8=======>

2022-03-25 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3154
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
25.6%
in alpha space · 20.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.160130.159914-0.14%0.16187+1.09%0.0082✗0.8414k2022-03-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07680.076688-0.15%0.079+2.86%0.0253✗0.95151k2022-03-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.30390.303374-0.17%0.3258+7.21%0.0660✗1.13268k2022-03-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.5696-0.20%15.84+1.54%0.0124✗1.0429.8M2022-03-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.486.4672-0.20%6.44-0.62%0.0076✓0.721.7M2022-03-26
XLMStellarStellar0.2112960.210867-0.20%0.215838+2.15%0.0187✗0.9817.7M2022-03-26
ETHEthereumEthereum3,104.153,097.28-0.22%3,146.22+1.36%0.0107✗1.06513.4M2022-03-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6781.6742-0.23%1.897+13.05%0.1203✗0.992.5M2022-03-26
KCSKuCoinnative18.67418.629-0.24%18.766+0.49%0.0032✗0.875.4M2022-03-26
XVGVergenative0.01030.010275-0.25%0.01105+7.28%0.0674✗1.141.7M2022-03-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25930.258642-0.25%0.2689+3.70%0.0351✗0.821.9M2022-03-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6960.694219-0.26%0.729+4.74%0.0445✗0.931.9M2022-03-26
TRXTRONTron0.0643890.064224-0.26%0.066368+3.07%0.0299✗0.64267k2022-03-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.026080.026013-0.26%0.02636+1.07%0.0097✗0.763.0M2022-03-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001920.000001915-0.28%0.00000194+1.04%0.0102✗0.6312.1M2022-03-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78220.780024-0.28%0.8312+6.26%0.0592✗0.937.2M2022-03-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079180.07895-0.29%0.08581+8.37%0.0784✗1.0579k2022-03-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1090.108684-0.29%0.113+3.67%0.0363✗0.5623k2022-03-26
GTGateEthereum6.53476.5157-0.29%6.4911-0.67%0.0067✓0.634.2M2022-03-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36380.362721-0.30%0.3882+6.71%0.0618✗1.301.2M2022-03-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.1528.0655-0.30%28.8+2.31%0.0206✗1.1241.1M2022-03-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101440.101126-0.31%0.10351+2.04%0.0192✗0.8828k2022-03-26
XVSVenusEthereum9.969.9287-0.31%10.24+2.81%0.0260✗1.052.9M2022-03-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7462.7372-0.32%2.775+1.06%0.0083✗1.15417k2022-03-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.93585.9167-0.32%5.7949-2.37%0.0227✓0.41179k2022-03-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.896.8678-0.32%7.172+4.09%0.0387✗1.00475k2022-03-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8318.7688-0.32%19.43+3.19%0.0300✗0.986.3M2022-03-26
XTZTezosTezos3.51733.5058-0.33%3.6619+4.11%0.0385✗1.091.1M2022-03-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,599.7620,532.39-0.33%21,160.33+2.72%0.0249✗1.116.0M2022-03-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9430.939912-0.33%0.998+5.83%0.0537✗1.342.4M2022-03-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012230.012189-0.33%0.01356+10.87%0.1009✗1.223.4M2022-03-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5041.499-0.33%1.516+0.80%0.0055✗1.233.9M2022-03-26
XEMNEMnative0.10770.107332-0.34%0.1088+1.02%0.0097✗0.8240k2022-03-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2821.2775-0.35%1.345+4.91%0.0469✗0.972.9M2022-03-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.4382.4295-0.35%2.469+1.27%0.0124✗0.7920k2022-03-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2550.254105-0.35%0.26+1.96%0.0191✗0.8222k2022-03-26
DODODODOEthereum0.4360.434453-0.35%0.445+2.06%0.0188✗1.102.9M2022-03-26
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5644-0.36%1.62+3.18%0.0303✗1.00217k2022-03-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.552.5408-0.36%2.6+1.96%0.0185✗0.98146k2022-03-26
