2022-02-05 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2544

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.85%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

79.1%

in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-8.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147026	0.146914	-0.08%	0.116934	-20.47%	0.1410	✓	1.01	7.1M	2022-03-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.67	8.6193	-0.58%	8.37	-3.46%	0.0772	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-03-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1933	2.1752	-0.82%	1.6162	-26.31%	0.1980	✓	1.15	845k	2022-03-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.8	120.4401	-1.12%	98.35	-19.25%	0.0910	✓	1.30	31.3M	2022-03-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.17	2.1452	-1.14%	1.7	-21.66%	0.1221	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-03-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,404.85	40,865.97	-1.30%	37,994.00	-8.24%	0.0131	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-03-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064762	0.06388	-1.36%	0.058556	-9.58%	0.0098	✓	0.90	379k	2022-03-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,014.50	2,971.18	-1.44%	2,491.58	-17.35%	0.0822	✓	1.09	557.7M	2022-03-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.213222	0.210042	-1.49%	0.169685	-20.42%	0.1281	✓	0.99	24.9M	2022-03-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0869	0.085603	-1.49%	0.0657	-24.40%	0.1635	✓	1.18	244k	2022-03-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.265	0.260889	-1.55%	0.231	-12.83%	0.0432	✓	0.91	63k	2022-03-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.6	101.9517	-1.59%	85.9	-17.08%	0.0736	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-03-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04465	0.043923	-1.63%	0.03834	-14.13%	0.0432	✓	1.08	28k	2022-03-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.08	114.1699	-1.65%	109.5	-5.67%	0.0651	✗	1.24	6.6M	2022-03-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.976	0.959535	-1.69%	0.762	-21.93%	0.1150	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,460.80	40,697.92	-1.84%	37,523.40	-9.50%	0.0024	✓	0.97	40k	2022-03-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1255	1.1039	-1.92%	0.7932	-29.52%	0.2357	✓	1.10	110.9M	2022-03-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0763	0.074773	-2.00%	0.0671	-12.06%	0.0169	✓	1.06	21k	2022-03-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.778	0.762302	-2.02%	0.649	-16.58%	0.0718	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	45.61	44.6777	-2.04%	33.73	-26.05%	0.1482	✓	1.55	568k	2022-03-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.728	2.6722	-2.05%	3.353	+22.91%	0.3411	✗	1.33	911k	2022-03-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1293	0.126643	-2.05%	0.1105	-14.54%	0.0261	✓	1.28	3.3M	2022-03-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000839	0.00008206	-2.19%	0.0000689	-17.88%	0.0799	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-03-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.04	19.5905	-2.24%	13.71	-31.59%	0.2082	✓	1.73	3.8M	2022-03-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.8	111.2132	-2.27%	81.66	-28.24%	0.2065	✓	1.19	187.6M	2022-03-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.51	4.4074	-2.27%	4.234	-6.12%	0.0280	✗	0.79	351k	2022-03-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002254	0.000022027	-2.28%	0.00002279	+1.11%	0.1434	✗	1.27	1.3M	2022-03-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.652675	0.637695	-2.30%	0.472233	-27.65%	0.2025	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-03-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.93	129.8505	-2.32%	110.5	-16.87%	0.0835	✓	0.91	7.6M	2022-03-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00674	0.006581	-2.35%	0.00392	-41.84%	0.3440	✓	2.03	20.1M	2022-03-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.9281	6.7606	-2.42%	5.712	-17.55%	0.0466	✓	1.42	174k	2022-03-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.24	7.0629	-2.45%	6.17	-14.78%	0.1085	✓	0.31	1.1M	2022-03-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.27	10.9908	-2.48%	8.31	-26.26%	0.1697	✓	1.28	12.5M	2022-03-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8014	1.7558	-2.53%	1.8793	+4.32%	0.1601	✗	1.07	76k	2022-03-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	320.74	312.4076	-2.60%	273.86	-14.62%	0.0444	✓	1.02	7.6M	2022-03-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.77	