8=======>

2022-05-07 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 165 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0520
165 of 165 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.5%
in alpha space · 64.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (165 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.63622.6479+0.44%2.4108-8.55%0.0532✗0.9910.0M2022-05-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.76562.775+0.34%2.6421-4.47%0.0226✗0.645.0M2022-05-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.888.9067+0.30%8.1-8.78%0.0750✗0.482.5M2022-05-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7321.7372+0.30%1.645-5.02%0.0073✗1.1517.4M2022-05-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1331.136+0.27%1.116-1.50%0.0306✓1.1836k2022-05-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.2110.232+0.22%9.99-2.15%0.0253✓1.2017.5M2022-05-08
KSMKusamaHydration117.99118.226+0.20%111.73-5.31%0.0106✗1.121.0M2022-05-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.47650.477241+0.16%0.4659-2.22%0.0222✓1.127.9M2022-05-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.110270.11044+0.15%0.10457-5.17%0.0252✗0.7117k2022-05-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.37050.37106+0.15%0.37-0.13%0.0149✓0.43540k2022-05-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.1223.1266+0.15%3.179+1.83%0.0614✓1.092.6M2022-05-08
QNTQuantEthereum87.0987.207+0.13%83.22-4.44%0.0057✗1.003.4M2022-05-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173340.017357+0.13%0.016338-5.75%0.0364✗0.59193k2022-05-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.2513.2675+0.13%13.12-0.98%0.0363✓1.156.5M2022-05-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.4316.4514+0.13%15.7-4.44%0.0009✓1.1618.8M2022-05-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2182.2209+0.13%2.108-4.96%0.0120✓1.56665k2022-05-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224810.022507+0.12%0.022068-1.84%0.0206✓0.984.2M2022-05-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5724.5773+0.12%4.501-1.55%0.0330✓1.21174k2022-05-08
MOVRMoonriverBase34.658834.6966+0.11%32.3833-6.57%0.0098✗1.44173k2022-05-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01550.015515+0.10%0.01396-9.94%0.0702✗0.86209k2022-05-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,634.802,637.28+0.09%2,519.10-4.39%0.0044✗1.01437.0M2022-05-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.3787+0.08%3.223-4.53%0.0322✗0.362.4M2022-05-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.874.8739+0.08%4.75-2.46%0.0042✓0.73930k2022-05-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.700561+0.08%0.66-5.71%0.0073✗1.27412k2022-05-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024720.024738+0.07%0.0239-3.32%0.0150✗0.47405k2022-05-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9640.964643+0.07%0.915-5.08%0.0015✗1.251.9M2022-05-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.2120.2212+0.06%19.08-5.59%0.0264✗0.77445k2022-05-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.630660.631005+0.05%0.57502-8.82%0.0378✗1.341.3M2022-05-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9960.996531+0.05%0.958-3.82%0.0143✓1.31344k2022-05-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.37041.371+0.04%1.33-2.95%0.0196✓1.21760k2022-05-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1675110.167567+0.03%0.161629-3.51%0.0053✓1.0113.6M2022-05-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.23550.235576+0.03%0.2393+1.61%0.0655✓1.21372k2022-05-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.6581.6585+0.03%1.57-5.31%0.0217✗0.8024k2022-05-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.084.0811+0.03%3.96-2.94%0.0015✓0.77585k2022-05-08
DODODODOEthereum0.2740.274066+0.02%0.275+0.36%0.0567✓1.294.9M2022-05-08
XTZTezosTezos2.51172.5122+0.02%2.5615+1.98%0.0657✓1.12847k2022-05-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016270.016273+0.02%0.01556-4.36%0.0218✓1.6248.2M2022-05-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04940.04941+0.02%0.0484-2.02%0.0292✓1.21176k2022-05-08