HIVEHivenative1.00290.999273-0.36%1.0536+5.06%0.0477✗1.112.0M2022-03-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7642.754-0.36%2.786+0.80%0.0069✗1.0054k2022-03-26
KSMKusamaHydration166.41165.8031-0.36%164.65-1.06%0.0122✓1.12719k2022-03-26
QNTQuantEthereum137.44136.9377-0.37%141.25+2.77%0.0267✗0.924.2M2022-03-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.5883.2677-0.37%85.96+2.85%0.0258✗1.28113.5M2022-03-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.2765-0.37%2.41+5.47%0.0508✗1.339.1M2022-03-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.7718.6995-0.38%19.44+3.57%0.0343✗0.9714.8M2022-03-26
STXStacksnative1.341.335-0.38%1.36+1.49%0.0142✗0.94518k2022-03-26
MOVRMoonriverBase58.524558.3043-0.38%61.5671+5.20%0.0482✗1.34154k2022-03-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5731.5668-0.39%1.628+3.50%0.0338✗0.97739k2022-03-26
AAVEAaveEthereum162.53161.8895-0.39%163.4+0.54%0.0035✓1.2410.2M2022-03-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54040.538216-0.40%0.5554+2.78%0.0280✗0.73359k2022-03-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.5520.4652-0.41%20.93+1.85%0.0174✗1.0921.4M2022-03-26
SOLSolanaSolana98.6398.2169-0.42%101.79+3.20%0.0298✗1.2789.9M2022-03-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.7989.4071-0.43%90.22+0.48%0.0055✗0.751.4M2022-03-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,331.8544,142.46-0.43%44,539.42+0.47%0.0043✓1.00729.5M2022-03-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.22870.22772-0.43%0.2487+8.75%0.0823✗1.251.8M2022-03-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.57390.571438-0.43%0.6343+10.52%0.0997✗1.005,0542022-03-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.2452.2353-0.44%2.3608+5.15%0.0510✗0.79131k2022-03-26
DIADIAEthereum0.980.975726-0.44%1+2.04%0.0228✗0.38169k2022-03-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.423-0.44%8.41-0.59%0.0049✓0.713.2M2022-03-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.16171.1565-0.44%1.1526-0.78%0.0093✓1.271.5M2022-03-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.5321.4345-0.44%22.24+3.30%0.0307✗1.32246k2022-03-26
XECeCashnative0.00008410.000083727-0.44%0.0000868+3.21%0.0315✗0.965.7M2022-03-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.482.4689-0.45%2.46-0.81%0.0055✓0.41373k2022-03-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6161.6087-0.45%1.659+2.66%0.0245✗1.35451k2022-03-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.6994-0.46%6.99+3.86%0.0390✗0.75814k2022-03-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124123.4339-0.46%124.85+0.69%0.0067✗1.0126.1M2022-03-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23990.2388-0.46%0.2573+7.25%0.0699✗1.00368k2022-03-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.13093.1162-0.47%3.144+0.42%0.0051✗0.804.0M2022-03-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04370.043494-0.47%0.04666+6.77%0.0663✗0.8423k2022-03-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.17.0665-0.47%6.98-1.69%0.0158✓0.761.8M2022-03-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077590.077223-0.47%0.08093+4.30%0.0432✗0.7914k2022-03-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.50320.500817-0.47%0.526+4.53%0.0444✗1.001.3M2022-03-26
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8431.8342-0.48%1.883+2.17%0.0224✗0.8350k2022-03-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1308250.130203-0.48%0.136089+4.02%0.0404✗0.822.6M2022-03-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.60752.595-0.48%2.658+1.94%0.0205✗0.7514k2022-03-26
COMPCompoundEthereum116.03115.473-0.48%121.77+4.95%0.0478✗1.1451k2022-03-26
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5810.5282-0.49%10.64+0.57%0.0058✗1.026.2M2022-03-26
