8=======>

2022-02-16 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3137
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.3%
in alpha space · 82.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.5014+0.57%6.43+17.55%0.1952✓0.79407k2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.085355+0.30%0.0717-15.75%0.1143✗1.21194k2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,131.52+0.23%2,939.17-5.93%0.0072✗1.13581.4M2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.1044-0.21%15.02-12.37%0.0705✓1.2070.2M2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.7485-0.29%12.43+15.31%0.1783✗0.67821k2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8501-0.53%1.05-43.55%0.5066✓1.211.3M2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.286266-0.60%0.233-19.10%0.1598✓0.9373k2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.7178-0.62%6.37-5.77%0.0098✓0.88430k2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.55128.234-1.02%116.39-10.16%0.0468✓1.017.8M2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.104078-1.07%0.0868-17.49%0.1049✓1.55996k2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55330.9523-1.08%305.71-8.62%0.0302✓0.998.9M2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.30293-1.23%0.3002-2.12%0.0467✗1.13538k2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.216036-1.24%0.192891-11.82%0.0623✓1.0321.9M2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.080154-1.25%0.07318-9.84%0.0538✓0.7589k2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.11420.112621-1.38%0.1-12.43%0.0686✓1.0137k2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.775505-1.46%0.64-18.68%0.1371✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.065491-1.48%0.061738-7.12%0.0170✓0.85344k2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.467677-1.62%0.3288-30.84%0.2788✓1.481.9M2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4105-1.69%2.189-10.73%0.0444✓1.0520k2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.1385-1.72%25.79-9.92%0.0123✓1.512.0M2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.264411-1.82%0.2478-7.98%0.0140✓1.031.8M2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.4166-1.84%18.96-4.15%0.0437✗1.3633.6M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration166.77163.5159-1.95%148.53-10.94%0.0368✓1.20973k2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.1515-2.03%3.346+4.01%0.0994✗0.80215k2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.215637-2.07%0.2087-5.22%0.0363✗1.393.7M2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01133.1244-2.12%119.38-12.23%0.0444✓1.3058k2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.7851-2.14%2.1269+16.60%0.2315✗1.1469k2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.88276.7349-2.15%6.34-7.88%0.0178✓0.863.8M2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002133-2.15%0.00000186-14.68%0.0875✓1.0014.3M2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.4054-2.16%18.259-12.45%0.0480✓1.2710.1M2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.085.9487-2.16%4.24-30.26%0.2869✓1.04555k2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2458-2.22%1.216-4.55%0.0369✗1.233.4M2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.01054-2.23%0.00919-14.75%0.0852✓1.05483k2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.3739-2.24%8.18+25.46%0.2904✗0.83463k2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.09568-2.26%0.0956-2.34%0.0540✗1.1150k2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8042,926.15-2.35%41,510.70-5.57%0.0147✓0.9751k2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.145222-2.36%0.119322-19.78%0.1462✓1.016.1M2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana101.9499.519-2.37%89.87-11.84%0.0392✓1.27179.7M2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6472-2.42%1.574-6.75%0.0118✓1.162.1M2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0926-2.45%1.515+35.27%0.3957✗1.39694k2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.3408-2.47%1.645-31.46%0.3029✓1.013.2M2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5642,811.08-2.47%41,774.98-4.83%0.0250✗1.00642.7M2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44166.207-2.48%160.34-5.93%0.0340✗1.418.0M2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative1.11251.0846-2.51%0.9186-17.43%0.0873✓1.591.9M2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.554041-2.51%0.8733+53.67%0.5224✗1.362.4M2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase40.6239.5972-2.52%41.26+1.58%0.1194✗1.58364k2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013539-2.53%0.01224-11.88%0.0621✓0.7814k2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84124.5382-2.58%111.9-12.47%0.0460✓1.2332.4M2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.953734-2.59%0.7552-22.87%