8=======>

2022-03-04 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2842
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
20.4%
in alpha space · 7.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.53%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.2167.9441-13.80%8.243-10.56%0.1927✓1.352.0M2022-04-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.003576-10.59%0.00586+46.50%0.2195✗1.616.6M2022-04-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-76.59e-7-10.59%8.75e-7+18.71%0.1136✗1.001.0M2022-04-03
LUNATerraTerra 283.4975.0722-10.08%112.95+35.29%0.1706✗1.405.0M2022-04-03
PROPropyEthereum1.761.5922-9.53%1.62-7.95%0.1777✓1.15411k2022-04-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5127.6737-9.30%31.97+4.79%0.0573✓1.1952.8M2022-04-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.2926-9.25%1.8876+32.53%0.1600✗1.29293k2022-04-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.051444-9.11%0.0703+24.20%0.0189✓1.7366.8M2022-04-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.4957-8.67%6.9113+152.92%0.8486✗1.0012.7M2022-04-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.31717-8.44%0.4797+38.48%0.1391✗1.6214.3M2022-04-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.517.7949-8.40%9.56+12.34%0.0713✓0.78480k2022-04-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.031616-8.39%0.04199+21.67%0.1563✗0.751.1M2022-04-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.5011-8.05%2.57-5.51%0.1428✓1.00443k2022-04-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.745.7021-8.04%66.65+34.10%0.1555✗1.306.3M2022-04-03
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.6133-7.96%2.7226+55.32%0.3331✗1.12171k2022-04-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.174-7.88%2.42+2.54%0.0220✓0.76393k2022-04-03
STXStacksnative1.111.0242-7.73%1.54+38.74%0.2098✗1.17517k2022-04-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.313-7.73%3.2752+30.66%0.2101✗0.812.9M2022-04-03
API3Api3Ethereum6.3115.8283-7.65%5.42-14.12%0.1711✓0.587.0M2022-04-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.010546-7.42%0.01674+46.96%0.2927✗1.0013k2022-04-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.416.1089-7.42%14.88-14.48%0.1808✓0.602.8M2022-04-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.040883-7.40%0.042776-3.11%0.1312✓1.048.1M2022-04-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.0727-7.37%6.175+86.16%0.6092✗0.52955k2022-04-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.1448-7.10%6.0109+8.54%0.0917✗0.38300k2022-04-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.6727-7.02%2.097+16.56%0.0742✗0.8968k2022-04-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.108735-6.98%0.2643+126.09%0.6829✗1.213.2M2022-04-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6325.7144-6.93%46.7+69.02%0.4199✗1.045.2M2022-04-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6826.7184-6.84%31.41+9.52%0.0023✓0.941.5M2022-04-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.137238-6.77%0.1674+13.72%0.0262✓1.01330k2022-04-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.60793-6.47%0.87+33.85%0.0731✗1.68988k2022-04-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.6858-6.28%6.929+38.58%0.2274✗0.96166k2022-04-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.064882-6.24%0.0912+31.79%0.1294✗1.241.0M2022-04-03
FTTFTXEthereum40.537.9769-6.23%50.42+24.49%0.0968✗1.1019.7M2022-04-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.1796-6.20%1.3337+6.06%0.1137✓1.393.1M2022-04-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.4834-5.78%8.24+41.58%0.1748✗1.37829k2022-04-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.044667-5.67%0.05655+19.43%0.0409✓1.15605k2022-04-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.499471-5.62%0.625+18.10%0.0853✗0.82545k2022-04-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.14221-5.59%0.16861+11.94%0.0121✓0.9321k2022-04-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.694475-5.57%1.1852+61.16%0.2873✗1.45227k2022-04-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0118,754.04-5.56%25,227.83+27.03%0.1322✗0.975.8M2022-04-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.000022222-5.56%0.00002678+13.81%0.0234✓1.243.9M2022-04-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.690705-5.43%1.3064+78.86%0.4173✗1.292.7M2022-04-03
DIADIAEthereum0.970.91759-5.40%1.15+18.56%0.1702✗0.33277k2022-04-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.739817-5.36%1.0868+39.03%0.3325✗0.311.2M2022-04-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03041.9217-5.35%2.686+32.29%0.2102✗0.7325k2022-04-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.092.9272-5.27%5.278+70.81%0.4003✗1.11660k2022-04-03
BANDBandEthereum3.723.5256-5.23%5.398+45.11%0.2220✗1.201.7M2022-04-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.7622-5.18%5.9944+51.08%0.2814✗1.09244k2022-04-03
