2022-02-25 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3724

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+19.91%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

50.3%

in alpha space · 9.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+19.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.060017	-13.77%	0.0803	+15.37%	0.0490	✓	1.92	72.8M	2022-03-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.7428	-11.08%	1.74	-11.22%	0.2909	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.4659	-10.84%	1.5221	-7.43%	0.2177	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.3365	-10.63%	5.854	-17.43%	0.1449	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	65.9111	-9.96%	94.25	+28.76%	0.1118	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-27
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.32e-7	-9.72%	0.000001225	+75.07%	0.4850	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	24.65	-9.71%	29.95	+9.71%	0.0034	✓	1.12	52.8M	2022-03-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.3725	-9.21%	6.1368	+3.71%	0.0588	✓	0.42	433k	2022-03-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.003967	-8.61%	0.00436	+0.46%	0.2326	✓	1.85	12.3M	2022-03-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.010726	-8.42%	0.01504	+28.40%	0.1412	✗	1.11	35k	2022-03-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.032538	-8.24%	0.04272	+20.47%	0.1173	✗	0.87	1.5M	2022-03-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.323071	-8.04%	0.3911	+11.33%	0.1094	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-03-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.0588	-7.93%	1.45	+26.09%	0.0834	✗	1.30	695k	2022-03-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.5165	-7.82%	2.33	-14.65%	0.2543	✓	1.00	544k	2022-03-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.127393	-7.69%	0.114	-17.39%	0.2803	✓	0.95	51k	2022-03-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.6957	-7.54%	1.995	+8.78%	0.0147	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.817541	-7.44%	0.9207	+4.23%	0.0170	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	39.9323	-7.33%	51.99	+20.65%	0.0600	✓	1.15	23.5M	2022-03-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	18,695.23	-7.32%	22,263.59	+10.37%	0.0024	✓	1.00	5.7M	2022-03-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	47.4267	-7.30%	68.29	+33.48%	0.1261	✗	1.35	7.3M	2022-03-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	26.0708	-6.92%	48.03	+71.47%	0.4131	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-03-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.496144	-6.91%	0.585	+9.76%	0.0005	✓	0.93	643k	2022-03-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	13.7558	-6.68%	13.48	-8.55%	0.1470	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.7546	-6.53%	2.5487	+35.77%	0.1561	✗	1.23	196k	2022-03-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.045537	-6.43%	0.043509	-10.60%	0.2617	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.137529	-6.32%	0.1655	+12.74%	0.0035	✓	1.06	446k	2022-03-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.7471	-6.04%	3.1908	+71.59%	0.4827	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.2236	-5.98%	2.621	+10.82%	0.1062	✓	1.53	13.2M	2022-03-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	28.5357	-5.70%	31.17	+3.01%	0.0933	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-03-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.149667	-5.69%	0.16715	+5.33%	0.1319	✓	1.37	28k	2022-03-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.962699	-5.62%	1.07	+4.90%	0.1012	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.121951	-5.61%	0.168	+30.03%	0.0880	✗	1.31	3.1M	2022-03-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.1778	-5.58%	1.2328	-1.17%	0.2096	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-03-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.3306	-5.40%	5.701	+1.17%	0.1078	✓	0.99	223k	2022-03-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	5.9789	-5.40%	7.41	+17.25%	0.0357	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-03-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.069507	-5.30%	0.0842	+14.71%	0.0559	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-03-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.1172	-5.06%	2.49	+11.66%	0.0151	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.036933	-5.06%	0.0495	+27.25%	0.1031	✗	1.07	30k	2022-03-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.0232	-4.84%	23.71	+25.18%	0.0507	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-03-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.685807	-4.75%	0.73	+1.39%	0.2786	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	20.1627	-4.71%	24.3	+14.84%	0.0950	✓	1.59	325k	2022-03-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.061576	-4.68%	0.08599	+33.11%	0.1451	✗	1.07	13k	2022-03-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.0639	-4.64%	3.8564	+20.02%	0.0087	✓	1.35	2.1M	2022-03-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	3.8416	-4.37%	5.413	+34.75%	0.1112	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.52	-4.32%	4.57	+24.22%	0.0311	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001819	-4.26%	0.00000214	+12.63%	0.0396	✓	0.69	14.7M	2022-03-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.7716	-4.25%	5.4302	+37.85%	0.1516	✗	1.20	284k	2022-03-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000023774	-4.25%	0.00002557	+2.98%	0.1670	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.428223	-4.20%	0.49	+9.62%	0.1092	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-03-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.6165	