0.1725✓1.2326.7M2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash125.58122.3254-2.59%172.57+37.42%0.4042✗1.217.4M2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2210.9285-2.60%9.62-14.26%0.0612✓1.3412.2M2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.6772-2.62%4.828+0.52%0.0727✗0.83379k2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7625-2.62%1.591-12.10%0.0407✓1.251.3M2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.487-2.66%13.65-14.20%0.0750✓1.04483k2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.031297-2.68%0.02515-21.80%0.1764✓0.856.2M2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.27722-2.73%0.2119-25.65%0.1926✓1.544.0M2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.6516-2.75%6.123-22.18%0.1500✓1.47153k2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.1568-2.79%15.01-14.96%0.0480✓1.733.4M2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0527-2.82%0.852-21.35%0.1551✓1.14106.9M2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.7274-2.90%6.275+123.39%0.8997✗1.341.0M2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero179.36174.1322-2.91%195+8.72%0.1634✗1.011.2M2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.4095-2.97%3.671+4.47%0.1179✗0.89481k2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.169504-2.97%0.133-23.87%0.2099✓0.66388k2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000082784-3.05%0.00008127-4.82%0.0380✗1.144.7M2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1551-3.05%1.0729-9.96%0.0200✓1.09193k2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.655929-3.13%0.537425-20.63%0.1424✓1.153.6M2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.952189-3.13%0.836-14.95%0.0625✓1.372.4M2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3992.326-3.21%85.76-10.10%0.0018✓1.45104.0M2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.3993-3.23%8.77-25.55%0.1981✓1.303.1M2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.604507-3.28%0.4549-27.22%0.1897✓1.911.8M2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.030929-3.29%0.04379+36.93%0.4138✗1.3410.7M2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.012995-3.31%0.0115-14.43%0.0447✓1.571.8M2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.675629-3.33%0.4424-36.70%0.3494✓1.50665k2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.927986-3.35%0.7275-24.23%0.1684✓1.52552k2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.1121-3.36%0.105-9.48%0.0159✓1.0064k2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5587-3.44%2.26-14.72%0.0617✓1.26390k2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.011710.011305-3.46%0.00928-20.75%0.1313✓1.331.2M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.577-3.48%2.4-10.11%0.0201✓1.03373k2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.086843-3.51%0.0711-21.00%0.1328✓1.36868k2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.359641-3.58%0.616+65.15%0.6054✗1.362.3M2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.1772-3.59%2.3491+4.02%0.1383✗1.26367k2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.169837-3.63%0.1531-13.13%0.0242✓1.6132k2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.691.146-3.65%80.59-14.81%0.0790✓0.891.1M2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551592.0261-3.69%54.2608-43.21%0.4525✓1.53315k2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.970.933362-3.78%0.94-3.09%0.0566✗1.00269k2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum6.075.8396-3.80%4.31-29.00%0.2535✓1.02701k2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.7888-3.83%1.365-26.61%0.2015✓1.392.9M2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.246.9625-3.83%6.14-15.19%0.1123✓0.271.2M2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.072792-3.84%0.0728-3.83%0.0534✗1.0817k2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.0452-3.94%2.19-30.91%0.2801✓1.00829k2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0821.2035-3.97%16.88-23.55%0.1709✓1.1524.2M2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3127.1554-4.08%28.09-0.78%0.0811✗0.951.2M2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.0657-4.09%13.06-22.03%0.1743✓0.661.5M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.516912-4.10%0.402-25.42%0.1806✓1.434.5M2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.800983-4.12%0.84294+0.91%0.1259✗1.51334k2022-03-18
