2022-01-10 · +1d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1473

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.14%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

29.5%

in alpha space · 15.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.014016	+0.47%	0.01458	+4.52%	0.0127	✗	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.077452	+0.33%	0.077	-0.26%	0.0278	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.603129	+0.24%	0.6826	+13.45%	0.0856	✓	1.74	38.7M	2022-01-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.95119	+0.22%	0.9389	-1.07%	0.0337	✗	0.94	3.2M	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	69.5403	+0.12%	73.57	+5.92%	0.0344	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.7061	+0.08%	3.766	+39.28%	0.2962	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.7075	+0.07%	11.23	+4.95%	0.0445	✓	0.14	2.8M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.3222	+0.05%	4.61	+6.71%	0.0344	✓	1.37	30.4M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.514	+0.02%	4.814	+6.67%	0.0507	✓	0.62	474k	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3273	+0.02%	1.398	+5.35%	0.0226	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.158229	+0.02%	0.1605	+1.45%	0.0121	✗	1.20	4.2M	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	84.4682	+0.01%	89.66	+6.16%	0.0357	✓	1.09	115.7M	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.8505	+0.01%	8.01	+2.04%	0.0005	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.143142	+0.01%	0.153722	+7.40%	0.0476	✓	1.08	4.8M	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5702	+0.01%	3.54	-0.84%	0.0238	✗	0.70	493k	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.7258	-0.00%	3.8424	+3.13%	0.0157	✗	0.69	3,355	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.07	-0.00%	2.15	+3.86%	0.0152	✗	1.03	3.4M	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	3.13	-0.00%	2.93	-6.39%	0.0941	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3399	-0.01%	1.36	+1.49%	0.0214	✓	1.65	764k	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	199.8741	-0.01%	213.29	+6.70%	0.0405	✗	1.11	17.6M	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5686	-0.02%	8	+5.68%	0.0423	✗	0.60	714k	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8834	-0.02%	3.0312	+5.10%	0.0264	✗	1.07	665k	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079379	-0.03%	0.0824	+3.78%	0.0070	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.4076	-0.04%	6.78	+5.77%	0.0426	✗	0.63	645k	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.173	-0.05%	13.71	+4.02%	0.0152	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.140809	-0.06%	0.1471	+4.40%	0.0166	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.2308	-0.07%	7.521	+3.95%	0.0095	✗	1.36	268k	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.0996	-0.07%	15.98	+5.76%	0.0289	✗	1.26	13.1M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.298789	-0.07%	0.3101	+3.71%	0.0095	✗	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7837	-0.07%	1.86	+4.20%	0.0170	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.1176	-0.08%	28.89	+2.67%	0.0043	✗	1.04	18.5M	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.631267	-0.08%	0.6511	+3.05%	0.0039	✗	1.23	4.4M	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.5004	-0.09%	8.221	+9.51%	0.0771	✗	0.67	231k	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070628	-0.10%	0.076	+7.50%	0.0507	✗	1.03	19k	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	53.2748	-0.10%	56.11	+5.21%	0.0210	✗	1.40	736k	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0276	-0.11%	1.025	-0.36%	0.0334	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.063416	-0.11%	0.064934	+2.28%	0.0031	✗	0.93	552k	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.0965	-0.11%	5.328	+4.43%	0.0195	✗	1.13	446k	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027615	-0.11%	0.029265	+5.86%	0.0356	✗	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.938953	-0.11%	0.96	+2.13%	0.0162	✓	1.75	1.6M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.312548	-0.11%	0.3363	+7.48%	0.0419	✗	1.42	4.1M	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1866	-0.11%	1.273	+7.15%	0.0413	✗	1.32	2.9M	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.7374	-0.12%	3.7323	-0.26%	0.0004	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.688255	-0.12%	0.718632	+4.29%	0.0193	✗	1.09	2.6M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.80666	-0.13%	0.8921	+10.45%	0.0787	✗	1.00	129k	