17.307	-2.61%	12.7	-28.53%	0.2088	✓	1.17	77.2M	2022-03-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.89	2.813	-2.66%	1.585	-45.16%	0.4922	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-03-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.761	1.7139	-2.67%	1.435	-18.51%	0.0823	✓	1.11	1.6M	2022-03-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0021	0.974367	-2.77%	0.7277	-27.38%	0.1966	✓	1.11	29.4M	2022-03-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.79	1.7402	-2.78%	1.274	-28.83%	0.2072	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-03-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.77	0.7485	-2.79%	0.6	-22.08%	0.0607	✓	1.87	996k	2022-03-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.2745	-2.87%	7.76	+20.12%	0.2771	✗	0.75	463k	2022-03-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.52	6.3293	-2.92%	5.93	-9.05%	0.0057	✓	0.82	478k	2022-03-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4932	0.478082	-3.07%	0.3195	-35.22%	0.2855	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-03-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3221	1.2815	-3.07%	0.89059	-32.64%	0.2790	✓	0.99	333k	2022-03-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		96.73	93.7471	-3.08%	76.42	-21.00%	0.1261	✓	0.91	1.6M	2022-03-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03104	0.030077	-3.10%	0.02497	-19.56%	0.1157	✓	0.82	7.6M	2022-03-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5995	0.580895	-3.10%	0.6711	+11.94%	0.2534	✗	1.27	2.7M	2022-03-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01122	0.010871	-3.11%	0.00883	-21.30%	0.0992	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-03-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9682	0.937841	-3.14%	0.7051	-27.17%	0.1442	✓	1.64	725k	2022-03-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.31	2.2373	-3.15%	1.13	-51.08%	0.5803	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-03-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.069	0.066823	-3.16%	0.0672	-2.61%	0.1113	✗	1.23	540k	2022-03-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0405	0.039214	-3.18%	0.01158	-71.41%	1.1313	✓	1.03	9.0M	2022-03-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2627	0.254308	-3.19%	0.2184	-16.86%	0.0578	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-03-07
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.123886	-3.21%	0.1	-21.87%	0.1282	✓	1.00	102k	2022-03-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.040382	0.039082	-3.22%	0.041733	+3.35%	0.1732	✗	1.25	8.4M	2022-03-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.21	1.1707	-3.25%	0.976	-19.34%	0.0719	✓	1.28	490k	2022-03-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.686	19.0429	-3.27%	17.761	-9.78%	0.0507	✗	1.40	10.5M	2022-03-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1203	4.9515	-3.30%	3.6598	-28.52%	0.1966	✓	1.23	406k	2022-03-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.514	6.2987	-3.30%	4.783	-26.57%	0.1920	✓	0.97	341k	2022-03-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	185.88	179.6423	-3.36%	120.6	-35.12%	0.3018	✓	1.12	1.0M	2022-03-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.2848	-3.39%	5.01	-8.41%	0.0083	✓	0.72	377k	2022-03-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.9	3.7669	-3.41%	3.496	-10.36%	0.0339	✓	1.26	2.1M	2022-03-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.7941	4.6299	-3.43%	5.3807	+12.24%	0.1719	✗	0.25	376k	2022-03-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.059	5.8498	-3.45%	4.618	-23.78%	0.1655	✓	0.83	91k	2022-03-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1129	0.108956	-3.49%	0.0935	-17.18%	0.0688	✓	0.98	37k	2022-03-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10107	0.097391	-3.64%	0.08764	-13.29%	0.0199	✓	1.00	47k	2022-03-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4373	-3.72%	5.302	+48.52%	0.4583	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-03-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2088	0.200961	-3.75%	0.1942	-6.99%	0.0770	✗	1.29	3.6M	2022-03-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.66	2.5595	-3.78%	2.11	-20.68%	0.1080	✓	0.99	579k	2022-03-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1181	0.113602	-3.81%	0.0802	-32.09%	0.2218	✓	1.47	1.6M	2022-03-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.354	0.340394	-3.84%	0.268	-24.29%	0.1288	✓	1.28	1.7M	2022-03-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8205	82.4987	-3.87%	52.8584	