SUSHISushiEthereum2.142.1403+0.02%2.11-1.40%0.0415✓1.353.3M2022-05-08
XVSVenusEthereum7.437.4311+0.01%6.91-7.00%0.0258✗1.142.6M2022-05-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77262.7729+0.01%2.6832-3.22%0.0054✗0.672.8M2022-05-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3164.3164+0.01%4.216-2.32%0.0394✓1.537.1M2022-05-08
STXStacksnative0.810.810054+0.01%0.78-3.70%0.0034✓1.00260k2022-05-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03450.034502+0.01%0.0349+1.16%0.0896✓1.9022.0M2022-05-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08580.085802+0.00%0.0827-3.61%0.0017✗0.852.4M2022-05-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9570.956989-0.00%0.922-3.66%0.0087✗1.1143k2022-05-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.454.4499-0.00%4.2-5.62%0.0322✓0.62851k2022-05-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19130.191288-0.01%0.1805-5.65%0.0220✓0.881.2M2022-05-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001620.00000162-0.01%0.00000161-0.62%0.0231✗0.717.6M2022-05-08
BANDBandEthereum2.7842.7833-0.02%2.731-1.90%0.0348✗1.31499k2022-05-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00780.007798-0.02%0.00786+0.77%0.0555✗1.161.7M2022-05-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.7513.7466-0.02%13.26-3.56%0.0096✗1.1111.6M2022-05-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.63191.6315-0.03%1.597-2.14%0.0165✗0.9280k2022-05-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche55.0355.0155-0.03%51.57-6.29%0.0145✓1.2243.7M2022-05-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.20940.209345-0.03%0.2109+0.72%0.0683✗1.486.3M2022-05-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.667580.667366-0.03%0.626475-6.16%0.0168✓1.135.6M2022-05-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,458.0035,446.21-0.03%34,027.91-4.03%0.0003✗1.00542.5M2022-05-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.056110.056091-0.03%0.05402-3.72%0.0083✗1.1155k2022-05-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.13580.135753-0.03%0.1309-3.61%0.0180✗1.32180k2022-05-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6130.612762-0.04%0.614+0.16%0.0617✗1.451.6M2022-05-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4221.4214-0.04%1.363-4.15%0.0165✗1.428.3M2022-05-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.531.5294-0.04%1.4-8.50%0.0587✓0.72142k2022-05-08
LUNATerraTerra 268.0267.9901-0.04%64.2-5.62%0.0024✓1.346.9M2022-05-08
ZECZcashZcash112.65112.5997-0.04%114+1.20%0.0610✗1.185.1M2022-05-08
FTTFTXEthereum35.0935.0731-0.05%33.83-3.59%0.0018✗0.9211.7M2022-05-08
SOLSolanaSolana78.8378.7914-0.05%75.34-4.43%0.0062✗1.2482.2M2022-05-08
XVGVergenative0.007690.007686-0.05%0.0074-3.77%0.0094✗1.15898k2022-05-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.947523-0.05%0.948+0.00%0.0465✗1.123.3M2022-05-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.073660.073619-0.06%0.07039-4.44%0.0087✓0.8829k2022-05-08
HIVEHivenative0.74230.741828-0.06%0.7088-4.51%0.0019✓1.061.4M2022-05-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.017810.017799-0.06%0.01783+0.11%0.0326✗0.752.9M2022-05-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.6342-0.07%8.17-5.44%0.0354✓0.481.2M2022-05-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.27335.2697-0.07%5.3183+0.85%0.0215✗0.30278k2022-05-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.0512.0417-0.07%11.91-1.16%0.0402✗1.248.3M2022-05-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22422.2226-0.07%2.1361-3.96%0.0125✓0.6614k2022-05-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.370.369709-0.08%0.35-5.41%0.0040✗1.43268k2022-05-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.871.8685-0.08%1.8-3.74%0.0053✗1.04134k2022-05-08
ADACardanoCardano0.75980.759134-0.09%0.7403-2.57%0.0229✗1.1740.5M2022-05-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00710.007094-0.09%0.00674-5.07%0.0259✓0.6121k2022-05-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2170.216798-0.09%0.21-3.23%0.0023✓0.7222k2022-05-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.371.3687-0.10%1.34-2.19%0.0357✗1.38875k2022-05-08