XTZTezosTezos3.07892.924-5.03%4.0439+31.34%0.1127✗1.241.7M2022-04-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.064527-4.97%0.0934+37.56%0.2138✗0.9213k2022-04-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8217.891-4.94%25.44+35.18%0.1788✗1.029.1M2022-04-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.15.7995-4.93%7.36+20.66%0.1063✗0.781.1M2022-04-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.036003-4.78%0.05648+49.38%0.2955✗0.9129k2022-04-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.1447-4.77%2.95+30.99%0.0765✗1.4312.7M2022-04-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.392586-4.71%0.567+37.62%0.1678✗1.184.1M2022-04-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.6413-4.57%2.55+48.26%0.2158✗1.321.9M2022-04-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.2601-4.54%2.612+97.88%0.5517✗1.043.4M2022-04-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.2966-4.52%1.882+38.59%0.1192✗1.49797k2022-04-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.625002-4.44%0.95188+45.55%0.1961✗1.32180k2022-04-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.261922-4.41%0.605+120.80%0.6249✗1.252.1M2022-04-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1229-4.37%2.79+25.68%0.1031✗1.00242k2022-04-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2614.5945-4.36%20.95+37.29%0.1287✗1.372.4M2022-04-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.325202-4.35%0.5174+52.18%0.2425✗1.318.7M2022-04-03
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.5964-4.35%8.262+41.21%0.1599✗1.3525k2022-04-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.419253-4.28%0.5992+36.80%0.0092✓2.052.3M2022-04-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.100554-4.23%0.216+105.71%0.6633✗0.6044k2022-04-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.7627-4.17%5.866+18.03%0.0479✗0.9472k2022-04-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2117.4528-4.16%28.7+57.61%0.2651✗1.37325k2022-04-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.3751-4.16%2.7228+9.88%0.0794✓1.273.1M2022-04-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.016911-3.97%0.02267+28.73%0.1149✗1.052.2M2022-04-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.912592-3.88%1.4552+53.27%0.2514✗1.27162k2022-04-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01772.9021-3.83%5.0595+67.66%0.4298✗0.743.6M2022-04-03
DASHDashDash89.5986.1676-3.82%132.72+48.14%0.2493✗1.071.5M2022-04-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.683181-3.78%0.9011+26.92%0.1028✗1.029.6M2022-04-03
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232757.9658-3.76%84.4145+40.15%0.1439✗1.37223k2022-04-03
SOLSolanaSolana88.3285.009-3.75%136.94+55.05%0.2603✗1.27121.6M2022-04-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.8969-3.74%4.356+44.75%0.2814✗0.742.4M2022-04-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.010696-3.72%0.01493+34.38%0.1051✗1.342.9M2022-04-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.013893-3.72%0.02998+107.76%0.5194✗1.4712.7M2022-04-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6216.9793-3.64%22.64+28.49%0.1007✗1.1019.5M2022-04-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.026694-3.63%0.03659+32.09%0.1104✗1.21503k2022-04-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.025652-3.56%0.02779+4.47%0.0513✓0.774.0M2022-04-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.4901-3.54%7.318+102.27%0.5349✗1.212.1M2022-04-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3676.6012-3.48%100.38+26.49%0.1312✗0.82908k2022-04-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8428-3.47%2.6869+40.74%0.2131✗0.9682k2022-04-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.753052-3.45%1.266+62.31%0.3078✗1.252.4M2022-04-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.3642-3.45%2.108+49.19%0.2515✗1.081.8M2022-04-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.1299-3.42%1.66+41.88%0.2141✗1.00770k2022-04-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.011703-3.36%0.01334+10.16%0.0024✓0.7613k2022-04-03
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.81668-3.35%1.1865+40.41%0.1879✗1.0992.2M2022-04-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.085958-3.34%0.12336+38.72%0.1968✗0.9742k2022-04-03
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000068314-3.25%0.00011601+64.30%0.3513✗1.054.5M2022-04-03
GTGateEthereum6.68186.4671-3.21%6.9988+4.74%0.0390✓0.692.8M2022-04-03
XVGVergenative0.009440.009139-3.19%0.01411+49.47%0.2337✗1.181.4M2022-04-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.189041-3.16%0.2839+45.44%0.1932✗1.262.7M2022-04-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.20255-3.09%0.2867+37.18%0.1004✗1.452.5M2022-04-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0391.007-3.08%1.714+64.97%0.3633✗0.991.2M2022-04-03
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.00821-3.07%0.01401+65.41%0.3359✗1.17546k2022-04-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.737715-3.00%0.9353+22.98%0.0470✗1.1219.7M2022-04-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.78154.9931-3.00%216.72+35.64%0.1670✗0.991.4M2022-04-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.339519-2.99%0.5002+42.91%0.1528✗1.381.2M2022-04-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9038,406.68-2.99%46,759.40+18.10%0.0333✗0.9659k2022-04-03