-38.41%	0.3295	✓	1.35	320k	2022-03-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.97	21.0967	-3.97%	17.82	-18.89%	0.0708	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-03-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4481	0.430272	-3.98%	0.3298	-26.40%	0.1567	✓	1.27	9.4M	2022-03-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	55.39	53.1588	-4.03%	77.85	+40.55%	0.5033	✗	1.42	8.8M	2022-03-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.81	28.6053	-4.04%	22.43	-24.76%	0.1051	✓	1.61	2.1M	2022-03-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.09	73.9718	-4.04%	71.75	-6.93%	0.0822	✗	1.31	87.1M	2022-03-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	136.68	131.1468	-4.05%	98.5	-27.93%	0.1804	✓	1.23	54k	2022-03-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.45	21.5319	-4.09%	18.4	-18.04%	0.0239	✓	1.55	411k	2022-03-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.8	54.4766	-4.09%	46.15	-18.75%	0.0705	✓	1.11	7.8M	2022-03-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.2	159.3917	-4.10%	116.88	-29.68%	0.1933	✓	1.36	10.9M	2022-03-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.3	14.6635	-4.16%	12.47	-18.50%	0.0792	✓	0.96	663k	2022-03-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01154	0.011058	-4.17%	0.00866	-24.96%	0.1573	✓	1.01	572k	2022-03-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01353	0.01296	-4.21%	0.012	-11.31%	0.0005	✓	0.89	13k	2022-03-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016433	0.015732	-4.26%	0.011201	-31.84%	0.2409	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-03-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.35	27.1359	-4.28%	28.16	-0.67%	0.1201	✗	0.97	513k	2022-03-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.48	5.2431	-4.32%	4.4	-19.71%	0.0902	✓	0.99	875k	2022-03-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01113	0.010646	-4.35%	0.01182	+6.20%	0.2158	✗	1.29	1.7M	2022-03-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7727	0.738922	-4.37%	0.4144	-46.37%	0.4557	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-03-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1855	0.177322	-4.41%	0.1333	-28.14%	0.2261	✓	0.69	423k	2022-03-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.16	44.1223	-4.41%	39.76	-13.86%	0.0051	✓	1.15	34.0M	2022-03-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20531	0.1962	-4.44%	0.14835	-27.74%	0.1500	✓	1.51	32k	2022-03-07
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000226	0.000002159	-4.46%	0.00000177	-21.68%	0.1128	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-03-07
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.96494	-4.46%	0.93	-7.92%	0.0491	✗	1.00	333k	2022-03-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92529	0.883833	-4.48%	0.63315	-31.57%	0.1943	✓	1.62	350k	2022-03-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4421	0.422092	-4.53%	0.4075	-7.83%	0.1050	✗	1.63	1.8M	2022-03-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.533	0.508733	-4.55%	0.381	-28.52%	0.1712	✓	1.37	4.6M	2022-03-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9549	0.911259	-4.57%	1.3125	+37.45%	0.4886	✗	1.44	99k	2022-03-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.35	20.367	-4.60%	16.4	-23.19%	0.1023	✓	1.33	43.5M	2022-03-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.42	28.0551	-4.64%	26.15	-11.11%	0.0182	✓	1.03	3.8M	2022-03-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.085	0.081053	-4.64%	0.06777	-20.27%	0.1143	✓	0.75	84k	2022-03-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.7643	-4.68%	1.84	-36.55%	0.3062	✓	1.17	441k	2022-03-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.67	6.3516	-4.77%	3.97	-40.48%	0.3855	✓	0.98	818k	2022-03-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3102	0.295	-4.90%	0.1993	-35.75%	0.2593	✓	1.55	4.1M	2022-03-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0234	6.6777	-4.92%	6.77	-3.61%	0.0857	✗	0.84	4.1M	2022-03-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.87	15.0709	-5.04%	17.31	+9.07%	0.1925	✗	0.63	908k	2022-03-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2266	3.0638	-5.05%	2.8817	-10.69%	0.0193	✓	0.94	2.0M	2022-03-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1381	1.0795	-5.15%	1.1872	+4.32%	0.1968	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.921	1.8217	-5.17%	1.307	-31.96%	0.2291	✓	1.20	1.2M	2022-03-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.4	6.0693	-5.17%	7.8	+21.88%	0.3361	✗	0.99	1.9M	2022-03-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.6	3.4134	-5.18%	2.878	-20.06%	0.1031	✓	0.79	678k	2022-03-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1551	0.14698	-5.24%	0.1422	-8.32%	0.0561	✗	1.04	337k	2022-03-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0368	0.034847	-5.31%	0.0248	-32.61%	0.2067	✓	1.55	490k	2022-03-07
