2022-02-07 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2010

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.37%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

87.8%

in alpha space · 89.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.36%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3627	2.3416	-0.89%	1.7476	-26.03%	0.2400	✓	1.18	845k	2022-03-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.33	10.2319	-0.95%	8.93	-13.55%	0.0777	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.165291	0.163655	-0.99%	0.121511	-26.49%	0.2513	✓	1.04	7.1M	2022-03-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.27	2.2456	-1.08%	1.79	-21.15%	0.1683	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04657	0.046008	-1.21%	0.04098	-12.00%	0.0656	✓	1.12	29k	2022-03-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.285	0.281472	-1.24%	0.237	-16.84%	0.1289	✓	0.97	70k	2022-03-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,868.07	43,305.30	-1.28%	41,953.97	-4.36%	0.0129	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,141.89	3,096.77	-1.44%	2,727.60	-13.19%	0.0777	✓	1.10	544.5M	2022-03-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068517	0.067389	-1.65%	0.060814	-11.24%	0.0622	✓	0.91	362k	2022-03-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00701	0.006881	-1.84%	0.0039	-44.37%	0.4789	✓	1.99	19.8M	2022-03-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0948	0.093049	-1.85%	0.0713	-24.79%	0.2116	✓	1.22	244k	2022-03-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.81	21.385	-1.95%	14.69	-32.65%	0.2985	✓	1.73	3.8M	2022-03-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.073	1.0514	-2.02%	0.921	-14.17%	0.0706	✓	1.39	2.3M	2022-03-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	137.43	134.6527	-2.02%	106.99	-22.15%	0.1723	✓	1.29	30.6M	2022-03-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	117.62	115.2222	-2.04%	88.1	-25.10%	0.2132	✓	1.24	181.0M	2022-03-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1991	1.1746	-2.04%	0.8495	-29.16%	0.2740	✓	1.12	109.8M	2022-03-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.854	0.836376	-2.06%	0.662	-22.48%	0.1847	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-03-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.239623	0.234529	-2.13%	0.188762	-21.23%	0.1709	✓	1.04	24.4M	2022-03-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.576	4.4785	-2.13%	4.263	-6.84%	0.0123	✓	0.83	359k	2022-03-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.38	12.0996	-2.27%	9.21	-25.61%	0.2140	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-03-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,893.50	42,872.50	-2.33%	41,967.60	-4.39%	0.0217	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.65	6.4917	-2.38%	8	+20.30%	0.2446	✗	0.80	441k	2022-03-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1382	0.134865	-2.41%	0.1245	-9.91%	0.0184	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009007	0.00008785	-2.46%	0.00007564	-16.02%	0.0985	✓	1.15	5.5M	2022-03-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.41	7.2272	-2.47%	6.19	-16.46%	0.1403	✓	0.33	1.1M	2022-03-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.67955	0.66267	-2.48%	0.524645	-22.80%	0.1818	✓	1.16	3.5M	2022-03-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	128.86	125.5708	-2.55%	141.65	+9.93%	0.1779	✗	1.29	6.6M	2022-03-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04107	0.040021	-2.55%	0.01383	-66.33%	1.0135	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-03-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	115.9	112.9245	-2.57%	99.72	-13.96%	0.0732	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.86	2.7859	-2.59%	1.602	-43.99%	0.5120	✓	0.93	2.4M	2022-03-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.38	2.3181	-2.60%	1.23	-48.32%	0.5808	✓	1.19	2.0M	2022-03-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.129527	-2.61%	0.104	-21.80%	0.1749	✓	1.00	90k	2022-03-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.079	0.076919	-2.63%	0.073	-7.59%	0.0035	✓	1.09	21k	2022-03-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.88	18.3793	-2.65%	14.02	-25.74%	0.2182	✓	1.18	76.9M	2022-03-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.8781	-2.69%	1.376	-28.70%	0.2547	✓	1.26	1.7M	2022-03-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	48.2	46.887	