2022-01-03 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2496

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

79.7%

in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.524255	-18.09%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.3420	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.5515	-14.98%	3.11	-52.37%	0.2689	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	11.7727	-14.19%	7.54	-45.04%	0.4460	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019088	-13.86%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9159	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.1968	-12.59%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5246	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4253	-12.58%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.0934	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	11.9132	-12.48%	7.564	-44.43%	0.4671	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.742412	-11.75%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0706	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	2.8748	-11.56%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0913	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4408	-11.55%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2899	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.109552	-11.29%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1023	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.3714	-10.91%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.0560	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.2846	-10.63%	5.49	-40.78%	0.1553	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.896239	-10.60%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1961	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	35.2508	-10.28%	26.33	-32.99%	0.0833	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014121	-10.23%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1428	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.625875	-9.84%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.0763	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	35.3807	-9.81%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2622	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.4494	-9.61%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5086	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.578543	-9.60%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3149	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	80.5474	-9.42%	47.6	-46.47%	0.2963	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.1449	-9.29%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1695	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.5411	-9.12%	1.696	-39.34%	0.1695	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	38.0756	-9.00%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0183	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.2868	-8.89%	5.22	-53.76%	0.4857	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	35,317.26	-8.87%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.2890	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.8053	-8.74%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3273	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.8672	-8.72%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3365	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.1887	-8.70%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0215	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000030259	-8.50%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.0964	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7009	-8.17%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2400	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6503	-8.06%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3251	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.2735	-8.00%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2005	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	58.553	-7.70%	38.13	-39.90%	0.0825	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0549	-7.47%	0.64	-43.86%	0.2699	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.2361	-7.31%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1053	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1541	-7.21%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.2869	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3153	-7.14%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0497	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.048785	-7.04%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3050	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	20.8264	-6.87%	17.776	-20.51%	0.2169	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	8.8017	-6.72%	5.754	-39.02%	0.2848	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.349556	-6.54%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0005	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.280873	-6.53%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1435	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	7.9643	-6.41%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3658	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.031674	-6.39%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2123	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.3135	-6.33%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1076	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	101.2638	-6.32%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1440	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.186944	-6.25%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.3826	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.7424	-6.23%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0265	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.8752	-6.17%	3.4	-17.68%	0.0989	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.127007	-6.06%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2233	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016288	-5.90%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2360	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.8366	-5.60%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0445	✓	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.2063	-5.17%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1667	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019211	-5.04%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2734	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	32.9755	-5.02%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0123	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.060447	-4.96%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.2024	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.896882	-4.61%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1932	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.596	-4.56%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.1038	✗	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.673229	-4.48%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0707	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6234	-4.43%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.1066	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.086259	-4.24%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1482	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	256.2155	-4.13%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2672	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.082525	-4.04%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0032	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	117.2676	-4.02%	90	-26.34%	0.0456	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	90.6267	-3.98%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3916	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.5797	-3.95%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1233	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	144.765	-3.84%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0764	✓	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	7.9989	-3.81%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0168	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.374306	-3.73%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0457	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.197672	-3.67%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3085	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	35.0787	-3.66%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2061	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.106897	-3.63%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.2234	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	3.0046	-3.63%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2855	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1338	-3.58%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2165	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2704	-3.57%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0914	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.191337	-3.56%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1420	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.3081	-3.55%	2.41	-29.74%	0.0874	✓	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.359059	-3.50%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1467	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.4567	-3.29%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1827	✓	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.636566	-3.29%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1554	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	143.5851	-3.26%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0281	✓	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.8991	-3.24%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3157	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3503	-3.19%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5737	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.054788	-3.18%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0839	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	185.9234	-3.11%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6599	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	134.7653	-3.08%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0792	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5678	-2.99%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2773	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	224.9266	-2.97%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2077	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	34.0643	-2.90%	20.19	-42.45%	0.2840	✓	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.2535	-2.88%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2773	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000113203	-2.81%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1753	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	17.9754	-2.68%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2400	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.88062	-2.59%	0.465	-48.56%	0.3004	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6756	-2.58%	1.36	-20.93%	0.1865	✗	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.083332	-2.54%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.4104	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	39.2076	-2.52%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3323	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6419	-2.38%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0630	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.4292	-2.35%	3.37	-39.39%	0.2032	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	30.901	-2.34%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1152	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	217.0804	-2.30%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3195	✓	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.5228	-2.27%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0695	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	283.0788	-2.27%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2999	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.07149	-2.20%	0.034	-53.49%	0.4220	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	166.4219	-2.18%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2447	✓	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.674	-2.16%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2150	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.7174	-1.94%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2313	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.5102	-1.93%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2658	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021644	-1.85%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.1045	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2945	-1.83%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0202	✗	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.2175	-1.82%	0.719	-42.02%	0.3104	✓	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.017081	-1.61%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2882	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.2335	-1.39%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0828	✓	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.8804	-1.36%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0326	✗	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.286796	-1.20%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1617	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.099213	-1.18%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1914	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.0931	-1.14%	3.998	-22.40%	0.1035	✓	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5311	-1.13%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1969	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	9.1067	-1.07%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0879	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.194912	-1.06%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2998	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.5143	-1.00%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1664	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	29.8163	-0.91%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1673	✓	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	46,069.37	-0.84%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0084	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,638.27	-0.83%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0385	✗	0.98	10k	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.07638	-0.79%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0484	✓	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	431.5275	-0.71%	278	-36.03%	0.2072	✓	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	23.5594	-0.68%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0961	✓	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.169174	-0.55%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0429	✗	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.4653	-0.43%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0600	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.120585	-0.39%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0461	✓	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	178.3082	-0.38%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2312	✓	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.126607	-0.31%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0317	✗	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.205481	-0.15%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0201	✓	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.4961	-0.15%	7.83	-49.55%	0.4173	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.1527	+0.02%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1629	✗	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.415374	+0.33%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3396	✗	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,792.87	+0.71%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.1078	✗	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.2798	+0.97%	5.04	-30.10%	0.2212	✗	0.64	861k	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.