8=======>

2022-05-07 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1187
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.2%
in alpha space · 73.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.69e-78.59e-7-1.11%8.06e-7-7.25%0.0639✓0.00717k2022-05-08
ZENHorizenBase35.3834.9984-1.08%30.99-12.41%0.0665✓1.34173k2022-05-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74840.740526-1.05%0.7289-2.61%0.0247✗0.9910.9M2022-05-08
TRXTRONTron0.0833540.08277-0.70%0.088013+5.59%0.0920✗0.74304k2022-05-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.318.1763-0.68%16.99-7.16%0.0113✓1.362.3M2022-05-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.4899-0.67%4.43-1.99%0.0499✗1.54335k2022-05-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2991.2922-0.53%1.301+0.15%0.0486✗1.02501k2022-05-08
NANOnanopayBase1.73281.7239-0.51%1.6347-5.66%0.0067✓1.13145k2022-05-08
PROPropyEthereum1.681.6716-0.50%1.63-2.98%0.0004✓0.62507k2022-05-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.5035-0.47%3.52+0.00%0.0649✗1.46349k2022-05-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2272.2168-0.46%2.346+5.34%0.1123✗1.355.1M2022-05-08
UMAUMAEthereum5.2745.25-0.45%5.32+0.87%0.0732✗1.461.6M2022-05-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.073660.073326-0.45%0.07039-4.44%0.0047✓0.8829k2022-05-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8726.7499-0.45%26.51-1.34%0.0411✗1.224.6M2022-05-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69460.691522-0.44%0.6594-5.07%0.0071✗1.33296k2022-05-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.410.3549-0.43%10.01-3.75%0.0094✗1.05748k2022-05-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.6581.6511-0.42%1.57-5.31%0.0172✓0.8024k2022-05-08
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4914.4732-0.40%4.43-1.36%0.0524✗1.5118k2022-05-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.941.9323-0.40%1.87-3.61%0.0099✓0.56264k2022-05-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4253.4116-0.39%3.896+13.75%0.1921✗1.4475k2022-05-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12030.119834-0.39%0.1142-5.07%0.0136✓0.84136k2022-05-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024720.024625-0.38%0.0239-3.32%0.0104✓0.47405k2022-05-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14190.14138-0.37%0.1298-8.53%0.0046✓1.96256k2022-05-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.7513.7-0.36%13.26-3.56%0.0130✗1.1111.6M2022-05-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.13580.135319-0.35%0.1309-3.61%0.0212✗1.32180k2022-05-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,364.7316,307.26-0.35%15,574.12-4.83%0.0041✓1.022.3M2022-05-08
XTZTezosTezos2.51172.503-0.35%2.5615+1.98%0.0694✗1.12847k2022-05-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2170.216252-0.34%0.21-3.23%0.0003✓0.7222k2022-05-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.722.7107-0.34%2.63-3.31%0.0000✓0.73788k2022-05-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.03960.039466-0.34%0.03631-8.31%0.0489✓0.84227k2022-05-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00780.007774-0.34%0.00786+0.77%0.0587✗1.161.7M2022-05-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.6528.555-0.33%30.46+6.32%0.1205✗1.363.5M2022-05-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.3370.0976-0.33%70.19-0.20%0.0366✗0.862.1M2022-05-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29180.290853-0.32%0.2993+2.57%0.0804✗1.266.3M2022-05-08
XVGVergenative0.007690.007665-0.32%0.0074-3.77%0.0121✗1.15898k2022-05-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.484.4657-0.32%4.34-3.12%0.0004✓0.68497k2022-05-08
ADACardanoCardano0.75980.757433-0.31%0.7403-2.57%0.0252✗1.1740.5M2022-05-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9640.961021-0.31%0.915-5.08%0.0023✓1.251.9M2022-05-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.10110.100791-0.31%0.0907-10.29%0.0708✓0.84416k2022-05-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum35,568.5035,459.90-0.31%33,986.50-4.45%0.0026✓0.9726k2022-05-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash267.87267.0758-0.30%261.65-2.32%0.0213✗1.024.9M2022-05-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000019280.000019223-0.30%0.00001836-4.77%0.0024✓1.061.2M2022-05-08