-2.72%	41.61	-13.67%	0.0499	✓	1.56	457k	2022-03-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	343.12	333.7513	-2.73%	307.25	-10.45%	0.0368	✓	1.03	6.8M	2022-03-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0706	1.0413	-2.73%	0.7672	-28.34%	0.2567	✓	1.09	29.2M	2022-03-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.309	19.7232	-2.88%	18.777	-7.54%	0.0105	✓	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.79	6.5839	-3.04%	6.1	-10.16%	0.0374	✓	0.87	416k	2022-03-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.945	2.8546	-3.07%	3.427	+16.37%	0.2426	✗	1.34	986k	2022-03-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03323	0.0322	-3.10%	0.02596	-21.88%	0.1754	✓	0.90	7.3M	2022-03-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9231	1.8632	-3.12%	2.007	+4.36%	0.1240	✗	1.11	76k	2022-03-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	198.23	192.0517	-3.12%	135.22	-31.79%	0.2967	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-03-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6374	0.61733	-3.15%	0.7336	+15.09%	0.2313	✗	1.32	2.6M	2022-03-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.443	-3.15%	5.23	-6.94%	0.0055	✓	0.77	356k	2022-03-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1664	1.1295	-3.17%	0.741	-36.47%	0.3533	✓	1.53	725k	2022-03-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2714	0.262713	-3.20%	0.2319	-14.55%	0.0786	✓	1.03	1.7M	2022-03-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.042745	0.041365	-3.23%	0.041988	-1.77%	0.0671	✗	1.17	8.4M	2022-03-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.06	3.9273	-3.27%	3.737	-7.96%	0.0069	✓	1.27	2.0M	2022-03-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10441	0.100963	-3.30%	0.09322	-10.72%	0.0329	✓	1.05	47k	2022-03-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.78	98.3578	-3.36%	83.31	-18.15%	0.1251	✓	0.92	1.5M	2022-03-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.868	1.8048	-3.38%	1.586	-15.10%	0.0772	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.8233	4.6595	-3.40%	5.8487	+21.26%	0.2387	✗	0.25	376k	2022-03-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01222	0.0118	-3.44%	0.01052	-13.91%	0.0561	✓	1.32	1.3M	2022-03-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.384	0.370751	-3.45%	0.279	-27.34%	0.2250	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-03-09
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000235	0.000002268	-3.48%	0.00000186	-20.85%	0.1538	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-03-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	59.48	57.3916	-3.51%	99.22	+66.81%	0.6104	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	154.1	148.6054	-3.57%	118.86	-22.87%	0.1782	✓	1.01	7.6M	2022-03-09
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0318	-3.57%	0.94	-12.15%	0.0486	✓	1.00	293k	2022-03-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.22	45.5311	-3.58%	42.75	-9.47%	0.0107	✓	1.17	33.0M	2022-03-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.4703	7.2031	-3.58%	6.0487	-19.03%	0.1095	✓	1.46	156k	2022-03-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.535	0.515516	-3.64%	0.3204	-40.11%	0.4115	✓	1.44	2.0M	2022-03-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1175	0.113184	-3.67%	0.101	-14.04%	0.0668	✓	1.05	35k	2022-03-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.1944	-3.68%	1.024	-17.42%	0.0942	✓	1.34	511k	2022-03-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.4029	5.2035	-3.69%	3.9867	-26.21%	0.2113	✓	1.24	442k	2022-03-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3981	1.3459	-3.73%	0.98649	-29.44%	0.2640	✓	1.05	308k	2022-03-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	105.8832	101.8779	-3.78%	54.9209	-48.13%	0.5538	✓	1.44	319k	2022-03-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.02	26.9232	-3.91%	28.87	+3.03%	0.1131	✗	0.97	528k	2022-03-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.6375	-4.02%	5.441	+43.56%	0.4168	✗	0.32	1.5M	2022-03-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1248	0.119776	-4.03%	0.0841	-32.61%	0.2837	✓	1.57	1.6M	2022-03-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.3085	7.013	-4.04%	6.654	-8.96%	0.0130	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	182.29	174.8908	-4.06%	127.5	-30.06%	0.2535	✓	1.40	9.8M	2022-03-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.962	