ZENHorizenBase44.7744.55-0.49%46.92+4.80%0.0458✗1.30396k2022-03-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5848550.581969-0.49%0.625849+7.01%0.0679✗1.031.6M2022-03-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7827.6416-0.50%27.43-1.26%0.0136✓1.27735k2022-03-26
XMRMoneroMonero199.98198.9811-0.50%207.22+3.62%0.0363✗0.931.7M2022-03-26
BANDBandEthereum4.034.0098-0.50%4.192+4.02%0.0393✗1.11582k2022-03-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1570.156213-0.50%0.1602+2.04%0.0204✗1.04215k2022-03-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.513.4318-0.51%13.43-0.52%0.0021✓0.423.0M2022-03-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.43361.4263-0.51%1.3654-4.76%0.0499✓1.34201k2022-03-26
GITCOINGITCOIN6.9386.9024-0.51%7.203+3.82%0.0363✗1.3624k2022-03-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.24520.243941-0.51%0.252+2.77%0.0278✗1.00182k2022-03-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.406891-0.52%0.4109+0.46%0.0044✓1.1510.2M2022-03-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,293.4044,064.22-0.52%44,445.40+0.34%0.0041✓0.9753k2022-03-26
MANADecentralandEthereum2.59212.5787-0.52%2.6174+0.98%0.0095✗1.161.3M2022-03-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1064.0847-0.52%4.072-0.83%0.0060✓0.622.0M2022-03-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2245.1969-0.52%5.416+3.68%0.0369✗0.9493k2022-03-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42040.418197-0.52%0.4455+5.97%0.0547✗1.822.2M2022-03-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash365.21363.2846-0.53%362.07-0.86%0.0078✓0.968.0M2022-03-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011290.000001123-0.53%0.000001176+4.18%0.0485✗-0.481.2M2022-03-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35540.353468-0.54%0.3714+4.50%0.0427✗1.458.9M2022-03-26
ORCAOrcaSolana2.262.2475-0.55%2.29+1.33%0.0155✗0.69201k2022-03-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.24720.245821-0.56%0.242-2.10%0.0210✓1.152.3M2022-03-26
SUSHISushiEthereum3.623.5996-0.56%3.64+0.55%0.0059✗1.126.5M2022-03-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14020.139408-0.56%0.1714+22.25%0.2011✗1.172.2M2022-03-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0575.0284-0.57%5.117+1.19%0.0116✗1.263.4M2022-03-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.8415.75-0.57%15.9+0.38%0.0040✓1.18631k2022-03-26
STORJStorjEthereum1.17171.165-0.57%1.2512+6.78%0.0660✗1.13124k2022-03-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.9629.7872-0.58%30.63+2.24%0.0237✗0.90710k2022-03-26
ADACardanoCardano1.09661.0903-0.58%1.153+5.14%0.0512✗1.0160.9M2022-03-26
XYMSymbolnative0.14860.147736-0.58%0.1501+1.01%0.0122✗0.78309k2022-03-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024140.000023998-0.59%0.00002445+1.28%0.0133✗1.152.3M2022-03-26
FTTFTXEthereum49.7149.4175-0.59%49.92+0.42%0.0052✓1.0414.1M2022-03-26
API3Api3Ethereum5.3885.356-0.59%6.055+12.38%0.1197✗0.634.8M2022-03-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.4514.3642-0.59%14.26-1.31%0.0095✓0.482.8M2022-03-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02970.029522-0.60%0.03025+1.85%0.0192✗1.11197k2022-03-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055180.054848-0.60%0.05491-0.49%0.0038✓1.06541k2022-03-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.04110.040853-0.60%0.04136+0.63%0.0092✗0.67985k2022-03-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8340.828979-0.60%0.8796+5.47%0.0576✗0.35620k2022-03-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0411040.040855-0.61%0.042043+2.28%0.0242✗0.954.1M2022-03-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.5717.4633-0.61%17.38-1.08%0.0109✓1.312.8M2022-03-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.88950.884073-0.61%0.9121+2.54%0.0266✗0.9917.2M2022-03-26
NANOnanopayBase2.40682.392-0.62%2.5027+3.99%0.0400✗1.13154k2022-03-26
