8=======>

2022-03-20 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2887
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.8%
in alpha space · 47.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.103901-1.98%0.22+107.55%0.7474✗0.5432k2022-04-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191240.116108-2.53%0.142753+19.84%0.2023✗0.822.7M2022-04-19
TRXTRONTron0.0615510.059924-2.64%0.063223+2.72%0.0503✗0.64259k2022-04-19
XEMNEMnative0.09950.096701-2.81%0.1013+1.81%0.0420✗0.8540k2022-04-19
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.0856-3.00%1.93-10.23%0.0810✓0.67182k2022-04-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,287.2440,030.49-3.04%41,503.85+0.52%0.0309✓1.00680.6M2022-04-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.88111.3002-3.12%113.81-0.93%0.0171✓1.0025.9M2022-04-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2440.235773-3.37%0.27+10.66%0.1313✗0.8129k2022-04-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.618162-3.41%0.751+17.34%0.1899✗0.912.0M2022-04-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8612.4124-3.48%15.02+16.80%0.1885✗0.413.0M2022-04-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5661.5114-3.49%3.099+97.89%0.7128✗1.002.2M2022-04-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1973290.190342-3.54%0.203903+3.33%0.0636✗0.9918.0M2022-04-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4371.3853-3.60%1.265-11.97%0.0962✓1.011.4M2022-04-19
ETHEthereumEthereum2,862.442,759.22-3.61%3,102.26+8.38%0.1117✗1.04492.6M2022-04-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9654.7845-3.63%6.045+21.75%0.2304✗0.65629k2022-04-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,609.4040,081.98-3.67%41,490.50-0.29%0.0295✓0.9646k2022-04-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.0787-3.68%1.12+0.00%0.0322✓1.03522k2022-04-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.49560.477122-3.73%0.4338-12.47%0.1004✓1.001.4M2022-04-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8470.815108-3.77%0.882+4.13%0.0719✗1.332.0M2022-04-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8415.2431-3.77%14.91-5.87%0.0289✓1.302.4M2022-04-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041130.039578-3.77%0.04512+9.70%0.1266✗0.8424k2022-04-19
AAVEAaveEthereum152.83146.8068-3.94%183+19.74%0.2137✗1.288.0M2022-04-19
XVGVergenative0.009320.008953-3.94%0.01091+17.06%0.1917✗1.151.6M2022-04-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44720.429308-4.00%0.5999+34.15%0.3279✗1.28440k2022-04-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,923.1719,122.91-4.02%19,429.29-2.48%0.0103✓1.075.7M2022-04-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07480.071763-4.06%0.1168+56.15%0.4822✗0.94146k2022-04-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07490.071835-4.09%0.0768+2.54%0.0627✗0.799,2172022-04-19
QNTQuantEthereum118.64113.7806-4.10%114.35-3.62%0.0002✓0.924.2M2022-04-19
ZENHorizenBase41.0239.3181-4.15%38.77-5.49%0.0209✓1.31267k2022-04-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.153170.146806-4.16%0.14532-5.13%0.0147✓0.8614k2022-04-19
ADACardanoCardano0.8790.842285-4.18%0.9524+8.35%0.1176✗1.0162.5M2022-04-19
ZECZcashZcash174.15166.8535-4.19%158.67-8.89%0.0554✓0.9813.0M2022-04-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.881.8005-4.23%2.07+10.11%0.1328✗1.291.1M2022-04-19
XECeCashnative0.000079410.000076047-4.24%0.00009242+16.38%0.1900✗0.964.7M2022-04-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.0381.4026-4.27%86.17+1.34%0.0530✗0.751.0M2022-04-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33940.324849-4.29%0.3525+3.86%0.0741✗1.469.9M2022-04-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1941.1424-4.33%1.288+7.87%0.1148✗1.002.8M2022-04-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40420.386664-4.34%0.3979-1.56%0.0185✓1.932.1M2022-04-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.145.8708-4.39%5.76-6.19%0.0228✓0.711.3M2022-04-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001820.00000174-4.39%0.00000193+6.04%0.1003✗0.6212.1M2022-04-19
