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2022-05-11 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0613
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
11.4%
in alpha space · 10.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.777582-26.64%0.0087-99.18%4.4895✓3.187.5M2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.073828-0.43%0.066988-9.65%0.0964✓0.82553k2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.2532+0.06%5.13-2.29%0.0234✗0.27284k2022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9028,357.55+0.15%29,197.00+3.12%0.0302✓0.9840k2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum4.97854.9862+0.16%5.3674+7.81%0.0742✓0.544.7M2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.0232+0.28%29.67-0.90%0.0108✗0.9612.7M2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.068305+0.30%0.0664-2.50%0.0275✗0.74619k2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,061.78+0.31%28,941.95-0.10%0.0031✗1.00634.5M2022-05-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.4119+0.42%1.231-12.45%0.1361✗1.005.3M2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.092807+0.44%0.0863-6.60%0.0718✗0.85169k2022-05-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0011.0055+0.45%0.807-19.38%0.2187✗1.10574k2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,085.59+0.47%1,954.39-5.85%0.0639✗1.03464.2M2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.853.0508+0.47%49.62-6.02%0.0658✗0.962.0M2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.83e-7+0.48%4.63e-7-20.13%0.2289✗0.531.4M2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.009216+0.48%0.007887-14.01%0.1546✗1.0336k2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.078586+0.49%0.0648-17.14%0.1909✗1.89216k2022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.00978+0.52%0.0108+11.00%0.1000✓0.81238k2022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.126388+0.52%0.120434-4.22%0.0471✗1.0613.8M2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.024256+0.52%0.02176-9.82%0.1076✗0.9930k2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.489.5316+0.54%8.59-9.39%0.1024✗1.574.5M2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.804452+0.56%0.8+0.00%0.0044✓1.113.3M2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana50.8251.1067+0.56%44.65-12.14%0.1336✗1.3987.4M2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9120.0263+0.58%18.89-5.12%0.0571✗1.254.4M2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.417528+0.61%0.3939-5.08%0.0567✗1.47299k2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero140.01140.8891+0.63%137.43-1.84%0.0238✗1.033.0M2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.119753+0.63%0.108-9.24%0.1024✗0.9019k2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.106302+0.66%0.0785-25.66%0.3013✗1.82787k2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.519687+0.69%0.4724-8.47%0.0941✗1.2842.0M2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.049522+0.70%0.04348-11.59%0.1291✗0.9726k2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.919.9792+0.70%8.25-16.75%0.1888✗1.46134k2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.03162+0.70%0.0302-3.82%0.0445✗1.36179k2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.834.8641+0.71%4.63-4.14%0.0479✗1.35666k2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.189833+0.71%0.1765-6.37%0.0718✗1.022,9402022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9771.4736+0.71%60.88-14.22%0.1590✗1.3638k2022-05-12
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0777+0.72%0.88-17.76%0.2020✗0.70528k2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.017848+0.72%0.01505-15.07%0.1698✗0.67400k2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.862221+0.73%0.775-9.46%0.1050✗1.548.3M2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.043263+0.73%0.03867-9.97%0.1112✗0.959,2282022-05-12
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.197032+0.73%0.1771-9.46%0.1056✗1.002.4M2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001219+0.74%0.00000104-14.05%0.1579✗0.797.7M2022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.533+0.74%2.3863-5.10%0.0584✗1.24188k2022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum64.164.5733+0.74%73.37+14.46%0.1288✓1.043.5M2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.021054+0.74%0.02133+2.06%0.0141✓1.04227k2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.7151+0.74%1.6077-5.57%0.0640✗0.6316k2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.0397+0.75%3.628-9.52%0.1062✗1.21134k2022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96195.4066+0.75%193.69-0.14%0.0076✗1.135.2M2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.219.3432+0.75%19.31+0.57%0.0002✓1.413.8M2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.4858+0.75%3.26-5.78%0.0662✗0.72788k2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.0761+0.75%0.949-11.14%0.1246✗0.9725k2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.1189+0.76%8.68-4.09%0.0480✗1.2711.8M2022-05-12
