2022-02-18 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1515

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-4.01%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.0%

in alpha space · 59.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.30%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00516	0.005167	+0.14%	0.0051	-1.16%	0.0189	✗	1.94	15.8M	2022-02-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0548	2.0572	+0.11%	2.071	+0.79%	0.0030	✓	1.24	292k	2022-02-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5682	0.568764	+0.10%	0.5475	-3.64%	0.0423	✗	1.43	665k	2022-02-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9795	2.9824	+0.10%	2.3136	-22.35%	0.2567	✗	0.95	27k	2022-02-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0419	1.0423	+0.03%	1.0275	-1.39%	0.0175	✗	1.06	193k	2022-02-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2677	0.267788	+0.03%	0.273	+1.98%	0.0160	✓	1.09	538k	2022-02-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.518	1.5185	+0.03%	1.491	-1.78%	0.0217	✗	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17101	0.171058	+0.03%	0.15998	-6.45%	0.0712	✗	1.44	32k	2022-02-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.16	10.1618	+0.02%	10.03	-1.28%	0.0169	✗	1.31	11.7M	2022-02-19
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.017	2.0173	+0.01%	2.186	+8.38%	0.0774	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-19
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.85	2.8503	+0.01%	2.82	-1.05%	0.0136	✗	1.00	737k	2022-02-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5229	0.522874	-0.00%	0.5576	+6.64%	0.0604	✗	1.30	2.3M	2022-02-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.61	1.6098	-0.01%	1.58	-1.86%	0.0223	✓	1.21	1.2M	2022-02-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0978	0.097786	-0.01%	0.0963	-1.53%	0.0198	✓	1.50	919k	2022-02-19
STX	Stacks	native	1.35	1.3498	-0.01%	1.31	-2.96%	0.0329	✓	1.00	911k	2022-02-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.138612	0.138587	-0.02%	0.141002	+1.72%	0.0143	✗	1.01	5.6M	2022-02-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594984	0.594872	-0.02%	0.594043	-0.16%	0.0048	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-02-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.11	37.1024	-0.02%	38.13	+2.75%	0.0228	✗	1.53	405k	2022-02-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.3794	-0.02%	2.38	+0.00%	0.0028	✓	1.02	342k	2022-02-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02552	0.025513	-0.03%	0.02516	-1.41%	0.0180	✓	1.38	10.9M	2022-02-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.989669	-0.03%	0.99	+0.00%	0.0034	✓	1.27	818k	2022-02-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.1036	-0.04%	1.132	+2.54%	0.0218	✗	1.23	3.3M	2022-02-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.246911	-0.04%	0.247	+0.00%	0.0041	✓	1.52	3.8M	2022-02-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1967	0.196622	-0.04%	0.198	+0.66%	0.0029	✗	1.37	3.5M	2022-02-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.3	5.2975	-0.05%	5.31	+0.19%	0.0007	✓	1.03	701k	2022-02-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	109.21	109.1512	-0.05%	112.33	+2.86%	0.0252	✗	1.18	7.6M	2022-02-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6654	1.6644	-0.06%	1.6691	+0.22%	0.0005	✓	1.12	72k	2022-02-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.08	2,778.32	-0.06%	2,764.44	-0.56%	0.0083	✓	1.12	588.4M	2022-02-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.552	19.5396	-0.06%	19.839	+1.47%	0.0116	✗	1.21	10.0M	2022-02-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1011	0.101031	-0.07%	0.1018	+0.69%	0.0046	✗	1.02	37k	2022-02-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0602	0.060152	-0.08%	0.0593	-1.50%	0.0194	✓	1.73	64.3M	2022-02-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.35	4.3464	-0.08%	4.2985	-1.18%	0.0146	✓	1.19	330k	2022-02-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,983.56	39,950.31	-0.08%	40,101.94	+0.30%	0.0008	✗	1.00	690.2M	2022-02-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.58	1.5787	-0.08%	1.57	-0.63%	0.0095	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5886	-0.09%	1.58	-0.63%	0.0090	✓	1.22	1.3M	2022-02-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9958	0.994798	-0.10%	0.9969	+0.11%	0.0012	✓	1.11	