XVSVenusEthereum8.968.5654-4.40%10.76+20.09%0.2227✗1.043.0M2022-04-19
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.0259-4.44%2.45+15.57%0.1847✗1.04343k2022-04-19
GTGateEthereum6.44756.1586-4.48%6.5237+1.18%0.0543✗0.643.4M2022-04-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4615.2159-4.49%5.752+5.33%0.0929✗0.9479k2022-04-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.08041.0319-4.49%1.2566+16.31%0.1910✗1.16128k2022-04-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.23320.222691-4.51%0.2-14.24%0.1127✓1.00176k2022-04-19
SOLSolanaSolana88.6484.6215-4.53%108.55+22.46%0.2425✗1.2692.6M2022-04-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.4056-4.54%5.91-11.92%0.0843✓0.73822k2022-04-19
DASHDashDash115.63110.3172-4.59%109.73-5.10%0.0105✓0.981.7M2022-04-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92660.883916-4.61%1.2147+31.09%0.3115✗1.224.7M2022-04-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5494240.524058-4.62%0.730876+33.03%0.3272✗1.041.6M2022-04-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6218.7122-4.63%21.36+8.87%0.1254✗1.33246k2022-04-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5551.4829-4.64%1.541-0.90%0.0332✓1.01639k2022-04-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.16882.0676-4.67%2.497+15.13%0.1849✗0.7213k2022-04-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6516.8192-4.71%20.41+15.64%0.1884✗0.975.7M2022-04-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.5941-4.72%6.71-15.81%0.1275✓0.702.6M2022-04-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.60040.571455-4.82%0.4965-17.31%0.1458✓1.005,0372022-04-19
MOVRMoonriverBase59.668556.7667-4.86%60.1688+0.84%0.0512✗1.34154k2022-04-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24720.23516-4.87%0.2438-1.38%0.0317✓0.832.1M2022-04-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1033.9007-4.93%3.62-11.77%0.0779✓0.62656k2022-04-19
HIVEHivenative0.90640.861487-4.96%0.93+2.60%0.0706✗1.122.1M2022-04-19
SUSHISushiEthereum3.243.0787-4.98%3.36+3.70%0.0813✗1.176.0M2022-04-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.682.5466-4.98%4.212+57.16%0.4971✗1.16514k2022-04-19
XMRMoneroMonero194.71185.0053-4.98%254.39+30.65%0.3136✗0.931.7M2022-04-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.315.9933-5.02%5.33-15.53%0.1211✓0.721.6M2022-04-19
KCSKuCoinnative18.20517.2908-5.02%20.958+15.12%0.1876✗0.906.2M2022-04-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.7715.9243-5.04%17.43+3.94%0.0851✗1.0114.0M2022-04-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.14352.035-5.06%2.2396+4.48%0.0916✗0.80130k2022-04-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.6925.4039-5.06%4.862-14.58%0.1109✓1.00464k2022-04-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74180.704237-5.06%0.7593+2.36%0.0700✗1.0116.6M2022-04-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003463-5.11%0.00425+16.44%0.1973✗1.405.2M2022-04-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22750.215829-5.13%0.2086-8.31%0.0393✓1.001.8M2022-04-19
COMPCompoundEthereum116.01110.0571-5.13%142.4+22.75%0.2516✗1.1648k2022-04-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.09110.08642-5.14%0.1165+27.88%0.2923✗1.22522k2022-04-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.06385.7499-5.18%5.8627-3.32%0.0173✓0.41179k2022-04-19
SCSiacoinnative0.009180.008698-5.25%0.01087+18.41%0.2171✗1.11441k2022-04-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23220.219999-5.25%0.2435+4.87%0.0963✗1.00387k2022-04-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34290.324795-5.28%0.3628+5.80%0.1037✗1.33965k2022-04-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75170.711948-5.29%0.6867-8.65%0.0412✓0.987.2M2022-04-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4651.3869-5.33%1.368-6.62%0.0205✓1.293.6M2022-04-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01250.011825-5.40%0.01153-7.76%0.0289✓0.709,3002022-04-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0248050.023458-5.43%0.026467+6.70%0.1168✗0.75202k2022-04-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash327.61309.8148-5.43%340.62+3.97%0.0899✗0.936.7M2022-04-19
