8=======>

2022-03-05 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 153 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1359
153 of 153 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.7%
in alpha space · 94.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (153 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011170.000001085-2.89%0.000001612+44.32%0.4218✗1.001.1M2022-03-06
UMAUMAEthereum9.3139.1509-1.74%8.411-9.69%0.0497✓1.362.2M2022-03-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038650.038115-1.38%0.03483-9.88%0.0706✓0.761.1M2022-03-06
LUNATerraTerra 287.5386.5783-1.09%79.23-9.48%0.0529✓1.405.3M2022-03-06
ORCAOrcaSolana2.432.4038-1.08%2.26-7.00%0.0422✓0.76393k2022-03-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.293.2578-0.98%3.369+2.40%0.0465✗0.511.0M2022-03-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00410.004062-0.93%0.00377-8.05%0.0333✓1.626.0M2022-03-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.28.1243-0.92%7.79-5.00%0.0222✓0.77490k2022-03-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37312.3527-0.86%2.0504-13.60%0.1185✓0.7425k2022-03-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36230.359193-0.86%0.3243-10.49%0.0607✓1.6213.2M2022-03-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.23260.230692-0.82%0.2075-10.79%0.0734✓1.272.8M2022-03-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.592.5689-0.82%2.31-10.81%0.0973✓0.35443k2022-03-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72770.722481-0.72%0.6795-6.62%0.0282✓1.302.8M2022-03-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2717.1463-0.72%17.3+0.17%0.0241✗0.592.9M2022-03-06
PROPropyEthereum1.771.7573-0.72%1.66-6.21%0.0277✓1.15385k2022-03-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.8530.6416-0.68%28.14-8.78%0.0546✓1.2048.9M2022-03-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53310.529586-0.66%0.5029-5.66%0.0306✓0.82536k2022-03-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052030.051688-0.66%0.05-3.90%0.0036✓1.16605k2022-03-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.891.8779-0.64%1.794-5.08%0.0228✓0.9068k2022-03-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.8327.6555-0.63%26.55-4.60%0.0142✓1.045.2M2022-03-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.655981-0.61%0.64-3.03%0.0183✗1.68988k2022-03-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.8751.567-0.58%48.83-5.86%0.0209✓1.316.3M2022-03-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.279365-0.58%0.271-3.56%0.0017✓1.262.1M2022-03-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121090.012039-0.58%0.011572-4.43%0.0139✓1.0012k2022-03-06
STXStacksnative1.141.1335-0.57%1.08-5.26%0.0185✓1.17498k2022-03-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1613.0856-0.57%12.47-5.24%0.0200✓1.10331k2022-03-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1460.14519-0.55%0.1441-1.30%0.0184✗1.02318k2022-03-06
NANOnanopayBase1.81571.8057-0.55%1.69-6.92%0.0375✓1.12171k2022-03-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.1735.1446-0.55%4.82-6.82%0.0403✓0.97166k2022-03-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.34452.3318-0.54%2.227-5.01%0.0253✓0.812.7M2022-03-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06890.06853-0.54%0.0672-2.47%0.0040✓0.9213k2022-03-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.76070.75674-0.52%0.7112-6.51%0.0246✓1.47227k2022-03-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.45610.453748-0.52%0.418-8.35%0.0295✓2.062.3M2022-03-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024590.000024463-0.52%0.00002355-4.23%0.0064✓1.243.9M2022-03-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.28681.2802-0.51%1.1901-7.52%0.0375✓1.393.1M2022-03-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8514.7737-0.51%14.03-5.52%0.0167✓1.372.5M2022-03-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.35625.3289-0.51%5.3709+0.27%0.0174✗0.37300k2022-03-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.045060.044831-0.51%0.042886-4.82%0.0178✓1.048.1M2022-03-06
DIADIAEthereum1.011.005-0.50%0.95-5.94%0.0478✓0.33277k2022-03-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02784.0077-0.50%3.778-6.20%0.0312✓1.09244k2022-03-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.960310.955557-0.49%0.91478-4.74%0.0111✓1.27151k2022-03-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.67590.672627-0.48%0.63843-5.54%0.0184✓1.32161k2022-03-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05730.057023-0.48%0.0524-8.55%0.0404✓1.7364.3M2022-03-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.929.756-0.48%28.82-3.61%0.0079✓0.941.5M2022-03-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.866.8272-0.48%6.398-6.73%0.0394✓1.00816k2022-03-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008620.008579-0.47%0.00845-1.97%0.0148✗1.17525k2022-03-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.8014-0.47%1.71-5.52%0.0181✓1.331.9M2022-03-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152950.152254-0.46%0.14543-4.92%0.0220✓0.9419k2022-03-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8262.8136-0.44%2.4383-13.72%0.1176✓1.0011.3M2022-03-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.94091.9325-0.44%2.0803+7.18%0.0986✗0.9782k2022-03-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.066.0338-0.43%5.58-7.92%0.0431✓1.38829k2022-03-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012330.012278-0.42%0.01217-1.30%0.0106✗0.7613k2022-03-06