QNTQuantEthereum87.0986.8359-0.29%83.22-4.44%0.0015✓1.003.4M2022-05-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7921.7281-0.28%20.3-6.84%0.0162✓1.26532k2022-05-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.4316.3833-0.28%15.7-4.44%0.0051✗1.1618.8M2022-05-08
SOLSolanaSolana78.8378.6081-0.28%75.34-4.43%0.0086✗1.2482.2M2022-05-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19130.190766-0.28%0.1805-5.65%0.0193✓0.881.2M2022-05-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.056110.055957-0.27%0.05402-3.72%0.0107✗1.1155k2022-05-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin94.2794.0157-0.27%93.83-0.47%0.0406✗1.0317.3M2022-05-08
KSMKusamaHydration117.99117.6787-0.26%111.73-5.31%0.0059✓1.121.0M2022-05-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.15410.153695-0.26%0.1496-2.92%0.0142✗1.003.4M2022-05-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.2110.1841-0.25%9.99-2.15%0.0300✗1.2017.5M2022-05-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.47650.475315-0.25%0.4659-2.22%0.0263✗1.127.9M2022-05-08
UNIUniswapEthereum7.177.1523-0.25%7.1-0.98%0.0388✗1.124.2M2022-05-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4221.4185-0.24%1.363-4.15%0.0185✗1.428.3M2022-05-08
STEEMSteemnative0.38560.384656-0.24%0.383-0.67%0.0369✗1.003.5M2022-05-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.32810.327299-0.24%0.3218-1.92%0.0095✗0.643,2632022-05-08
GTGateEthereum6.30716.2918-0.24%6.1332-2.76%0.0073✓0.444.1M2022-05-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche55.0354.9072-0.22%51.57-6.29%0.0125✓1.2243.7M2022-05-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.2120.1652-0.22%19.08-5.59%0.0236✓0.77445k2022-05-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.413.3703-0.22%13.44+0.30%0.0641✗1.43136k2022-05-08
HIVEHivenative0.74230.740667-0.22%0.7088-4.51%0.0004✓1.061.4M2022-05-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036220.036141-0.22%0.03465-4.33%0.0064✓0.8731k2022-05-08
APEApeCoinEthereum12.35312.326-0.22%11.227-9.12%0.0112✓2.0075.7M2022-05-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03450.034429-0.21%0.0349+1.16%0.0917✗1.9022.0M2022-05-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9960.993978-0.20%0.958-3.82%0.0169✗1.31344k2022-05-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6130.611758-0.20%0.614+0.16%0.0633✗1.451.6M2022-05-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.37041.3677-0.20%1.33-2.95%0.0220✗1.21760k2022-05-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.38830.387526-0.20%0.3674-5.38%0.0141✓0.95297k2022-05-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3155.3044-0.20%5.034-5.29%0.0256✓0.651.4M2022-05-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.25650.255994-0.20%0.2492-2.85%0.0284✗1.34675k2022-05-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0614.053-0.20%3.95-2.73%0.0166✗1.0367k2022-05-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04940.049304-0.20%0.0484-2.02%0.0313✗1.21176k2022-05-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.871.8665-0.19%1.8-3.74%0.0064✗1.04134k2022-05-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1675110.167202-0.18%0.161629-3.51%0.0075✗1.0113.6M2022-05-08
SGBSongbirdnative0.05470.0546-0.18%0.0533-2.56%0.0082✓0.39137k2022-05-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.18950.189161-0.18%0.1783-5.91%0.0027✓1.37109k2022-05-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.556810.55582-0.18%0.54275-2.53%0.0220✗1.11129k2022-05-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00710.007088-0.17%0.00674-5.07%0.0251✓0.6121k2022-05-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01550.015473-0.17%0.01396-9.94%0.0675✓0.86209k2022-05-08
BANDBandEthereum2.7842.7793-0.17%2.731-1.90%0.0362✗1.31499k2022-05-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63373.6276-0.17%3.5428-2.50%0.0220✗1.11173k2022-05-08