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.5571-5.46%1.443-12.39%0.0803✓0.8155k2022-04-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.352.2203-5.52%2.3-2.13%0.0302✓0.98142k2022-04-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78090.73771-5.53%0.678-13.18%0.0862✓0.34626k2022-04-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.86744.5973-5.55%4.8096-1.19%0.0402✓0.94208k2022-04-19
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1862.0646-5.55%1.975-9.65%0.0495✓0.983.8M2022-04-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.80113.5871-5.63%5.3111+39.73%0.3893✗0.613.9M2022-04-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2185.8665-5.65%6.787+9.15%0.1405✗1.00462k2022-04-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.432.2903-5.75%2.53+4.12%0.0975✗0.38309k2022-04-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.5613.7201-5.77%14.25-2.13%0.0323✓1.0633.9M2022-04-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.454.1915-5.81%4.52+1.57%0.0681✗1.41375k2022-04-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075180.0708-5.83%0.07664+1.94%0.0737✗1.0657k2022-04-19
UNIUniswapEthereum9.338.786-5.83%9.54+2.25%0.0770✗1.036.0M2022-04-19
NANOnanopayBase2.212.081-5.84%2.1529-2.59%0.0280✓1.15139k2022-04-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.025520.024029-5.84%0.0222-13.01%0.0831✓0.762.7M2022-04-19
DIADIAEthereum0.940.884876-5.86%0.93-1.06%0.0478✓0.37258k2022-04-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2194.9066-5.99%6.167+18.16%0.2219✗1.282.5M2022-04-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.8579.7629-6.00%80.32-5.34%0.0001✓1.31116.0M2022-04-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.2385.8627-6.02%4.665-25.22%0.2310✓0.475.1M2022-04-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6232.465-6.02%2.069-21.12%0.1804✓1.0053k2022-04-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.20560.193091-6.08%0.2531+23.10%0.2639✗1.291.8M2022-04-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6617.5237-6.09%18.88+1.18%0.0689✗1.0824.4M2022-04-19
KSMKusamaHydration152.19142.8435-6.14%176.41+15.91%0.2052✗1.12671k2022-04-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.152.0167-6.20%2.311+7.49%0.1292✗1.349.5M2022-04-19
FTTFTXEthereum44.0341.2984-6.20%43.48-1.25%0.0461✓1.0314.3M2022-04-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.2272.0883-6.23%2.379+6.83%0.1262✗0.7820k2022-04-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.821070.769893-6.23%0.77569-5.53%0.0016✓1.12111k2022-04-19
STXStacksnative1.261.1813-6.25%1.22-3.17%0.0273✓0.94444k2022-04-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82210.770654-6.26%0.9604+16.82%0.2130✗1.37106k2022-04-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095090.089115-6.28%0.09588+0.83%0.0686✗0.8828k2022-04-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20350.190658-6.31%0.2299+12.97%0.1811✗1.162.3M2022-04-19
QTUMQtumQtum6.97876.537-6.33%6.8299-2.13%0.0380✓1.1197k2022-04-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.5747.091-6.38%6.397-15.54%0.1098✓1.296.0M2022-04-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.29940.280252-6.40%0.3014+0.67%0.0668✗1.13183k2022-04-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3013.0899-6.40%3.583+8.54%0.1443✗0.72894k2022-04-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025430.023802-6.40%0.02344-7.83%0.0210✓1.09248k2022-04-19
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.5391-6.41%4.76-1.86%0.0430✓0.87567k2022-04-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.032550.030449-6.46%0.02273-30.17%0.3011✓1.6813.3M2022-04-19
