2022-02-09 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2197

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+14.40%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.4%

in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-12.80%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.1356	-13.07%	2.42	-59.04%	0.6155	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.2008	-11.11%	0.7156	-47.03%	0.3807	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.1955	-10.75%	1.51	-38.62%	0.2374	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	23,936.07	-8.97%	18,538.11	-29.50%	0.1262	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-03-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.034131	-8.91%	0.01489	-60.26%	0.6542	✓	1.28	114k	2022-03-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.042811	-8.89%	0.04078	-13.22%	0.0883	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-03-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.51782	-8.59%	0.3152	-44.36%	0.2506	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-03-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.2756	-7.91%	1.4867	+7.33%	0.3648	✗	1.55	107k	2022-03-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.079234	-7.87%	0.0576	-33.02%	0.0895	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-03-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	28.5289	-7.79%	27.47	-11.22%	0.1141	✗	1.11	96.8M	2022-03-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.2773	-7.76%	5.8362	-14.24%	0.0326	✓	0.29	407k	2022-03-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.4156	-7.23%	2.89	-39.29%	0.2369	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-03-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	8.6859	-6.70%	5.57	-40.17%	0.3967	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-03-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.8375	-6.63%	2.5749	+30.85%	0.4218	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-03-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	31.7544	-6.16%	26.5	-21.69%	0.0356	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.0514	-6.10%	13.84	-23.79%	0.1124	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	7.7597	-6.09%	4.594	-44.40%	0.3858	✓	1.01	460k	2022-03-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	45.2038	-5.77%	40.81	-14.93%	0.0576	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-03-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.6633	-5.71%	3.4608	-10.92%	0.0751	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-03-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.5104	-5.64%	4.165	-28.68%	0.1128	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.054922	-5.62%	0.040059	-31.16%	0.1520	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-03-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.2896	-5.56%	7.075	+6.23%	0.2515	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	8.8108	-5.55%	5.556	-40.44%	0.4164	✓	0.33	38k	2022-03-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.1606	-5.41%	2.3033	-31.07%	0.1838	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-03-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.0452	-5.32%	1.307	-39.49%	0.2719	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.21	-5.24%	2.9889	-32.73%	0.1629	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.2185	-5.24%	0.15536	-32.62%	0.1235	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.3214	-5.10%	1.97	-43.71%	0.3321	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-03-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.633	-5.06%	1.36	-20.93%	0.0460	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016154	-5.01%	0.011862	-30.25%	0.1479	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-03-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.571955	-4.94%	0.5009	-16.75%	0.0138	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.00003137	-4.88%	0.00002206	-33.11%	0.1604	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-03-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.5617	-4.86%	4.778	-30.72%	0.1936	✓	0.90	81k	2022-03-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	0.972692	-4.79%	0.7111	-30.39%	0.1704	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	24.588	-4.70%	17.81	-30.97%	0.1080	✓	1.57	398k	2022-03-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0389	-4.69%	0.59	-45.87%	0.3003	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-03-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.056679	-4.60%	0.0472	-20.55%	0.0129	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-03-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	64.5357	-4.56%	45.9	-32.12%	0.1741	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.6962	-4.47%	2.0529	-46.95%	0.4675	✓	0.88	28k	2022-03-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.7274	-4.35%	3.707	-4.87%	0.1455	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-03-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.900416	-4.33%	0.65584	-30.32%	0.1146	✓	1.48	311k	2022-03-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.07598	-4.31%	0.06831	-13.97%	0.0423	✓	1.09	21k	2022-03-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.8665	-4.29%	4.776	+18.22%	0.2560	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-03-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2356	-4.27%	1.1514	-10.79%	0.0912	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.136808	-4.26%	0.1144	-19.94%	0.0095	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.044826	-4.22%	0.03906	-16.54%	0.0151	✓	1.12	30k	