-4.19%	4.1683	+52.62%	0.3013	✗	0.93	2.9M	2022-03-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.673226	-4.14%	0.90403	+28.72%	0.0393	✓	1.44	224k	2022-03-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.741328	-4.13%	1.1104	+43.59%	0.1326	✗	1.53	299k	2022-03-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.1858	-4.13%	2.73	+19.74%	0.0429	✗	1.01	270k	2022-03-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.3903	-4.12%	1.796	+23.86%	0.0148	✓	1.53	941k	2022-03-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.708272	-4.11%	0.875	+18.47%	0.0158	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.5933	-4.02%	2.28	+37.35%	0.1227	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.044267	-3.96%	0.05681	+23.26%	0.0288	✓	1.24	703k	2022-03-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.0369	-3.92%	2.6409	+24.56%	0.1043	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.0363	-3.91%	7.352	+17.03%	0.0467	✓	1.38	28k	2022-03-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.6299	-3.90%	2.7417	+0.18%	0.1903	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.285586	-3.84%	0.617	+107.74%	0.5246	✗	1.39	2.1M	2022-03-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	17.0034	-3.83%	21.9	+23.87%	0.0487	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.347356	-3.81%	0.4313	+19.44%	0.0363	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-03-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.799717	-3.79%	0.9498	+14.27%	0.0445	✓	1.22	22.9M	2022-03-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.0905	-3.78%	7.13	+12.64%	0.0831	✗	0.42	1.2M	2022-03-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.026688	-3.65%	0.03351	+20.97%	0.0311	✓	1.46	497k	2022-03-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	81.7298	-3.62%	95	+12.03%	0.0065	✓	0.89	946k	2022-03-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	89.5826	-3.57%	133.07	+43.24%	0.1953	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.082914	-3.55%	0.11008	+28.04%	0.0861	✗	1.11	46k	2022-03-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.520444	-3.54%	0.728031	+34.94%	0.1284	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-03-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	64.784	-3.49%	67.174	+0.07%	0.2274	✓	1.49	231k	2022-03-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.1861	-3.45%	3.99	+20.91%	0.0150	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-03-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.3679	-3.38%	18.45	+24.08%	0.0191	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-03-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.017521	-3.36%	0.02076	+14.51%	0.0277	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.7729	-3.25%	6.421	+30.16%	0.1499	✗	0.83	65k	2022-03-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.853477	-3.23%	1.058	+19.95%	0.0284	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.142152	-3.23%	0.1543	+5.04%	0.0609	✓	0.81	321k	2022-03-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.028299	-3.15%	0.02786	-4.65%	0.1561	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-03-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.00984	-3.15%	0.01417	+39.47%	0.0994	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-03-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.405962	-3.11%	0.5139	+22.65%	0.1305	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-03-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.255091	-3.08%	0.3422	+30.02%	0.0478	✗	1.39	451k	2022-03-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.7873	-3.05%	7.939	+60.77%	0.3404	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-03-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.4892	-3.05%	2.32	+51.04%	0.2490	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000072947	-3.03%	0.0000982	+30.53%	0.0883	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-03-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.133	-2.99%	1.768	+51.37%	0.2245	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.8137	-2.98%	4.074	+40.48%	0.2043	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	149.1821	-2.96%	216.11	+40.57%	0.1929	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	8.9807	-2.91%	11.42	+23.46%	0.0029	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-03-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.403	-2.91%	1.952	+35.09%	0.1179	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-03-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.1317	-2.88%	6.5917	+4.41%	0.0668	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	90.1778	-2.87%	107.09	+15.35%	0.0569	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-03-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.874599	-2.79%	1.1845	+31.65%	0.0969	✗	1.16	97.3M	2022-03-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.6542	-2.77%	4.2578	+55.97%	0.2997	✗	0.98	2.3M	2022-03-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.4829	-2.71%	16.11	+25.57%	0.0734	✗	1.02	340k	2022-03-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	24.5968	-2.66%	29.14	+15.31%	0.0933	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-03-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.206469	-2.65%	0.2582	+21.74%	0.0468	✓	1.53	3.3M	2022-03-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	3.9839	-2.62%	6.005	+46.79%	0.2642	✗	0.82	414k	2022-03-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.4992	-2.61%	5.47	+18.40%	0.0775	✓	1.54	432k	2022-03-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	78.9917	-2.54%	89.91	+10.93%	0.1356	✓	1.49	106.7M	