2022-02-21 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0202

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.05%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

50.7%

in alpha space · 46.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.32%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.332	2.3494	+0.75%	2.436	+4.46%	0.0083	✗	1.36	579k	2022-02-22
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01937	0.019503	+0.68%	0.02	+3.25%	0.0285	✗	1.65	10.9M	2022-02-22
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2241	2.2377	+0.61%	2.1087	-5.19%	0.0894	✗	0.92	28k	2022-02-22
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0474	0.047569	+0.36%	0.0502	+5.91%	0.0040	✗	1.77	64.3M	2022-02-22
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.853	1.8595	+0.35%	1.859	+0.32%	0.0329	✗	1.00	85k	2022-02-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.58	1.5855	+0.35%	1.656	+4.81%	0.0077	✓	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4442	0.445432	+0.28%	0.4585	+3.22%	0.0183	✗	1.45	586k	2022-02-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00451	0.004521	+0.24%	0.00452	+0.22%	0.0629	✗	1.92	12.9M	2022-02-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.25	1.253	+0.24%	1.31	+4.80%	0.0032	✓	1.27	1.1M	2022-02-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.34	1.3431	+0.23%	1.38	+2.99%	0.0108	✗	1.16	2.0M	2022-02-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2293	0.229822	+0.23%	0.245	+6.85%	0.0264	✓	1.15	469k	2022-02-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.52	8.5367	+0.20%	8.86	+3.99%	0.0060	✗	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-22
STX	Stacks	native	1.11	1.1121	+0.19%	1.17	+5.41%	0.0080	✓	1.31	782k	2022-02-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2042	0.204538	+0.17%	0.2163	+5.93%	0.0056	✓	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-22
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.62	2.6241	+0.16%	2.61	-0.38%	0.0380	✗	1.00	694k	2022-02-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9047	1.9075	+0.15%	1.964	+3.11%	0.0112	✗	1.24	218k	2022-02-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15154	0.151758	+0.14%	0.15134	-0.13%	0.0489	✗	1.41	30k	2022-02-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.128094	0.128254	+0.12%	0.13132	+2.52%	0.0094	✗	1.01	4.2M	2022-02-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.88573	0.886796	+0.12%	0.92764	+4.73%	0.0098	✓	1.08	165k	2022-02-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.519067	0.519683	+0.12%	0.543354	+4.68%	0.0070	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.3	1.3015	+0.11%	1.358	+4.46%	0.0025	✗	1.38	1.9M	2022-02-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1686	0.168782	+0.11%	0.1778	+5.46%	0.0063	✓	1.40	3.0M	2022-02-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.14	32.1747	+0.11%	35.27	+9.74%	0.0412	✓	1.55	335k	2022-02-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.279	0.279275	+0.10%	0.295	+5.73%	0.0110	✓	1.34	2.0M	2022-02-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.81	39.8476	+0.09%	41.51	+4.27%	0.0029	✓	1.16	27.6M	2022-02-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7569	1.7585	+0.09%	1.7886	+1.80%	0.0005	✓	0.53	2.8M	2022-02-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3401	0.340404	+0.09%	0.3536	+3.97%	0.0165	✗	1.67	16.7M	2022-02-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9731	2.9755	+0.08%	3.0712	+3.30%	0.0106	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	128.58	128.6808	+0.08%	134.74	+4.79%	0.0012	✗	1.45	6.7M	2022-02-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1717	+0.08%	2.25	+3.69%	0.0021	✓	1.02	283k	2022-02-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0877	0.087768	+0.08%	0.0886	+1.03%	0.0396	✗	1.50	700k	2022-02-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.77	17.7837	+0.08%	17.92	+0.84%	0.0306	✗	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-22
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000194	0.000001941	+0.08%	0.00000194	+0.00%	0.0334	✗	1.00	14.4M	2022-02-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.739	0.739548	+0.07%	0.799	+8.12%	0.0330	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-02-22
