8=======>

2022-05-03 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2404
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
20.1%
in alpha space · 9.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.48083.4947+0.40%3.7324+7.23%0.0265✓0.7810.0M2022-05-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.921.9245+0.23%2.076+8.13%0.0226✓1.0516.1M2022-05-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14060.140761+0.11%0.1592+13.23%0.0604✓1.245.6M2022-05-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0030.003002+0.08%0.00353+17.67%0.1088✓1.054.2M2022-05-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4410.441296+0.07%0.478+8.39%0.0283✓1.024.3M2022-05-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1510.151078+0.05%0.168+11.26%0.0868✓0.38132k2022-05-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.621720.62203+0.05%0.67548+8.65%0.0264✓1.1187k2022-05-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39250.392682+0.05%0.4415+12.48%0.0644✓1.05499k2022-05-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.20923.21+0.02%3.3664+4.90%0.0194✓0.565.8M2022-05-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40120.401261+0.02%0.4811+19.92%0.1662✓0.30580k2022-05-04
XVSVenusEthereum7.787.7801+0.00%8.52+9.51%0.0382✓1.053.2M2022-05-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4492.449+0.00%2.764+12.86%0.0419✓1.57719k2022-05-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96510.965062-0.00%1.0448+8.26%0.0164✗1.256.8M2022-05-04
DODODODOEthereum0.2850.284953-0.02%0.323+13.33%0.0670✗1.165.6M2022-05-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6946830.694557-0.02%0.800276+15.20%0.0917✗0.995.3M2022-05-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.1780.177953-0.03%0.196+10.11%0.0390✗1.141.6M2022-05-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.812.7946-0.04%14.28+11.56%0.0521✗1.158.7M2022-05-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21860.218505-0.04%0.2478+13.36%0.0411✗1.681.3M2022-05-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.856.8469-0.05%7.94+15.91%0.0955✗1.044.4M2022-05-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295030.129424-0.06%0.135908+4.95%0.0020✗0.937.1M2022-05-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.69630.695856-0.06%0.7522+8.03%0.0158✗1.23117k2022-05-04
XMRMoneroMonero206.93206.7948-0.07%225.24+8.85%0.0393✗0.913.3M2022-05-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.34240.342163-0.07%0.372+8.64%0.0179✗1.30190k2022-05-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.924.9164-0.07%5.395+9.65%0.0333✗1.18186k2022-05-04
COMPCompoundEthereum102.6102.5207-0.08%114.56+11.66%0.0535✗1.1433k2022-05-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5840.583542-0.08%0.615+5.31%0.0140✗0.761.5M2022-05-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09420.094125-0.08%0.0973+3.29%0.0091✓0.843.0M2022-05-04
ZENHorizenBase30.2630.2355-0.08%33.7+11.37%0.0416✗1.33177k2022-05-04
MINAMina Protocolnative1.771.7685-0.08%2.01+13.56%0.0734✗1.081.1M2022-05-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.169.1523-0.08%9.68+5.68%0.0349✗0.421.6M2022-05-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.60445.5994-0.09%5.6389+0.62%0.0167✓0.47249k2022-05-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017820.017804-0.09%0.02056+15.38%0.0714✗1.4447.4M2022-05-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.409631-0.09%0.46+12.20%0.0422✗1.46293k2022-05-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2250.224788-0.09%0.2557+13.64%0.0576✗1.417.0M2022-05-04
KCSKuCoinnative17.81217.7951-0.09%18.408+3.35%0.0053✓0.784.5M2022-05-04
STXStacksnative0.920.91909-0.10%0.99+7.61%0.0264✗0.95311k2022-05-04
RADRadworksEthereum3.813.806-0.10%4.01+5.25%0.0103✗0.83578k2022-05-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.018080.018061-0.11%0.01937+7.13%0.0338✗0.723.6M2022-05-04