XYMSymbolnative0.13580.127031-6.46%0.1098-19.15%0.1499✓0.78296k2022-04-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.7734.4632-6.49%4.632-2.95%0.0338✓0.637.4M2022-04-19
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.391246-6.62%0.408-2.63%0.0361✓1.112.8M2022-04-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum17.3516.1986-6.64%13.73-20.86%0.1716✓1.20426k2022-04-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011720.010939-6.66%0.01096-6.48%0.0045✓1.223.2M2022-04-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018610.017365-6.69%0.01792-3.71%0.0260✓1.041.4M2022-04-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39050.364276-6.72%0.3612-7.50%0.0147✓1.208.9M2022-04-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049680.046302-6.80%0.04893-1.51%0.0495✓1.09459k2022-04-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.014170.013184-6.96%0.014582+2.91%0.0960✗0.9011k2022-04-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15220.141565-6.99%0.1386-8.94%0.0266✓1.04205k2022-04-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.2211.3593-7.04%14.97+22.50%0.2734✗0.511.8M2022-04-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4441.3408-7.15%1.518+5.12%0.1170✗1.36492k2022-04-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8844.5338-7.17%5.024+2.87%0.0977✗0.94102k2022-04-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.8746.2322-7.29%47.4-4.95%0.0184✓1.264.8M2022-04-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.592873-7.36%0.64+0.00%0.0686✓1.50477k2022-04-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2135.3823-7.40%37.81-1.05%0.0613✓0.973.8M2022-04-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06620.061272-7.44%0.0548-17.22%0.1206✓1.7243.9M2022-04-19
GITCOINGITCOIN6.4865.9965-7.55%6.219-4.12%0.0293✓1.3725k2022-04-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.8325.7246-7.57%24.67-11.35%0.0478✓1.1340.2M2022-04-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51580.475958-7.72%0.5231+1.42%0.0905✗0.75399k2022-04-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.39922.213-7.76%2.1654-9.74%0.0279✓1.171.3M2022-04-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07050.065028-7.76%0.0695-1.42%0.0603✓1.19337k2022-04-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.044860.041337-7.85%0.03461-22.85%0.1810✓0.65963k2022-04-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12470.114844-7.90%0.2015+61.59%0.5560✗1.192.1M2022-04-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.20078.4733-7.91%5.4567-40.69%0.4453✓1.0048.8M2022-04-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0926.7843-7.93%26.84-7.73%0.0027✓0.91767k2022-04-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2424.1548-7.95%24.1-8.16%0.0090✓1.29735k2022-04-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.8140.748645-8.03%0.662-18.67%0.1291✓1.162.1M2022-04-19
LUNATerraTerra 290.4383.0816-8.13%95.57+5.68%0.1328✗1.399.1M2022-04-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.1191.0264-8.27%1.061-5.18%0.0264✓1.301.9M2022-04-19
XTZTezosTezos3.33623.0495-8.59%3.2342-3.06%0.0531✓1.081.1M2022-04-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.24192.9614-8.65%4.3291+33.54%0.3754✗0.824.1M2022-04-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023120.000021108-8.70%0.00002543+9.99%0.1801✗1.172.5M2022-04-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400720.03657-8.74%0.034926-12.84%0.0510✓0.964.1M2022-04-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.20463.8235-9.06%3.9891-5.13%0.0390✓0.654.7M2022-04-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.495.8958-9.16%6.19-4.62%0.0414✓1.39447k2022-04-19
BANDBandEthereum3.5843.2521-9.26%3.962+10.55%0.1916✗1.12622k2022-04-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.47131.3303-9.58%0.8912-39.43%0.4081✓1.43217k2022-04-19
PROPropyEthereum1.721.5344-10.79%1.88+9.30%0.1979✗1.02228k2022-04-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001041-11.74%0.00000123+4.25%0.1688✗-0.431.7M2022-04-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.