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.023018	0.023035	+0.07%	0.022348	-2.91%	0.0664	✗	1.11	89k	2022-02-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.003	1.0037	+0.07%	1.078	+7.48%	0.0306	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.37	1.371	+0.07%	1.423	+3.87%	0.0030	✗	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.018035	0.018048	+0.07%	0.01893	+4.96%	0.0108	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.64579	0.646216	+0.07%	0.68391	+5.90%	0.0075	✓	1.51	278k	2022-02-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.32	5.3235	+0.07%	5.611	+5.47%	0.0191	✓	1.03	297k	2022-02-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	100.47	100.5318	+0.06%	102.96	+2.48%	0.0150	✗	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0681	0.068137	+0.05%	0.0708	+3.96%	0.0067	✗	1.38	1.1M	2022-02-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7534	3.7555	+0.05%	3.9847	+6.16%	0.0202	✓	1.20	309k	2022-02-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.137	18.1468	+0.05%	18.94	+4.43%	0.0040	✓	1.19	9.8M	2022-02-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.00	2,570.35	+0.05%	2,637.98	+2.69%	0.0100	✗	1.10	581.4M	2022-02-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,642.84	19,650.88	+0.04%	20,636.07	+5.06%	0.0154	✓	1.03	5.8M	2022-02-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8572	0.857535	+0.04%	0.8881	+3.60%	0.0023	✗	1.14	97.3M	2022-02-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,023.00	37,037.31	+0.04%	38,251.48	+3.32%	0.0004	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.92	0.920326	+0.04%	0.943	+2.50%	0.0164	✗	1.25	934k	2022-02-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.34	2.3408	+0.03%	2.395	+2.35%	0.0280	✗	1.56	14.4M	2022-02-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	102.78	102.8126	+0.03%	107.51	+4.60%	0.0050	✓	1.21	29.9M	2022-02-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.889	2.8898	+0.03%	2.996	+3.70%	0.0056	✓	0.93	481k	2022-02-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.04	87.065	+0.03%	93.56	+7.49%	0.0343	✓	1.15	1.5M	2022-02-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0257	0.025707	+0.03%	0.02671	+3.93%	0.0130	✓	0.77	4.7M	2022-02-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.2713	+0.02%	5.38	+2.09%	0.0082	✗	0.88	398k	2022-02-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	21.87	21.8745	+0.02%	23.73	+8.50%	0.0322	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-22
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8148	0.814945	+0.02%	0.8466	+3.90%	0.0127	✗	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012214	0.012216	+0.02%	0.012503	+2.37%	0.0144	✗	1.15	61k	2022-02-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4728	0.472865	+0.01%	0.5209	+10.17%	0.0537	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006783	0.000067837	+0.01%	0.00007222	+6.47%	0.0251	✓	1.15	4.6M	2022-02-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3661	0.366133	+0.01%	0.3853	+5.24%	0.0043	✓	1.43	1.5M	2022-02-22
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.2	4.2003	+0.01%	4.43	+5.48%	0.0174	✓	1.10	485k	2022-02-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.73	3.7302	+0.01%	4.004	+7.35%	0.0302	✓	1.24	2.3M	2022-02-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.77	13.7706	+0.00%	14.5	+5.30%	0.0275	✓	0.74	1.8M	2022-02-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.05994	0.059942	+0.00%	0.06248	+4.24%	0.0151	✓	0.81	80k	2022-02-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.17816	0.178165	+0.00%	0.18564	+4.20%	0.0067	✓	1.05	21.8M	2022-02-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.021	4.0207	-0.01%	4.152	+3.26%	0.0042	✗	0.86	383k	2022-02-22
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8883	0.888205	-0.01%	0.818	-7.91%	0.1070	✓	0.76	1.5M	2022-02-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8395	5.8388	-0.01%	5.8481	+0.15%	0.0110	✓	0.38	412k	2022-02-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.0927	0.092689	-0.01%	0.0987	+6.47%	0.0296	✗	1.02	38k	2022-02-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	70.08	70.071	-0.01%	74.42	+6.19%	0.0113	✗	1.50	106.7M	2022-02-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.384	1.3838	-0.01%	1.466	+5.92%	0.0111	✗	1.43	970k	2022-02-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.64	18.6367	-0.02%	19.18	+2.90%	0.0117	✓	1.24	10.1M	2022-02-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8775	2.8769	-0.02%	2.9222	+1.55%	0.0173	✓	1.01	2.5M	2022-02-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1283	0.128266	-0.03%	0.1319	+2.81%	0.0058	✓	1.03	467k	2022-02-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	23.83	23.8236	-0.03%	24.84	+4.24%	0.0059	✗	1.10	56.2M	2022-02-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.0829	6.0812	-0.03%	6.1901	+1.76%	0.0101	✓	0.85	3.2M	2022-02-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.51	13.5062	-0.03%	13.98	+3.48%	0.0052	✓	1.21	61.5M	2022-02-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7431	5.7412	-0.03%	6.0072	+4.60%	0.0030	✓	1.48	172k	2022-02-22
