2022-01-18 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0559

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.94%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.1%

in alpha space · 80.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.64%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1293	0.129433	+0.10%	0.1191	-7.89%	0.0619	✗	1.28	2.1M	2022-01-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	146.04	146.1848	+0.10%	135.59	-7.16%	0.0599	✗	0.93	6.7M	2022-01-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,160.81	3,163.73	+0.09%	3,085.27	-2.39%	0.0073	✗	1.07	496.9M	2022-01-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0631	0.063157	+0.09%	0.0575	-8.87%	0.0773	✗	1.00	24.6M	2022-01-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.9248	2.9274	+0.09%	3.0555	+4.47%	0.0617	✓	1.14	665k	2022-01-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1612	1.1621	+0.08%	1.1835	+1.92%	0.0500	✓	1.92	1.3M	2022-01-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0808	0.080848	+0.06%	0.0774	-4.21%	0.0205	✗	1.40	990k	2022-01-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	253.4	253.5336	+0.05%	243.71	-3.82%	0.0198	✗	1.19	1.4M	2022-01-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.98	22.9906	+0.05%	21.56	-6.18%	0.0445	✗	1.20	72.8M	2022-01-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01322	0.013224	+0.03%	0.01267	-4.16%	0.0222	✗	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.259	0.259073	+0.03%	0.2463	-4.90%	0.0285	✗	1.33	4.0M	2022-01-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.052076	0.052087	+0.02%	0.051115	-1.85%	0.0011	✓	1.20	9.0M	2022-01-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	126.385	126.404	+0.02%	120.5322	-4.63%	0.0289	✗	1.13	489k	2022-01-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253995	0.25402	+0.01%	0.245567	-3.32%	0.0167	✗	1.03	24.4M	2022-01-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.794	1.7941	+0.00%	1.709	-4.74%	0.0295	✗	1.16	2.0M	2022-01-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.04	13.04	+0.00%	12.52	-3.99%	0.0218	✗	1.14	2.7M	2022-01-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.105	0.104994	-0.01%	0.1012	-3.62%	0.0182	✓	1.12	244k	2022-01-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0499	0.049896	-0.01%	0.0486	-2.61%	0.0037	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-01-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.4286	-0.02%	6.36	-1.09%	0.0002	✓	0.66	564k	2022-01-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.312788	-0.04%	0.2982	-4.70%	0.0265	✓	1.28	2.0M	2022-01-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.79	7.7866	-0.04%	7.67	-1.54%	0.0046	✓	0.63	680k	2022-01-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03887	0.038851	-0.05%	0.03718	-4.35%	0.0289	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8648	0.864348	-0.05%	0.7592	-12.21%	0.1127	✓	1.03	2.6M	2022-01-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027164	0.02715	-0.05%	0.026624	-1.99%	0.0026	✓	1.03	5.2M	2022-01-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.48	28.4651	-0.05%	27.59	-3.12%	0.0132	✓	1.09	15.1M	2022-01-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01425	0.014242	-0.05%	0.01394	-2.18%	0.0002	✓	1.31	2.1M	2022-01-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.019469	0.019458	-0.06%	0.01895	-2.67%	0.0062	✓	1.23	2.7M	2022-01-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.8053	-0.06%	7.57	-3.07%	0.0179	✓	0.77	652k	2022-01-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.008	1.0074	-0.06%	0.96	-4.76%	0.0321	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-01-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.26	27.2394	-0.08%	26.81	-1.65%	0.0041	✓	0.71	353k	2022-01-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04814	0.048102	-0.08%	0.04692	-2.53%	0.0067	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.739	0.738398	-0.08%	0.701	-5.14%	0.0274	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.38	29.3554	-0.08%	26.53	-9.70%	0.0778	✓	1.41	34.3M	2022-01-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1162	4.1126	-0.09%	3.8849	-5.62%	0.0342	✓	1.37	3.3M	2022-01-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.19	2.1879	-0.09%	2.09	-4.57%	0.0281	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	141.35	141.2157	-0.09%	135.33	-4.26%	0.0238	✓	1.14	152.8M	2022-01-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1541	0.15395	-0.10%	0.151	-2.01%	0.0016	✗	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.15	25.1224	-0.11%	24.06	-4.33%	0.0208	✓	1.35	60.5M	2022-01-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06479	0.064713	-0.12%	0.07162	+10.54%	0.1218	✗	1.23	12.4M	2022-01-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10541	0.105282	-0.12%	0.10044	-4.71%	0.0282	✓	1.14	30k	2022-01-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.05	5.0438	-0.12%	4.91	-2.77%	0.0085	✓	1.11	2.1M	2022-01-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8307	7.8207	-0.13%	7.4032	-5.46%	0.0310	✓	1.44	263k	2022-01-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2714	-0.13%	1.222	-4.01%	0.0170	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-01-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	381.47	380.9698	-0.13%	369.1	-3.24%	0.0149	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-01-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08843	0.088312	-0.13%	0.0853	-3.54%	0.0226	✓	0.73	50k	2022-01-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.9586	