6.678	-4.08%	5.1	-26.75%	0.2289	✓	0.91	81k	2022-03-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.95	0.911201	-4.08%	0.66	-30.53%	0.2367	✓	1.92	996k	2022-03-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01354	0.012985	-4.10%	0.01282	-5.32%	0.0234	✓	0.81	13k	2022-03-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.82	2.7034	-4.13%	2.3	-18.44%	0.1165	✓	1.01	504k	2022-03-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6	5.7516	-4.14%	4.63	-22.83%	0.1697	✓	1.06	867k	2022-03-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7902	0.756782	-4.23%	0.4455	-43.62%	0.4612	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-03-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.52	23.4637	-4.31%	18.83	-23.21%	0.1667	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	145.96	139.6203	-4.34%	108.96	-25.35%	0.1905	✓	1.29	65k	2022-03-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.23	79.5907	-4.37%	77.65	-6.70%	0.0352	✓	1.34	85.1M	2022-03-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1916	0.18319	-4.39%	0.1415	-26.15%	0.2261	✓	0.72	419k	2022-03-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	32.06	30.6422	-4.42%	25.07	-21.80%	0.1351	✓	1.47	2.0M	2022-03-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01211	0.011574	-4.43%	0.00949	-21.64%	0.1531	✓	1.02	572k	2022-03-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.23	15.5112	-4.43%	14.6	-10.04%	0.0298	✓	0.69	908k	2022-03-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22724	0.217161	-4.44%	0.15435	-32.08%	0.2706	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.32	65.2257	-4.53%	48.63	-28.82%	0.2390	✓	1.22	7.8M	2022-03-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.8	16.0388	-4.53%	13.1	-22.02%	0.1557	✓	1.05	616k	2022-03-09
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.308	2.2026	-4.56%	1.786	-22.62%	0.1651	✓	1.00	66k	2022-03-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5065	0.483348	-4.57%	0.3463	-31.63%	0.2738	✓	1.34	9.3M	2022-03-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3247	0.309812	-4.59%	0.2116	-34.83%	0.3115	✓	1.56	4.1M	2022-03-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	22.37	21.3394	-4.61%	17.86	-20.16%	0.1172	✓	1.36	40.7M	2022-03-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2345	0.223627	-4.64%	0.2005	-14.50%	0.0478	✓	1.38	3.6M	2022-03-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.495	1.4249	-4.69%	1.185	-20.74%	0.1279	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-03-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01721	0.016397	-4.72%	0.011931	-30.67%	0.2650	✓	1.19	2.0M	2022-03-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.583	0.555349	-4.74%	0.407	-30.19%	0.2463	✓	1.45	4.6M	2022-03-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.09	2.9415	-4.80%	1.89	-38.83%	0.3876	✓	1.23	407k	2022-03-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.96686	0.92018	-4.83%	0.68283	-29.38%	0.2317	✓	1.49	311k	2022-03-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.4602	3.2921	-4.86%	2.9836	-13.77%	0.0560	✓	0.95	2.0M	2022-03-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.38	7.0135	-4.97%	4.25	-42.41%	0.4549	✓	1.03	751k	2022-03-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08985	0.085381	-4.97%	0.07646	-14.90%	0.0755	✓	0.78	86k	2022-03-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0915	0.086921	-5.00%	0.0717	-21.64%	0.1306	✓	1.39	540k	2022-03-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.76	3.5701	-5.05%	2.89	-23.14%	0.1730	✓	0.86	585k	2022-03-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.61	6.276	-5.05%	8.061	+21.95%	0.2949	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.753	7.3525	-5.17%	5.029	-35.13%	0.3341	✓	1.02	394k	2022-03-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.04	22.7968	-5.17%	17.47	-27.33%	0.2141	✓	1.17	26.9M	2022-03-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.54	24.2157	-5.19%	20.31	-20.48%	0.1058	✓	1.57	411k	2022-03-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1593	0.150908	-5.27%	0.1627	+2.13%	0.1213	✗	1.03	349k	2022-03-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0369	0.034946	-5.29%	0.024	-34.96%	0.3070	✓	1.54	490k	2022-03-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.66	30.9134	-5.35%	28.04	-14.15%	0.0500	✓	1.07	3.8M	2022-03-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6483	0.612948	-5.45%	