8=======>

2022-05-23 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0869
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.2%
in alpha space · 46.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.780.782898+0.37%0.83+6.41%0.0387✓1.0695k2022-05-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0830870.083296+0.25%0.083563+0.57%0.0176✗1.125.8M2022-05-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21490.215416+0.24%0.2111-1.77%0.0324✗0.66369k2022-05-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,924.648,946.02+0.24%9,069.18+1.62%0.0084✗1.193.4M2022-05-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.0429.1052+0.22%29.03-0.03%0.0298✗1.4752.0M2022-05-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08010.080271+0.21%0.0832+3.87%0.0054✓1.642.5M2022-05-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9341+0.21%2.08+7.77%0.0521✓1.11240k2022-05-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8522.8577+0.20%2.928+2.66%0.0041✗1.53284k2022-05-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001413+0.18%0.00138-2.13%0.0514✗1.523.1M2022-05-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9311.9342+0.16%2.135+10.56%0.0635✓1.90756k2022-05-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.767.7725+0.16%7.92+2.06%0.0087✗1.487.8M2022-05-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0550.055088+0.16%0.0719+30.73%0.2441✓1.2085k2022-05-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15460.154812+0.14%0.1547+0.06%0.0285✗1.508.8M2022-05-24
ZENHorizenBase19.919.9256+0.13%20.61+3.57%0.0050✓1.55156k2022-05-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.7481.7501+0.12%1.725-1.32%0.0435✗1.571.8M2022-05-24
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2921.2935+0.12%1.28-0.93%0.0290✗1.003.3M2022-05-24
XEMNEMnative0.05540.05546+0.11%0.053-4.33%0.0707✗1.3756k2022-05-24
QTUMQtumQtum4.10254.1069+0.11%4.1082+0.14%0.0212✗1.16113k2022-05-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9510.951919+0.10%0.994+4.52%0.0233✓1.08658k2022-05-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.38390.38425+0.09%0.39571+3.08%0.0056✓1.28197k2022-05-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5550.555494+0.09%0.578+4.14%0.0180✓1.1733k2022-05-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.168.167+0.09%8.4+2.94%0.0044✓1.285.0M2022-05-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.58091.5821+0.08%1.5353-2.88%0.0415✗0.6212k2022-05-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91794.9215+0.07%4.9324+0.29%0.0020✗0.23307k2022-05-24
NANOnanopayBase1.14661.1472+0.05%1.1245-1.93%0.0431✗1.25157k2022-05-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.231+0.05%1.2873+4.63%0.0236✓1.1465k2022-05-24
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7497.7531+0.05%7.505-3.15%0.0762✗2.3676.4M2022-05-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4202640.420475+0.05%0.429766+2.26%0.0027✗1.335.6M2022-05-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.17570.175786+0.05%0.1788+1.76%0.0085✗1.37372k2022-05-24
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.7088+0.05%1.766+3.40%0.0055✓1.48433k2022-05-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9810.981418+0.04%1.022+4.18%0.0133✓1.47775k2022-05-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.449.4438+0.04%9.7+2.75%0.0031✗1.61183k2022-05-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070370.070396+0.04%0.07079+0.60%0.0144✗1.0817k2022-05-24
FTTFTXEthereum29.6829.6903+0.03%29.83+0.51%0.0131✗0.9610.6M2022-05-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.66553+0.03%0.6659+0.09%0.0258✗1.424.9M2022-05-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3810.381124+0.03%0.3889+2.07%0.0038✗1.3068k2022-05-24
DODODODOEthereum0.1460.146048+0.03%0.178+21.92%0.1700✓1.503.0M2022-05-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1611.1613+0.02%1.391+19.81%0.1495✓1.67490k2022-05-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17210.172138+0.02%0.1891+9.88%0.0663✓1.49572k2022-05-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9362.9366+0.02%2.7-8.04%0.1025✗1.00163k2022-05-24
