2022-02-26 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3314

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.36%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

62.9%

in alpha space · 11.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.061476	-13.66%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.0876	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	26.5989	-11.01%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1127	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.4523	-10.54%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2310	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	70.0363	-10.38%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0700	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.29e-7	-9.93%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.4044	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.6767	-9.86%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3259	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	5.4687	-9.77%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0448	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.003898	-9.57%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.2546	✓	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	5.9296	-9.17%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1352	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.010902	-8.69%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.0983	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.0866	-8.69%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0183	✓	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.6523	-8.61%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0041	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.320524	-8.60%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.1510	✓	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.031598	-8.49%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.1265	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.130142	-7.70%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2179	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	19,276.89	-7.66%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.0436	✓	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	39.9815	-7.64%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0439	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.3677	-7.51%	2.29	-10.55%	0.2195	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	46.7479	-7.32%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0996	✗	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	13.6419	-7.20%	13.55	-7.82%	0.1430	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	26.8471	-7.14%	47.08	+62.85%	0.3501	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.140226	-6.89%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0119	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.512824	-6.84%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.0654	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.7389	-6.76%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.1221	✗	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.045121	-6.68%	0.043	-11.07%	0.2716	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.742387	-6.50%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1335	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.068316	-6.42%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.1150	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	28.3168	-6.17%	30.82	+2.12%	0.1094	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.206	-6.13%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0379	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.7417	-6.01%	3.61	+94.80%	0.5979	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.2509	-5.98%	2.585	+7.98%	0.1518	✓	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	1.0173	-5.81%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0283	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.147366	-5.69%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1202	✓	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.114386	-5.62%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1571	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	5.918	-5.61%	7.37	+17.54%	0.0583	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.143	-5.60%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.1646	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.2265	-5.58%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.1156	✓	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.037922	-5.53%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0507	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.0931	-5.53%	5.572	+3.36%	0.1009	✓	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.1132	-5.49%	2.734	+22.28%	0.0946	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.663496	-5.21%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2355	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.1246	-4.91%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0910	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.727571	-4.91%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.1498	✗	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.064108	-4.88%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.1147	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.045496	-4.86%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0269	✓	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.427	-4.80%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0230	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	20.1905	-4.76%	22.99	+8.44%	0.1737	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.6102	-4.68%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2871	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.1939	-4.61%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0244	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.8389	-4.59%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.1013	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.668148	-4.48%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0145	✓	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.418579	-4.43%	0.484	+10.50%	0.1122	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000023304	-4.30%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.1240	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.3792	-4.29%	1.71	+18.67%	0.0723	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.00000183	-4.20%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0042	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.714613	-4.19%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0405	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.0095	-4.15%	7	+11.64%	0.0660	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.6007	-4.15%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0654	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.7137	-4.14%	5.361	+38.38%	0.1172	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.018048	-4.10%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.0897	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.824685	-4.08%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.1348	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.522701	-4.02%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0599	✗	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	89.9245	-4.01%	127.73	+36.35%	0.1334	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	5.9949	-4.01%	7.142	+14.36%	0.0956	✓	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	17.021	-4.00%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0268	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.026306	-3.99%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0445	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.5762	-3.92%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.2018	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.083852	-3.92%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0801	✗	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	81.4424	-3.91%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0087	✓	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.335043	-3.89%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0167	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.278781	-3.87%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4690	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	4.8203	-3.77%	6.365	+27.07%	0.1213	✗	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.266317	-3.75%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0413	✓	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.86273	-3.61%	1.004	+12.18%	0.1116	✓	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	109.2896	-3.58%	122.91	+8.43%	0.1224	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	62.5125	-3.55%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.2255	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.139156	-3.43%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.0833	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.4487	-3.42%	2.68	+78.67%	0.4111	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.4736	-3.31%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0432	✗	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	13.6301	-3.26%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0292	✓	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009645	-3.26%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.0923	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.7735	-3.25%	7.75	+57.07%	0.2983	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.1444	-3.25%	3.81	+17.23%	0.0536	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.2027	-3.24%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0595	✓	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.000072941	-3.23%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0269	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	152.8068	-3.23%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1535	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.414487	-3.18%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.1958	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.02752	-3.17%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1651	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.502	-3.06%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0598	✓	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.6287	-3.01%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2868	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.86075	-2.99%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0878	✗	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	8.7914	-2.96%	10.91	+20.42%	0.0361	✓	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	87.6678	-2.94%	105.84	+17.18%	0.0533	✓	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.7902	-2.92%	4.028	+40.15%	0.1876	✗	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.206751	-2.89%	0.258	+21.18%	0.0673	✓	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	0.962728	-2.79%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0282	✓	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	12.5543	-2.76%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0231	✓	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	3.9465	-2.75%	6.372	+57.02%	0.3189	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	79.5778	-2.70%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1700	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	38,087.36	-2.68%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0272	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.3439	-2.60%	5.34	+19.73%	0.0977	✓	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.009596	-2.58%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0168	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	23.8201	-2.58%	28.79	+17.75%	0.0947	✓	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.01186	-2.55%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0012	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.4015	-2.47%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0212	✓	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.12456	-2.38%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0562	✓	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	5.9879	-2.35%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0410	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.2315	-2.34%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0161	✓	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	19.2487	-2.33%	19.506	-1.02%	0.1890	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	105.3532	-2.27%	192.22	+78.31%	0.3859	✗	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	38,694.80	-2.26%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0276	✗	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	32.5205	-2.22%	47.68	+43.36%	0.0986	✗	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.064643	-2.22%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0296	✗	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.932354	-2.20%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0231	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.6481	-2.17%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0332	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.171346	-2.14%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1434	✗	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.450232	-2.10%	0.716	+55.69%	0.1922	✗	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.017466	-2.10%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.3631	✗	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.5402	-2.10%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.3092	✗	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	106.0361	-2.08%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0397	✓	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.008882	-1.96%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0290	✗	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.1256	-1.95%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0603	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.1171	-1.92%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2165	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.494328	-1.92%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6552	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	309.6402	-1.88%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0170	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.083807	-1.87%	0.121	+41.69%	0.0719	✗	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.2171	-1.85%	1.39	+12.10%	0.1052	✓	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	134.1536	-1.84%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0517	✓	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	9.1669	-1.75%	14.47	+55.09%	0.3272	✗	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.2885	-1.70%	8.52	+58.36%	0.3132	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	2.0158	-1.67%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0185	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.3959	-1.66%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0491	✓	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	122.8119	-1.58%	168.16	+34.77%	0.0899	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.668565	-1.54%	0.763	+12.37%	0.0895	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.222563	-1.52%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0125	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.360026	-1.50%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1685	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.190122	-1.44%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0235	✓	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.058608	-1.43%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0098	✓	0.84	270k	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.2727	-1.40%	6.28	+172.45%	0.7837	✗	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.229576	-1.04%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0090	✓	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.8881	-1.02%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0533	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6479	-0.91%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0292	✓	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	14.5867	-0.91%	16.51	+12.16%	0.1098	✓	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	109.8443	-0.85%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0623	✗	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.100681	-0.32%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.0855	✓	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5685	-0.29%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2454	✗	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,781.27	+0.02%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0199	✗	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2775	+0.11%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0333	✗	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.068846	+0.51%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0213	✗	1.08	163k	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.7265	+0.99%	7	+49.57%	0.2472	✓	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.023212	+2.57%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.3220	✓	1.06	114k	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.