8=======>

2022-04-25 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1189
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.8%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.138440.13793-0.37%0.0708-48.86%0.4348✓0.7417k2022-05-25
XEMNEMnative0.09540.094182-1.28%0.0519-45.60%0.3106✓0.9072k2022-05-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090680.089098-1.74%0.05634-37.87%0.2143✓0.7736k2022-05-25
QNTQuantEthereum107.81105.8068-1.86%67.06-37.80%0.2052✓0.803.4M2022-05-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.1662.1206-2.09%1.245-42.52%0.3146✓0.6925k2022-05-25
ETHEthereumEthereum3,007.222,939.05-2.27%1,940.83-35.46%0.1018✓0.99438.2M2022-05-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50060.489187-2.28%0.2692-46.22%0.3294✓0.85511k2022-05-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.1174-2.43%1.67-60.43%0.6119✓0.923.1M2022-05-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4413.1103-2.45%6.95-48.29%0.2929✓1.0826.0M2022-05-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1922160.18699-2.72%0.132074-31.29%0.0456✓0.9618.9M2022-05-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.030480.029575-2.97%0.021686-28.85%0.0018✓0.984.4M2022-05-25
GTGateEthereum6.31816.1231-3.09%5.5974-11.41%0.0581✗0.474.7M2022-05-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.262002-3.32%0.1355-50.00%0.4527✓0.6636k2022-05-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.95195.7543-3.32%4.9103-17.50%0.0020✓0.50208k2022-05-25
HIVEHivenative0.90460.873474-3.44%0.4895-45.89%0.2809✓0.951.9M2022-05-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,523.2039,122.63-3.46%29,838.20-26.37%0.0194✓0.9225k2022-05-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1691.1282-3.49%0.793-32.16%0.0331✓1.013.9M2022-05-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.664.4959-3.52%4.36-6.44%0.1819✗0.671.2M2022-05-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.5312.0882-3.53%5.92-52.75%0.5787✓0.432.8M2022-05-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2991.2529-3.55%0.53-59.20%0.5545✓0.9762k2022-05-25
TRXTRONTron0.0653240.062993-3.57%0.084706+29.67%0.4856✗0.60304k2022-05-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1391-3.64%1.34-39.64%0.1577✓0.98128k2022-05-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001762-3.72%0.00000113-38.25%0.2214✓0.719.3M2022-05-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.29220.281317-3.72%0.1738-40.52%0.1413✓1.08492k2022-05-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.56100.6511-3.74%68.16-34.81%0.0711✓1.0119.7M2022-05-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.41642.3219-3.91%1.6245-32.77%0.1571✓0.6311k2022-05-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23530.226005-3.95%0.1281-45.56%0.3159✓0.801.6M2022-05-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0721.029-4.01%0.592-44.78%0.2242✓1.041.3M2022-05-25
STXStacksnative1.111.0655-4.01%0.59-46.85%0.2985✓0.93422k2022-05-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,439.2238,769.63-4.13%29,503.49-27.04%0.0422✓1.00544.9M2022-05-25
XYMSymbolnative0.1070.102522-4.19%0.0602-43.74%0.3290✓0.65823k2022-05-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.4417-4.20%4.65-18.13%0.0374✓0.621.3M2022-05-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4310.9275-4.40%8.16-28.61%0.1828✓0.352.0M2022-05-25
KCSKuCoinnative19.75918.8898-4.40%16.114-18.45%0.0832✗0.775.8M2022-05-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072990.06976-4.43%0.03816-47.72%0.2916✓0.99124k2022-05-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash314.56300.6245-4.43%190.03-39.59%0.1569✓0.966.0M2022-05-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.959580.916459-4.49%0.37157-61.28%0.5185✓1.221.7M2022-05-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03110.029692-4.53%0.02708-12.93%0.0931✗0.59536k2022-05-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.18260.174134-4.64%0.08-56.19%0.4258✓1.12220k2022-05-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.09731.998-4.74%1.277-39.11%0.1876✓0.82100k2022-05-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64990.618906-4.77%0.3344-48.55%0.3170✓0.959.2M2022-05-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.021670.02061-4.89%0.01278-41.02%0.2480✓0.734.5M2022-05-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7535.4715-4.89%2.581-55.14%0.2995✓1.4318k2022-05-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.31470.299189-4.93%0.1164-63.01%0.4192✓1.662.2M2022-05-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0917.1915-4.97%9.87-45.44%0.2411✓1.0014.6M2022-05-25