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.24	2.1202	-5.35%	1.725	-22.99%	0.1203	✓	1.00	67k	2022-03-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.26	21.0613	-5.38%	16.42	-26.24%	0.1519	✓	1.13	26.9M	2022-03-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	168.71	159.3556	-5.54%	157.95	-6.38%	0.0781	✗	1.01	1.7M	2022-03-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.519	1.4347	-5.55%	1.085	-28.57%	0.1736	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-03-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4881	3.2941	-5.56%	1.9115	-45.20%	0.4721	✓	0.84	26k	2022-03-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039527	0.037303	-5.63%	0.017437	-55.89%	0.6504	✓	1.28	120k	2022-03-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05888	0.055554	-5.65%	0.04852	-17.60%	0.0232	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-03-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.21	2.0828	-5.75%	1.243	-43.76%	0.3979	✓	1.38	3.5M	2022-03-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5202	0.490159	-5.77%	0.3173	-39.00%	0.2833	✓	1.76	42.5M	2022-03-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3148	0.296082	-5.95%	0.2527	-19.73%	0.0656	✓	1.08	554k	2022-03-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.231	3.0358	-6.04%	2.706	-16.25%	0.0489	✓	0.77	212k	2022-03-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.166	7.6721	-6.05%	5.615	-31.24%	0.2840	✓	0.33	40k	2022-03-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02206	0.020709	-6.12%	0.01691	-23.35%	0.1121	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-03-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.3404	3.1342	-6.17%	2.8397	-14.99%	0.0094	✓	1.04	2.6M	2022-03-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.562	2.4032	-6.20%	2.085	-18.62%	0.0559	✓	1.00	22k	2022-03-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.166	1.0928	-6.28%	0.8412	-27.86%	0.1405	✓	1.41	1.9M	2022-03-07
STX	Stacks	native	1.58	1.475	-6.64%	1.04	-34.18%	0.2635	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,186.77	23,423.75	-7.00%	18,376.27	-27.04%	0.1645	✓	0.91	12.4M	2022-03-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.15	7.5771	-7.03%	5.62	-31.04%	0.2692	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-03-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.76	5.3527	-7.07%	3.62	-37.15%	0.2880	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-03-07
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2863	1.1943	-7.16%	0.73	-43.25%	0.4063	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-03-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	9.3727	-7.20%	10.23	+1.29%	0.1478	✗	0.70	660k	2022-03-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9491	0.879687	-7.31%	0.694	-26.88%	0.1484	✓	1.03	14.2M	2022-03-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.054	1.8999	-7.50%	2.469	+20.20%	0.3184	✗	0.66	3.5M	2022-03-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.68	4.3214	-7.66%	2.88	-38.46%	0.2909	✓	1.34	8.4M	2022-03-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9423	3.6371	-7.74%	2.9274	-25.74%	0.1067	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-03-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0145	2.7809	-7.75%	2.3622	-21.64%	0.0866	✓	0.89	2.8M	2022-03-07
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	2.0448	-7.89%	1.59	-28.38%	0.1656	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-03-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.1469	-7.99%	1.98	-42.11%	0.3446	✓	1.38	21.3M	2022-03-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1089	0.100059	-8.12%	0.0544	-50.05%	0.4482	✓	1.87	26.7M	2022-03-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.76	28.2388	-8.20%	28.29	-8.03%	0.0977	✗	1.12	109.3M	2022-03-07
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05051	0.046257	-8.42%	0.03434	-32.01%	0.2119	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-03-07
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.769	5.2232	-9.46%	2.56	-55.62%	0.6271	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6186	0.551849	-10.79%	0.4925	-20.38%	0.0199	✓	1.09	1.5M	2022-03-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.