DASHDashDash58.0658.503+0.76%53.75-7.42%0.0835✗1.181.0M2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.5136+0.77%1.304-13.18%0.1475✗1.445.3M2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.2674+0.77%2.19-2.67%0.0337✗0.96429k2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.176351+0.77%0.1695-3.14%0.0381✗1.45634k2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.01215+0.78%0.010713-11.14%0.1250✗0.76198k2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.004384+0.78%0.00425-2.30%0.0295✗1.43403k2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.826414+0.78%0.72-12.20%0.1362✗1.52892k2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash83.0983.74+0.78%86.4+3.98%0.0326✓1.245.1M2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.421+0.78%1.35-4.26%0.0502✗1.08134k2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.456046+0.78%0.4222-6.70%0.0759✗1.1912.6M2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.003699+0.78%0.00359-2.18%0.0289✗0.9320k2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.004360.004394+0.79%0.00413-5.28%0.0606✗1.34885k2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.30891+0.79%0.2835-7.50%0.0853✗0.48514k2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.862.8825+0.79%2.6-9.09%0.1022✗0.93829k2022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.3758+0.79%1.264-7.40%0.0837✗1.02748k2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439221.6087+0.79%21.3123-0.59%0.0123✗1.46195k2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.3728+0.79%14.06-1.40%0.0206✗1.32766k2022-05-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.3275+0.80%1.161-11.85%0.1329✗1.009.7M2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.309617+0.80%0.28864-6.03%0.0685✗1.5642k2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.167326+0.80%0.135-18.67%0.2131✗1.454.7M2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.11975+0.80%0.107-9.93%0.1109✗1.61108k2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3166.8421+0.80%64.26-3.09%0.0382✗1.1517.5M2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.2328+0.80%1.133-7.36%0.0827✗1.69582k2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.107866+0.81%0.0968-9.53%0.1068✗1.351.2M2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7510.8371+0.81%9.62-10.51%0.1177✗1.3419.8M2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.131.3529+0.81%30.19-2.93%0.0363✗1.4545.0M2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.068736+0.82%0.05891-13.60%0.1532✗1.0418k2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.47720.481102+0.82%0.4037-15.40%0.1741✗1.221.5M2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.057466+0.82%0.065+14.04%0.1243✓1.03115k2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.9208+0.82%2.683-7.39%0.0838✗1.0481k2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.7922+0.82%1.6845-5.24%0.0607✗1.24866k2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.9871+0.82%6.56-5.34%0.0617✗1.3119.6M2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.0273+0.83%0.989391-2.89%0.0365✗1.0496k2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.5179+0.84%2.486-0.44%0.0110✗1.677.7M2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.601295+0.84%0.5935-0.47%0.0116✗1.406.1M2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.033469+0.84%0.03169-4.52%0.0532✗1.3494k2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.625205+0.84%0.579-6.61%0.0752✗1.46344k2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.4856+0.84%10.951-3.85%0.0467✗0.924.1M2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.00956+0.84%0.00889-6.22%0.0709✗1.6545.0M2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.320675+0.84%0.309-2.83%0.0360✗1.011.1M2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.381525+0.84%0.32972-12.85%0.1444✗1.501.4M2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.894.9312+0.84%4.65-4.91%0.0575✗1.204.1M2022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase19.6419.8061+0.85%19.04-3.05%0.0378✗1.53173k2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.4402+0.85%1.23-13.87%0.1568✗0.93858k2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.490159+0.86%0.381-21.60%0.2504✗1.491.7M2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.2997+0.86%2.16-5.26%0.0616✗1.04557k2022-05-12
STXStacksnative0.580.585007+0.86%0.5-13.79%0.1559✗1.10260k2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.215145+0.86%0.2085-2.25%0.0300✗1.35184k2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.990.998575+0.87%0.95-4.04%0.0484✗1.38755k2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.614.65+0.87%4.29-6.94%0.0797✗0.801.2M2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.00003640.000036716+0.87%0.00003173-12.83%0.1445✗1.366.7M2022-05-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.376585+0.87%0.36057-3.42%0.0421✗1.26151k2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.389558+0.87%0.334376-13.42%0.1514✗1.326.1M2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.0490.04943+0.88%0.0411-16.12%0.1833✗1.2184k2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.1933+0.88%1.0557-10.75%0.1214✗1.052.5M2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.19168+0.88%0.17236-9.28%0.1045✗1.61250k2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.116731+0.89%0.1008-12.88%0.1456✗1.111.1M2022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.8472.8724+0.89%2.483-12.79%0.1440✗1.662.2M2022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration72.9273.5725+0.89%68.74-5.73%0.0667✗1.231.1M2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.50161+0.90%0.44316-10.86%0