2022-01-15 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1909

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.85%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

91.4%

in alpha space · 93.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.27%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,328.12	3,362.15	+1.02%	2,931.01	-11.93%	0.1235	✗	1.07	533.9M	2022-02-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1398	0.141013	+0.87%	0.0983	-29.69%	0.3444	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.381285	+0.60%	0.285	-24.80%	0.2812	✗	0.76	44k	2022-02-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.7	6.6995	-0.01%	5.47	-18.36%	0.1943	✓	0.66	564k	2022-02-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	390.86	390.3336	-0.13%	330.66	-15.40%	0.1529	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068548	0.068446	-0.15%	0.064484	-5.93%	0.0473	✓	0.96	537k	2022-02-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.259056	0.258237	-0.32%	0.210709	-18.66%	0.1901	✓	1.04	24.9M	2022-02-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.086588	-0.36%	0.0868	-0.12%	0.0204	✗	1.40	1.1M	2022-02-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1231	3.1103	-0.41%	2.1432	-31.38%	0.3578	✓	1.14	710k	2022-02-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.3025	8.2578	-0.54%	6.5803	-20.74%	0.2086	✓	1.44	263k	2022-02-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11024	0.10964	-0.54%	0.09436	-14.40%	0.1355	✓	1.14	25k	2022-02-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	167.6	166.529	-0.64%	121.35	-27.60%	0.3045	✓	0.93	6.7M	2022-02-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1141	0.113255	-0.74%	0.0819	-28.22%	0.3098	✓	1.12	296k	2022-02-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.16	14.0294	-0.92%	9.58	-32.34%	0.3668	✓	1.14	3.0M	2022-02-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2669	0.264142	-1.03%	0.2046	-23.34%	0.2384	✓	1.33	3.9M	2022-02-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,098.20	42,644.91	-1.05%	42,548.71	-1.27%	0.0106	✗	1.00	679.0M	2022-02-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3248	0.320968	-1.18%	0.268	-17.49%	0.1639	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4232	1.4059	-1.22%	0.9283	-34.77%	0.3905	✓	1.91	1.3M	2022-02-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	7.9343	-1.31%	6.76	-15.92%	0.1503	✓	0.77	705k	2022-02-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.184596	0.182128	-1.34%	0.145821	-21.01%	0.2082	✓	1.10	5.4M	2022-02-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,685.80	42,106.54	-1.36%	42,156.20	-1.24%	0.0138	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010109	0.000099709	-1.37%	0.00008178	-19.10%	0.1852	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-02-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.875	1.849	-1.39%	1.61	-14.13%	0.1236	✓	1.15	2.2M	2022-02-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09328	0.091966	-1.41%	0.07495	-19.65%	0.1953	✓	0.73	49k	2022-02-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.757762	0.746591	-1.47%	0.593972	-21.61%	0.2140	✓	1.14	2.5M	2022-02-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020821	0.020504	-1.52%	0.016621	-20.17%	0.1941	✓	1.23	2.6M	2022-02-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.64	27.2167	-1.53%	18.7	-32.34%	0.3581	✓	1.34	61.7M	2022-02-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01388	0.013665	-1.55%	0.01132	-18.44%	0.1724	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-02-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01503	0.014789	-1.60%	0.01219	-18.90%	0.1764	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.846	3.7833	-1.63%	3.225	-16.15%	0.1506	✓	0.71	526k	2022-02-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.074	1.0561	-1.67%	0.759	-29.33%	0.3178	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1719	0.168892	-1.75%	0.1573	-8.49%	0.0549	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-02-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	154.3287	151.5549	-1.80%	83.68	-45.78%	0.5795	✓	1.12	489k	2022-02-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1187	0.116533	-1.83%	0.1094	-7.83%	0.0496	✓	1.05	55k	2022-02-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057912	0.05683	-1.87%	0.046133	-20.34%	0.1931	✓	1.20	7.5M	2022-02-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.66	10.4589	-1.89%	11.42	+7.13%	0.0976	✗	0.76	898k	2022-02-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.02	7.8671	-1.91%	6.47	-19.33%	0.1874	✓	0.63	680k	2022-02-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3434	-1.95%	1.7	-28.87%	0.3074	✓	1.06	2.8M	2022-02-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.944	4.8426	-2.05%	4.631	-6.33%	0.0360	✓	0.68	469k	2022-02-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.62	20.1822	-2.12%	15.4	-25.32%	0.2569	✓	1.05	886k	2022-02-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	147.78	144.6419	-2.12%	96.43	-34.75%	0.3910	✓	1.13	164.2M	2022-02-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.73	144.482	-2.20%	124.62	-15.64%	0.1303	✓	1.37	31.1M	2022-02-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1939	0.189636	-2.20%	0.1748	-9.85%	0.0728	✓	0.68	464k	2022-02-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0544	0.053152	-2.29%	0.0338	-37.87%	0.4351	✓	1.37	1.5M	2022-02-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2922	1.2624	-2.31%	1.05	-18.74%	0.1694	✓	1.15	95.6M	2022-02-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	192.18	187.6852	-2.34%	123.15	-35.92%	0.4064	✓	1.17	