FTTFTXEthereum37.7937.7475-0.11%39.56+4.68%0.0025✗0.8812.4M2022-05-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.0643-0.11%5.34+5.33%0.0190✗0.671.1M2022-05-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4783-0.11%1.64+10.81%0.0374✗1.32989k2022-05-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0233050.023278-0.11%0.024465+4.98%0.0020✓1.034.3M2022-05-04
API3Api3Ethereum3.4013.3971-0.12%3.652+7.38%0.0228✗0.983.1M2022-05-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.6214.6026-0.12%15.71+7.46%0.0196✗1.067.8M2022-05-04
XECeCashnative0.000071880.000071793-0.12%0.00007852+9.24%0.0402✗0.987.9M2022-05-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.86450.863398-0.13%0.9575+10.76%0.0447✗1.1797k2022-05-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192290.019203-0.13%0.02161+12.38%0.0963✗0.43193k2022-05-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0120730.012056-0.14%0.013631+12.90%0.0800✗0.8544k2022-05-04
ZECZcashZcash119.63119.4652-0.14%134.35+12.30%0.0620✗1.105.8M2022-05-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.33510.334633-0.14%0.3846+14.77%0.1171✗0.444,1372022-05-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03480.034751-0.14%0.0439+26.15%0.1543✗1.5823.0M2022-05-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.73731.7349-0.14%1.8765+8.01%0.0340✗0.8889k2022-05-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.821.8174-0.14%1.87+2.75%0.0071✓0.71164k2022-05-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0561.0545-0.15%1.114+5.49%0.0054✗0.9852k2022-05-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0311.0295-0.15%1.115+8.15%0.0254✗1.083.6M2022-05-04
MOVRMoonriverBase39.566639.5035-0.16%43.5734+10.13%0.0247✗1.45189k2022-05-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.750.748779-0.16%0.82+9.33%0.0339✗1.13443k2022-05-04
XEMNEMnative0.08780.087656-0.16%0.0917+4.44%0.0020✓0.9352k2022-05-04
NANOnanopayBase1.68621.6834-0.17%1.8061+7.11%0.0169✗1.06156k2022-05-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.19210.191772-0.17%0.222+15.56%0.0821✗1.272.2M2022-05-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.3511.3487-0.17%1.474+9.10%0.0350✗1.0763k2022-05-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.3943.388-0.18%3.8+11.96%0.0471✗1.3479k2022-05-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.73863.732-0.18%4.2374+13.34%0.0778✗0.98177k2022-05-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9250.92335-0.18%1.006+8.76%0.0281✗1.141.2M2022-05-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06560.065479-0.19%0.07079+7.91%0.0386✗0.7816k2022-05-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum29.0829.025-0.19%33.33+14.61%0.0753✗1.254.0M2022-05-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.121710.121469-0.20%0.12604+3.56%0.0017✓0.7017k2022-05-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,719.5937,644.44-0.20%39,669.56+5.17%0.0020✗1.00553.2M2022-05-04
AAVEAaveEthereum141.02140.7354-0.20%159.43+13.05%0.0620✗1.249.8M2022-05-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20020.199795-0.20%0.222+10.89%0.0377✗1.34114k2022-05-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1719620.171613-0.20%0.184721+7.42%0.0249✗0.9713.8M2022-05-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.6424.6325-0.20%5.073+9.28%0.0188✗1.437.7M2022-05-04
KSMKusamaHydration127.65127.3875-0.21%140.48+10.05%0.0436✗1.08954k2022-05-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579930.57873-0.21%0.65135+12.32%0.0659✗1.04126k2022-05-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5714.5396-0.21%16.45+12.90%0.0543✗1.37145k2022-05-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.712980.711479-0.21%0.80809+13.34%0.0656✗1.221.4M2022-05-04
DASHDashDash88.0987.9042-0.21%95.85+8.81%0.0350✗1.021.2M2022-05-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007510.007494-0.21%0.0078+3.86%0.0085✗0.6327k2022-05-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,780.342,774.34-0.22%2,939.98+5.74%0.0073✗1.01438.2M2022-05-04
BANDBandEthereum2.9752.9684-0.22%3.342+12.34%0.0559✗1.24572k2022-05-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.017080.017042-0.23%0.018+5.39%0.0043✗1.00269k2022-05-04