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,769.30	-0.13%	42,753.44	+2.22%	0.0013	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.3452	-0.14%	26.75	+5.40%	0.0138	✗	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	141.0418	-0.14%	141.38	+0.10%	0.0253	✓	1.26	10.9M	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9992	-0.14%	2.1025	+5.02%	0.0278	✗	1.03	83k	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.9797	-0.14%	19.378	+1.95%	0.0145	✓	1.60	13.0M	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,079.04	-0.15%	3,240.83	+5.10%	0.0285	✗	1.03	591.9M	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.111426	-0.16%	0.1145	+2.60%	0.0050	✗	1.01	67k	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.5132	-0.16%	1.5924	+5.07%	0.0323	✗	0.85	647k	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.068795	-0.17%	0.07076	+2.68%	0.0016	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.549	-0.17%	6.99	+6.55%	0.0370	✗	1.28	18.2M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	31,953.51	-0.18%	32,768.96	+2.37%	0.0110	✗	0.65	26.4M	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.1955	-0.18%	4.382	+4.26%	0.0266	✗	0.77	1.1M	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000090225	-0.18%	0.00009356	+3.51%	0.0146	✗	0.99	6.7M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	181.911	-0.19%	188.96	+3.68%	0.0132	✗	1.13	180k	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.8355	-0.19%	3.1857	+12.14%	0.0910	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.029	-0.19%	1.045	+1.36%	0.0052	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	105.7848	-0.19%	110.22	+3.99%	0.0206	✗	0.93	2.6M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.6243	-0.19%	11.203	+5.24%	0.0512	✗	0.08	56k	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.1213	-0.20%	1.1879	+5.73%	0.0343	✗	1.07	95.6M	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.1297	-0.20%	1.2365	+9.24%	0.0684	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	27.9547	-0.20%	29.43	+5.07%	0.0195	✗	1.45	1.0M	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	126.2693	-0.20%	131.67	+4.07%	0.0128	✗	1.33	35.1M	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015369	-0.20%	0.01644	+6.75%	0.0540	✗	0.61	29k	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.250486	-0.20%	0.2641	+5.22%	0.0244	✗	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	182.1195	-0.21%	193.01	+5.76%	0.0371	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.3866	-0.21%	7.094	+10.84%	0.0782	✗	1.22	271k	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012942	-0.21%	0.0135	+4.09%	0.0209	✗	0.97	756k	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.018119	-0.21%	0.018697	+2.97%	0.0044	✗	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.05548	-0.22%	0.0574	+3.24%	0.0047	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.173521	-0.22%	0.1778	+2.24%	0.0047	✗	0.89	479k	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.7817	-0.22%	3.61	-4.75%	0.0780	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.1091	-0.22%	1.141	+2.65%	0.0074	✗	0.95	22.7M	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.997093	-0.23%	1.0548	+5.54%	0.0181	✗	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5705	-0.24%	3.818	+6.68%	0.0521	✗	0.68	514k	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.4717	-0.24%	3.57	+2.59%	0.0006	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.5918	-0.24%	8.1	+6.44%	0.0489	✗	0.72	705k	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.1923	-0.24%	3.45	+7.81%	0.0554	✗	1.01	715k	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8588	-0.25%	4.1768	+7.98%	0.0515	✗	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.548615	-0.25%	0.5799	+5.44%	0.0260	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.702206	-0.25%	0.747	+6.11%	0.0311	✗	1.40	7.7M	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.181027	-0.26%	0.2062	+13.61%	0.1158	✗	0.65	410k	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.8142	-0.26%	10.19	+3.56%	0.0214	✗	0.74	994k	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	135.5301	-0.26%	140.27	+3.22%	0.0121	✗	1.02	194.0M	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.041958	-0.27%	0.04184	-0.55%	0.0225	✓	0.89	8.2M	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.1332	-0.27%	6.4129	+4.28%	0.0273	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.495673	-0.27%	0.516	+3.82%	0.0124	✗	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	38.0078	-0.27%	39.78	+4.38%	0.0227	✗	1.04	20.0M	