2022-01-29 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2621

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+24.56%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.1%

in alpha space · 52.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+13.10%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143169	0.14226	-0.64%	0.133451	-6.79%	0.1932	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.22	8.1454	-0.91%	9.33	+13.50%	0.0258	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.839055	-1.29%	1.236	+45.41%	0.2014	✗	1.51	523k	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.51	96.0875	-1.46%	115.74	+18.70%	0.0582	✗	1.04	7.3M	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.84	109.1758	-1.50%	113.82	+2.69%	0.1226	✓	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.92	1.8905	-1.53%	1.86	-3.12%	0.1855	✓	1.37	2.8M	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0653	0.06423	-1.64%	0.0695	+6.43%	0.0595	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,603.74	2,560.82	-1.65%	2,923.08	+12.26%	0.0045	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,191.10	37,559.88	-1.65%	43,192.66	+13.10%	0.0167	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.042	3.9707	-1.76%	4.565	+12.94%	0.0426	✗	0.79	367k	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060341	0.059273	-1.77%	0.061786	+2.39%	0.0752	✓	0.95	460k	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.251	0.246363	-1.85%	0.236	-5.98%	0.1617	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.203491	0.199471	-1.98%	0.197675	-2.86%	0.1369	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	96.39	94.4525	-2.01%	118.68	+23.12%	0.0645	✗	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	96.55	94.5999	-2.02%	100.51	+4.10%	0.0853	✓	1.19	3.0M	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.493	1.4624	-2.05%	1.571	+5.22%	0.0744	✓	1.19	1.6M	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04089	0.04005	-2.05%	0.04194	+2.57%	0.0934	✓	1.13	30k	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4878	3.413	-2.15%	5.9258	+69.90%	0.5543	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.667	2.6095	-2.15%	3.317	+24.37%	0.0511	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,181.60	37,340.93	-2.20%	43,136.20	+12.98%	0.0195	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.565434	0.552955	-2.21%	0.575051	+1.70%	0.1114	✓	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3362	2.2803	-2.39%	1.9381	-17.04%	0.3153	✓	1.24	888k	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007692	0.000075025	-2.46%	0.00007869	+2.30%	0.0901	✓	1.12	5.8M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.25	93.7989	-2.55%	99.74	+3.63%	0.0853	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.24	15.8222	-2.57%	15.14	-6.77%	0.1942	✓	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.542	17.0885	-2.59%	20.677	+17.87%	0.0041	✓	1.52	10.7M	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0603	1.0325	-2.62%	0.964	-9.08%	0.2077	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0817	0.079555	-2.62%	0.073	-10.65%	0.2380	✓	1.24	317k	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5251	0.511022	-2.68%	0.5696	+8.47%	0.0592	✓	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.9616	5.8016	-2.68%	6.4925	+8.91%	0.0649	✓	1.44	221k	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.924	0.898715	-2.74%	0.877	-5.09%	0.1944	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.258	3.1675	-2.78%	3.233	-0.77%	0.0862	✓	0.87	884k	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00723	0.007028	-2.79%	0.00439	-39.28%	0.7619	✓	2.37	22.6M	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.121	0.11758	-2.83%	0.1303	+7.69%	0.0589	✓	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.709514	-2.94%	0.697	-4.65%	0.1538	✓	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6081	1.5606	-2.96%	1.7163	+6.72%	0.0419	✓	1.11	82k	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.65	6.4487	-3.03%	6.6	-0.75%	0.0042	✓	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	154.04	149.3639	-3.04%	145.83	-5.33%	0.1917	✓	1.36	12.7M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.154	1.1186	-3.07%	1.0426	-9.65%	0.1946	✓	1.01	376k	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1047	0.101478	-3.08%	0.1081	+3.25%	0.0665	✓	1.05	43k	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039999	0.038764	-3.09%	0.049264	+23.16%	0.0884	✗	1.23	10.1M	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.2375	-3.14%	2.21	-4.33%	0.1582	✓	1.18	602k	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41.64	40.3315	-3.14%	37.91	-8.96%	0.2579	✓	1.59	639k	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014518	0.014057	-3.17%	0.012148	-16.32%	0.2923	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4637	0.448816	-3.21%	0.3943	-14.97%	0.2995	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.72	1.6637	-3.27%	1.505	-12.50%	0.2580	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.93	5.7347	-3.29%	7.55	+27.32%	0.1785	✗	0.78	