98.1M	2022-02-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	19.5901	-0.10%	20	+1.99%	0.0173	✗	1.15	23.7M	2022-02-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.86	0.85912	-0.10%	0.861	+0.12%	0.0018	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-02-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4198	0.419361	-0.10%	0.419	-0.19%	0.0058	✓	1.66	17.8M	2022-02-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.05	2.0478	-0.11%	1.98	-3.41%	0.0368	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.97	5.9637	-0.11%	5.92	-0.84%	0.0098	✓	0.83	398k	2022-02-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	43.0445	-0.11%	42.78	-0.72%	0.0096	✓	1.17	29.5M	2022-02-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.85	114.7264	-0.11%	115.59	+0.64%	0.0039	✗	1.21	31.6M	2022-02-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.61	50.5536	-0.11%	50.46	-0.30%	0.0060	✓	1.41	5.6M	2022-02-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.64	145.4703	-0.12%	146.18	+0.37%	0.0007	✓	1.42	7.3M	2022-02-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.200634	0.2004	-0.12%	0.204174	+1.76%	0.0156	✗	1.02	22.0M	2022-02-19
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000205	0.000002047	-0.13%	0.00000202	-1.46%	0.0164	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1446	0.144415	-0.13%	0.1444	-0.14%	0.0031	✓	1.03	470k	2022-02-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019599	0.019573	-0.13%	0.020617	+5.19%	0.0486	✗	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.889	3.8838	-0.13%	3.675	-5.50%	0.0586	✓	1.13	593k	2022-02-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1093	3.1051	-0.14%	3.0659	-1.40%	0.0155	✓	0.96	2.5M	2022-02-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.708	5.7002	-0.14%	5.7961	+1.54%	0.0156	✗	0.37	441k	2022-02-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00961	0.009597	-0.14%	0.00967	+0.62%	0.0046	✗	1.02	504k	2022-02-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.389	6.3802	-0.14%	6.265	-1.94%	0.0211	✓	0.99	407k	2022-02-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.581	2.5774	-0.14%	2.586	+0.19%	0.0004	✓	1.28	911k	2022-02-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4211	0.420484	-0.15%	0.4201	-0.24%	0.0052	✓	1.44	1.6M	2022-02-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.58	113.4103	-0.15%	110.71	-2.53%	0.0271	✓	1.01	7.5M	2022-02-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015984	0.01596	-0.15%	0.015145	-5.25%	0.0557	✓	1.10	335k	2022-02-19
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9999	0.998381	-0.15%	0.9635	-3.64%	0.0401	✓	1.55	1.9M	2022-02-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02928	0.029236	-0.15%	0.02878	-1.71%	0.0182	✓	0.85	5.3M	2022-02-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.321498	-0.16%	0.325	+0.93%	0.0069	✗	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.44	87.297	-0.16%	87.64	+0.23%	0.0013	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-02-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063085	0.062982	-0.16%	0.063482	+0.63%	0.0054	✗	0.84	330k	2022-02-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.181	3.1757	-0.17%	3.281	+3.14%	0.0300	✗	0.88	481k	2022-02-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75452	0.753271	-0.17%	0.75237	-0.28%	0.0056	✓	1.48	334k	2022-02-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.32	105.1435	-0.17%	102.42	-2.75%	0.0295	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000786	0.000078467	-0.17%	0.00007811	-0.62%	0.0079	✓	1.13	4.8M	2022-02-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6403	6.6291	-0.17%	6.6548	+0.22%	0.0014	✓	0.83	3.6M	2022-02-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,934.46	21,895.97	-0.18%	21,669.76	-1.21%	0.0134	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-02-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.01	24.9658	-0.18%	25.4	+1.56%	0.0128	✗	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.881	5.8704	-0.18%	5.766	-1.96%	0.0203	✓	0.80	68k	2022-02-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.2	15.1717	-0.19%	15.52	+2.11%	0.0192	✗	1.20	69.3M	2022-02-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	310.22	309.6295	-0.19%	312.05	+0.59%	0.0049	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-02-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0682	0.068067	-0.19%	0.0679	-0.44%	0.0056	✓	1.07	17k	2022-02-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8164	-0.20%	1.82	+0.00%	0.0020	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-02-19