SUSHISushiEthereum2.142.1364-0.17%2.11-1.40%0.0433✗1.353.3M2022-05-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224810.022444-0.16%0.022068-1.84%0.0234✗0.984.2M2022-05-08
DASHDashDash83.4183.274-0.16%82.93-0.58%0.0401✗1.071.1M2022-05-08
SCSiacoinnative0.007570.007558-0.16%0.00739-2.38%0.0288✗1.24373k2022-05-08
XEMNEMnative0.08060.080471-0.16%0.0757-6.08%0.0203✓0.9954k2022-05-08
XYMSymbolnative0.08410.083965-0.16%0.0779-7.37%0.0467✓0.69657k2022-05-08
DIADIAEthereum0.690.688921-0.16%0.64-7.25%0.0542✓0.4770k2022-05-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.3708-0.15%3.223-4.53%0.0298✓0.362.4M2022-05-08
GMTGMTEthereum2.5622.5581-0.15%2.719+6.13%0.1022✗1.009.0M2022-05-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125430.012524-0.15%0.012755+1.69%0.0551✗0.8939k2022-05-08
COMPCompoundEthereum99.0698.9093-0.15%99.67+0.62%0.0585✗1.2331k2022-05-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.82654.8201-0.13%4.4856-7.06%0.0261✓1.118.6M2022-05-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001620.000001618-0.13%0.00000161-0.62%0.0243✗0.717.6M2022-05-08
QTUMQtumQtum5.2285.2212-0.13%5.0387-3.62%0.0123✗1.1698k2022-05-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.084.0747-0.13%3.96-2.94%0.0031✗0.77585k2022-05-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,458.0035,412.37-0.13%34,027.91-4.03%0.0013✗1.00542.5M2022-05-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5770.576284-0.12%0.542-6.07%0.0294✓0.781.3M2022-05-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.23550.235209-0.12%0.2393+1.61%0.0671✗1.21372k2022-05-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.18190.18168-0.12%0.1809-0.55%0.0536✗1.411.8M2022-05-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3164.3108-0.12%4.216-2.32%0.0406✗1.537.1M2022-05-08
XMRMoneroMonero204.44204.1964-0.12%217.35+6.31%0.1006✗0.933.0M2022-05-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.20940.209164-0.11%0.2109+0.72%0.0691✗1.486.3M2022-05-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.4563.4523-0.11%3.157-8.65%0.0189✓1.711.2M2022-05-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013920.013905-0.11%0.01312-5.75%0.0210✓0.901.0M2022-05-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.110270.110155-0.10%0.10457-5.17%0.0226✓0.7117k2022-05-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,634.802,632.08-0.10%2,519.10-4.39%0.0025✓1.01437.0M2022-05-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22422.2219-0.10%2.1361-3.96%0.0122✓0.6614k2022-05-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.699303-0.10%0.66-5.71%0.0055✓1.27412k2022-05-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173340.017317-0.10%0.016338-5.75%0.0341✓0.59193k2022-05-08
XECeCashnative0.000069860.000069793-0.10%0.00006824-2.32%0.0200✗1.037.2M2022-05-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.2513.2375-0.09%13.12-0.98%0.0385✗1.156.5M2022-05-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77262.7701-0.09%2.6832-3.22%0.0044✓0.672.8M2022-05-08
MINAMina Protocolnative1.721.7184-0.09%1.65-4.07%0.0075✗1.17835k2022-05-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.371.3688-0.09%1.34-2.19%0.0356✗1.38875k2022-05-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9570.956178-0.09%0.922-3.66%0.0095✗1.1143k2022-05-08
AAVEAaveEthereum132.21132.0997-0.08%126.06-4.65%0.0084✗1.348.3M2022-05-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.630660.630136-0.08%0.57502-8.82%0.0365✓1.341.3M2022-05-08