0.4297	-33.72%	0.2730	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-03-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.26	2.1359	-5.49%	1.287	-43.05%	0.4454	✓	1.37	3.3M	2022-03-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.625	-5.53%	1.12	-34.88%	0.3275	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3267	0.308546	-5.56%	0.2736	-16.25%	0.0702	✓	1.12	554k	2022-03-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.306	3.1222	-5.56%	2.732	-17.36%	0.0976	✓	0.80	206k	2022-03-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.038389	0.036228	-5.63%	0.015975	-58.39%	0.7623	✓	1.27	117k	2022-03-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06292	0.059376	-5.63%	0.04842	-23.05%	0.1401	✓	1.43	1.5M	2022-03-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.602	0.567942	-5.66%	0.3619	-39.88%	0.3701	✓	1.80	40.2M	2022-03-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7993	3.5785	-5.81%	2.1758	-42.73%	0.4578	✓	0.89	27k	2022-03-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.08	174.2313	-5.86%	188.71	+1.96%	0.1268	✗	1.05	1.6M	2022-03-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.094	1.9703	-5.91%	1.394	-33.43%	0.2886	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5646	3.3496	-6.03%	2.9949	-15.98%	0.0625	✓	1.11	2.5M	2022-03-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003255	0.000030576	-6.06%	0.00002383	-26.79%	0.1869	✓	1.40	1.3M	2022-03-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.023054	0.021647	-6.10%	0.01738	-24.61%	0.1649	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-03-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.4	9.7583	-6.17%	10.46	+0.58%	0.1006	✗	0.70	627k	2022-03-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2268	1.1508	-6.19%	1.5521	+26.52%	0.3674	✗	1.53	103k	2022-03-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3002	1.2176	-6.36%	1.2223	-6.00%	0.0575	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-03-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.656	2.4856	-6.42%	2.232	-15.96%	0.0600	✓	1.07	22k	2022-03-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2317	1.1508	-6.57%	0.9131	-25.87%	0.1661	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9985	0.932611	-6.60%	0.7395	-25.94%	0.1849	✓	1.06	13.5M	2022-03-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.971	8.3783	-6.61%	6.28	-30.00%	0.2726	✓	0.35	38k	2022-03-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.9	5.5051	-6.69%	4.727	-19.88%	0.0970	✓	1.24	2.6M	2022-03-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.299	1.2094	-6.90%	0.76	-41.49%	0.4199	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-03-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9987	1.8576	-7.06%	3.1069	+55.45%	0.5426	✗	0.63	3.1M	2022-03-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2878	3.0527	-7.15%	2.4947	-24.12%	0.1585	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-03-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.63	29.3463	-7.22%	30.07	-4.93%	0.0750	✗	1.14	103.7M	2022-03-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0901	0.083582	-7.23%	0.0648	-28.08%	0.1796	✓	1.68	27.2M	2022-03-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.56	3.3003	-7.29%	2.159	-39.35%	0.3615	✓	1.41	20.8M	2022-03-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,559.72	24,538.29	-7.61%	20,404.96	-23.17%	0.1420	✓	0.95	12.1M	2022-03-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1408	3.8249	-7.63%	3.1801	-23.20%	0.1257	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-03-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04778	0.044054	-7.80%	0.0398	-16.70%	0.0569	✓	1.00	5.1M	2022-03-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.2	2.0257	-7.92%	1.67	-24.09%	0.1485	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-03-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.96	4.5633	-8.00%	3.19	-35.69%	0.2966	✓	1.38	8.3M	2022-03-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01584	0.01456	-8.08%	0.01242	-21.59%	0.0925	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.06	8.3235	-8.13%	6.31	-30.35%	0.2605	✓	0.37	1.6M	2022-03-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6257	0.567627	-9.28%	0.5284	-15.55%	0.0237	✓	1.07	1.4M	2022-03-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.287	5.6498	-10.13%	2.61	-58.49%	0.7277	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.