8=======>

2022-02-05 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1824
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.8%
in alpha space · 15.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10890.107584-1.21%0.0929-14.69%0.1919✓1.8726.7M2022-02-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3528.0642-1.01%27.86-1.73%0.0306✓0.97513k2022-02-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61860.612978-0.91%0.6191+0.08%0.0164✓1.091.5M2022-02-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.765.7104-0.86%5.81+0.87%0.0116✓1.203.0M2022-02-06
MANADecentralandEthereum3.01452.9887-0.85%3.3003+9.48%0.0777✗0.892.8M2022-02-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.158.0815-0.84%8.58+5.28%0.0515✗0.341.6M2022-02-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.94910.941374-0.81%0.9592+1.06%0.0061✓1.0314.2M2022-02-06
HIVEHivenative1.1661.1566-0.81%1.2177+4.43%0.0175✗1.411.9M2022-02-06
XTZTezosTezos3.94233.9123-0.76%3.9256-0.42%0.0276✓1.282.4M2022-02-06
SUSHISushiEthereum4.684.6452-0.74%4.81+2.78%0.0026✓1.348.4M2022-02-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15510.153963-0.73%0.154-0.71%0.0248✓1.04337k2022-02-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0542.0389-0.73%2.076+1.07%0.0022✓0.663.5M2022-02-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.5622.5438-0.71%2.583+0.82%0.0089✓1.0022k2022-02-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.3961-0.70%3.39-0.88%0.0351✓1.3821.3M2022-02-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5191.5089-0.66%1.489-1.97%0.0429✓1.233.4M2022-02-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.63.5772-0.63%3.637+1.03%0.0024✓0.79678k2022-02-06
XMRMoneroMonero168.71167.6587-0.62%173.8+3.02%0.0116✗1.011.7M2022-02-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48813.4665-0.62%3.4668-0.61%0.0201✓0.8426k2022-02-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.110.0384-0.61%10.26+1.58%0.0049✓0.70660k2022-02-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050510.050204-0.61%0.04888-3.23%0.0508✓1.005.3M2022-02-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,186.7725,036.27-0.60%24,634.41-2.19%0.0381✓0.9112.4M2022-02-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.2028-0.59%1.22+0.83%0.0167✓1.28490k2022-02-06
COMPCompoundEthereum136.68135.8761-0.59%140.8+3.01%0.0059✗1.2354k2022-02-06
GITCOINGITCOIN8.1668.1182-0.58%8.466+3.67%0.0340✗0.3340k2022-02-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.676.6322-0.57%6.91+3.60%0.0174✗0.98818k2022-02-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2313.2129-0.56%3.261+0.93%0.0037✓0.77212k2022-02-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.8715.7823-0.55%16.28+2.58%0.0159✗0.63908k2022-02-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03680.036598-0.55%0.0353-4.08%0.0735✓1.55490k2022-02-06
PROPropyEthereum2.222.2078-0.55%2.13-4.05%0.0600✓1.002.3M2022-02-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.3521.2343-0.54%21.91+2.62%0.0007✓1.3343.5M2022-02-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.8129.6508-0.53%31.33+5.10%0.0164✗1.612.1M2022-02-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011130.011071-0.53%0.0126+13.21%0.0982✗1.291.7M2022-02-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.127326-0.53%0.127-0.78%0.0267✓1.00102k2022-02-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.212.1984-0.52%2.17-1.81%0.0462✓1.383.5M2022-02-06
DODODODOEthereum0.5330.530225-0.52%0.556+4.32%0.0144✗1.374.6M2022-02-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9211.9112-0.51%2.063+7.39%0.0475✗1.201.2M2022-02-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7695.7402-0.50%6.143+6.48%0.0437✗1.001.2M2022-02-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.7630.6071-0.50%31.31+1.79%0.0042✓1.12109.3M2022-02-06
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8856-0.50%3.04+4.83%0.0239✗1.17441k2022-02-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22663.2106-0.50%3.2472+0.64%0.0112✓0.942.0M2022-02-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77270.768868-0.50%0.7752+0.32%0.0262✓1.431.1M2022-02-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.0850.084579-0.50%0.08812+3.67%0.0229✗0.7584k2022-02-06
IMXImmutableEthereum2.892.8757-0.50%2.82-2.42%0.0424✓0.952.2M2022-02-06
QNTQuantEthereum132.93132.2727-0.49%135.95+2.27%0.0056✗0.917.6M2022-02-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.315.2248-0.49%15.56+1.70%0.0015✓0.96663k2022-02-06