KCSKuCoinnative16.73116.7147-0.10%15.896-4.99%0.0181✓0.784.0M2022-05-08
AAVEAaveEthereum132.21132.0797-0.10%126.06-4.65%0.0086✗1.348.3M2022-05-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36540.365018-0.10%0.3396-7.06%0.0257✓1.13487k2022-05-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.33160.331252-0.10%0.3144-5.19%0.0051✓1.15188k2022-05-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6640.663302-0.11%0.6196-6.69%0.0188✓1.2097k2022-05-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.6528.6167-0.12%30.46+6.32%0.1183✗1.363.5M2022-05-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.413.384-0.12%13.44+0.30%0.0630✗1.43136k2022-05-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.69e-78.68e-7-0.12%8.06e-7-7.25%0.0739✓0.00717k2022-05-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.132838-0.12%0.125-6.02%0.0379✓0.56134k2022-05-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4253.4208-0.12%3.896+13.75%0.1894✗1.4475k2022-05-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87460.873484-0.13%0.8411-3.83%0.0169✗1.336.3M2022-05-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash267.87267.4879-0.14%261.65-2.32%0.0198✗1.024.9M2022-05-08
DIADIAEthereum0.690.688978-0.15%0.64-7.25%0.0543✓0.4770k2022-05-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin94.2794.1285-0.15%93.83-0.47%0.0394✗1.0317.3M2022-05-08
XMRMoneroMonero204.44204.1321-0.15%217.35+6.31%0.1009✗0.933.0M2022-05-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.484.4732-0.15%4.34-3.12%0.0020✓0.68497k2022-05-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.38830.387697-0.16%0.3674-5.38%0.0145✓0.95297k2022-05-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.16740.167125-0.16%0.1629-2.69%0.0233✗1.191.3M2022-05-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013920.013895-0.18%0.01312-5.75%0.0203✓0.901.0M2022-05-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.902259-0.19%0.855-5.42%0.0000✓1.311.0M2022-05-08
QTUMQtumQtum5.2285.2175-0.20%5.0387-3.62%0.0130✗1.1698k2022-05-08
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4914.4819-0.20%4.43-1.36%0.0504✗1.5118k2022-05-08
XEMNEMnative0.08060.080431-0.21%0.0757-6.08%0.0198✓0.9954k2022-05-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.82654.8159-0.22%4.4856-7.06%0.0252✓1.118.6M2022-05-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.51-0.22%4.43-1.99%0.0455✗1.54335k2022-05-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.807880.806087-0.22%0.78125-3.30%0.0202✗1.2588k2022-05-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3155.3031-0.22%5.034-5.29%0.0253✓0.651.4M2022-05-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21650.216011-0.23%0.2084-3.74%0.0338✗1.691.1M2022-05-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273390.127049-0.23%0.124195-2.47%0.0160✗0.947.1M2022-05-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.390.389081-0.24%0.36-7.69%0.0314✓1.124.3M2022-05-08
GTGateEthereum6.30716.2921-0.24%6.1332-2.76%0.0073✓0.444.1M2022-05-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum35,568.5035,483.60-0.24%33,986.50-4.45%0.0032✓0.9726k2022-05-08
XYMSymbolnative0.08410.083892-0.25%0.0779-7.37%0.0459✓0.69657k2022-05-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000019280.000019231-0.25%0.00001836-4.77%0.0028✓1.061.2M2022-05-08
UMAUMAEthereum5.2745.2603-0.26%5.32+0.87%0.0712✗1.461.6M2022-05-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0614.0503-0.26%3.95-2.73%0.0173✗1.0367k2022-05-08
APEApeCoinEthereum12.35312.319-0.28%11.227-9.12%0.0106✓2.0075.7M2022-05-08
MINAMina Protocolnative1.721.7152-0.28%1.65-4.07%0.0094✗1.17835k2022-05-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7921.7283-0.28%20.3-6.84%0.0162✓1.26532k2022-05-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.410.3705-0.28%10.01-3.75%0.0079✗1.05748k2022-05-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.556810.55519-0.29%0.54275-2.53%0.0232✗1.11129k2022-05-08
RADRadworksEthereum3.443.4298-0.30%3.33-3.20%0.0061✗0.87541k2022-05-08