ORCAOrcaSolana1.971.8705-5.05%0.85-56.85%0.5656✓0.71230k2022-05-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009620.009133-5.06%0.00435-54.78%0.3786✓1.153.0M2022-05-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.05741.0037-5.07%0.56044-47.00%0.2368✓1.10156k2022-05-25
MOVRMoonriverBase50.540647.9683-5.09%24.0075-52.50%0.2539✓1.39223k2022-05-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260330.024683-5.19%0.01699-34.74%0.2054✓0.53197k2022-05-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.98023.7737-5.19%2.5249-36.56%0.2490✓0.485.6M2022-05-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2555.9271-5.24%2.862-54.24%0.3798✓1.10216k2022-05-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140930.013342-5.33%0.009336-33.75%0.0880✓0.8553k2022-05-25
XMRMoneroMonero254.06240.3466-5.40%204.07-19.68%0.1184✗0.893.1M2022-05-25
FTTFTXEthereum41.8339.5619-5.42%29-30.67%0.0307✓0.8919.0M2022-05-25
XTZTezosTezos2.95422.7912-5.52%2.1289-27.94%0.0479✓1.01893k2022-05-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18480.174553-5.55%0.106-42.64%0.2033✗2.23398k2022-05-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024370.000023017-5.55%0.0000116-52.40%0.3550✓1.052.1M2022-05-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.9168.7756-5.67%27.21-62.68%0.5563✓1.1862.8M2022-05-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8412.1097-5.69%6.35-50.55%0.3201✓1.031.1M2022-05-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.8945-5.69%4.06-21.77%0.0076✓0.62865k2022-05-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5064.2476-5.73%2.078-53.88%0.3166✓1.26121k2022-05-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.44820.422403-5.76%0.1942-56.67%0.6953✓0.265,5292022-05-25
NANOnanopayBase2.1191.9965-5.78%1.0864-48.73%0.3010✓0.98188k2022-05-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7991.6949-5.79%0.934-48.08%0.2900✓0.978.6M2022-05-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.165.8012-5.82%3.31-46.27%0.3820✓0.571.0M2022-05-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.010727-5.90%0.00442-61.23%0.7105✓0.5632k2022-05-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10320.096946-6.06%0.0529-48.74%0.3185✓0.912.5M2022-05-25
KSMKusamaHydration164.32154.3382-6.07%79.21-51.80%0.3338✓1.061.1M2022-05-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.52650.494435-6.09%0.2104-60.04%0.7721✓0.26777k2022-05-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24370.228633-6.18%0.1473-39.56%0.0444✓1.25236k2022-05-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9464.6373-6.24%3.812-22.93%0.0298✓0.531.6M2022-05-25
QTUMQtumQtum6.46726.0628-6.25%4.0707-37.06%0.0452✓1.12170k2022-05-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3080.288681-6.27%0.1393-54.77%0.2940✓1.388.8M2022-05-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.12512-6.28%0.0878-34.23%0.0414✓0.99203k2022-05-25
XVSVenusEthereum109.3707-6.29%4.6-54.00%0.3924✓1.014.5M2022-05-25
PROPropyEthereum1.61.4976-6.40%1.06-33.75%0.2064✓0.44247k2022-05-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1184.7899-6.41%2.82-44.90%0.2343✓0.9464k2022-05-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.21270.198791-6.54%0.1199-43.63%0.1578✓1.102.6M2022-05-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3724.6295-6.60%13.32-49.49%0.2300✓1.22685k2022-05-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52274.2209-6.67%2.5303-44.05%0.2133✓0.95275k2022-05-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1220.6244-6.76%10.73-51.49%0.3294✓1.0323.3M2022-05-25