QTUMQtumQtum5.39065.3784-0.23%5.9368+10.13%0.0408✗1.15103k2022-05-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0631.0606-0.23%1.182+11.19%0.0464✗1.23357k2022-05-04
MANADecentralandEthereum1.47561.4722-0.23%1.6585+12.39%0.0634✗1.11970k2022-05-04
AVTAventusEthereum21.9954-0.23%1.9-5.00%0.0777✓0.57272k2022-05-04
SCSiacoinnative0.008220.008201-0.23%0.00898+9.25%0.0318✗1.17382k2022-05-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.375.3574-0.23%5.56+3.54%0.0089✗0.56869k2022-05-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.6359.4888-0.24%67.28+12.83%0.0647✗1.1644.2M2022-05-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.08433.0768-0.24%3.2118+4.13%0.0118✗0.624.1M2022-05-04
STEEMSteemnative0.35650.355616-0.25%0.3966+11.25%0.0587✗1.007.0M2022-05-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038460.038364-0.25%0.04253+10.58%0.0641✗0.77244k2022-05-04
SGBSongbirdnative0.05510.054962-0.25%0.0549-0.36%0.0238✓0.45138k2022-05-04
BTTCBTTC0.000001710.000001706-0.25%0.00000178+4.09%0.0072✗0.707.6M2022-05-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4190.417949-0.25%0.4526+8.02%0.0354✗0.88311k2022-05-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.264.2491-0.26%4.47+4.93%0.0145✗0.72733k2022-05-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.27160.270881-0.26%0.2979+9.68%0.0299✗1.29795k2022-05-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6570.655246-0.27%0.717+9.13%0.0194✗1.401.7M2022-05-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014360.014322-0.27%0.01524+6.13%0.0170✗0.901.2M2022-05-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7994.7861-0.27%5.0794+5.84%0.0013✓1.158.6M2022-05-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.5020.500614-0.28%0.5538+10.32%0.0500✗1.018.0M2022-05-04
SUSHISushiEthereum2.322.3136-0.28%2.62+12.93%0.0614✗1.254.0M2022-05-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.971.9643-0.29%2.12+7.61%0.0263✗0.99135k2022-05-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9422.9334-0.29%3.092+5.10%0.0224✗0.601.4M2022-05-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.1211.0866-0.30%12.2+9.71%0.0398✗1.1118.3M2022-05-04
DIADIAEthereum0.760.757712-0.30%0.81+6.58%0.0453✗0.4271k2022-05-04
HIVEHivenative0.77430.771962-0.30%0.8291+7.08%0.0209✗1.001.5M2022-05-04
SOLSolanaSolana85.8585.5894-0.30%92.76+8.05%0.0202✗1.2085.8M2022-05-04
GTGateEthereum6.30426.285-0.30%6.523+3.47%0.0149✗0.444.5M2022-05-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8226.7374-0.31%30.61+14.13%0.0786✗1.124.9M2022-05-04
XYMSymbolnative0.09110.090816-0.31%0.0959+5.27%0.0210✗0.66735k2022-05-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03810.03798-0.31%0.04109+7.85%0.0370✗0.8340k2022-05-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.3464.3321-0.32%4.68+7.69%0.0293✗0.9567k2022-05-04
XVGVergenative0.008120.008094-0.32%0.00896+10.34%0.0473✗1.08975k2022-05-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.5617.5033-0.32%19.91+13.38%0.0763✗1.0419.4M2022-05-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0361.0326-0.32%1.14+10.04%0.0412✗1.152.2M2022-05-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1721.1681-0.33%1.282+9.39%0.0410✗1.03501k2022-05-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.653.638-0.33%3.783+3.64%0.0230✗0.322.5M2022-05-04
ADACardanoCardano0.77110.768556-0.33%0.8983+16.50%0.1036✗1.0441.1M2022-05-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37912.3712-0.33%2.4779+4.15%0.0109✗0.6615k2022-05-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.6872.4374-0.33%78.63+8.19%0.0411✗0.812.1M2022-05-04
