03%0.0408✗0.9610.4M2022-05-26
NANOnanopayBase1.08641.0865+0.01%1.0454-3.77%0.0239✗1.27164k2022-05-26
STXStacksnative0.590.589976-0.00%0.53-10.17%0.0946✓1.09252k2022-05-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15110.151094-0.00%0.1378-8.80%0.0749✓1.508.8M2022-05-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07080.070794-0.01%0.06674-5.73%0.0465✓1.0916k2022-05-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.529927-0.01%0.48-9.43%0.0851✓1.2030k2022-05-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.5993-0.01%4.38-4.78%0.0293✓1.702.3M2022-05-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29230.292247-0.02%0.2849-2.53%0.0110✓1.26434k2022-05-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.132.1296-0.02%1.952-8.36%0.0650✓1.92649k2022-05-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,940.831,940.41-0.02%1,790.65-7.74%0.0684✓1.04407.6M2022-05-26
ZECZcashZcash95.5495.5178-0.02%87.51-8.40%0.0727✓1.295.1M2022-05-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4190690.418952-0.03%0.386689-7.73%0.0647✓1.345.5M2022-05-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.341.3395-0.03%1.27-5.22%0.0408✓1.09120k2022-05-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.222916-0.04%0.201-9.87%0.0851✓1.601.8M2022-05-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.25760.257478-0.05%0.2474-3.96%0.0241✓1.38150k2022-05-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,503.4929,489.29-0.05%29,166.06-1.14%0.0005✓1.00708.0M2022-05-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.869579-0.05%0.79-9.20%0.0780✓1.56507k2022-05-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.178.1658-0.05%7.62-6.73%0.0544✓1.294.6M2022-05-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.2771.2763-0.05%1.1801-7.59%0.0650✓1.1659k2022-05-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.012780.012773-0.06%0.01228-3.91%0.0274✓1.042.5M2022-05-26
BANDBandEthereum1.6871.686-0.06%1.537-8.89%0.0753✓1.50433k2022-05-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06120.061161-0.06%0.0603-1.47%0.0003✓1.21406k2022-05-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38750.387233-0.07%0.3453-10.89%0.0989✓1.3762k2022-05-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.449.4334-0.07%8.75-7.31%0.0566✓1.62183k2022-05-26
KCSKuCoinnative16.11416.1027-0.07%15.514-3.72%0.0259✓0.986.6M2022-05-26
ADACardanoCardano0.51390.513524-0.07%0.4785-6.89%0.0551✓1.3546.3M2022-05-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.11990.119809-0.08%0.1125-6.17%0.0476✓1.331.0M2022-05-26
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05531.0545-0.08%0.98818-6.36%0.0470✓1.561.0M2022-05-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001129-0.08%0.00000106-6.19%0.0537✓0.827.6M2022-05-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9492.9465-0.09%2.637-10.58%0.0995✓1.00144k2022-05-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6830.682411-0.09%0.628-8.05%0.0659✓1.50269k2022-05-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.53032.528-0.09%2.3532-7.00%0.0572✓1.2590k2022-05-26
STEEMSteemnative0.25790.257668-0.09%0.2446-5.16%0.0324✓1.70970k2022-05-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.5112.4986-0.09%11.83-5.44%0.0448✓0.88555k2022-05-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.975062-0.10%0.86-11.89%0.1083✓1.50760k2022-05-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093360.009327-0.10%0.009061-2.95%0.0169✓1.048,6362022-05-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009790.009779-0.11%0.00918-6.23%0.0506✓1.101.1M2022-05-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.080.079911-0.11%0.0728-9.00%0.0735✓1.71188k2022-05-26
XYMSymbolnative0.06020.060133-0.11%0.0571-5.15%0.0429✓0.77180k2022-05-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.048280.048226-0.11%0.0487+0.87%0.0212✗0.994,9292022-05-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1320740.131922-0.12%0.12416-5.99%0.0481✓1.0911.5M2022-05-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05290.052838-0.12%0.0483-8.70%0.0752✓1.271.3M2022-05-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.560440.559775-0.12%0.52703-5.96%0.0432✓1.4975k2022-05-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.822.8166-0.12%2.702-4.18%0.0286✓1.1390k2022-05-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.956.9417-0.12%6.57-5.47%0.0395✓1.3518.8M2022-05-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.19420.193967-0.12%0.1739-10.45%0.0974✓1.031,8582022-05-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.1668.0774-0.12%63.42-6.95%0.0572✓1.1919.5M2022-05-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7930.792025-0.12%0.785-1.01%0.0038✗1.112.9M2022-05-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.3213.3035-0.12%12.08-9.31%0.0824✓1.23702k2022-05-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001160.000011586-0.12%0.00001064-8.28%0.0700✓1.321.1M2022-05-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash190.03189.7899-0.13%179.2-5.70%0.0441✓1.164.7M2022-05-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038160.038111-0.13%0.03579-6.21%0.0469✓1.3942k2022-05-26