DIADIAEthereum0.840.78315-6.77%0.45862-45.40%0.3864✓0.4788k2022-05-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023040.021453-6.89%0.00903-60.81%0.5457✓1.01383k2022-05-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.6282.446-6.93%1.391-47.07%0.2586✓0.979.9M2022-05-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8917.5756-6.96%9.44-50.03%0.2036✓1.33190k2022-05-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.911.7768-6.98%0.87-54.45%0.3095✓1.281.6M2022-05-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06510.060527-7.02%0.0346-46.85%0.2153✓1.09296k2022-05-25
DODODODOEthereum0.3840.356926-7.05%0.171-55.47%0.3960✓1.088.0M2022-05-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04330.040239-7.07%0.02754-36.40%0.1270✓0.8067k2022-05-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.723570.672413-7.07%0.38953-46.17%0.2324✓0.99152k2022-05-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.66163.3984-7.19%2.5703-29.80%0.1081✓0.544.6M2022-05-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3811.2809-7.25%0.683-50.54%0.2439✓1.22496k2022-05-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045150.041847-7.32%0.02834-37.23%0.1341✓0.81381k2022-05-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2913.0495-7.34%2.628-20.15%0.0277✓0.561.8M2022-05-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88230.817194-7.38%0.3875-56.08%0.3548✓1.24208k2022-05-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.2210.204439-7.49%0.1203-45.57%0.1317✓1.263.3M2022-05-25
DASHDashDash99.4191.96-7.49%62.12-37.51%0.0780✓1.001.6M2022-05-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.1433-7.50%0.649-47.49%0.2104✓1.132.6M2022-05-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1162.8822-7.50%2.531-18.77%0.0728✓0.641.5M2022-05-25
ADACardanoCardano0.89750.828617-7.67%0.5139-42.74%0.1559✓1.0253.5M2022-05-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32790.302706-7.68%0.1867-43.06%0.0810✓1.281.3M2022-05-25
SCSiacoinnative0.010140.009359-7.71%0.00535-47.24%0.2021✓1.13476k2022-05-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.950545-7.71%0.78513-23.77%0.1347✗1.03595k2022-05-25
COMPCompoundEthereum132.68122.4326-7.72%66.82-49.64%0.2556✓1.1165k2022-05-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1579870.145444-7.94%0.082855-47.56%0.2870✓0.875.1M2022-05-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70310.647281-7.94%0.4053-42.36%0.1842✓0.9012.2M2022-05-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.680.625731-7.98%0.394-42.06%0.2293✓0.742.8M2022-05-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7778150.715621-8.00%0.419069-46.12%0.1993✓1.074.6M2022-05-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.91e-79.12e-7-8.02%6.44e-7-35.03%0.4116✓-0.20596k2022-05-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1414.8395-8.06%7.75-51.98%0.3157✓1.0613.0M2022-05-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.452.2507-8.13%1.14-53.47%0.5229✓0.50322k2022-05-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8321.6829-8.14%0.684-62.66%0.5989✓0.9678k2022-05-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51750.475296-8.16%0.2923-43.52%0.1469✓1.08719k2022-05-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04780.043896-8.17%0.0239-50.00%0.0995✓1.6132.1M2022-05-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.523292-8.19%0.21127-62.94%0.4588✓1.42395k2022-05-25
SOLSolanaSolana100.9992.6765-8.23%47.94-52.53%0.2777✓1.21127.9M2022-05-25
ZENHorizenBase36.3933.3756-8.28%20.29-44.24%0.0954✓1.28275k2022-05-25
UNIUniswapEthereum8.748.0102-8.35%5.62-35.70%0.0364✓1.016.3M2022-05-25
MANADecentralandEthereum1.98011.8131-8.43%1.0553-46.70%0.2075✓1.061.2M2022-05-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.6873.8602-8.45%53.342-33.88%0.0769✓0.793.4M2022-05-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.071925-8.49%0.04828-38.58%0.1579✓0.7631k2022-05-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.424.0443-8.50%3.37-23.76%0.0828✓0.84741k2022-05-25
