8=======>

2022-05-12 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3688
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+34.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
94.0%
in alpha space · 97.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00870.007267-16.47%0.00012-98.62%4.1341✓3.067.8M2022-05-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,197.0029,212.28+0.05%29,332.50+0.46%0.0056✗0.9840k2022-05-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669880.067048+0.09%0.0742+10.77%0.0933✓0.81825k2022-05-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.135.1368+0.13%5.0899-0.78%0.0119✗0.27284k2022-05-13
GTGateEthereum5.36745.3773+0.18%5.5584+3.56%0.0278✓0.544.8M2022-05-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.086505+0.24%0.0872+1.04%0.0004✓0.85169k2022-05-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.8918.9378+0.25%20.47+8.36%0.0653✓1.254.4M2022-05-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.802227+0.28%0.814+1.75%0.0036✓1.103.3M2022-05-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360570.36161+0.29%0.38322+6.28%0.0456✓1.25166k2022-05-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06640.066613+0.32%0.0699+5.27%0.0408✓0.74619k2022-05-13
FTTFTXEthereum29.6729.7661+0.32%30.83+3.91%0.0256✓0.9613.8M2022-05-13
ZECZcashZcash86.486.6833+0.33%93.81+8.58%0.0667✓1.245.1M2022-05-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06530.065531+0.35%0.0704+7.81%0.0617✓1.004.0M2022-05-13
QNTQuantEthereum73.3773.6304+0.35%68.58-6.53%0.0814✗1.043.5M2022-05-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.6283.6411+0.36%3.8681+6.62%0.0486✓1.19135k2022-05-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.263.2718+0.36%3.27+0.31%0.0077✗0.72777k2022-05-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038670.03881+0.36%0.04297+11.12%0.0924✓0.949,2282022-05-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.6218+0.37%9.76+13.62%0.1085✓1.565.8M2022-05-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.355+0.37%1.39+2.96%0.0147✓1.08134k2022-05-13
DASHDashDash53.7553.9506+0.37%57.98+7.87%0.0603✓1.171.1M2022-05-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2357+0.38%1.303+5.85%0.0431✓1.005.7M2022-05-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38632.3955+0.39%2.4783+3.86%0.0217✓1.23188k2022-05-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.6249.8139+0.39%51.89+4.57%0.0313✓0.962.0M2022-05-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6832.6935+0.39%2.79+3.99%0.0250✓1.0386k2022-05-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.1611.1656+0.39%1.493+28.60%0.2376✓1.009.5M2022-05-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28350.284628+0.40%0.2828-0.25%0.0112✗0.48485k2022-05-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.69194.4794+0.41%201.94+4.26%0.0264✓1.125.3M2022-05-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.20850.209372+0.42%0.2334+11.94%0.0952✓1.35184k2022-05-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004268+0.42%0.00466+9.65%0.0736✓1.43403k2022-05-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13450.135082+0.43%0.1399+4.01%0.0194✓1.576.2M2022-05-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021330.021423+0.44%0.02399+12.47%0.1028✓1.04222k2022-05-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59350.596113+0.44%0.6653+12.10%0.0959✓1.406.1M2022-05-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.95110.9996+0.44%12.511+14.25%0.1196✓0.924.1M2022-05-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.258.2868+0.45%9.39+13.82%0.1105✓1.45134k2022-05-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,941.9529,071.31+0.45%29,232.18+1.00%0.0045✓1.00667.2M2022-05-13