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.4744	-0.27%	9.73	+2.42%	0.0279	✗	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026627	-0.27%	0.00002762	+3.45%	0.0094	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4639	-0.28%	1.4915	+1.60%	0.0230	✓	1.90	1.4M	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	362.5415	-0.28%	369.84	+1.73%	0.0020	✓	1.00	8.5M	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.1608	-0.29%	2.311	+6.65%	0.0440	✗	1.06	1.9M	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.540947	-0.29%	0.5691	+4.90%	0.0244	✗	1.20	12.5M	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.252329	-0.29%	0.263177	+4.00%	0.0199	✗	1.01	24.0M	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.2181	-0.29%	14.78	+3.65%	0.0244	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2642	-0.30%	1.3102	+3.34%	0.0057	✗	1.37	4.5M	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.170299	-0.30%	0.17303	+1.30%	0.0181	✓	1.55	4,992	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	155.2101	-0.30%	165.565	+6.35%	0.0432	✗	0.97	515k	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.01308	-0.30%	0.01386	+5.64%	0.0315	✗	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.086102	-0.31%	0.086423	+0.06%	0.0183	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.1201	-0.32%	3.2	+2.24%	0.0041	✗	0.96	977k	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.3896	-0.32%	29.69	+4.25%	0.0228	✗	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.6442	-0.32%	25.55	+7.72%	0.0496	✗	1.27	70.4M	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	33.2588	-0.33%	36.84	+10.40%	0.0666	✗	1.62	2.8M	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	4.0189	-0.33%	4.1752	+3.54%	0.0089	✗	1.33	4.6M	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.3418	-0.34%	8.65	+3.35%	0.0152	✗	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7208	-0.34%	2.8	+2.56%	0.0000	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	68.1655	-0.34%	72.75	+6.36%	0.0424	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046537	-0.35%	0.04765	+2.03%	0.0000	✓	1.07	17k	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.8882	-0.36%	9.67	+8.41%	0.0700	✗	0.65	1.2M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.2608	-0.36%	28.42	+3.87%	0.0271	✗	0.66	370k	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.311661	-0.36%	0.3228	+3.20%	0.0132	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	5.0216	-0.37%	5.14	+1.98%	0.0004	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.8075	-0.37%	2.9312	+4.02%	0.0212	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.8617	-0.37%	5.08	+4.10%	0.0190	✗	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	165.699	-0.38%	169.57	+1.95%	0.0027	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.085685	-0.39%	0.09134	+6.18%	0.0489	✗	0.68	52k	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	241.225	-0.39%	260.77	+7.68%	0.0533	✗	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.10756	-0.41%	0.1102	+2.04%	0.0000	✓	1.11	296k	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.7058	-0.41%	2.765	+1.77%	0.0020	✓	0.89	31k	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.341567	-0.42%	0.361	+5.25%	0.0397	✗	0.71	38k	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.097912	-0.44%	0.10496	+6.73%	0.0453	✗	1.10	23k	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	34.1378	-0.44%	34.45	+0.47%	0.0213	✓	1.38	28.0M	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3563	-0.45%	1.4467	+6.19%	0.0404	✗	1.10	32.1M	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.078986	-0.45%	0.07976	+0.53%	0.0218	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	147.4866	-0.46%	141.85	-4.27%	0.0657	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	19.9958	-0.47%	20.39	+1.49%	0.0035	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013944	-0.47%	0.01475	+5.28%	0.0282	✗	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	37.6336	-0.52%	38.71	+2.33%	0.0081	✗	0.92	57.0M	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,362.62	-0.63%	42,770.20	+2.75%	0.0120	✗	0.98	12k	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.7531	-0.81%	26.6	-4.93%	0.0677	✓	1.15	69.7M	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.363	-0.86%	1.3709	-0.29%	0.0133	✓	0.87	922k	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.614723	-1.63%	0.6261	+0.19%	0.0140	✓	1.47	650k	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.07907	-2.48%	0.064925	-19.93%	0.2254	✓	1.29	7.3M	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.