LUNATerraTerra 268.0267.9652-0.08%64.2-5.62%0.0020✓1.346.9M2022-05-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.33160.331338-0.08%0.3144-5.19%0.0053✓1.15188k2022-05-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.947274-0.08%0.948+0.00%0.0468✗1.123.3M2022-05-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.903397-0.07%0.855-5.42%0.0013✓1.311.0M2022-05-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21650.216363-0.06%0.2084-3.74%0.0322✗1.691.1M2022-05-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.1223.1201-0.06%3.179+1.83%0.0635✗1.092.6M2022-05-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.0512.0428-0.06%11.91-1.16%0.0401✗1.248.3M2022-05-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.874.8672-0.06%4.75-2.46%0.0056✗0.73930k2022-05-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.454.4475-0.06%4.2-5.62%0.0316✓0.62851k2022-05-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.888.8754-0.05%8.1-8.78%0.0715✓0.482.5M2022-05-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.017810.017801-0.05%0.01783+0.11%0.0325✗0.752.9M2022-05-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2182.2169-0.05%2.108-4.96%0.0137✗1.56665k2022-05-08
DODODODOEthereum0.2740.273869-0.05%0.275+0.36%0.0574✗1.294.9M2022-05-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7212.7198-0.05%2.646-2.76%0.0004✓0.661.1M2022-05-08
MOVRMoonriverBase34.658834.6438-0.04%32.3833-6.57%0.0083✓1.44173k2022-05-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016270.016264-0.04%0.01556-4.36%0.0224✗1.6248.2M2022-05-08
FTTFTXEthereum35.0935.0768-0.04%33.83-3.59%0.0017✗0.9211.7M2022-05-08
KCSKuCoinnative16.73116.725-0.04%15.896-4.99%0.0187✓0.784.0M2022-05-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6640.663765-0.04%0.6196-6.69%0.0195✓1.2097k2022-05-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.370.3699-0.03%0.35-5.41%0.0035✗1.43268k2022-05-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003070.003069-0.03%0.00296-3.58%0.0114✗1.163.9M2022-05-08
ZECZcashZcash112.65112.6267-0.02%114+1.20%0.0608✗1.185.1M2022-05-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.27335.2728-0.01%5.3183+0.85%0.0209✗0.30278k2022-05-08
STXStacksnative0.810.809966-0.00%0.78-3.70%0.0035✗1.00260k2022-05-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.64-0.00%8.17-5.44%0.0360✓0.481.2M2022-05-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.16740.1674-0.00%0.1629-2.69%0.0216✗1.191.3M2022-05-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0610.061005+0.01%0.05849-4.11%0.0070✗0.859,8712022-05-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.807880.807975+0.01%0.78125-3.30%0.0179✓1.2588k2022-05-08
RADRadworksEthereum3.443.4407+0.02%3.33-3.20%0.0029✓0.87541k2022-05-08
XVSVenusEthereum7.437.4321+0.03%6.91-7.00%0.0259✗1.142.6M2022-05-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.63191.6324+0.03%1.597-2.14%0.0160✓0.9280k2022-05-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.37050.370655+0.04%0.37-0.13%0.0160✓0.43540k2022-05-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36540.365568+0.05%0.3396-7.06%0.0272✗1.13487k2022-05-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5724.5744+0.05%4.501-1.55%0.0336✓1.21174k2022-05-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273390.127431+0.07%0.124195-2.47%0.0130✓0.947.1M2022-05-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87460.8753+0.08%0.8411-3.83%0.0148✓1.336.3M2022-05-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.531.5313+0.08%1.4-8.50%0.0600✗0.72142k2022-05-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1331.1346+0.14%1.116-1.50%0.0319✓1.1836k2022-05-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.541590.54238+0.15%0.50648-6.48%0.0185✗1.2148k2022-05-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13480.134999+0.15%0.1293-4.08%0.0114✓1.333.8M2022-05-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.390.390588+0.15%0.36-7.69%0.0353✗1.124.3M2022-05-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.133234+0.18%0.125-6.02%0.0408✗0.56134k2022-05-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.76562.7706+0.18%2.6421-4.47%0.0210✗0.645.0M2022-05-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08580.085962+0.19%0.0827-3.61%0.0036✗0.852.4M2022-05-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.667580.66928+0.25%0.626475-6.16%0.0197✗1.135.6M2022-05-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7321.7407+0.50%1.645-5.02%0.0094✗1.1517.4M2022-05-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.63622.6544+0.69%2.4108-8.55%0.0556✗0.9910.0M2022-05-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.