XMRMoneroMonero166.09165.3899-0.42%158.98-4.28%0.0141✓0.991.5M2022-03-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.80210.798845-0.41%0.749-6.62%0.0565✓0.311.2M2022-03-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,586.4039,426.48-0.40%38,936.90-1.64%0.0121✗0.9659k2022-03-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,264.0020,182.19-0.40%18,244.52-9.97%0.0761✓0.975.4M2022-03-06
RADRadworksEthereum54.9798-0.40%4.9-2.00%0.0090✗0.98862k2022-03-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0945.0739-0.39%4.983-2.18%0.0062✗0.9573k2022-03-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0618.9849-0.39%17.6-7.66%0.0406✓1.37319k2022-03-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8658-0.39%2.732-5.04%0.0267✓0.83300k2022-03-06
GTGateEthereum6.79676.7704-0.39%6.8076+0.16%0.0233✗0.702.8M2022-03-06
GITCOINGITCOIN6.0015.9779-0.38%5.586-6.92%0.0332✓1.3625k2022-03-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.346.316-0.38%6.28-0.95%0.0146✗0.791.1M2022-03-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.5203-0.38%10.3-2.46%0.0061✓0.59984k2022-03-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.104608-0.37%0.1-4.76%0.0298✓0.6044k2022-03-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3470.345708-0.37%0.329-5.19%0.0160✓1.318.7M2022-03-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1180.117561-0.37%0.1112-5.76%0.0246✓1.223.2M2022-03-06
API3Api3Ethereum6.5136.4889-0.37%5.559-14.65%0.1398✓0.587.0M2022-03-06
FTTFTXEthereum41.1641.0081-0.37%39.81-3.28%0.0016✓1.1019.6M2022-03-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090150.089818-0.37%0.08726-3.21%0.0040✓0.9742k2022-03-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07090.070642-0.36%0.0687-3.10%0.0040✗1.251.0M2022-03-06
XECeCashnative0.000072910.000072645-0.36%0.0000699-4.13%0.0116✓1.054.5M2022-03-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45830.456647-0.36%0.4255-7.16%0.0346✓1.41452k2022-03-06
DASHDashDash89.6989.3698-0.36%85.59-4.57%0.0157✓1.081.5M2022-03-06
CELLCellframeEthereum1.43971.4346-0.36%1.3889-3.53%0.0005✓1.29293k2022-03-06
ZECZcashZcash116.52116.1068-0.35%107.41-7.82%0.0498✓1.107.4M2022-03-06
BANDBandEthereum3.813.7965-0.35%3.706-2.73%0.0067✗1.211.6M2022-03-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98942.9789-0.35%2.9225-2.24%0.0009✓0.712.3M2022-03-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1248870.124449-0.35%0.120679-3.37%0.0076✓0.913.7M2022-03-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8613.8475-0.35%3.553-7.98%0.0485✓1.222.1M2022-03-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.77440.771695-0.35%0.7462-3.64%0.0051✓1.1219.5M2022-03-06
XYMSymbolnative0.140.139518-0.34%0.136-2.86%0.0048✓0.81299k2022-03-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.262.2525-0.33%2.17-3.98%0.0117✓1.00220k2022-03-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36170.360504-0.33%0.322-10.98%0.0775✓1.391.1M2022-03-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55022.5418-0.33%2.4146-5.32%0.0186✓1.283.1M2022-03-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.99682.987-0.33%2.9812-0.52%0.0164✗0.723.6M2022-03-06
ZENHorizenBase34.6934.5771-0.33%33.26-4.12%0.0025✓1.42280k2022-03-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018710.01865-0.32%0.01701-9.09%0.0650✓1.062.1M2022-03-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.9104.567-0.32%101.1-3.62%0.0063✓1.0729.3M2022-03-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.2681.0063-0.31%77.72-4.36%0.0203✓0.83908k2022-03-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.3723.2977-0.31%22.08-5.52%0.0190✓1.361.4M2022-03-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.6254-0.31%16.6-6.11%0.0317✓1.1019.0M2022-03-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5007830.49924-0.31%0.478814-4.39%0.0140✓1.092.7M2022-03-06
DODODODOEthereum0.4240.42271-0.30%0.395-6.84%0.0375✓1.183.9M2022-03-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011830.011794-0.30%0.0114-3.63%0.0006✓1.352.9M2022-03-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,402.4339,283.63-0.30%38,408.38-2.52%0.0030✗1.00706.4M2022-03-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.061.0568-0.30%0.98-7.55%0.0499✓1.001.2M2022-03-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.21220.211576-0.29%0.197-7.16%0.0341✓1.462.5M2022-03-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02750.027419-0.29%0.02514-8.58%0.0558✓1.21503k2022-03-06