NANOnanopayBase1.73281.7276-0.30%1.6347-5.66%0.0089✓1.13145k2022-05-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14190.141476-0.30%0.1298-8.53%0.0053✓1.96256k2022-05-08
UNIUniswapEthereum7.177.1481-0.31%7.1-0.98%0.0394✗1.124.2M2022-05-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036220.036106-0.32%0.03465-4.33%0.0054✓0.8731k2022-05-08
SCSiacoinnative0.007570.007546-0.32%0.00739-2.38%0.0303✗1.24373k2022-05-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7212.712-0.33%2.646-2.76%0.0025✓0.661.1M2022-05-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.32810.327006-0.33%0.3218-1.92%0.0104✗0.643,2632022-05-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.18190.181292-0.33%0.1809-0.55%0.0557✗1.411.8M2022-05-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12030.119893-0.34%0.1142-5.07%0.0141✓0.84136k2022-05-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.25650.255629-0.34%0.2492-2.85%0.0298✗1.34675k2022-05-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13480.134338-0.34%0.1293-4.08%0.0163✗1.333.8M2022-05-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63373.6213-0.34%3.5428-2.50%0.0238✗1.11173k2022-05-08
DASHDashDash83.4183.1236-0.34%82.93-0.58%0.0419✗1.071.1M2022-05-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29180.290798-0.34%0.2993+2.57%0.0806✗1.266.3M2022-05-08
PROPropyEthereum1.681.674-0.36%1.63-2.98%0.0010✓0.62507k2022-05-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,364.7316,305.34-0.36%15,574.12-4.83%0.0040✓1.022.3M2022-05-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.5069-0.37%3.52+0.00%0.0640✗1.46349k2022-05-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.3370.0676-0.37%70.19-0.20%0.0370✗0.862.1M2022-05-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2272.2186-0.38%2.346+5.34%0.1115✗1.355.1M2022-05-08
COMPCompoundEthereum99.0698.6821-0.38%99.67+0.62%0.0608✗1.2331k2022-05-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.18950.188772-0.38%0.1783-5.91%0.0006✓1.37109k2022-05-08
GMTGMTEthereum2.5622.5521-0.39%2.719+6.13%0.1045✗1.009.0M2022-05-08
XECeCashnative0.000069860.000069551-0.44%0.00006824-2.32%0.0235✗1.037.2M2022-05-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.4563.4403-0.45%3.157-8.65%0.0154✓1.711.2M2022-05-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5770.574239-0.48%0.542-6.07%0.0258✓0.781.3M2022-05-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125430.01248-0.50%0.012755+1.69%0.0586✗0.8939k2022-05-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.03960.039398-0.51%0.03631-8.31%0.0472✓0.84227k2022-05-08
STEEMSteemnative0.38560.383603-0.52%0.383-0.67%0.0396✗1.003.5M2022-05-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.941.9298-0.52%1.87-3.61%0.0086✓0.56264k2022-05-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0610.060676-0.53%0.05849-4.11%0.0016✓0.859,8712022-05-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.541590.538651-0.54%0.50648-6.48%0.0116✓1.2148k2022-05-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.722.705-0.55%2.63-3.31%0.0021✓0.73788k2022-05-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.15410.153247-0.55%0.1496-2.92%0.0171✗1.003.4M2022-05-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.10110.100518-0.58%0.0907-10.29%0.0681✓0.84416k2022-05-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003070.003052-0.58%0.00296-3.58%0.0169✗1.163.9M2022-05-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69460.690283-0.62%0.6594-5.07%0.0089✗1.33296k2022-05-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.318.1523-0.81%16.99-7.16%0.0100✓1.362.3M2022-05-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2991.2876-0.88%1.301+0.15%0.0522✗1.02501k2022-05-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8726.6207-0.93%26.51-1.34%0.0459✗1.224.6M2022-05-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74840.740367-1.07%0.7289-2.61%0.0249✗0.9910.9M2022-05-08
TRXTRONTron0.0833540.082047-1.57%0.088013+5.59%0.1007✗0.74304k2022-05-08
ZENHorizenBase35.3834.802-1.63%30.99-12.41%0.0609✓1.34173k2022-05-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.