2022-03-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.467632	-4.11%	0.3189	-34.61%	0.2027	✓	1.32	9.2M	2022-03-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.3316	-4.06%	17.37	-28.58%	0.1320	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	55.2698	-3.98%	88.28	+53.37%	0.6607	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.023286	-3.91%	0.01714	-29.27%	0.1402	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.154	-3.90%	4.0628	-24.25%	0.0705	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.1931	-3.81%	1.64	-28.07%	0.1126	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014521	-3.77%	0.01151	-23.72%	0.0284	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007162	-3.74%	0.00353	-52.55%	0.4336	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-03-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.8303	-3.73%	1.75	-40.48%	0.3061	✓	1.28	401k	2022-03-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	97.7687	-3.68%	78.04	-23.11%	0.1017	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-03-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.259	-3.64%	16.01	-30.69%	0.1721	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-03-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0311	-3.63%	0.93	-13.08%	0.0337	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.123388	-3.60%	0.111	-13.28%	0.0311	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	103.3101	-3.51%	48.7591	-54.46%	0.5564	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	110.942	-3.49%	94.95	-17.40%	0.0005	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-03-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.1554	-3.48%	1.662	-49.16%	0.5041	✓	1.00	67k	2022-03-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	2.976	-3.47%	5.761	+86.86%	0.8455	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.382	-3.36%	0.959	-32.94%	0.1810	✓	1.35	523k	2022-03-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2047	-3.30%	1.157	-49.25%	0.4562	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-03-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.735914	-3.28%	0.4152	-45.43%	0.3626	✓	1.53	938k	2022-03-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.7416	-3.13%	2.16	-23.67%	0.0993	✓	1.02	489k	2022-03-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.2479	-3.10%	5.85	-21.79%	0.1700	✓	0.32	1.0M	2022-03-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.794978	-3.08%	0.3924	-52.16%	0.4547	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-03-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.6795	-3.07%	2.869	-24.42%	0.1292	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012151	-3.02%	0.00939	-25.06%	0.0714	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	180.2912	-2.98%	170.68	-8.15%	0.0878	✗	1.04	1.5M	2022-03-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.181252	-2.97%	0.1335	-28.53%	0.2082	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.0488	-2.91%	3.44	-17.51%	0.0102	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.084225	-2.85%	0.0661	-23.76%	0.0534	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000094436	-2.85%	0.0000731	-24.80%	0.0996	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-03-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	46.4788	-2.83%	37.86	-20.84%	0.0055	✓	1.54	461k	2022-03-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.312772	-2.81%	0.1962	-39.03%	0.2542	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-03-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3141	-2.79%	0.96652	-28.51%	0.1664	✓	1.03	279k	2022-03-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1623	-2.71%	0.7884	-34.01%	0.2362	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-03-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.575211	-2.67%	0.385	-34.86%	0.2049	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-03-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	183.2274	-2.64%	116.61	-38.04%	0.2609	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-03-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	136.5322	-2.62%	104.55	-25.43%	0.0885	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.688928	-2.52%	0.48841	-30.89%	0.1867	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0701	-2.51%	0.6978	-36.42%	0.2163	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	20.7427	-2.48%	13.72	-35.50%	0.1773	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.163647	-2.47%	0.1489	-11.26%	0.0485	✗	1.04	412k	2022-03-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.032879	-2.44%	0.02301	-31.72%	0.1514	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.01176	-2.40%	0.00879	-27.05%	0.1532	✓	1.01	572k	2022-03-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.8836	-2.40%	1.321	-31.55%	0.1834	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-03-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.1081	-2.39%	22.89	-32.52%	0.1628	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0601	-2.38%	0.807	-25.69%	0.0853	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1454	-2.33%	0.8661	-26.15%	0.0799	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.3968	-2.32%	1.113	-22.17%	0.0577	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.608955	-2.30%	0.6706	+7.59%	0.2759	✗	1.31	2.6M	2022-03-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.345	-2.29%	1.6874	-29.69%	0.1667	✓	1.19	845k	2022-03-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.105399	-2.27%	0.09115	-15.48%	0.0002	✓	1.06	49k	2022-03-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	5.944	-2.24%	4.44	-26.97%	