DASHDashDash115.33110.5597-4.14%98.87-14.27%0.0569✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 256.0253.6912-4.16%88.61+58.18%0.5713✗1.426.3M2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.2488-4.22%1.639-30.20%0.2668✓1.0084k2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.576418-4.25%0.512-14.95%0.0742✓0.89840k2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.0393-4.26%1.85-13.15%0.0312✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.042737-4.31%0.04078-8.69%0.0080✓1.1131k2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.4438-4.38%4.3273+20.15%0.2784✗1.012.5M2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.02081-4.42%0.01673-23.16%0.1566✓1.242.4M2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.6802-4.49%5.029+2.63%0.1338✗1.252.6M2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000029561-4.49%0.00002236-27.75%0.2097✓1.402.8M2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.6086-4.57%4.289-11.19%0.0125✓1.20335k2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.1131-4.57%4.924-33.94%0.3201✓0.96407k2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.031968-4.57%0.0271-19.10%0.0907✓1.50499k2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0322.9203-4.62%20.21-15.90%0.0495✓1.54387k2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.851032-4.73%0.7285-18.45%0.1025✓1.0711.9M2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.464137-4.73%0.4108-15.68%0.0527✓1.408.9M2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum4.874.6379-4.77%3.723-23.55%0.1579✓1.251.9M2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.551.4741-4.89%1.3-16.13%0.0762✓1.00980k2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2397.8333-4.92%5.917-28.18%0.2672✓0.2737k2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.0956-5.13%2.4451-25.07%0.1764✓1.203.3M2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0821.8769-5.21%17.61-23.70%0.1568✓1.2110.5M2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.1371-5.22%2.07-37.46%0.3662✓1.00681k2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.3843.9241-5.30%44.58-3.88%0.0738✗1.1930.4M2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.054528-5.32%0.04977-13.58%0.0224✓1.391.2M2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos4.03823.8232-5.32%3.1614-21.71%0.1264✓1.292.4M2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.848-5.33%1.451-25.67%0.1727✓1.401.1M2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.0186-5.34%5.34-16.01%0.0780✓0.8472k2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.33-5.46%4.609+0.63%0.0804✗0.361.8M2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.7354-5.47%3.8721-2.01%0.0798✗0.892.3M2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.172.9964-5.48%2.251-28.99%0.2118✓1.5016.5M2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.147559-5.53%0.1214-22.28%0.1284✓1.353.2M2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.050.988623-5.85%0.68-35.24%0.2740✓2.021.1M2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.052794-5.87%0.0395-29.57%0.2286✓1.247.6M2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.157932-5.88%0.1516-9.65%0.0102✓1.03470k2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.5183-5.93%2.1916-41.40%0.4272✓0.9330k2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.1164-6.33%7.638+16.97%0.2722✗1.011.9M2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4259.3445-6.43%50.47-20.42%0.0994✓1.269.2M2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.0219-6.47%3.31-23.02%0.1260✓1.397.9M2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.334-6.47%1.1296-20.80%0.1032✓1.272.4M2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.247.7033-6.51%5.95-27.79%0.2440✓0.291.7M2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2530.1141-6.62%28.05-13.02%0.0183✓1.065.5M2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.015837-6.67%0.011938-29.65%0.2265✓1.13450k2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.4743-6.69%6.0844+3.71%0.1228✗0.35441k2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.1124-7.44%3.3831+48.24%0.4999✗0.582.9M2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.026157-7.52%0.017275-38.92%0.3509✓1.2989k2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.411905-8.10%0.3368-24.85%0.1155✓1.7321.4M2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5126.1808-8.17%28.63+0.42%0.1440✗1.1066.4M2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0021,695.03-8.42%20,575.06-13.15%0.0030✓1.017.2M2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.063579-8.52%0.0633-8.92%0.0829✓1.7664.3M2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.00549-8.65%0.00358-40.43%0.3280✓2.0117.9M2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.041741-8.92%0.03367-26.53%0.1751✓0.802.2M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.4672-10.01%1.578-3.22%0.1498✗1.55140k2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.0804-10.11%0.74-38.43%0.3318✓0.941.5M2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum2.342.0703-11.53%1.4-40.17%0.2949✓1.94812k2022-03-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.4602-11.61%2.369-53.05%0.5822✓1.02664k2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.