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04094	0.04086	-0.20%	0.03967	-3.10%	0.0316	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.9	89.7163	-0.20%	91.34	+1.60%	0.0143	✗	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.02	20.9766	-0.21%	20.82	-0.95%	0.0111	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1365	0.136212	-0.21%	0.1472	+7.84%	0.0738	✗	1.27	3.3M	2022-02-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07167	0.071509	-0.22%	0.07126	-0.57%	0.0058	✓	0.77	88k	2022-02-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.43	2.4245	-0.22%	2.42	-0.41%	0.0054	✓	1.21	390k	2022-02-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.674	1.6702	-0.23%	1.664	-0.60%	0.0078	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-02-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6234	3.6152	-0.23%	3.6074	-0.44%	0.0059	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.8035	-0.23%	2.81	+0.00%	0.0021	✓	1.51	15.4M	2022-02-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.494	0.49283	-0.24%	0.489	-1.01%	0.0119	✓	1.39	4.7M	2022-02-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,196.70	40,101.39	-0.24%	39,901.00	-0.74%	0.0079	✓	0.97	58k	2022-02-19
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.0542	1.0517	-0.24%	0.9816	-6.89%	0.0712	✓	0.77	1.5M	2022-02-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.2	15.1639	-0.24%	15.11	-0.59%	0.0056	✓	0.68	1.7M	2022-02-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.026937	0.026873	-0.24%	0.02609	-3.14%	0.0329	✓	1.14	88k	2022-02-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.3596	-0.24%	4.37	+0.00%	0.0012	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.75	83.5492	-0.24%	85.07	+1.58%	0.0139	✗	1.39	110.8M	2022-02-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.85	26.7853	-0.24%	26.69	-0.60%	0.0066	✓	1.04	64.2M	2022-02-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04965	0.04953	-0.24%	0.05154	+3.81%	0.0357	✗	1.37	1.0M	2022-02-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.877	0.874868	-0.24%	0.8878	+1.23%	0.0103	✗	1.46	464k	2022-02-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.83	17.7859	-0.25%	17.86	+0.17%	0.0002	✓	1.34	32.8M	2022-02-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.77	15.7301	-0.25%	16.06	+1.84%	0.0157	✗	1.70	3.1M	2022-02-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.25	5.2366	-0.26%	5.28	+0.57%	0.0060	✗	0.76	415k	2022-02-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.51	20.4573	-0.26%	20.48	-0.15%	0.0034	✓	1.53	383k	2022-02-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.96	28.8853	-0.26%	28.7	-0.90%	0.0096	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.716	4.7038	-0.26%	4.472	-5.17%	0.0529	✓	0.81	383k	2022-02-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0812	0.080989	-0.26%	0.0806	-0.74%	0.0087	✓	1.33	1.1M	2022-02-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8015	0.799325	-0.27%	0.827	+3.18%	0.0309	✗	1.07	10.8M	2022-02-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.29	5.2753	-0.28%	5.08	-3.97%	0.0408	✓	1.04	517k	2022-02-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	55.59	55.4347	-0.28%	54.84	-1.35%	0.0145	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-02-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.44	14.3989	-0.28%	14.06	-2.63%	0.0268	✓	1.02	483k	2022-02-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.076	3.0672	-0.29%	3.0416	-1.12%	0.0113	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4126	0.411413	-0.29%	0.4172	+1.11%	0.0099	✗	1.39	9.0M	2022-02-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2543	0.253561	-0.29%	0.2512	-1.22%	0.0123	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2333	7.2122	-0.29%	6.787	-6.17%	0.0651	✓	1.45	179k	2022-02-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.52	121.1579	-0.30%	121.25	-0.22%	0.0030	✓	1.29	59k	2022-02-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	150.07	149.6145	-0.30%	151.15	+0.72%	0.0068	✗	1.17	973k	2022-02-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04101	0.040884	-0.31%	0.04064	-0.90%	0.0092	✓	1.09	31k	