ZECZcashZcash165.73151.5316-8.57%95.54-42.35%0.1520✓0.987.2M2022-05-25
AAVEAaveEthereum168.93154.3896-8.61%101.87-39.70%0.0231✓1.2512.2M2022-05-25
UMAUMAEthereum5.945.4236-8.69%3.37-43.27%0.0196✓1.452.5M2022-05-25
XECeCashnative0.000086730.000079164-8.72%0.00004919-43.28%0.1900✓0.919.8M2022-05-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.07784.6333-8.75%2.1481-57.70%0.5269✓0.778.0M2022-05-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.11340.103395-8.82%0.0612-46.03%0.2400✓0.90791k2022-05-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6316.9836-8.84%8.17-56.15%0.4143✓1.0110.7M2022-05-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7314.3368-8.86%12.26-22.06%0.2390✗1.252.2M2022-05-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,700.5017,041.75-8.87%8,462.79-54.75%0.3895✓0.984.0M2022-05-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3653.9733-8.97%4.696+7.58%0.2399✗0.232.7M2022-05-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7225.2276-8.99%12.51-54.87%0.4154✓0.91517k2022-05-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18291.0762-9.02%0.6487-45.16%0.1227✓1.2210.2M2022-05-25
LUNATerraTerra 296.8588.0616-9.07%0.00019-100.00%12.6459✓1.2710.3M2022-05-25
BANDBandEthereum3.6163.2855-9.14%1.687-53.35%0.2919✓1.19715k2022-05-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1750.158779-9.27%0.067-61.71%0.7354✓0.40190k2022-05-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01680.015241-9.28%0.00979-41.73%0.1661✓0.881.5M2022-05-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4191.2872-9.29%0.967-31.85%0.0282✓1.00593k2022-05-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.41210.373723-9.31%0.2576-37.49%0.0542✓1.35282k2022-05-25
XVGVergenative0.009960.009032-9.32%0.00508-49.00%0.2424✓1.061.4M2022-05-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8440.76229-9.68%0.396-53.08%0.2343✓1.331.9M2022-05-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022950.020667-9.95%0.01238-46.06%0.0564✓1.4549.4M2022-05-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.2091-10.19%2.61-55.00%0.2319✓1.46461k2022-05-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.82735.2244-10.35%3.5129-39.72%0.0394✓1.1311.2M2022-05-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89180.798906-10.42%0.6112-31.46%0.1099✓1.20487k2022-05-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.6853-10.55%1.91-53.64%0.2391✓1.33416k2022-05-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7432.453-10.57%1.233-55.05%0.2989✓1.238.4M2022-05-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.165.5058-10.62%2.551-58.59%0.3490✓1.338.3M2022-05-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36040.322115-10.62%0.1511-58.07%0.3854✓1.189.2M2022-05-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.4843.1137-10.63%1.299-62.72%0.4035✓1.49896k2022-05-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum42.8938.2963-10.71%20.88-51.32%0.2350✓1.186.3M2022-05-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3363.8694-10.76%2.13-50.88%0.0662✓1.681.8M2022-05-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003910.003488-10.80%0.00137-64.96%0.6076✓1.047.1M2022-05-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.252.0032-10.97%0.976-56.62%0.3979✓1.021.3M2022-05-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.511386-11.06%0.223-61.22%0.5264✓0.964.9M2022-05-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6529.832-11.35%23.79-29.30%0.1085✓1.068.8M2022-05-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.778920.688272-11.64%0.45588-41.47%0.0777✓1.06140k2022-05-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.282.8796-12.21%1.65-49.70%0.1850✓1.184.4M2022-05-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17840.15562-12.77%0.0827-53.64%0.2721✓1.148.8M2022-05-25
APEApeCoinEthereum19.35716.5147-14.68%7.33-62.13%0.1090✓2.2345.4M2022-05-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.