145k	2022-02-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.222	4.1185	-2.45%	3.33	-21.13%	0.2023	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-02-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.68	26.0251	-2.45%	17.04	-36.13%	0.3998	✓	1.85	3.9M	2022-02-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04139	0.04036	-2.49%	0.02945	-28.85%	0.3034	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-02-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0805	0.078449	-2.55%	0.0708	-12.05%	0.0884	✓	1.11	16k	2022-02-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.79	28.054	-2.56%	28.49	-1.04%	0.0246	✓	0.71	360k	2022-02-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.089	2.0331	-2.67%	1.7556	-15.96%	0.1325	✓	1.11	95k	2022-02-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.49	16.0482	-2.68%	10.62	-35.60%	0.3961	✓	1.30	12.4M	2022-02-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3426	-2.71%	1.12	-18.84%	0.1598	✓	1.67	556k	2022-02-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.19	24.5048	-2.72%	15.9	-36.88%	0.4173	✓	1.19	74.2M	2022-02-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07028	0.068322	-2.79%	0.02976	-57.66%	0.8153	✓	1.22	14.7M	2022-02-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.344	19.7755	-2.79%	19.607	-3.62%	0.0121	✓	1.61	10.8M	2022-02-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3416	0.331886	-2.84%	0.2742	-19.73%	0.1715	✓	1.52	3.8M	2022-02-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7698	3.6604	-2.90%	5.8399	+54.91%	0.4663	✗	-0.06	371k	2022-02-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.69	28.8242	-2.92%	20.75	-30.11%	0.3147	✓	1.09	15.5M	2022-02-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.81	0.785666	-3.00%	0.502	-38.02%	0.4288	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-02-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	218.2	211.543	-3.05%	176.38	-19.17%	0.1691	✓	0.99	3.1M	2022-02-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.324	1.2827	-3.12%	0.909	-31.34%	0.3270	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-02-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.61	29.6543	-3.12%	21.2	-30.74%	0.3158	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-02-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.7	280.6371	-3.13%	167.33	-42.24%	0.5019	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.33	136.8544	-3.17%	103.84	-26.53%	0.2606	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-02-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.843	2.7519	-3.20%	2.341	-17.66%	0.1501	✓	0.90	25k	2022-02-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0498	-3.21%	0.6376	-41.21%	0.4806	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-02-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3614	4.2202	-3.24%	3.5401	-18.83%	0.1595	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-02-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.76	2.6681	-3.33%	1.94	-29.71%	0.3017	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05243	0.05068	-3.34%	0.0437	-16.65%	0.1341	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028908	0.027923	-3.41%	0.021238	-26.53%	0.2605	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-02-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.28	5.0943	-3.52%	4.58	-13.26%	0.0912	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-02-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.36	139.2387	-3.55%	120.62	-16.44%	0.1269	✓	1.30	10.9M	2022-02-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.0763	-3.56%	2.56	-19.75%	0.1711	✓	0.99	918k	2022-02-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3785	1.3293	-3.57%	0.9001	-34.70%	0.3749	✓	1.17	30.5M	2022-02-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01703	0.016414	-3.62%	0.01366	-19.79%	0.1743	✓	0.73	24k	2022-02-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5948	0.572684	-3.72%	0.4039	-32.09%	0.3324	✓	1.31	12.2M	2022-02-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.538	1.48	-3.77%	1.259	-18.14%	0.1442	✓	1.37	4.2M	2022-02-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.55	31.3115	-3.81%	20.74	-36.28%	0.3938	✓	1.41	34.3M	2022-02-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003082	0.000029605	-3.94%	0.00002958	-4.02%	0.0165	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-02-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	93.08	89.3796	-3.98%	81.84	-12.08%	0.0730	✓	1.18	107.5M	2022-02-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.47	8.1259	-4.06%	6	-29.16%	0.2909	✓	0.97	4.1M	2022-02-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	75.35	72.252	-4.11%	56.82	-24.59%	0.2265	✓	1.08	6.2M	2022-02-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.71	5.4745	-4.12%	4.21	-26.27%	0.2485	✓	1.10	2.3M	2022-02-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08027	0.076952	-4.13%	0.05226	-34.89%	0.3687	✓	1.42	2.4M	2022-02-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1806	0.173015	-4.20%	0.1626	-9.97%	0.0504	✓	0.91	423k	2022-02-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9833	0.94172	-4.23%	0.545	-44.57%	0.5340	✓	1.01	2.9M	2022-02-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.39	8.0284	-4.31%	5.39	-35.76%	0.3871	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-02-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.282	4.0947	-4.37%	3.9473	-7.82%	0.0191	✓	1.37	3.8M	2022-02-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.4485	-4.47%	2.29	-36.57%	0.3916	✓	1.39	2.2M	2022-02-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.76	