ZENHorizenBase19.0419.1274+0.46%20.24+6.30%0.0414✓1.52173k2022-05-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1070.107494+0.46%0.1227+14.67%0.1163✓1.60109k2022-05-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.654.6715+0.46%5.13+10.32%0.0817✓1.194.1M2022-05-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.189888+0.47%0.206+8.99%0.0669✓1.464.1M2022-05-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4050.406911+0.47%0.499+23.21%0.1897✓1.44869k2022-05-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.172360.173174+0.47%0.19584+13.62%0.1070✓1.61250k2022-05-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.0614.1265+0.47%14.73+4.77%0.0288✓1.31812k2022-05-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.2664.5644+0.47%67.78+5.48%0.0372✓1.1417.8M2022-05-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07850.078872+0.47%0.1018+29.68%0.2371✓1.81734k2022-05-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06480.065108+0.47%0.0714+10.19%0.0734✓1.88194k2022-05-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001210.001216+0.49%0.00132+9.09%0.0674✓1.483.9M2022-05-13
XMRMoneroMonero137.43138.1023+0.49%143.73+4.58%0.0298✓1.023.0M2022-05-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13370.134356+0.49%0.1483+10.92%0.0839✓1.487.3M2022-05-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3119.4049+0.49%20.45+5.90%0.0384✓1.413.8M2022-05-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01080.010854+0.50%0.00985-8.80%0.1051✗0.80246k2022-05-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.0120.01206+0.50%0.0135+12.50%0.1023✓1.053.4M2022-05-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19110.192067+0.51%0.2208+15.54%0.1274✓1.21305k2022-05-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.443160.445404+0.51%0.49964+12.74%0.1009✓1.4093k2022-05-13
STXStacksnative0.50.502533+0.51%0.52+4.00%0.0233✓1.09260k2022-05-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015050.015127+0.51%0.01598+6.18%0.0480✓0.69391k2022-05-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.17650.177399+0.51%0.1897+7.48%0.0569✓1.022,9402022-05-13
XTZTezosTezos1.68451.6931+0.51%1.7661+4.84%0.0297✓1.26866k2022-05-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16950.170367+0.51%0.1807+6.61%0.0445✓1.44634k2022-05-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288640.290121+0.51%0.34417+19.24%0.1554✓1.5539k2022-05-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.1930.3453+0.51%32.17+6.56%0.0441✓1.4345.0M2022-05-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1204340.121054+0.51%0.132063+9.66%0.0765✓1.0613.8M2022-05-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003590.003609+0.52%0.00377+5.01%0.0344✓0.9420k2022-05-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0107130.010769+0.53%0.01331+24.24%0.2044✓0.75198k2022-05-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043480.043709+0.53%0.05005+15.11%0.1258✓0.9726k2022-05-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29541.3022+0.53%1.5516+19.78%0.1633✓1.199.8M2022-05-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21350.214638+0.53%0.2519+17.99%0.1478✓1.23486k2022-05-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.634.6547+0.53%4.76+2.81%0.0090✓1.34666k2022-05-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.2641.2708+0.54%1.446+14.40%0.1190✓1.01724k2022-05-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.10024+0.54%0.1102+10.53%0.0792✓1.561.8M2022-05-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.5564+0.54%1.758+13.57%0.1022✓1.961.0M2022-05-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015020.015102+0.54%0.014586-2.89%0.0458✗1.104.4M2022-05-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0822690.082716+0.54%0.088244+7.26%0.0537✓1.117.1M2022-05-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,878.009,931.86+0.55%9,926.05+0.49%0.0122✗1.162.6M2022-05-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7750.779241+0.55%0.832+7.35%0.0503✓1.528.2M2022-05-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.6792+0.55%1.78+6.59%0.0483✓1.00392k2022-05-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9893910.994831+0.55%1.1379+15.01%0.1240✓1.0396k2022-05-13