.1224✗1.4193k2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.397428+0.90%0.3429-12.95%0.1462✗1.2997k2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.126826+0.90%0.1345+7.00%0.0604✓1.586.2M2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.085535+0.90%0.082269-2.96%0.0378✗1.117.1M2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3319+0.90%1.13-14.39%0.1628✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.056504+0.90%0.052-7.14%0.0819✗1.12416k2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8513.975+0.90%11.58-16.39%0.1871✗0.90483k2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.014284+0.90%0.01502+6.10%0.0514✓1.114.3M2022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum3.683.7133+0.91%3.62-1.63%0.0240✗1.422.9M2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.0901+0.91%0.997494-7.66%0.0874✗1.25161k2022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,452.95+0.92%9,878.00-12.96%0.1467✗1.172.6M2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.488+0.92%7.22-2.70%0.0350✗1.418.0M2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.6016+0.92%1.421-10.46%0.1189✗0.701.9M2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2883.0371+0.92%76.75-6.72%0.0772✗1.498.6M2022-05-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.078718+0.92%0.0653-16.28%0.1858✗1.004.2M2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.010677+0.92%0.012+13.42%0.1178✓1.023.2M2022-05-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.1879+0.92%1.057-10.20%0.1156✗1.044.3M2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.223958+0.93%0.1911-13.88%0.1574✗1.20316k2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012061+0.93%0.00001081-9.54%0.1081✗1.311.3M2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.301782+0.93%0.243-18.73%0.2148✗1.721.7M2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.475399+0.93%0.405-14.01%0.1587✗1.45869k2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.114864+0.94%0.0997-12.39%0.1399✗1.561.8M2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.7563+0.94%1.59-8.62%0.0977✗1.69371k2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.8018+0.94%1.729-3.14%0.0395✗1.6584k2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.014132+0.94%0.0163+16.43%0.1451✓2.2523.0M2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.918604+0.95%0.82-9.89%0.1126✗0.93142k2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.153142+0.95%0.1337-11.87%0.1342✗1.506.8M2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.065619+0.95%0.0682+4.92%0.0403✓1.65204k2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0011.0106+0.96%0.896-10.49%0.1189✗1.3317.4M2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.198886+0.96%0.189-4.06%0.0494✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.350.353358+0.96%0.32121-8.23%0.0946✗0.7670k2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8264+0.96%1.514-16.31%0.1861✗1.41537k2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.6527+0.96%1.457-11.00%0.1246✗1.422.6M2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3727+0.97%2.15-8.51%0.0967✗1.74357k2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.227984+0.97%0.2135-5.45%0.0643✗1.24486k2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.300283+0.97%0.2948-0.87%0.0171✗1.238.5M2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.3114+0.97%4.09-4.22%0.0518✗0.852.8M2022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.313008+0.97%0.28999-6.45%0.0747✗1.61383k2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.084108+0.97%0.0773-7.20%0.0828✗1.513.7M2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.3617+0.97%2.172-7.14%0.0820✗1.7022k2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.144395+0.98%0.1302-8.95%0.1020✗1.38372k2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.009451+0.98%0.00786-16.03%0.1832✗1.091.0M2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.579636+0.98%0.537-6.45%0.0751✗1.2050k2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.54531+0.98%0.583+7.96%0.0684✓1.4528k2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.588.6648+0.99%8.1-5.59%0.0661✗1.267.4M2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.8583+0.99%1.67-9.24%0.1058✗1.01392k2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82191.84+0.99%1.4271-21.67%0.2525✗1.578.0M2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.6696+1.00%1.548-6.35%0.0736✗1.961.0M2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.773308+1.01%0.70895-7.40%0.0854✗1.44805k2022-05-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7155.7725+1.01%7.785+36.22%0.3018✓2.6179.5M2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0606+1.01%0.73-30.48%0.3727✗0.75221k2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.6501+1.03%2.677+2.06%0.0111✓1.001.4M2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004618+1.05%0.00359-21.44%0.2505✗1.181.7M2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.4638+1.05%1.2954-10.58%0.1210✗1.1810.0M2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.041636+1.06%0.0389-5.58%0.0668✗1.151.9M2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001263+1.06%0.00121-3.20%0.0415✗1.493.9M2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.5229+1.08%2.184-12.50%0.1427✗1.51197k2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.