107.6811	-4.50%	93.76	-16.85%	0.1262	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.86	31.3687	-4.54%	31.42	-4.38%	0.0153	✓	1.06	2.9M	2022-02-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.09	6.7635	-4.61%	6.6557	-6.13%	0.0050	✓	0.86	3.8M	2022-02-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7349	0.700619	-4.66%	0.5481	-25.42%	0.2290	✓	1.29	3.7M	2022-02-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.07	14.3655	-4.68%	17.92	+18.91%	0.2299	✗	0.68	1.0M	2022-02-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	238.63	227.4446	-4.69%	161.11	-32.49%	0.3296	✓	1.18	17.6M	2022-02-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.534	0.508439	-4.79%	0.364	-31.84%	0.3175	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3546	3.1795	-5.22%	3.9552	+17.90%	0.2336	✗	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46	43.5587	-5.31%	44.85	-2.50%	0.0434	✓	1.11	21.8M	2022-02-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0075	-5.42%	0.80709	-24.24%	0.1989	✓	1.78	937k	2022-02-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.871	7.4377	-5.50%	7.402	-5.96%	0.0119	✓	1.30	260k	2022-02-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.12	1.0578	-5.56%	0.94	-16.07%	0.0935	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-02-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3345	0.315606	-5.65%	0.2886	-13.72%	0.0763	✓	1.03	397k	2022-02-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.5	3.3021	-5.65%	2.68	-23.43%	0.1948	✓	1.09	808k	2022-02-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.25	3.0606	-5.83%	1.84	-43.38%	0.4925	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-02-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.11	51.8423	-5.93%	41.27	-25.11%	0.2089	✓	1.49	649k	2022-02-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5259	1.4342	-6.01%	1.9224	+25.98%	0.3042	✗	0.87	926k	2022-02-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.757	6.3076	-6.65%	4.6155	-31.69%	0.2967	✓	1.22	457k	2022-02-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1257	1.0503	-6.70%	0.8459	-24.86%	0.2036	✓	1.00	23.2M	2022-02-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01405	0.013064	-7.02%	0.01033	-26.48%	0.2220	✓	0.99	641k	2022-02-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.117	7.5358	-7.16%	6.017	-25.87%	0.2162	✓	0.69	188k	2022-02-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.458	2.2723	-7.56%	1.753	-28.68%	0.2451	✓	1.12	2.0M	2022-02-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3528	1.2497	-7.62%	1.039	-23.19%	0.1712	✓	1.05	2.9M	2022-02-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.22	33.3973	-7.79%	26.44	-27.00%	0.2123	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.677	0.62333	-7.93%	0.4478	-33.86%	0.3130	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-02-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6358	0.584176	-8.12%	0.5644	-11.23%	0.0167	✓	1.38	736k	2022-02-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6962	1.5568	-8.22%	1.1301	-33.37%	0.3090	✓	0.88	502k	2022-02-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20848	0.190942	-8.41%	0.1719	-17.55%	0.0847	✓	1.59	5,360	2022-02-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9986	2.7361	-8.76%	2.8438	-5.16%	0.0517	✓	1.02	5.1M	2022-02-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.04	6.4235	-8.76%	4.07	-42.19%	0.4398	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-02-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	87.55	79.87	-8.77%	53.94	-38.39%	0.3697	✓	1.78	7.4M	2022-02-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,487.36	30,484.16	-8.97%	23,089.90	-31.05%	0.2692	✓	0.67	26.4M	2022-02-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.34	3.0384	-9.03%	2.793	-16.38%	0.0619	✓	1.74	1.1M	2022-02-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1369	3.7624	-9.05%	3.4806	-15.86%	0.0681	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-02-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.46	8.5975	-9.12%	5.66	-40.17%	0.4089	✓	0.71	1.0M	2022-02-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.81	8.8844	-9.43%	7.22	-26.40%	0.2077	✓	-0.02	1.5M	2022-02-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0756	0.068367	-9.57%	0.0688	-8.99%	0.0191	✓	1.00	27.0M	2022-02-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01441	0.013	-9.78%	0.00566	-60.72%	0.8012	✓	2.37	25.3M	2022-02-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3273	1.1926	-10.15%	1.0452	-21.25%	0.1140	✓	1.40	3.9M	2022-02-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.55	3.186	-10.25%	1.81	-49.01%	0.5494	✓	1.25	8.5M	2022-02-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.158	9.9694	-10.65%	7.128	-36.12%	0.3341	✓	0.11	40k	2022-02-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.16	34.8663	-10.96%	27.16	-30.64%	0.2377	✓	0.94	86.7M	2022-02-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0618	0.943434	-11.15%	1.2512	+17.84%	0.2953	✗	1.01	108k	2022-02-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.13	9.7642	-12.27%	7.17	-35.58%	0.3065	✓	0.18	2.6M	2022-02-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.28	4.6252	-12.40%	2.91	-44.89%	0.4454	✓	1.40	32.4M	2022-02-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.087032	0.07619	-12.46%	0.028657	-67.07%	0.9650	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8963	0.774555	-13.58%	0.4399	-50.92%	0.5433	✓	1.75	38.7M	2022-02-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.09	4.2778	-15.96%	4.35	-14.54%	0.0273	✓	0.82	471k	2022-02-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.