COMPCompoundEthereum109.66109.3412-0.29%102-6.99%0.0394✓1.1857k2022-03-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2460.245285-0.29%0.242-1.63%0.0069✗0.8066k2022-03-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2472.2405-0.29%2.06-8.32%0.0475✓1.4312.1M2022-03-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.3217.2706-0.29%16.99-1.91%0.0137✗1.1826.3M2022-03-06
MOVRMoonriverBase60.029259.8611-0.28%55.607-7.37%0.0387✓1.37223k2022-03-06
SOLSolanaSolana89.6289.3691-0.28%84.57-5.63%0.0226✓1.28118.7M2022-03-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0919.0367-0.28%18.46-3.30%0.0046✓1.029.1M2022-03-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066260.066076-0.28%0.06662+0.54%0.0383✗1.1854k2022-03-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.2680.267259-0.28%0.2571-4.07%0.0072✓1.24252k2022-03-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.0880.087758-0.28%0.0829-5.80%0.0184✓1.51591k2022-03-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.221.2167-0.27%1.11-9.02%0.0661✓1.01759k2022-03-06
HIVEHivenative0.91610.913659-0.27%0.87-5.03%0.0178✓1.222.1M2022-03-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1621.1589-0.26%1.088-6.37%0.0361✓1.063.0M2022-03-06
QTUMQtumQtum6.07936.0634-0.26%5.7763-4.98%0.0160✓1.27226k2022-03-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash294.47293.7029-0.26%282.11-4.20%0.0161✓0.957.2M2022-03-06
TRXTRONTron0.0604170.06026-0.26%0.058875-2.55%0.0042✓0.74307k2022-03-06
XEMNEMnative0.09780.09755-0.26%0.0955-2.35%0.0017✓0.9040k2022-03-06
UNIUniswapEthereum9.028.9971-0.25%8.48-5.99%0.0305✓1.129.0M2022-03-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.027010.026942-0.25%0.02606-3.52%0.0135✓0.784.0M2022-03-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.154.1396-0.25%3.82-7.95%0.0424✓1.49430k2022-03-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.7176.5203-0.25%72.47-5.53%0.0188✓1.39123.1M2022-03-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038570.03848-0.23%0.03826-0.80%0.0177✗0.9229k2022-03-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9272.9203-0.23%2.702-7.69%0.0494✓1.11660k2022-03-06
QNTQuantEthereum120.94120.6648-0.23%110.38-8.73%0.0630✓1.026.2M2022-03-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8982.8915-0.22%2.876-0.76%0.0149✗0.79436k2022-03-06
KCSKuCoinnative18.5918.5491-0.22%18.061-2.85%0.0010✓1.019.1M2022-03-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3591.356-0.22%1.3-4.34%0.0159✓1.03917k2022-03-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.5002-0.22%4.307-4.50%0.0240✓0.78471k2022-03-06
SUSHISushiEthereum3.13.0934-0.21%2.91-6.13%0.0302✓1.216.5M2022-03-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4191.416-0.21%1.342-5.43%0.0153✓1.50797k2022-03-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4591.456-0.20%1.447-0.82%0.0216✗1.091.8M2022-03-06
XTZTezosTezos3.1413.1346-0.20%2.9738-5.32%0.0207✓1.251.7M2022-03-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001860.000001856-0.20%0.00000178-4.30%0.0256✓0.6413.7M2022-03-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73640.734959-0.20%0.6929-5.91%0.0326✓1.039.5M2022-03-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8210.819474-0.19%0.775-5.60%0.0236✓1.262.4M2022-03-06
ADACardanoCardano0.86540.863904-0.17%0.823-4.90%0.0205✓1.1092.2M2022-03-06
MINAMina Protocolnative2.012.0067-0.16%1.92-4.48%0.0155✓1.12363k2022-03-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.182.1765-0.16%2.108-3.30%0.0103✓0.8521k2022-03-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6870.686008-0.14%0.66-3.93%0.0140✓0.972.6M2022-03-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.2711-0.14%5.97-4.94%0.0285✓0.81518k2022-03-06
XVSVenusEthereum8.848.8276-0.14%8.47-4.19%0.0110✓1.193.6M2022-03-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2380.237667-0.14%0.2294-3.61%0.0123✓0.902.0M2022-03-06
XVGVergenative0.009540.009528-0.13%0.00921-3.46%0.0038✓1.181.4M2022-03-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.4033-0.12%5.1-5.73%0.0369✓0.82592k2022-03-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0214.0029-0.12%13.32-4.99%0.0204✓1.1650.0M2022-03-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1803320.180168-0.09%0.172791-4.18%0.0149✓1.0519.8M2022-03-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.069146-0.08%0.0678-2.02%0.0057✗0.99159k2022-03-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3341.333-0.07%1.211-9.22%0.0647✓1.232.4M2022-03-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,665.772,664.07-0.06%2,550.77-4.31%0.0158✓1.08561.7M2022-03-06
AAVEAaveEthereum124.61124.535-0.06%116.73-6.32%0.0314✓1.317.2M2022-03-06
KSMKusamaHydration122.67122.6201-0.04%119.71-2.41%0.0048✗1.13910k2022-03-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.2821.2819-0.01%1.152-10.14%0.0803✓1.043.4M2022-03-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0183180.018329+0.06%0.017916-2.19%0.0013✗0.84143k2022-03-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013950.013969+0.14%0.01199-14.05%0.1152✗1.4712.7M2022-03-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.