0.1500	✓	1.04	773k	2022-03-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.9045	-2.20%	3.82	-45.89%	0.4410	✓	1.10	733k	2022-03-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	88.2054	-2.19%	71.25	-20.99%	0.0289	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.6973	-2.16%	4.326	-9.89%	0.0318	✗	0.83	346k	2022-03-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.155626	-2.15%	0.11539	-27.45%	0.1586	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.1557	-2.15%	12.74	-22.83%	0.0941	✓	1.05	590k	2022-03-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	111.6208	-2.12%	80.7	-29.24%	0.1551	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-03-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002272	-2.08%	0.00000178	-23.28%	0.1070	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-03-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.290255	-2.04%	0.2186	-26.22%	0.1351	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	43,523.27	-2.01%	38,732.04	-12.80%	0.0203	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040206	-1.94%	0.0143	-65.12%	0.8806	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.398164	-1.93%	0.262	-35.47%	0.2327	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-03-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0171	-1.93%	0.7014	-32.37%	0.2214	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-03-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	188.6952	-1.83%	124.19	-35.39%	0.2533	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-03-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.5813	-1.77%	17.7	-19.44%	0.0135	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-03-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	6.9194	-1.75%	6.328	-10.14%	0.0328	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.3462	-1.73%	18.17	-12.24%	0.0705	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.0164	-1.73%	7.84	+9.80%	0.2216	✗	0.81	463k	2022-03-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	123.8819	-1.72%	153.51	+21.79%	0.3869	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-03-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.0814	-1.70%	5.8755	-18.44%	0.0113	✓	1.45	156k	2022-03-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.313165	-1.67%	0.2585	-18.84%	0.0398	✓	1.11	518k	2022-03-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.237303	-1.62%	0.1931	-19.94%	0.0154	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	28.0246	-1.60%	27.91	-2.00%	0.1283	✗	0.97	566k	2022-03-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9669	-1.56%	2.1155	+5.87%	0.2236	✗	1.10	79k	2022-03-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.030722	-1.53%	0.02468	-20.90%	0.0971	✓	0.89	6.6M	2022-03-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	147.9998	-1.45%	113.22	-24.61%	0.1305	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.1581	-1.39%	8.51	-30.98%	0.1761	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-03-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8067	-1.38%	1.464	-20.09%	0.0531	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.068977	-1.38%	0.060203	-13.93%	0.0131	✓	0.90	362k	2022-03-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.122091	-1.30%	0.0787	-36.38%	0.2264	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-03-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.533695	-1.28%	0.2924	-45.91%	0.3989	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-03-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	43,925.86	-1.27%	38,852.80	-12.68%	0.0096	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013074	-1.25%	0.01186	-10.42%	0.0113	✓	0.79	12k	2022-03-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.307	-1.20%	2.741	-18.11%	0.0770	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.236292	-1.07%	0.183591	-23.14%	0.1123	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-03-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.120011	-0.98%	0.0935	-22.85%	0.1063	✓	1.05	35k	2022-03-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.1925	-0.79%	1.06	-52.04%	0.5654	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.1233	-0.79%	6.28	-12.53%	0.0054	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	143.1857	-0.72%	102.07	-29.23%	0.1643	✓	1.27	65k	2022-03-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.8364	-0.67%	10.59	-2.93%	0.0736	✗	0.71	660k	2022-03-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.821674	-0.64%	0.636	-23.10%	0.1067	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.5991	-0.38%	2.114	-18.97%	0.0623	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.6701	-0.16%	13.05	-30.21%	0.1952	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-03-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	345.9389	-0.08%	287.73	-16.89%	0.0448	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.8098	-0.01%	1.705	-39.32%	0.3729	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.0999	+0.40%	8.54	-15.11%	0.0095	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	6.0249	+0.42%	5.49	-8.50%	0.0142	✓	0.78	377k	2022-03-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,260.23	+0.43%	2,556.42	-21.25%	0.0912	✗	1.11	544.5M	2022-03-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.08617	+0.51%	0.07118	-16.97%	0.0875	✗	0.76	89k	2022-03-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.095013	+0.76%	0.0696	-26.19%	0.1426	✗	1.23	219k	2022-03-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.291656	+1.27%	0.226	-21.53%	0.1243	✗	0.95	70k	2022-03-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.