DASHDashDash62.1262.0396-0.13%58.11-6.46%0.0519✓1.181.1M2022-05-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7310.7158-0.13%9.6-10.53%0.0934✓1.4420.1M2022-05-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.211270.210981-0.14%0.18825-10.90%0.0947✓1.67298k2022-05-26
SCSiacoinnative0.005350.005342-0.14%0.00562+5.05%0.0686✗1.56359k2022-05-26
UNIUniswapEthereum5.625.612-0.14%4.94-12.10%0.1137✓1.202.8M2022-05-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5512.5473-0.14%2.391-6.27%0.0436✓1.724.5M2022-05-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.371570.37101-0.15%0.36594-1.52%0.0024✗1.41973k2022-05-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.141.1382-0.15%1.12-1.75%0.0068✓0.81181k2022-05-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12810.127902-0.15%0.1378+7.57%0.0875✗1.13905k2022-05-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.12030.120109-0.16%0.112-6.90%0.0511✓1.631.4M2022-05-26
GTGateEthereum5.59745.5884-0.16%5.46-2.45%0.0174✓0.514.8M2022-05-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11640.116209-0.16%0.1067-8.33%0.0647✓1.80588k2022-05-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0782.0745-0.17%1.74-16.27%0.1580✓1.5595k2022-05-26
GMTGMTEthereum1.3741.3717-0.17%0.92-33.04%0.3879✓1.003.8M2022-05-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.40530.404615-0.17%0.3789-6.51%0.0516✓1.2216.4M2022-05-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2331.2309-0.17%1.205-2.27%0.0060✓1.327.1M2022-05-26
MOVRMoonriverBase24.007523.9654-0.18%21.8386-9.03%0.0761✓1.46229k2022-05-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03460.034538-0.18%0.0312-9.83%0.0851✓1.43198k2022-05-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8123.805-0.18%3.293-13.61%0.1333✓0.972.0M2022-05-26
SOLSolanaSolana47.9447.8516-0.18%43.42-9.43%0.0805✓1.4599.2M2022-05-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0670.066876-0.19%0.0601-10.30%0.0918✓1.3083k2022-05-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6490.647792-0.19%0.616-5.08%0.0326✓1.541.7M2022-05-26
KSMKusamaHydration79.2179.0604-0.19%69.65-12.07%0.1125✓1.241.3M2022-05-26
QNTQuantEthereum67.0666.9325-0.19%63.46-5.37%0.0411✓1.063.4M2022-05-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33440.333759-0.19%0.3091-7.57%0.0618✓1.308.2M2022-05-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08780.08763-0.19%0.0866-1.37%0.0026✓0.80235k2022-05-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,838.2029,780.01-0.20%29,530.70-1.03%0.0028✗0.9878k2022-05-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.879.8508-0.20%9.12-7.60%0.0616✓1.3513.2M2022-05-26
UMAUMAEthereum3.373.3634-0.20%3.074-8.78%0.0705✓1.692.2M2022-05-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.313.3029-0.22%3.01-9.06%0.0815✓0.99746k2022-05-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18670.186282-0.22%0.1817-2.68%0.0073✓1.53501k2022-05-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.14812.1431-0.23%1.945-9.45%0.0816✓1.336.4M2022-05-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009030.009009-0.23%0.00867-3.99%0.0296✓0.76176k2022-05-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13930.138964-0.24%0.1285-7.75%0.0596✓1.635.5M2022-05-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5920.590535-0.25%0.511-13.68%0.1270✓1.53844k2022-05-26
HIVEHivenative0.48950.488278-0.25%0.4622-5.58%0.0400✓1.291.4M2022-05-26
AAVEAaveEthereum101.87101.6153-0.25%100.94-0.91%0.0110✗1.539.0M2022-05-26
COMPCompoundEthereum66.8266.6526-0.25%59.25-11.33%0.1016✓1.4030k2022-05-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004350.004339-0.25%0.00406-6.67%0.0529✓1.181.9M2022-05-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004420.004409-0.26%0.0042-4.98%0.0357✓1.1111k2022-05-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9340.931536-0.26%0.835-10.60%0.0913✓1.575.6M2022-05-26
DIADIAEthereum0.458620.45739-0.27%0.42439-7.46%0.0678✓0.62100k2022-05-26
XVGVergenative0.005080.005066-0.27%0.00479-5.71%0.0393✓1.45837k2022-05-26
SGBSongbirdnative0.03750.037395-0.28%0.0355-5.33%0.0475✓0.39138k2022-05-26
PROPropyEthereum1.061.057-0.28%1.01-4.72%0.0370✓0.73337k2022-05-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.8820.8201-0.29%19.48-6.70%0.0506✓1.393.2M2022-05-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51293.5028-0.29%3.1242-11.06%0.0964✓1.567.6M2022-05-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2991.2952-0.29%1.163-10.47%0.0879✓1.72503k2022-05-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3940.392842-0.29%0.346-12.18%0.1144✓1.101.0M2022-05-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027540.027455-0.31%0.02667-3.16%0.0171✓1.0317k2022-05-26