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03362	0.033608	-0.03%	0.03997	+18.89%	0.1494	✗	0.73	1.7M	2022-02-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.321	2.3201	-0.04%	2.372	+2.20%	0.0195	✓	1.27	845k	2022-02-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.4827	2.4818	-0.04%	2.6533	+6.87%	0.0256	✗	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.57	1.5694	-0.04%	1.69	+7.64%	0.0301	✗	1.35	2.0M	2022-02-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.719669	-0.05%	0.71	-1.39%	0.0779	✓	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.2784	-0.05%	3.4	+3.66%	0.0091	✓	1.39	7.1M	2022-02-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	283.16	283.0213	-0.05%	293.48	+3.64%	0.0042	✗	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.444	0.443724	-0.06%	0.454	+2.25%	0.0221	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1229	0.122822	-0.06%	0.1318	+7.24%	0.0285	✗	1.29	3.2M	2022-02-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00847	0.008465	-0.06%	0.00878	+3.66%	0.0023	✗	1.05	504k	2022-02-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25	24.983	-0.07%	26.68	+6.72%	0.0302	✗	1.09	5.2M	2022-02-22
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.13	50.0949	-0.07%	54.77	+9.26%	0.0452	✗	1.35	4.8M	2022-02-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	17.63	17.6176	-0.07%	19.41	+10.10%	0.0468	✗	1.53	350k	2022-02-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7113	0.710783	-0.07%	0.7509	+5.57%	0.0178	✗	1.14	9.9M	2022-02-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.35	47.3153	-0.07%	51.15	+8.03%	0.0359	✗	1.29	8.1M	2022-02-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0613	0.061255	-0.07%	0.0629	+2.61%	0.0085	✓	1.07	14k	2022-02-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.16	2.1583	-0.08%	2.18	+0.93%	0.0297	✓	1.22	324k	2022-02-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059472	0.059423	-0.08%	0.06264	+5.33%	0.0253	✗	0.84	307k	2022-02-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.481	0.480605	-0.08%	0.4976	+3.45%	0.0047	✗	0.92	684k	2022-02-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		80.87	80.7965	-0.09%	83.42	+3.15%	0.0029	✗	0.89	1.0M	2022-02-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.241	5.2362	-0.09%	5.266	+0.48%	0.0205	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-22
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4311	0.430704	-0.09%	0.453	+5.08%	0.0123	✓	1.92	2.0M	2022-02-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6112	-0.09%	1.626	+0.82%	0.0279	✓	1.13	75k	2022-02-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.92	4.9152	-0.10%	5.156	+4.80%	0.0149	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	125.92	125.7891	-0.10%	129.85	+3.12%	0.0071	✓	1.19	930k	2022-02-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7852	0.784358	-0.11%	0.8111	+3.30%	0.0071	✓	1.24	23.9M	2022-02-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7421	0.741297	-0.11%	0.8019	+8.06%	0.0302	✗	1.48	411k	2022-02-22
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.37	2.3674	-0.11%	2.49	+5.06%	0.0178	✗	1.00	639k	2022-02-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3572	0.35681	-0.11%	0.3823	+7.03%	0.0231	✗	1.41	8.7M	2022-02-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.64	8.6304	-0.11%	8.66	+0.23%	0.0390	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	106.88	106.7594	-0.11%	115.85	+8.39%	0.0498	✗	0.98	6.6M	2022-02-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	82.97	82.8758	-0.11%	86.43	+4.17%	0.0014	✗	1.24	154.8M	2022-02-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04508	0.045023	-0.13%	0.0466	+3.37%	0.0108	✓	1.39	865k	