2022-03-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.3295	-2.53%	2.864	+19.83%	0.0427	✓	1.41	572k	2022-03-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	38,297.01	-2.40%	46,850.01	+19.40%	0.0243	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.011736	-2.36%	0.01382	+14.98%	0.0294	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.5752	-2.33%	2.4727	+53.32%	0.2732	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	33.9297	-2.30%	50.08	+44.20%	0.1247	✗	1.49	309k	2022-03-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.934174	-2.28%	1.3301	+39.14%	0.1041	✗	1.41	165k	2022-03-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.124961	-2.21%	0.144798	+13.32%	0.0300	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009321	-2.19%	0.01253	+31.48%	0.0665	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	19.0517	-2.13%	19.247	-1.13%	0.1788	✓	1.07	9.6M	2022-03-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	136.7434	-2.12%	169.24	+21.15%	0.0450	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-03-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	110.3562	-2.04%	126.01	+11.85%	0.0972	✓	1.30	58k	2022-03-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	107.1319	-2.01%	129.68	+18.61%	0.0200	✓	1.19	29.5M	2022-03-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	38,603.90	-1.99%	46,722.30	+18.63%	0.0207	✗	0.96	49k	2022-03-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1437	-1.98%	2.589	+18.38%	0.0021	✓	1.05	19k	2022-03-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1223	-1.98%	1.444	+26.11%	0.0209	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4253	-1.90%	1.749	+20.37%	0.0071	✓	1.19	963k	2022-03-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	104.7207	-1.87%	210.67	+97.40%	0.4993	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-03-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.45485	-1.85%	0.7181	+54.96%	0.1940	✗	1.48	572k	2022-03-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	16.9644	-1.83%	22.48	+30.09%	0.0454	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-03-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	6.0223	-1.80%	8.5079	+38.73%	0.0893	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.017869	-1.77%	0.03666	+101.54%	0.4341	✗	1.60	12.7M	2022-03-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0536	-1.74%	2.79	+33.49%	0.0889	✗	1.23	343k	2022-03-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008652	-1.68%	0.0124	+40.91%	0.1311	✗	1.29	546k	2022-03-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.171211	-1.66%	0.2692	+54.62%	0.2021	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-03-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.06384	-1.63%	0.08788	+35.41%	0.1007	✗	1.23	74k	2022-03-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.2162	-1.58%	8.4	+58.49%	0.3240	✗	0.86	435k	2022-03-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.474735	-1.53%	1.3598	+182.06%	0.8157	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	304.4092	-1.50%	376.78	+21.92%	0.0356	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.644922	-1.39%	0.745	+13.91%	0.0612	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.3039	-1.37%	6.324	+170.72%	0.7881	✗	1.25	727k	2022-03-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	122.9544	-1.32%	173.98	+39.63%	0.1336	✗	1.20	930k	2022-03-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.4506	-1.32%	5.33	+18.18%	0.0186	✗	0.91	696k	2022-03-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.89006	-1.31%	1.1454	+27.00%	0.0265	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.2531	-1.25%	14.36	+53.26%	0.3196	✗	0.68	853k	2022-03-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.058746	-1.23%	0.069166	+16.29%	0.0167	✗	0.83	286k	2022-03-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.1955	-1.20%	1.54	+27.27%	0.0265	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.188909	-1.17%	0.229866	+20.26%	0.0011	✓	1.11	20.5M	2022-03-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.368615	-1.10%	0.4246	+13.93%	0.1191	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-03-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.221035	-1.01%	0.275	+23.15%	0.0407	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.1193	-0.88%	10.9	+18.48%	0.0507	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.6063	-0.77%	6.49	+14.87%	0.0017	✓	0.84	430k	2022-03-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.081524	-0.58%	0.1288	+57.07%	0.1817	✗	1.55	668k	2022-03-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.227677	-0.58%	0.271	+18.34%	0.0227	✗	0.85	57k	2022-03-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	111.8946	-0.56%	148.67	+32.13%	0.1017	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-03-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.5578	-0.52%	3.779	+46.99%	0.2429	✗	0.83	207k	2022-03-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.3165	-0.51%	16.87	+17.23%	0.0555	✓	1.24	59.6M	2022-03-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.3145	-0.04%	1.595	+21.29%	0.0504	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.098505	+0.01%	0.1176	+19.39%	0.0084	✗	1.05	38k	2022-03-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,777.49	+0.29%	3,296.29	+19.02%	0.0203	✗	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.069268	+0.53%	0.0851	+23.51%	0.0202	✓	1.05	168k	2022-03-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.6499	+0.86%	7.01	+52.06%	0.2724	✓	0.78	459k	2022-03-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.023271	+2.46%	0.040217	+77.07%	0.3595	✓	1.06	114k	2022-03-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.