BTTCBTTC0.00000110.0000011+0.02%0.00000113+2.73%0.0120✓0.807.5M2022-05-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.07970.07971+0.01%0.0832+4.39%0.0112✓1.71215k2022-05-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,971.061,971.20+0.01%1,978.15+0.36%0.0156✗1.03425.9M2022-05-24
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02791.0279+0.00%1.0387+1.05%0.0184✗1.561.2M2022-05-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.032901+0.00%0.0377+14.59%0.1102✓1.40189k2022-05-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.361.36+0.00%1.37+0.74%0.0128✗1.09132k2022-05-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.870013+0.00%0.91+4.60%0.0163✓1.54578k2022-05-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.008590.00859+0.00%0.00909+5.82%0.0377✓1.0211k2022-05-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.444-0.00%1.43-0.97%0.0359✓1.4110.1M2022-05-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011670.000011669-0.01%0.00001174+0.60%0.0180✓1.301.1M2022-05-24
STXStacksnative0.620.619951-0.01%0.59-4.84%0.0698✓1.10260k2022-05-24
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6596-0.01%4.72+1.29%0.0188✓1.712.5M2022-05-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.25690.25687-0.01%0.2606+1.44%0.0112✓1.38156k2022-05-24
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.512835-0.01%0.5214+1.66%0.0082✓1.3448.2M2022-05-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.11760.117581-0.02%0.1191+1.28%0.0116✓1.321.1M2022-05-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.012870.012868-0.02%0.01327+3.11%0.0116✗1.032.5M2022-05-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.768856-0.02%0.818+6.37%0.0414✗1.113.0M2022-05-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,082.5229,075.05-0.03%29,626.44+1.87%0.0003✓1.00749.9M2022-05-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.235931-0.03%0.239+1.27%0.0165✓1.592.0M2022-05-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.11540.115366-0.03%0.1196+3.64%0.0062✗1.611.4M2022-05-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos21.9994-0.03%2.048+2.40%0.0042✓1.5295k2022-05-24
ZECZcashZcash99.1899.1428-0.04%100.18+1.01%0.0138✓1.305.1M2022-05-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13530.135247-0.04%0.1537+13.60%0.0982✗1.605.5M2022-05-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.017.0072-0.04%7.22+3.00%0.0052✗1.3418.8M2022-05-24
DASHDashDash59.8359.805-0.04%62.33+4.18%0.0196✗1.171.1M2022-05-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.560080.559846-0.04%0.57632+2.90%0.0017✗1.4787k2022-05-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.52232.5212-0.04%2.5793+2.26%0.0001✓1.2494k2022-05-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6760.675695-0.05%0.688+1.78%0.0095✓1.49294k2022-05-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.208770.20867-0.05%0.21807+4.45%0.0135✗1.65298k2022-05-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41650.416278-0.05%0.4187+0.53%0.0167✓1.2115.9M2022-05-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11940.119335-0.05%0.1178-1.34%0.0456✓1.76604k2022-05-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30220.302031-0.06%0.2993-0.96%0.0323✓1.25438k2022-05-24
SCSiacoinnative0.005130.005127-0.06%0.00549+7.02%0.0398✗1.54367k2022-05-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.8712.8621-0.06%12.98+0.85%0.0076✓0.90568k2022-05-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1287080.128623-0.07%0.132961+3.30%0.0132✗1.0812.0M2022-05-24
UNIUniswapEthereum5.625.6158-0.07%5.6-0.36%0.0250✓1.202.8M2022-05-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06590.06585-0.08%0.069+4.70%0.0282✗1.003.0M2022-05-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5872.585-0.08%2.624+1.43%0.0170✓1.735.0M2022-05-24
STEEMSteemnative0.2650.26479-0.08%0.2617-1.25%0.0437✓1.731.1M2022-05-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash191.72191.5548-0.09%195.39+1.91%0.0017✓1.164.9M2022-05-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06640.066341-0.09%0.0653-1.66%0.0379✓1.19404k2022-05-24
KCSKuCoinnative16.316.2852-0.09%16.061-1.47%0.0319✓0.976.5M2022-05-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009880.009871-0.09%0.00963-2.53%0.0445✓1.071.2M2022-05-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.1311.1196-0.09%11.07-0.54%0.0308✓1.4221.0M2022-05-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038650.038613-0.10%0.03974+2.82%0.0032✗1.3844k2022-05-24