2022-02-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.222	2.2151	-0.31%	2.168	-2.43%	0.0246	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.91	3.8977	-0.31%	3.87	-1.02%	0.0112	✓	1.38	7.8M	2022-02-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.261	0.26017	-0.32%	0.254	-2.68%	0.0267	✓	0.91	73k	2022-02-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.97	2.9602	-0.33%	2.8917	-2.64%	0.0269	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-02-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01063	0.010595	-0.33%	0.01032	-2.92%	0.0301	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.37	6.3488	-0.33%	6.41	+0.63%	0.0071	✗	0.86	449k	2022-02-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.895	0.892023	-0.33%	0.9001	+0.57%	0.0054	✗	1.24	26.6M	2022-02-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0797	0.079435	-0.33%	0.0784	-1.63%	0.0164	✓	1.11	210k	2022-02-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.886952	-0.34%	0.85	-4.49%	0.0484	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.903	6.8793	-0.34%	6.873	-0.43%	0.0020	✓	0.35	36k	2022-02-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.35	10.3139	-0.35%	9.99	-3.48%	0.0356	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09046	0.090142	-0.35%	0.08925	-1.34%	0.0132	✓	1.09	50k	2022-02-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.17	10.1332	-0.36%	9.9	-2.65%	0.0252	✓	0.66	821k	2022-02-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.92	5.8983	-0.37%	5.69	-3.89%	0.0389	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5205	0.518567	-0.37%	0.4814	-7.51%	0.0799	✓	1.86	1.9M	2022-02-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.1979	82.8888	-0.37%	84.5568	+1.63%	0.0156	✗	1.47	315k	2022-02-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.76812	-0.37%	0.749	-2.85%	0.0283	✓	1.05	1.9M	2022-02-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01279	0.01274	-0.39%	0.01266	-1.02%	0.0087	✓	0.80	15k	2022-02-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0302	0.030077	-0.41%	0.03	-0.66%	0.0068	✓	1.44	493k	2022-02-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.08	28.9613	-0.41%	30.94	+6.40%	0.0633	✗	0.93	1.2M	2022-02-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	160.94	160.2782	-0.41%	161.12	+0.11%	0.0022	✓	1.01	1.2M	2022-02-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.558813	-0.43%	0.5485	-2.26%	0.0213	✓	0.90	780k	2022-02-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.02	3.0065	-0.45%	2.973	-1.56%	0.0135	✓	0.78	212k	2022-02-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.196	1.1906	-0.45%	1.1527	-3.62%	0.0361	✓	1.26	2.6M	2022-02-19
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.1403	-0.45%	2.16	+0.47%	0.0039	✓	1.79	744k	2022-02-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1609	0.160137	-0.47%	0.1581	-1.74%	0.0148	✓	0.66	372k	2022-02-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.67	7.6334	-0.48%	7.27	-5.22%	0.0493	✓	0.19	1.4M	2022-02-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.7	4.6775	-0.48%	4.93	+4.89%	0.0490	✗	1.22	1.9M	2022-02-19
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.93	2.9145	-0.53%	2.74	-6.48%	0.0647	✓	1.00	736k	2022-02-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002815	0.000027998	-0.54%	0.0000275	-2.31%	0.0220	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-02-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.93	6.8915	-0.56%	6.99	+0.87%	0.0131	✗	0.37	1.6M	2022-02-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.1176	2.1058	-0.56%	1.9802	-6.49%	0.0631	✓	0.55	3.1M	2022-02-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0487	0.048421	-0.57%	0.059376	+21.92%	0.2004	✗	1.21	7.5M	2022-02-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01204	0.011965	-0.62%	0.01191	-1.08%	0.0092	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-02-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6049	1.5936	-0.70%	1.8854	+17.48%	0.1637	✗	1.51	164k	2022-02-19
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.139	0.137934	-0.77%	0.135	-2.88%	0.0247	✓	1.09	57k	2022-02-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.01	5.9385	-1.19%	7.47	+24.29%	0.2288	✗	0.20	1.8M	2022-02-19
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0533	-1.56%	1.01	-5.61%	0.0449	✓	1.00	271k	2022-02-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.