470k	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	10.7919	-3.30%	10.53	-5.65%	0.1889	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.08	5.8755	-3.36%	6.6	+8.55%	0.0118	✓	0.85	503k	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9693	0.936446	-3.39%	0.8684	-10.41%	0.2189	✓	1.17	36.8M	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.851	4.6864	-3.39%	4.2345	-12.71%	0.2530	✓	1.23	430k	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.637419	-3.42%	0.75	+13.64%	0.0670	✓	1.87	1.2M	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.09	26.1627	-3.42%	26.36	-2.69%	0.1995	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0636	0.061396	-3.47%	0.078	+22.64%	0.0638	✗	1.43	577k	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.83	2.7319	-3.47%	1.564	-44.73%	0.7467	✓	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	299.03	288.6182	-3.48%	339.27	+13.46%	0.0332	✓	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.07	19.3617	-3.53%	15.37	-23.42%	0.4575	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.34	2.2566	-3.57%	1.36	-41.88%	0.6978	✓	1.56	2.4M	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.24	25.2883	-3.63%	30.9	+17.76%	0.1042	✗	0.78	430k	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002166	0.000020854	-3.72%	0.00002579	+19.07%	0.0387	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.93	49.0251	-3.74%	91.38	+79.42%	0.4218	✗	1.63	8.8M	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5968	0.574235	-3.78%	0.5007	-16.10%	0.3260	✓	1.54	1.3M	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.15	12.643	-3.86%	16.18	+23.04%	0.1626	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2425	0.23311	-3.87%	0.2454	+1.20%	0.1016	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08979	0.08631	-3.88%	0.09213	+2.61%	0.0822	✓	1.20	46k	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18677	0.179472	-3.91%	0.16639	-10.91%	0.2694	✓	1.57	23k	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.42	2.3249	-3.93%	2.44	+0.83%	0.0774	✓	1.02	794k	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2671	0.25653	-3.96%	0.2945	+10.26%	0.0018	✓	1.14	604k	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	79.3124	76.1641	-3.97%	67.763	-14.56%	0.2683	✓	1.23	410k	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.16	4.9543	-3.99%	5.51	+6.78%	0.0168	✓	0.73	413k	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	171.16	164.3262	-3.99%	130.28	-23.88%	0.3801	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.51	3.3693	-4.01%	3.934	+12.08%	0.0015	✓	1.25	2.5M	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.67	147.4931	-4.02%	170.31	+10.83%	0.0190	✓	1.01	2.1M	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.009614	-4.05%	0.01037	+3.49%	0.0885	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03035	0.029112	-4.08%	0.02937	-3.23%	0.1061	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.128	5.8756	-4.12%	5.875	-4.13%	0.1220	✓	0.99	320k	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.001	5.7515	-4.16%	5.63	-6.18%	0.1241	✓	0.83	125k	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9824	2.8583	-4.16%	3.1196	+4.60%	0.0410	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0727	0.069663	-4.18%	0.07201	-0.95%	0.0640	✓	0.79	67k	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1844	0.176655	-4.20%	0.1925	+4.39%	0.0816	✓	1.36	3.9M	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9684	0.92749	-4.22%	0.823	-15.01%	0.3606	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.7	88.7828	-4.23%	88.67	-4.35%	0.1180	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.12	0.114868	-4.28%	0.132	+10.00%	0.0160	✓	1.00	155k	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01015	0.009714	-4.29%	0.00968	-4.63%	0.1335	✓	1.06	593k	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.06	117.7345	-4.33%	120.75	-1.88%	0.1317	✓	1.28	68k	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	71.95	68.8362	-4.33%	84.59	+17.57%	0.0419	✓	1.33	85.3M	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84787	0.810989	-4.35%	0.74117	-12.58%	0.3003	✓	1.71	610k	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.73	39.9107	-4.36%	45.95	+10.11%	0.0089	✓	1.22	35.1M	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.333	0.318279	-4.42%	0.308	-7.51%	0.2034	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1205	0.115171	-4.42%	0.1612	+33.78%	0.2185	✗	0.96	312k	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.73	19.8073	-4.45%	21.16	+2.07%	0.1268	✓	1.57	775k	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4988	0.476204	-4.53%	0.504	+1.04%	0.1244	✓	1.47	2.1M	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.34	24.1864	-4.55%	30.53	+20.48%	0.1001	✗	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05052	0.048199	-4.59%	0.01796	-64.45%	1.1519	✓	1.34	9.2M	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.18	19.2453	-4.63%	20.13	-0.25%	0.1092	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	17.8803	-4.64%	18.95	+1.07%	0.1114	✓	1.38	50.2M	