ZENHorizenBase33.6132.6097-2.98%49.61+47.60%0.1795✗1.41280k2022-04-03
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.136321-2.97%0.1466+4.34%0.0646✓0.81299k2022-04-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.5511-2.94%11.88+34.85%0.1387✗1.129.2M2022-04-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3812.0164-2.94%16.85+36.11%0.1517✗1.10312k2022-04-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.3079-2.93%8.603+93.85%0.5585✗0.78463k2022-04-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001777-2.87%0.00000223+21.86%0.1184✗0.6413.7M2022-04-03
ZECZcashZcash117.05113.7059-2.86%179.62+53.46%0.2710✗1.107.4M2022-04-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5138,096.33-2.73%46,422.16+18.53%0.0277✓1.00706.4M2022-04-03
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.7649-2.71%8.544+44.19%0.1785✗1.26226k2022-04-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.074.9336-2.69%6.05+19.33%0.0368✗0.98862k2022-04-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.119108-2.68%0.146332+19.56%0.0523✗0.903.7M2022-04-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.053.9435-2.63%6.04+49.14%0.1749✗1.48458k2022-04-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8273.8613-2.58%98.06+29.33%0.0478✗1.39123.1M2022-04-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.25565-2.54%0.3838+46.32%0.1977✗1.23284k2022-04-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.229155-2.49%0.3141+33.66%0.1627✗0.902.0M2022-04-03
HIVEHivenative0.90480.883412-2.36%1.1996+32.58%0.1005✗1.212.1M2022-04-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.673815-2.35%0.954+38.26%0.1840✗0.962.6M2022-04-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.0882-2.31%1.528+37.16%0.1609✗1.053.0M2022-04-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.0598.7634-2.26%128.77+27.43%0.0841✗1.0729.3M2022-04-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.042.9716-2.25%4.45+46.38%0.1993✗1.206.5M2022-04-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.062934-2.25%0.09761+51.62%0.2397✗1.1760k2022-04-03
KSMKusamaHydration120.67117.9619-2.24%201.73+67.17%0.3456✗1.12910k2022-04-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.083219-2.21%0.1306+53.47%0.1961✗1.50592k2022-04-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.3182-2.21%1.982+47.03%0.2332✗1.03917k2022-04-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.440648-2.17%0.727+61.41%0.2622✗1.40452k2022-04-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.23817.844-2.16%21.35+17.06%0.0090✓1.009.1M2022-04-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.021.9766-2.15%2.79+38.12%0.1545✗1.12354k2022-04-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.4357-2.11%23.21+38.24%0.1461✗1.1726.4M2022-04-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.48481-2.08%0.913+84.40%0.4491✗1.082.8M2022-04-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8622.3928-2.04%29.52+29.13%0.0461✗1.351.4M2022-04-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.0941-1.87%2.888+35.33%0.1792✗0.8423k2022-04-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.1809-1.82%17.59+69.62%0.4463✗0.59984k2022-04-03
QNTQuantEthereum118.5116.3552-1.81%140.03+18.17%0.0129✓1.016.3M2022-04-03
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.05732-1.62%0.073061+25.40%0.1170✗0.74307k2022-04-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67285.974-1.62%378.78+30.31%0.1209✗0.947.3M2022-04-03
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79107.0959-1.56%171.15+57.32%0.2693✗1.1757k2022-04-03
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.17335-1.54%0.237085+34.66%0.1345✗1.0519.8M2022-04-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.459-1.41%12.8+49.18%0.2131✗1.183.6M2022-04-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8379-1.36%4.271+48.45%0.2731✗0.80457k2022-04-03
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3122.7642-1.24%243.27+95.71%0.4627✗1.307.2M2022-04-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.237689-0.96%0.315+31.25%0.1475✗0.7966k2022-04-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.6242-0.84%18.08+31.59%0.0869✗1.1550.1M2022-04-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2236-0.74%6.66+6.22%0.0713✓0.82518k2022-04-03
XEMNEMnative0.0960.095372-0.65%0.1227+27.81%0.1003✗0.8940k2022-04-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.3373-0.64%1.893+40.64%0.1400✗1.222.4M2022-04-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3874+0.14%7.92+47.21%0.2462✓0.82584k2022-04-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,627.32+0.16%3,522.78+34.30%0.1090✓1.08561.7M2022-04-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8888+0.20%3.961+37.39%0.1741✓0.83276k2022-04-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.067329+0.34%0.1561+132.64%0.6730✓0.99159k2022-04-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.019218+3.35%0.028607+53.85%0.2553✓0.84143k2022-04-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.