XECeCashnative0.000049190.000049036-0.31%0.00004648-5.51%0.0385✓1.315.7M2022-05-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.2451.241-0.32%1.204-3.29%0.0184✓1.039,6192022-05-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012380.01234-0.32%0.01116-9.85%0.0833✓1.5031.1M2022-05-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.9039-0.32%1.69-11.52%0.0992✓1.73625k2022-05-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16880.168235-0.33%0.1658-1.78%0.0031✓1.003,0542022-05-26
XTZTezosTezos2.12892.1217-0.34%1.8642-12.43%0.1147✓1.281.3M2022-05-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2612.2185-0.34%10.39-15.25%0.1440✓1.576.9M2022-05-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14730.146795-0.34%0.1409-4.34%0.0219✓1.6697k2022-05-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06930.06906-0.35%0.0635-8.37%0.0724✓1.003.0M2022-05-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056340.056143-0.35%0.05878+4.33%0.0583✗1.0817k2022-05-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13550.135022-0.35%0.1257-7.23%0.0582✓1.1617k2022-05-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.356.327-0.36%6.91+8.82%0.1045✗1.42553k2022-05-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26920.268189-0.38%0.2525-6.20%0.0457✓1.27305k2022-05-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.925.8976-0.38%5.37-9.29%0.0852✓0.743.3M2022-05-26
TRXTRONTron0.0847060.084378-0.39%0.082262-2.89%0.0162✓0.801.4M2022-05-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.5812.5708-0.40%2.354-8.80%0.0669✓1.8417k2022-05-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.651.6432-0.41%1.48-10.30%0.0872✓1.512.8M2022-05-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.34253.1204-0.42%48.987-8.16%0.0699✓0.971.5M2022-05-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02390.023797-0.43%0.0214-10.46%0.0805✓2.2326.5M2022-05-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.7923.6864-0.44%21.87-8.07%0.0654✓1.253.9M2022-05-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.612.5984-0.44%2.3-11.88%0.1014✓1.79378k2022-05-26
XMRMoneroMonero204.07203.1263-0.46%188.99-7.39%0.0596✓1.092.5M2022-05-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.016990.016904-0.51%0.016456-3.14%0.0193✓0.66198k2022-05-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3960.393941-0.52%0.339-14.39%0.1295✓1.801.8M2022-05-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.455880.453508-0.52%0.44128-3.20%0.0077✓1.7025k2022-05-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.000188977-0.54%0.00013202-30.52%0.3251✓2.926.0M2022-05-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.168.1107-0.60%7.24-11.27%0.1082✓0.461.2M2022-05-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.61120.60742-0.62%0.5063-17.16%0.1652✓1.47219k2022-05-26
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.169939-0.62%0.154-9.94%0.0805✓1.563.2M2022-05-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.44e-76.40e-7-0.62%5.80e-7-9.94%0.0870✓1.001.5M2022-05-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6840.679323-0.68%0.587-14.18%0.1289✓1.4916k2022-05-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.027080.026894-0.69%0.02388-11.82%0.1118✓0.61509k2022-05-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.57032.5522-0.71%2.4001-6.62%0.0502✓0.982.9M2022-05-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.52492.5062-0.74%2.3023-8.82%0.0743✓0.924.3M2022-05-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.654.6153-0.75%4.14-10.97%0.0991✓0.83824k2022-05-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028340.028119-0.78%0.02729-3.71%0.0185✓0.99180k2022-05-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0216860.021514-0.79%0.017464-19.47%0.1964✓1.063.6M2022-05-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6964.6563-0.85%4.096-12.78%0.1238✓0.383.6M2022-05-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1060.105015-0.93%0.0855-19.34%0.1873✓1.59162k2022-05-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6282.6028-0.96%2.344-10.81%0.0963✓0.731.1M2022-05-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.064.02-0.99%3.68-9.36%0.0788✓0.83717k2022-05-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5312.5049-1.03%2.144-15.29%0.1437✓1.03763k2022-05-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.364.2868-1.68%3.56-18.35%0.1742✓1.01571k2022-05-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.785130.771669-1.71%0.6772-13.75%0.1120✓1.61329k2022-05-26
RADRadworksEthereum3.373.2084-4.79%2.35-30.27%0.2982✓1.14219k2022-05-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.