STXStacksnative1.581.5723-0.49%1.68+6.33%0.0422✗1.001.3M2022-02-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022060.021952-0.49%0.02203-0.14%0.0218✓1.052.7M2022-02-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.100576-0.49%0.10107+0.00%0.0191✓1.0047k2022-02-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.31480.313271-0.49%0.3194+1.46%0.0067✓1.08554k2022-02-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.13811.1328-0.47%1.197+5.18%0.0266✗1.182.3M2022-02-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79414.7718-0.46%5.0878+6.13%0.0580✗0.25376k2022-02-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.856.5448-0.45%68.32+20.28%0.1624✗1.117.8M2022-02-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44210.440114-0.45%0.5826+31.78%0.2412✗1.631.8M2022-02-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.172.1603-0.45%2.18+0.46%0.0219✓1.292.2M2022-02-06
XVGVergenative0.011220.01117-0.45%0.01152+2.67%0.0004✓1.261.4M2022-02-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4229.2895-0.44%29.89+1.60%0.0045✓1.033.8M2022-02-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.263826-0.44%0.27+1.89%0.0011✓0.9163k2022-02-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.28631.2807-0.44%1.3266+3.13%0.0111✗1.002.7M2022-02-06
DIADIAEthereum1.011.0056-0.43%1.01+0.00%0.0198✓1.00333k2022-02-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0419.9538-0.43%20.86+4.09%0.0027✓1.733.8M2022-02-06
AAVEAaveEthereum166.2165.4955-0.42%173.57+4.43%0.0149✗1.3610.9M2022-02-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95490.950886-0.42%1.1073+15.96%0.1176✗1.4499k2022-02-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013530.013473-0.42%0.01348-0.37%0.0209✓0.8913k2022-02-06
UMAUMAEthereum6.46.3734-0.42%6.44+0.63%0.0135✓0.991.9M2022-02-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.00210.997963-0.41%1.0259+2.38%0.0009✓1.1129.4M2022-02-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34043.3266-0.41%3.4089+2.05%0.0006✓1.042.6M2022-02-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.205310.204468-0.41%0.23556+14.73%0.1052✗1.5132k2022-02-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058880.058639-0.41%0.05974+1.46%0.0129✓1.301.5M2022-02-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.925290.921526-0.41%0.94262+1.87%0.0164✓1.62350k2022-02-06
XYMSymbolnative0.18550.184747-0.41%0.1904+2.64%0.0135✗0.69423k2022-02-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.32211.3168-0.41%1.3479+1.95%0.0005✓0.99333k2022-02-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.12035.0998-0.40%5.1636+0.85%0.0172✓1.23406k2022-02-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9721.8821-0.40%22.46+2.23%0.0014✓1.1410.4M2022-02-06
SOLSolanaSolana113.8113.3484-0.40%115.32+1.34%0.0115✓1.19187.6M2022-02-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7717.6999-0.39%18.06+1.63%0.0081✓1.1777.2M2022-02-06
KSMKusamaHydration185.88185.1537-0.39%195.98+5.43%0.0297✗1.121.0M2022-02-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.0976.7931-0.39%79.05+2.54%0.0026✓1.3187.1M2022-02-06
FIDABonfidaSolana2.242.2314-0.38%2.241+0.04%0.0198✓1.0067k2022-02-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,460.8041,302.31-0.38%41,902.90+1.07%0.0090✓0.9740k2022-02-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3540.352649-0.38%0.367+3.67%0.0090✗1.281.7M2022-02-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2124-0.38%7.25+0.14%0.0023✓0.311.1M2022-02-06
GTGateEthereum7.02346.9967-0.38%7.1624+1.98%0.0032✓0.844.1M2022-02-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04050.040347-0.38%0.0408+0.74%0.0137✓1.039.0M2022-02-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4496-0.37%5.46-0.18%0.0154✓0.72377k2022-02-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26270.261732-0.37%0.2607-0.76%0.0304✓1.101.7M2022-02-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0164330.016373-0.37%0.016835+2.45%0.0001✓1.152.6M2022-02-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.49320.491392-0.37%0.5074+2.88%0.0009✓1.372.0M2022-02-06
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.9922-0.36%46.65+1.06%0.0136✓1.1534.0M2022-02-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.4965-0.36%6.64+1.84%0.0020✓0.82478k2022-02-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.4522.3699-0.36%24.65+9.80%0.0597✗1.55411k2022-02-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV96.7396.3863-0.36%98.65+1.98%0.0013✓0.911.6M2022-02-06
MOVRMoonriverBase85.820585.5156-0.36%91.4575+6.57%0.0347✗1.35320k2022-02-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96820.964775-0.35%1.1222+15.91%0.1116✗1.64725k2022-02-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.4941-0.35%4.533+0.51%0.0105✓0.79351k2022-02-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7611.7548-0.35%1.778+0.97%0.0136✓1.111.6M2022-02-06
XEMNEMnative0.11290.112505-0.35%0.1121-0.71%0.0272✓0.9837k2022-02-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.44810.446573-0.34%0.473+5.56%0.0269✗1.279.4M2022-02-06