COMPCompoundEthereum60.8861.2152+0.55%68.45+12.43%0.0982✓1.3531k2022-05-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343760.336217+0.55%0.366416+9.58%0.0730✓1.306.1M2022-05-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.688.7278+0.55%10.44+20.28%0.1665✓1.2611.8M2022-05-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.294.3137+0.55%4.87+13.52%0.1134✓0.791.2M2022-05-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5370.539977+0.55%0.609+13.41%0.1085✓1.1846k2022-05-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.42220.424552+0.56%0.4426+4.83%0.0299✓1.1812.6M2022-05-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7857.8285+0.56%8.53+9.57%0.0595✓2.6483.4M2022-05-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34290.344816+0.56%0.375+9.36%0.0712✓1.2794k2022-05-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0078870.007931+0.56%0.009457+19.90%0.1658✓1.0232k2022-05-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.60771.6167+0.56%1.7254+7.32%0.0587✓0.6416k2022-05-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.4832.4969+0.56%2.913+17.32%0.1376✓1.652.4M2022-05-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.0571.0629+0.56%1.4675+38.84%0.3121✓1.044.2M2022-05-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06820.068584+0.56%0.0917+34.46%0.2740✓1.65204k2022-05-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1350.135763+0.57%0.152+12.59%0.0986✓1.444.7M2022-05-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.811572+0.57%0.914+13.26%0.1079✓1.09643k2022-05-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.724086+0.57%0.82+13.89%0.1092✓1.52842k2022-05-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.331592+0.57%0.35077+6.38%0.0414✓1.491.4M2022-05-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L20.8960.901105+0.57%1.004+12.05%0.0949✓1.3316.1M2022-05-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.6544.9044+0.57%48.89+9.50%0.0713✓1.3887.4M2022-05-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.708950.712999+0.57%1.022+44.15%0.3457✓1.43886k2022-05-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.824699+0.57%0.89+8.54%0.0670✓0.92142k2022-05-13
STEEMSteemnative0.17710.17812+0.58%0.2185+23.38%0.1943✓1.002.1M2022-05-13
XECeCashnative0.000031730.000031913+0.58%0.00004212+32.75%0.2641✓1.356.7M2022-05-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021760.021886+0.58%0.02379+9.33%0.0737✓0.9830k2022-05-13
PROPropyEthereum0.880.885118+0.58%1.19+35.23%0.2893✓0.67528k2022-05-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010810.000010873+0.58%0.00001281+18.50%0.1509✓1.311.3M2022-05-13
ADACardanoCardano0.47240.475179+0.59%0.5281+11.79%0.0929✓1.2742.0M2022-05-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9490.95459+0.59%1.056+11.28%0.0914✓0.9625k2022-05-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10080.101398+0.59%0.112+11.11%0.0885✓1.101.1M2022-05-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001040.000001046+0.60%0.00000112+7.69%0.0603✓0.797.8M2022-05-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9974941.0034+0.60%1.0764+7.91%0.0578✓1.24161k2022-05-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.730.734353+0.60%0.83+13.70%0.1150✓0.74221k2022-05-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003590.003611+0.60%0.00429+19.50%0.1605✓1.171.7M2022-05-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.094.1145+0.60%4.86+18.83%0.1581✓0.842.8M2022-05-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3041.3118+0.60%1.312+0.61%0.0141✗1.425.3M2022-05-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.192.2032+0.60%2.39+9.13%0.0719✓0.95429k2022-05-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.227.2634+0.60%9.27+28.39%0.2300✓1.408.0M2022-05-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1722.1851+0.60%2.3+5.89%0.0343✓1.7023k2022-05-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6772.6932+0.60%3.487+30.26%0.2483✓1.001.4M2022-05-13
MOVRMoonriverBase21.312321.4416+0.61%22.6376+6.22%0.0398✓1.45195k2022-05-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39390.39629+0.61%0.4631+17.57%0.1413✓1.46299k2022-05-13
DIADIAEthereum0.321210.323168+0.61%0.37682+17.31%0.1461✓0.7570k2022-05-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.05571.0621+0.61%1.6119+52.69%0.4067✓1.052.5M2022-05-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4862.5012+0.61%2.607+4.87%0.0248✓1.677.7M2022-05-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1331.1399+0.61%1.194+5.38%0.0296✓1.68582k2022-05-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,954.391,966.35+0.61%2,005.48+2.61%0.0094✓1.03464.2M2022-05-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07730.077774+0.61%0.0821+6.21%0.0390✓1.523.7M2022-05-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.310894+0.61%0.344+11.33%0.0912✓1.001.1M2022-05-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2430.244496+0.62%0.283+16.46%0.1292✓1.711.7M2022-05-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.008945+0.62%0.00989+11.25%0.0841✓1.6444.1M2022-05-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007909+0.62%0.00953+21.25%0.1757✓1.081.0M2022-05-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01630.016401+0.62%0.0164+0.61%0.0224✗2.2425.3M2022-05-13