-0.13%	15.12	-5.38%	0.0323	✓	1.31	12.4M	2022-01-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,369.74	42,312.53	-0.14%	41,674.27	-1.64%	0.0014	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068419	0.068322	-0.14%	0.069192	+1.13%	0.0284	✗	0.95	494k	2022-01-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.21	6.2009	-0.15%	6.05	-2.58%	0.0032	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-01-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.02	3.0154	-0.15%	2.91	-3.64%	0.0192	✓	0.99	891k	2022-01-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.165155	0.164896	-0.16%	0.161705	-2.09%	0.0014	✓	1.10	6.0M	2022-01-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.348	1.3459	-0.16%	1.294	-4.01%	0.0166	✓	1.37	3.8M	2022-01-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	23.4	23.363	-0.16%	22.14	-5.38%	0.0229	✓	1.86	3.9M	2022-01-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.720057	0.718887	-0.16%	0.684968	-4.87%	0.0293	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-01-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1142	0.114004	-0.17%	0.1126	-1.40%	0.0051	✗	1.06	43k	2022-01-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009565	0.000095477	-0.18%	0.00009227	-3.53%	0.0174	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-01-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5309	0.529918	-0.18%	0.5244	-1.22%	0.0112	✗	1.31	11.7M	2022-01-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	178.35	178.0167	-0.19%	172.8	-3.11%	0.0104	✓	1.17	100k	2022-01-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.86	73.722	-0.19%	71.82	-2.76%	0.0083	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-01-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.936	4.9265	-0.19%	4.793	-2.90%	0.0164	✓	0.67	469k	2022-01-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3179	1.3153	-0.20%	1.2659	-3.95%	0.0187	✓	1.18	30.5M	2022-01-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	27.84	27.7846	-0.20%	26.13	-6.14%	0.0358	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-01-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.691	2.6856	-0.20%	2.623	-2.53%	0.0086	✓	0.91	25k	2022-01-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.03	5.0197	-0.20%	4.9	-2.58%	0.0043	✓	1.20	3.2M	2022-01-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.55	2.5447	-0.21%	2.47	-3.14%	0.0079	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07514	0.074985	-0.21%	0.07218	-3.94%	0.0145	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.28	1.2773	-0.21%	1.17	-8.59%	0.0602	✓	1.66	556k	2022-01-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.56	19.5187	-0.21%	19.03	-2.71%	0.0078	✓	1.06	841k	2022-01-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1197	4.111	-0.21%	4	-2.91%	0.0065	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01274	0.012713	-0.21%	0.01172	-8.01%	0.0412	✓	2.42	23.7M	2022-01-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.94	7.923	-0.21%	8.26	+4.03%	0.0577	✗	0.97	3.9M	2022-01-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.277	2.272	-0.22%	2.219	-2.55%	0.0049	✓	1.13	2.0M	2022-01-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1015	1.099	-0.22%	1.0492	-4.75%	0.0301	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-01-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9593	0.957155	-0.22%	0.9271	-3.36%	0.0087	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.376	0.37515	-0.23%	0.349	-7.18%	0.0594	✓	0.78	47k	2022-01-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.117	4.1074	-0.23%	3.956	-3.91%	0.0245	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-01-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.371	20.3236	-0.23%	19.951	-2.06%	0.0081	✗	1.61	10.7M	2022-01-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	130.54	130.2334	-0.23%	126.8	-2.87%	0.0070	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.02	85.8132	-0.24%	82.64	-3.93%	0.0180	✓	1.19	100.4M	2022-01-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,495.40	42,391.94	-0.24%	41,724.00	-1.82%	0.0005	✓	0.99	14k	2022-01-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	141.53	141.1853	-0.24%	136.2	-3.77%	0.0136	✓	1.35	31.1M	2022-01-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6709	3.6617	-0.25%	3.6546	-0.44%	0.0030	✓	-0.06	361k	2022-01-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.34	10.3137	-0.25%	10.22	-1.16%	0.0033	✗	0.75	872k	2022-01-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7	6.9821	-0.26%	7.009	+0.13%	0.0253	✗	1.30	271k	2022-01-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.727	3.7173	-0.26%	3.627	-2.68%	0.0129	✓	0.71	526k	2022-01-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.44	7.4199	-0.27%	7.01	-5.78%	0.0423	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	131.97	131.5987	-0.28%	125.87	-4.62%	0.0231	✓	1.29	10.6M	2022-01-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		108.41	108.1026	-0.28%	109.45	+0.96%	0.0282	✗	0.96	1.9M	2022-01-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.56	4.547	-0.28%	4.19	-8.11%	0.0586	✓	1.40	32.4M	2022-01-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.97	44.8408	-0.29%	46.67	+3.78%	0.0584	✗	1.12	23.6M	2022-01-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002811	0.000028027	-0.30%	0.00002726	-3.02%	0.0053	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	232.45	231.7465	-0.30%	210.15	-9.59%	0.0781	✓	1.19	17.6M	2022-01-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6816	0.679525	-0.30%	0.6838	+0.32%	0.0275	✗	