SCSiacoinnative0.011540.011501-0.34%0.0116+0.52%0.0159✓1.01572k2022-02-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.044499-0.34%0.04503+0.85%0.0141✓1.0828k2022-02-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.5146.4921-0.34%7.292+11.94%0.0928✗0.97341k2022-02-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.2622.1856-0.33%23.36+4.94%0.0244✗1.1326.9M2022-02-06
BTTCBTTC0.000002260.000002252-0.33%0.00000228+0.88%0.0120✓1.0015.3M2022-02-06
XECeCashnative0.00008390.000083621-0.33%0.00008613+2.66%0.0029✓1.105.5M2022-02-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0690.068772-0.33%0.0712+3.19%0.0051✗1.23540k2022-02-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.74319.6942-0.33%324.8+1.27%0.0086✓1.027.6M2022-02-06
ZECZcashZcash116.08115.7059-0.32%124.6+7.34%0.0441✗1.246.6M2022-02-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52020.518533-0.32%0.5305+1.98%0.0197✓1.7642.5M2022-02-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.5588-0.31%3.63+1.68%0.0128✗0.291.5M2022-02-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.31020.309237-0.31%0.311+0.26%0.0316✓1.554.1M2022-02-06
LUNATerraTerra 255.3955.2181-0.31%56.13+1.34%0.0178✓1.428.8M2022-02-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59950.597656-0.31%0.5976-0.32%0.0307✓1.272.7M2022-02-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.770.767638-0.31%0.83+7.79%0.0331✗1.87996k2022-02-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.662.652-0.30%2.73+2.63%0.0051✗0.99579k2022-02-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.11810.117747-0.30%0.129+9.23%0.0558✗1.471.6M2022-02-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7780.77572-0.29%0.816+4.88%0.0256✗1.041.6M2022-02-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07630.076077-0.29%0.0768+0.66%0.0162✓1.0621k2022-02-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0395270.039415-0.28%0.038392-2.87%0.0572✓1.28120k2022-02-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0596.0419-0.28%6.279+3.63%0.0186✗0.8391k2022-02-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.312.3036-0.28%2.33+0.87%0.0174✓1.202.3M2022-02-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin121.8121.4632-0.28%127.68+4.83%0.0186✗1.3031.3M2022-02-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,014.503,006.25-0.27%3,058.22+1.45%0.0092✓1.09557.7M2022-02-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022540.000022478-0.27%0.0000285+26.44%0.2067✗1.271.3M2022-02-06
ADACardanoCardano1.12551.1225-0.27%1.1436+1.61%0.0079✓1.10110.9M2022-02-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.4437-0.25%6.5+0.62%0.0094✓0.75463k2022-02-06
ZENHorizenBase45.6145.4985-0.24%47.49+4.12%0.0056✗1.55568k2022-02-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08690.086689-0.24%0.0894+2.88%0.0024✗1.18244k2022-02-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,404.8541,305.00-0.24%42,415.16+2.44%0.0024✓1.00648.0M2022-02-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9760.973672-0.24%1.016+4.10%0.0102✗1.342.3M2022-02-06
KCSKuCoinnative19.68619.64-0.23%20.001+1.60%0.0155✓1.4010.5M2022-02-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6526750.651198-0.23%0.659906+1.11%0.0142✓1.143.5M2022-02-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.20880.208331-0.22%0.232+11.11%0.0764✗1.293.6M2022-02-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403820.040292-0.22%0.039748-1.57%0.0438✓1.258.4M2022-02-06
BANDBandEthereum3.93.8913-0.22%3.97+1.79%0.0104✓1.262.1M2022-02-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.80141.7975-0.22%1.8521+2.81%0.0041✗1.0776k2022-02-06
RADRadworksEthereum5.485.4681-0.22%5.79+5.66%0.0333✗0.99875k2022-02-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2132220.212766-0.21%0.223926+5.02%0.0272✗0.9924.9M2022-02-06
QTUMQtumQtum6.92816.9146-0.19%7.1257+2.85%0.0041✓1.42174k2022-02-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7282.7228-0.19%2.784+2.05%0.0098✓1.33911k2022-02-06
TRXTRONTron0.0647620.064646-0.18%0.066256+2.31%0.0029✗0.90379k2022-02-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.791.7868-0.18%1.86+3.91%0.0108✗1.221.8M2022-02-06
DASHDashDash103.6103.4341-0.16%108.83+5.05%0.0234✗1.142.8M2022-02-06
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2711.2521-0.16%11.7+3.82%0.0082✗1.2812.5M2022-02-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.031040.030995-0.15%0.03208+3.35%0.0147✗0.827.6M2022-02-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006740.006734-0.09%0.007+3.86%0.0101✓2.0320.1M2022-02-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.129191-0.08%0.131+1.31%0.0170✓1.283.3M2022-02-06
XVSVenusEthereum8.678.6648-0.06%8.91+2.77%0.0020✓1.242.3M2022-02-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1470260.14698-0.03%0.1538+4.61%0.0209✗1.017.1M2022-02-06
NANOnanopayBase2.19332.1933+0.00%2.2381+2.04%0.0076✗1.15845k2022-02-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.