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.08	5.7964	-4.66%	7.228	+18.88%	0.0887	✗	1.07	2.3M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.58	47.2493	-4.70%	54.42	+9.76%	0.0021	✓	1.17	7.5M	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.04515	0.043023	-4.71%	0.022655	-49.82%	0.8102	✓	1.37	266k	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4104	0.390922	-4.75%	0.3772	-8.09%	0.1940	✓	1.29	10.2M	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8302	0.790628	-4.77%	0.7967	-4.04%	0.1280	✓	1.10	18.7M	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0104	0.009904	-4.77%	0.01099	+5.67%	0.0533	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.104584	-4.92%	0.0857	-22.09%	0.3846	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.12	13.4161	-4.99%	14.2	+0.57%	0.0653	✓	0.99	886k	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.31	0.294473	-5.01%	0.2321	-25.13%	0.4308	✓	1.57	4.2M	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.29	19.2669	-5.04%	21.72	+7.05%	0.0265	✓	1.19	13.0M	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9037	0.858075	-5.05%	1.6754	+85.39%	0.4823	✗	1.52	107k	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.508	0.482348	-5.05%	0.461	-9.25%	0.2347	✓	1.54	5.2M	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.1	5.7907	-5.07%	4.86	-20.33%	0.2939	✓	0.96	953k	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.009	2.8564	-5.07%	3.115	+3.52%	0.0113	✓	0.80	397k	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,297.65	23,057.59	-5.10%	21,589.29	-11.15%	0.1793	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1739	0.164948	-5.15%	0.1531	-11.96%	0.1575	✓	0.67	536k	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.69	3.4956	-5.27%	7.529	+104.04%	0.7408	✗	0.22	837k	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.952	0.901772	-5.28%	0.9803	+2.97%	0.1030	✓	1.52	2.1M	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.054	-5.36%	4.85	-9.18%	0.1631	✓	0.99	978k	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.19	3.9632	-5.41%	3.54	-15.51%	0.2784	✓	1.34	10.7M	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.245	2.1224	-5.46%	2.477	+10.33%	0.0210	✓	1.08	23k	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0362	0.034208	-5.50%	0.029	-19.89%	0.3464	✓	1.47	836k	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022029	0.020815	-5.51%	0.0214	-2.86%	0.1116	✓	1.13	3.2M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0631	2.8937	-5.53%	2.1929	-28.41%	0.3848	✓	0.87	21k	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.364	1.2883	-5.55%	1.164	-14.66%	0.2585	✓	1.28	3.6M	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0479	0.989438	-5.58%	1.3278	+26.71%	0.1356	✗	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.372	2.2396	-5.58%	2.8507	+20.18%	0.1253	✗	0.94	2.8M	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01347	0.012715	-5.60%	0.01231	-8.61%	0.1443	✓	0.91	21k	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.758	1.6571	-5.74%	1.566	-10.92%	0.2166	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6022	0.567208	-5.81%	0.3657	-39.27%	0.6694	✓	1.87	48.9M	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7736	6.3798	-5.81%	6.71	-0.94%	0.0641	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0915	2.9084	-5.92%	3.5483	+14.78%	0.0307	✓	1.37	2.5M	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.36	2.2202	-5.93%	1.352	-42.71%	0.6851	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2936	1.2149	-6.09%	0.7584	-41.37%	0.5943	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.35	6.9025	-6.09%	6.79	-7.62%	0.0527	✓	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.324	6.8767	-6.11%	6.75	-7.84%	0.0496	✓	0.25	38k	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.99	2.7958	-6.49%	2.442	-18.33%	0.3079	✓	1.40	25.0M	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1573	2.9484	-6.62%	3.1104	-1.49%	0.0817	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.31	2.1541	-6.75%	1.84	-20.35%	0.2807	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.404	-7.02%	1.25	-17.22%	0.2393	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06396	0.059222	-7.41%	0.04871	-23.84%	0.3748	✓	1.46	1.7M	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.1	26.9423	-7.41%	31.38	+7.84%	0.0142	✓	1.12	130.3M	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.17	8.487	-7.45%	10.15	+10.69%	0.0868	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7284	1.5976	-7.57%	2.4391	+41.12%	0.3290	✗	0.76	2.8M	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.173	5.7013	-7.64%	2.664	-56.84%	0.8839	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05525	0.050906	-7.86%	0.03503	-36.60%	0.4968	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.4	4.8885	-9.47%	4.154	-23.07%	0.3193	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5693	0.51089	-10.26%	0.5607	-1.51%	0.0514	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0907	0.076659	-15.48%	0.0703	-22.49%	0.3944	✓	2.50	23.2M	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.