LUNATerraTerra 282.5782.2906-0.34%86.09+4.26%0.0191✓1.277.5M2022-05-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5781.5726-0.34%1.817+15.15%0.0904✗1.077.8M2022-05-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8221.7456-0.34%23.95+9.76%0.0326✗1.27586k2022-05-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020350.00002028-0.34%0.00002178+7.03%0.0178✗1.061.4M2022-05-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.7783.7649-0.35%4.124+9.16%0.0034✓1.741.5M2022-05-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.20420.203492-0.35%0.213+4.31%0.0042✗0.821.2M2022-05-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14370.1432-0.35%0.1544+7.45%0.0328✓2.14272k2022-05-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,647.2037,515.68-0.35%39,665.50+5.36%0.0085✗0.9425k2022-05-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.10730.106903-0.37%0.1109+3.36%0.0077✓0.88425k2022-05-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3985.378-0.37%5.785+7.17%0.0432✗0.591.5M2022-05-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.8911.8454-0.37%10.17-14.47%0.1758✓0.462.5M2022-05-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.8261.8191-0.38%1.935+5.97%0.0240✗0.7524k2022-05-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8042.7932-0.39%2.994+6.78%0.0342✗0.701.0M2022-05-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.25870.257687-0.39%0.2829+9.35%0.0381✗1.10391k2022-05-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin99.3598.9509-0.40%106.25+6.95%0.0205✗1.0117.3M2022-05-04
QNTQuantEthereum93.0392.6547-0.40%101.58+9.19%0.0485✗0.863.4M2022-05-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.061070.060819-0.41%0.06675+9.30%0.0399✗1.0593k2022-05-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2270.226062-0.41%0.237+4.41%0.0124✗0.6925k2022-05-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.7314.6689-0.42%16.32+10.79%0.0550✗1.0311.7M2022-05-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash279.33278.164-0.42%299.95+7.38%0.0261✗0.985.4M2022-05-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12660.126053-0.43%0.1295+2.29%0.0193✓0.92156k2022-05-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1542.1446-0.44%2.596+20.52%0.1270✗1.275.1M2022-05-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.724.6985-0.46%4.91+4.03%0.0107✗0.66648k2022-05-04
XTZTezosTezos2.48722.4756-0.47%2.7028+8.67%0.0351✗1.05855k2022-05-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008550.008509-0.47%0.00934+9.24%0.0356✗1.142.4M2022-05-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72280.719367-0.47%0.8162+12.92%0.0631✗1.25328k2022-05-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.822.6908-0.48%24.08+5.61%0.0148✗0.89458k2022-05-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.13590.135187-0.52%0.1613+18.69%0.1151✗1.22180k2022-05-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31910.317413-0.53%0.3438+7.74%0.0204✗1.186.8M2022-05-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.3911.3292-0.53%12.03+5.62%0.0088✗1.02963k2022-05-04
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6984.6728-0.54%5.147+9.56%0.0234✗1.4519k2022-05-04
UMAUMAEthereum5.3395.31-0.54%5.67+6.20%0.0051✓1.401.8M2022-05-04
APEApeCoinEthereum14.15214.0725-0.56%15.557+9.93%0.0039✓2.0752.0M2022-05-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.079510.079058-0.57%0.08485+6.72%0.0299✗0.8132k2022-05-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,468.6017,367.30-0.58%18,332.59+4.95%0.0061✗0.952.7M2022-05-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0570.056665-0.59%0.0598+4.91%0.0036✓1.14179k2022-05-04
TRXTRONTron0.0726820.072243-0.60%0.086397+18.87%0.1479✗0.62296k2022-05-04
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5605-0.61%1.72+9.55%0.0686✗0.57459k2022-05-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.6855-0.66%4.39+18.33%0.1056✗1.38385k2022-05-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.754.7114-0.81%5.17+8.84%0.0186✗1.47339k2022-05-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03160.03134-0.82%0.02852-9.75%0.1201✓0.51416k2022-05-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.9621.7331-1.03%22.15+0.87%0.0478✓1.332.2M2022-05-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.43e-79.32e-7-1.14%9.57e-7+1.50%0.0295✗-0.06596k2022-05-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.67070.662977-1.15%0.7153+6.65%0.0289✗0.9310.9M2022-05-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.