GMTGMTEthereum1.3651.3637-0.10%1.398+2.42%0.0063✗1.004.1M2022-05-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5450.544456-0.10%0.574+5.32%0.0237✗1.57904k2022-05-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9752.972-0.10%2.995+0.67%0.0126✓1.0995k2022-05-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.1314.1157-0.10%13.61-3.68%0.0594✓1.24812k2022-05-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.383050.382658-0.10%0.38492+0.49%0.0200✓1.391.1M2022-05-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.9568.8787-0.10%70.2+1.81%0.0028✓1.1819.5M2022-05-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.053844-0.10%0.054+0.19%0.0202✓1.251.3M2022-05-24
SOLSolanaSolana49.1149.0578-0.11%49.64+1.08%0.0151✓1.4593.8M2022-05-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33150.331141-0.11%0.3398+2.50%0.0019✗1.298.6M2022-05-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3460.345568-0.12%0.383+10.69%0.0697✗1.791.8M2022-05-24
MOVRMoonriverBase24.288524.2575-0.13%24.8641+2.37%0.0018✓1.43222k2022-05-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047060.047-0.13%0.04853+3.12%0.0139✗0.986,4572022-05-24
XYMSymbolnative0.06540.065315-0.13%0.062-5.20%0.0662✓0.76229k2022-05-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2971.2953-0.13%1.255-3.24%0.0560✓1.327.5M2022-05-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.889.8664-0.14%10.18+3.04%0.0065✗1.3413.8M2022-05-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009060.009047-0.14%0.00921+1.66%0.0032✗0.79184k2022-05-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.086877-0.14%0.088+1.15%0.0017✓0.78212k2022-05-24
SGBSongbirdnative0.03360.033549-0.15%0.0333-0.89%0.0149✓0.40138k2022-05-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.793.7841-0.16%3.68-2.90%0.0457✓0.962.0M2022-05-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13240.132179-0.17%0.1312-0.91%0.0282✓1.12997k2022-05-24
PROPropyEthereum1.041.0383-0.17%1.06+1.92%0.0075✗0.71369k2022-05-24
QNTQuantEthereum67.9167.7961-0.17%68.32+0.60%0.0119✓1.063.5M2022-05-24
GTGateEthereum5.67355.6638-0.17%5.6407-0.58%0.0135✓0.514.9M2022-05-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3770.376347-0.17%0.406+7.69%0.0560✗1.071.0M2022-05-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.20962.2057-0.18%2.2726+2.85%0.0051✗1.347.1M2022-05-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.645837-0.18%0.691+6.80%0.0398✗1.501.7M2022-05-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9380.936286-0.18%0.956+1.92%0.0081✓1.566.1M2022-05-24
XTZTezosTezos1.87271.8692-0.19%2.1228+13.36%0.1039✗1.261.1M2022-05-24
KSMKusamaHydration82.8582.6945-0.19%81.64-1.46%0.0355✓1.221.4M2022-05-24
UMAUMAEthereum3.4593.4525-0.19%3.449-0.29%0.0320✓1.672.2M2022-05-24
XVGVergenative0.005070.00506-0.20%0.00532+4.93%0.0237✗1.42845k2022-05-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.393.3834-0.20%3.38-0.29%0.0188✓0.96758k2022-05-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.531.527-0.20%1.66+8.50%0.0561✗1.483.1M2022-05-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.22420.223752-0.20%0.1976-11.86%0.1438✓1.061,8912022-05-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.181.1776-0.20%1.15-2.54%0.0386✓0.80192k2022-05-24
TRXTRONTron0.0760520.075894-0.21%0.080507+5.86%0.0444✗0.791.2M2022-05-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9820.9354-0.21%21.26+1.33%0.0102✓1.383.3M2022-05-24
HIVEHivenative0.48940.488338-0.22%0.4945+1.04%0.0112✓1.281.5M2022-05-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027090.02703-0.22%0.02779+2.58%0.0089✗1.0218k2022-05-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV5150.8843-0.23%53.4+4.71%0.0306✗0.951.5M2022-05-24
AAVEAaveEthereum99.2499.0072-0.23%106.62+7.44%0.0462✗1.509.0M2022-05-24