AAVEAaveEthereum76.7577.2275+0.62%82.28+7.21%0.0486✓1.488.6M2022-05-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.62.6162+0.62%3.09+18.85%0.1573✓0.92817k2022-05-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03020.03039+0.63%0.0329+8.94%0.0661✓1.33179k2022-05-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7291.7399+0.63%1.948+12.67%0.0965✓1.6587k2022-05-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5790.582687+0.64%0.672+16.06%0.1281✓1.45344k2022-05-13
BANDBandEthereum1.5141.5236+0.64%1.72+13.61%0.1070✓1.43537k2022-05-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.42711.4362+0.64%2.8848+102.14%0.6818✓1.567.0M2022-05-13
XEMNEMnative0.04110.041363+0.64%0.058+41.12%0.3261✓1.2097k2022-05-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5811.6542+0.64%12.71+9.76%0.0778✓0.90520k2022-05-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.231.2379+0.64%1.324+7.64%0.0581✓0.92826k2022-05-13
XVGVergenative0.004130.004157+0.65%0.00472+14.29%0.1138✓1.33885k2022-05-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0650.065422+0.65%0.071+9.23%0.0715✓1.03115k2022-05-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09680.097431+0.65%0.111+14.67%0.1170✓1.341.2M2022-05-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.629.683+0.66%10.3+7.07%0.0486✓1.3220.1M2022-05-13
HIVEHivenative0.40370.406355+0.66%0.4549+12.68%0.1007✓1.211.5M2022-05-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.3810.383521+0.66%0.487+27.82%0.2241✓1.481.7M2022-05-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03890.039159+0.67%0.0463+19.02%0.1561✓1.141.7M2022-05-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5830.586902+0.67%0.67+14.92%0.1179✓1.4624k2022-05-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.18.1542+0.67%8.73+7.78%0.0558✓1.257.4M2022-05-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.4211.4306+0.67%1.83+28.78%0.2393✓0.691.8M2022-05-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1080.108736+0.68%0.1223+13.24%0.1085✓0.9119k2022-05-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031690.031907+0.69%0.03518+11.01%0.0843✓1.3394k2022-05-13
KSMKusamaHydration68.7469.2114+0.69%73.84+7.42%0.0526✓1.221.1M2022-05-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.162.1749+0.69%2.32+7.41%0.0542✓1.04553k2022-05-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.052359+0.69%0.0573+10.19%0.0790✓1.11416k2022-05-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.6011+0.70%1.66+4.40%0.0194✓1.68399k2022-05-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.566.6057+0.70%7.13+8.69%0.0634✓1.3019.6M2022-05-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.950.956636+0.70%1.041+9.58%0.0708✓1.37755k2022-05-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.165+0.70%2.31+7.44%0.0475✓1.73357k2022-05-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29480.296863+0.70%0.3159+7.16%0.0499✓1.238.5M2022-05-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.138+0.71%1.39+23.01%0.1854✓1.464.1M2022-05-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.289990.292065+0.72%0.34+17.25%0.1359✓1.61365k2022-05-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.623.646+0.72%4.24+17.13%0.1368✓1.422.9M2022-05-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058910.05934+0.73%0.06424+9.05%0.0691✓1.0219k2022-05-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.4571.4677+0.74%1.62+11.19%0.0847✓1.402.6M2022-05-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13020.13119+0.76%0.1491+14.52%0.1143✓1.37372k2022-05-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.63e-74.67e-7+0.77%6.19e-7+33.52%0.2763✓0.521.4M2022-05-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1842.2013+0.79%2.496+14.29%0.1107✓1.50206k2022-05-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.