2022-02-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.06	9.0483	-0.13%	9.51	+4.97%	0.0268	✗	0.70	758k	2022-02-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.9	13.8818	-0.13%	14.82	+6.62%	0.0113	✗	1.66	2.9M	2022-02-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.19	16.1684	-0.13%	16.61	+2.59%	0.0166	✓	1.34	30.0M	2022-02-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.639147	-0.13%	0.707	+10.47%	0.0660	✗	1.07	1.9M	2022-02-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	68.7997	68.7075	-0.13%	69.8217	+1.49%	0.0331	✓	1.51	257k	2022-02-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2206	0.220285	-0.14%	0.2269	+2.86%	0.0039	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.83	4.8229	-0.15%	4.94	+2.28%	0.0019	✓	0.79	431k	2022-02-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.583	2.5787	-0.17%	2.693	+4.26%	0.0160	✗	0.84	203k	2022-02-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.48	12.4584	-0.17%	12.96	+3.85%	0.0059	✗	1.03	404k	2022-02-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	106.4	106.21	-0.18%	112.33	+5.57%	0.0139	✗	1.29	59k	2022-02-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0791	0.078947	-0.19%	0.08458	+6.93%	0.0330	✗	1.10	49k	2022-02-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.83	5.8186	-0.20%	5.83	+0.00%	0.0270	✓	0.89	430k	2022-02-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.04	6.0281	-0.20%	6.214	+2.88%	0.0184	✗	0.37	32k	2022-02-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.00929	0.009271	-0.20%	0.00963	+3.66%	0.0045	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.51	26.4556	-0.21%	30.14	+13.69%	0.0985	✗	0.98	1.5M	2022-02-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.95	5.9377	-0.21%	6.26	+5.21%	0.0397	✗	0.40	1.4M	2022-02-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.77	3.7621	-0.21%	3.874	+2.76%	0.0123	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-22
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0692	0.069049	-0.22%	0.072	+4.05%	0.0045	✗	1.14	194k	2022-02-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.7052	-0.22%	6.9	+2.68%	0.0217	✗	0.21	1.3M	2022-02-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.933	1.9287	-0.22%	2.01	+3.98%	0.0069	✗	1.05	20k	2022-02-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03591	0.035827	-0.23%	0.03793	+5.63%	0.0208	✗	1.11	32k	2022-02-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002404	0.000023982	-0.24%	0.00002495	+3.79%	0.0058	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8682	2.8606	-0.26%	2.8677	-0.02%	0.0307	✓	1.02	2.4M	2022-02-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.248	0.247329	-0.27%	0.24	-3.23%	0.0603	✓	0.93	68k	2022-02-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	148	147.5865	-0.28%	150.97	+2.01%	0.0101	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0263	0.026225	-0.28%	0.0265	+0.76%	0.0368	✓	1.45	497k	2022-02-22
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.99	1.9843	-0.29%	1.83	-8.04%	0.1380	✓	1.75	680k	2022-02-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01004	0.010005	-0.35%	0.0104	+3.59%	0.0120	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-02-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1385	1.1341	-0.39%	1.272	+11.72%	0.0726	✗	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1488	0.148207	-0.40%	0.1484	-0.27%	0.0256	✓	0.82	362k	2022-02-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,080.10	36,930.73	-0.40%	38,333.50	+3.38%	0.0057	✗	0.97	42k	2022-02-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01284	0.012783	-0.44%	0.01237	-3.66%	0.0582	✓	0.78	15k	2022-02-22
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.91	0.905881	-0.45%	0.89	-2.20%	0.0503	✓	1.00	281k	2022-02-22
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.132	0.131289	-0.54%	0.139	+5.30%	0.0234	✗	1.03	51k	2022-02-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050288	0.050009	-0.56%	0.051003	+1.42%	0.0218	✓	1.27	7.5M	2022-02-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.72	5.684	-0.63%	5.979	+4.53%	0.0394	✗	0.34	2.0M	2022-02-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.646	1.6355	-0.64%	1.72	+4.50%	0.0003	✓	1.53	191k	2022-02-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.0318	-0.75%	5.11	+0.79%	0.0170	✓	0.99	682k	2022-02-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.