XECeCashnative0.000048150.000048035-0.24%0.00005051+4.90%0.0262✗1.295.7M2022-05-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,122.5029,052.61-0.24%29,426.00+1.04%0.0053✓0.9876k2022-05-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004720.004708-0.25%0.00457-3.18%0.0515✓1.171.9M2022-05-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.1691.1659-0.26%1.186+1.45%0.0018✓1.0212k2022-05-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.941.9349-0.27%1.93-0.52%0.0345✓1.73602k2022-05-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.414570.413454-0.27%0.41311-0.35%0.0325✓1.7126k2022-05-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12650.126159-0.27%0.1342+6.09%0.0408✗1.1317k2022-05-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027070.026996-0.27%0.03718+37.35%0.3029✗0.93180k2022-05-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7921.7278-0.29%24.18+10.97%0.0842✗1.233.6M2022-05-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14390.143488-0.29%0.1472+2.29%0.0053✓1.6697k2022-05-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012410.012374-0.29%0.01251+0.81%0.0166✓1.4934.7M2022-05-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.9882-0.29%4.23+5.75%0.0439✗0.81812k2022-05-24
COMPCompoundEthereum68.8968.6766-0.31%69.91+1.48%0.0079✓1.3928k2022-05-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.186.1606-0.31%6.58+6.47%0.0401✗1.39610k2022-05-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.5312.523-0.31%2.642+4.39%0.0123✗1.8221k2022-05-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16750.166971-0.32%0.18+7.46%0.0566✗1.004,0132022-05-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.562.5518-0.32%2.68+4.69%0.0160✗1.78390k2022-05-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.665.6419-0.32%5.55-1.94%0.0301✓0.743.3M2022-05-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00450.004485-0.33%0.00448-0.44%0.0215✓1.1013k2022-05-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056270.05608-0.34%0.05492-2.40%0.0408✓1.0718k2022-05-24
XMRMoneroMonero185.61184.9671-0.35%193.08+4.02%0.0231✗1.072.7M2022-05-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25670.255788-0.36%0.2682+4.48%0.0242✗1.25305k2022-05-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.49413.4812-0.37%3.5129+0.54%0.0189✓1.519.1M2022-05-24
DIADIAEthereum0.489590.487762-0.37%0.46798-4.41%0.0518✓0.5691k2022-05-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7112.6621-0.38%12.4-2.44%0.0498✓1.566.9M2022-05-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000160.000159383-0.39%0.00018+12.50%0.0685✗2.876.3M2022-05-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7030.700106-0.41%0.678-3.56%0.0599✓1.5016k2022-05-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55030.547825-0.45%0.5547+0.80%0.0146✓1.46211k2022-05-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.1046-0.49%3.35+7.37%0.0578✗0.98557k2022-05-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02570.025554-0.57%0.0273+6.23%0.0247✗2.2325.3M2022-05-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22112.2081-0.58%2.2059-0.68%0.0176✓0.894.7M2022-05-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.017.9606-0.62%7.85-2.00%0.0224✓0.461.2M2022-05-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0176820.017571-0.63%0.016993-3.90%0.0454✓0.64205k2022-05-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0206480.020509-0.67%0.021733+5.25%0.0389✗1.033.2M2022-05-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.5451-0.70%3.67+2.80%0.0197✗0.81659k2022-05-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.03e-76.98e-7-0.71%6.94e-7-1.21%0.0229✓0.971.5M2022-05-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08960.088947-0.73%0.0899+0.33%0.0189✓1.60162k2022-05-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50732.4878-0.78%2.4297-3.09%0.0415✓0.962.7M2022-05-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029750.029477-0.92%0.0274-7.90%0.0844✓0.61407k2022-05-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.636-1.05%4.54-3.09%0.0279✓0.372.8M2022-05-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6182.577-1.57%2.4-8.33%0.0904✓1.04748k2022-05-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70440.692521-1.69%0.84969+20.63%0.1755✗1.57329k2022-05-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2013.1044-3.02%2.528-21.02%0.2196✓0.77858k2022-05-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.