DASHDashDash126.29125.5107-0.62%128.04+1.39%0.0155✗0.961.8M2022-03-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.19564.1695-0.62%4.1754-0.48%0.0014✓0.604.0M2022-03-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.092.077-0.62%2.16+3.35%0.0332✗1.28903k2022-03-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020410.020281-0.63%0.02062+1.03%0.0118✗1.031.4M2022-03-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.6471.6362-0.66%1.694+2.85%0.0300✗1.011.6M2022-03-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.834160.828608-0.67%0.85828+2.89%0.0302✗1.08118k2022-03-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0986.057-0.67%6.115+0.28%0.0051✓0.9585k2022-03-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36024.3305-0.68%4.2793-1.86%0.0150✓0.665.5M2022-03-26
MINAMina Protocolnative2.482.4631-0.68%2.55+2.82%0.0299✗1.03386k2022-03-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.045.0054-0.69%5.28+4.76%0.0468✗1.41430k2022-03-26
RADRadworksEthereum5.034.9951-0.69%5.18+2.98%0.0323✗0.87493k2022-03-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.421.4099-0.71%1.42+0.00%0.0020✓1.09573k2022-03-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22270.22112-0.71%0.2212-0.67%0.0043✓1.001.5M2022-03-26
LUNATerraTerra 290.3489.694-0.72%91.46+1.24%0.0133✗1.339.2M2022-03-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.13835.1014-0.72%5.2377+1.93%0.0220✗0.93264k2022-03-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0134280.01333-0.73%0.014424+7.42%0.0746✗0.9112k2022-03-26
SCSiacoinnative0.009990.009917-0.73%0.01082+8.31%0.0820✗1.09441k2022-03-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.026.9684-0.74%7.17+2.14%0.0221✗1.37458k2022-03-26
IMXImmutableEthereum2.2562.2394-0.74%2.2-2.48%0.0222✓0.966.0M2022-03-26
ZECZcashZcash195.35193.9072-0.74%204.96+4.92%0.0508✗0.9915.7M2022-03-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9925.9436-0.81%5.974-0.30%0.0019✓0.681.1M2022-03-26
UMAUMAEthereum7.6257.5634-0.81%7.708+1.09%0.0129✗1.306.1M2022-03-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004220.004186-0.81%0.00426+0.95%0.0114✗1.325.5M2022-03-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.66433-0.85%0.7+4.48%0.0452✗1.53403k2022-03-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.6626.6047-0.86%6.444-3.27%0.0269✓0.488.7M2022-03-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.4748.3994-0.88%8.1918-3.33%0.0303✓1.1428.1M2022-03-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8013.7675-0.88%3.756-1.18%0.0066✓0.762.0M2022-03-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.0515.9961-0.91%6.089+0.63%0.0107✗1.00899k2022-03-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08030.079542-0.94%0.0815+1.49%0.0188✗1.19308k2022-03-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66140.654348-1.07%0.6791+2.68%0.0311✗1.29447k2022-03-26
QTUMQtumQtum8.26658.1777-1.07%8.2397-0.32%0.0022✓1.14102k2022-03-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08080.079918-1.09%0.0794-1.73%0.0146✓1.7244.4M2022-03-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013110.012966-1.10%0.01334+1.75%0.0252✗0.699,5812022-03-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.605224-1.11%0.609-0.49%0.0010✓1.123.2M2022-03-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.039130.038617-1.31%0.03654-6.62%0.0625✓1.5629.6M2022-03-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.6270.6661-1.33%66.96-6.51%0.0600✓1.314.9M2022-03-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.17821.1623-1.35%1.2208+3.62%0.0433✗1.238.4M2022-03-26
LRCLoopringEthereum1.0581.0435-1.37%1.0653+0.69%0.0145✗1.33114k2022-03-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375740.03705-1.40%0.037356-0.58%0.0044✓0.82199k2022-03-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative48.1747.2969-1.81%47.21-1.99%0.0068✓1.054.2M2022-03-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.14680.143628-2.16%0.132-10.08%0.0904✓1.28568k2022-03-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.