1.28	3.5M	2022-01-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	204.44	203.8077	-0.31%	201.62	-1.38%	0.0055	✗	0.99	3.1M	2022-01-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0816	2.075	-0.32%	2.0509	-1.47%	0.0068	✗	1.11	89k	2022-01-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1749	0.174331	-0.33%	0.1712	-2.12%	0.0030	✓	0.91	397k	2022-01-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.25	3.2385	-0.35%	3.1	-4.62%	0.0232	✓	1.24	2.8M	2022-01-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.311684	-0.36%	0.2983	-4.64%	0.0268	✓	1.03	397k	2022-01-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1864	0.185729	-0.36%	0.1786	-4.18%	0.0279	✓	0.68	577k	2022-01-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.72	3.7064	-0.37%	3.56	-4.30%	0.0163	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-01-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.355	7.3276	-0.37%	7.272	-1.13%	0.0039	✗	0.70	170k	2022-01-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.236	1.2314	-0.38%	1.1693	-5.40%	0.0342	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-01-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.27	38.12	-0.39%	37.07	-3.14%	0.0119	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-01-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.4364	-0.39%	3.39	-1.74%	0.0044	✗	1.09	811k	2022-01-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4589	1.4531	-0.39%	1.3366	-8.38%	0.0652	✓	1.11	98.5M	2022-01-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.6812	-0.40%	14.85	+0.75%	0.0227	✗	0.68	916k	2022-01-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0043	1.0002	-0.40%	0.95676	-4.73%	0.0149	✓	1.78	896k	2022-01-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6093	0.606787	-0.41%	0.5784	-5.07%	0.0250	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.499	0.49692	-0.42%	0.469	-6.01%	0.0362	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-01-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.859	2.847	-0.42%	2.7346	-4.35%	0.0233	✓	1.03	4.6M	2022-01-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	52.32	52.0978	-0.42%	49.93	-4.57%	0.0178	✓	1.49	642k	2022-01-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.9429	5.9175	-0.43%	5.4486	-8.32%	0.0624	✓	1.22	457k	2022-01-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0464	7.0157	-0.44%	7.1	+0.76%	0.0262	✗	0.86	4.1M	2022-01-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01679	0.016716	-0.44%	0.01585	-5.60%	0.0410	✓	0.74	23k	2022-01-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2233	3.2085	-0.46%	3.1421	-2.52%	0.0014	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-01-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,596.41	32,445.33	-0.46%	32,142.29	-1.39%	0.0019	✓	0.68	22.2M	2022-01-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.98	0.975347	-0.47%	0.93	-5.10%	0.0160	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-01-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.54	3.5227	-0.49%	3.33	-5.93%	0.0350	✓	1.28	8.5M	2022-01-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	33.9118	-0.52%	32.43	-4.87%	0.0172	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.473	1.4652	-0.53%	1.537	+4.34%	0.0619	✗	0.85	1.1M	2022-01-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5502	1.5421	-0.53%	1.462	-5.69%	0.0387	✓	0.88	423k	2022-01-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	8.79	8.7435	-0.53%	8.35	-5.01%	0.0463	✓	-0.02	1.3M	2022-01-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.78	8.7324	-0.54%	8.43	-3.99%	0.0233	✓	0.72	995k	2022-01-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0796	0.079161	-0.55%	0.0761	-4.40%	0.0214	✓	1.09	21k	2022-01-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.64	32.4463	-0.59%	31.27	-4.20%	0.0192	✓	1.07	3.0M	2022-01-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0133	0.01322	-0.60%	0.0127	-4.51%	0.0236	✓	1.00	654k	2022-01-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	80.49	79.9878	-0.62%	81.27	+0.97%	0.0470	✗	1.88	7.6M	2022-01-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2149	1.2067	-0.67%	1.1386	-6.28%	0.0350	✓	1.40	3.7M	2022-01-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0352	1.0273	-0.77%	1.0457	+1.01%	0.0357	✗	1.08	108k	2022-01-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.076024	0.075424	-0.79%	0.07511	-1.20%	0.0124	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6027	0.597196	-0.91%	0.5701	-5.41%	0.0235	✓	1.39	1.5M	2022-01-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.41	11.3047	-0.92%	10.21	-10.52%	0.0994	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-01-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.382	11.2758	-0.93%	10.274	-9.73%	0.0917	✓	0.08	44k	2022-01-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4092	0.405088	-1.00%	0.366	-10.56%	0.0769	✓	1.49	4.1M	2022-01-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19779	0.195752	-1.03%	0.19913	+0.68%	0.0431	✗	1.57	6,446	2022-01-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.378	3.3391	-1.15%	3.282	-2.84%	0.0113	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-01-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9154	0.904502	-1.19%	0.8466	-7.52%	0.0369	✓	1.77	48.9M	2022-01-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.64	4.558	-1.77%	4.35	-6.25%	0.0309	✓	0.95	471k	2022-01-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.0803	3.9935	-2.13%	3.9939	-2.12%	0.0125	✓	0.75	2,257	2022-01-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.